Earnings Labs

Cushman & Wakefield plc (CWK)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Sun, Feb 27, 2022

$14.48

+0.63%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to Cushman & Wakefield’s Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker [sic – speakers’] remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator instructions] It is now my pleasure to introduce Len Texter, Head of Investor Relations, Global Controller and Chief Accounting Officer for Cushman & Wakefield. Mr. Texter, you may now begin your conference.

Len Texter

Analyst

Thank you, and welcome again to Cushman & Wakefield’s fourth quarter 2021 earnings conference call. Earlier today, we issued a press release announcing our financial results for the period. This release along with today’s presentation can be found on our Investor Relations website at ir.cushmanwakefield.com. Please turn to the page labeled, Forward-Looking Statements. Today’s presentation contains forward-looking statements based on our current forecasts and estimates of future events. These statements should be considered estimates-only, and actual results may differ materially. During today’s call, we will refer to non-GAAP financial measures as outlined by SEC guidelines. Reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures, definitions of non-GAAP financial measures and other related information are found within our financial tables of our earnings release and appendix of today’s presentation. Also, please note that throughout the presentation, comparison and growth rates are to comparable periods of 2020 and are in local currency. For those of you following along with our presentation, we’ll begin on Page 4. And with that, I’d like to turn the call over to Brett White, our Executive Chairman. Brett?

Brett White

Analyst

Thank you, Len and thank you to everyone joining us today. Joining me this afternoon is John Forrester, our CEO as of January 1st; Kevin Thorpe, our Chief Economist, who’ll provide some commentary on the macroeconomic environment; and Neil Johnston, our CFO, who will review our financial results for the quarter and full year along with our outlook for 2022. To begin, I want to thank our team of Cushman & Wakefield professionals around the world. 2021 was another unpredictable year and their resilience and ability to serve our clients in these fluid times has been truly outstanding. As a result of their amazing efforts, we delivered record results in 2021. We grew our fee revenue to $6.9 billion, up 24% over last year; delivered record adjusted EBITDA of $886 million, up 73% over last year and expanded our margins by 365 basis points to 12.9%. Brokerage was a source of strength as momentum throughout the year continue to build with a recovery. Revenue growth in our Brokerage businesses improved 55% over last year and was even 6% ahead of 2019 pre-COVID levels. In addition to our solid financial results, 2021 was a year of continued investment in our platform. We made strategic investments in Greystone and WeWork, providing us with key capabilities in multifamily debt origination and servicing and workplace solutions. Finally, operating cash flow of $550 million further strengthened our strong balance sheet and positions us well for future growth. Before handing the call over to John, it has truly been an honor to be the CEO and lead this company over the past six years. When I stepped into the CEO role, my objective was to lead our business through a period of rapid growth and transformation. I’m very proud of what we’ve been able to accomplish, from the formation of a new player in the global commercial real estate space to taking the company public in 2018 and to where we are now as an industry leader. Today, Cushman & Wakefield is recognized as a leading global real estate services company with a comprehensive service offering that delivers exceptional value for both investors and occupiers. Our global platform is poised for continued sustainable growth and success. I have the utmost confidence in John, our leadership team and our 50,000 employees around the world. I congratulate John on his well-deserved appointment as CEO, and I wish him continued success. I look forward to working with him in my role as Executive Chairman in this exciting new chapter. And with that, I’ll turn the call over to our new CEO, John Forrester. John?

John Forrester

Analyst

Thank you for the kind words, Brett. As I’ve transitioned into the CEO role over the past few months, I have stepped into leading a world-class real estate services company enjoying significant momentum in a global operating environment with material tailwinds. Of course, I’m thrilled to have the opportunity to lead Cushman & Wakefield as the new CEO, and I’d like to thank Brett for his contribution over the past six years as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. It’s been an honor to work and learn alongside him. Thanks to Brett’s vision and leadership, Cushman & Wakefield has never been better positioned to take increasing market share and leadership in what remains in many sectors a fragmented market. I look forward to continuing to work with Brett as he transitions into his role as Executive Chairman. Before getting into the results, let me start with a few observations on the current operating environment and path ahead for Cushman & Wakefield. First, the market for commercial real estate services remains strong and growing. As I said at the outset, there are material tailwinds present that will power the largest full-service companies in our sector through the coming period. Kevin Thorpe will provide a more detailed picture on these market tailwinds later on the call. But in particular, I would highlight three particularly significant conditions – that will power our continued growth. The other growing volume of capital flowing into the real estate sector driven by secular trends, seeking out assets to deliver competitive and attractive investor returns, the data illustrating a return to growth in office leasing, and the momentum in corporate outsourcing with major occupiers in all sectors now building key supplier relationships on a global scale. I’ve always believed in staying close to the voice of our customer and…

Kevin Thorpe

Analyst

Thanks, John. 2021 was clearly a strong rebound year for the commercial real estate sector. And importantly, what we learned last year is that the commercial real estate sector and the economy, in general, are both becoming increasingly resilient to the pandemic. As we all know, last year featured new waves and variants. As the year went on, it became apparent that the commercial real estate sector was becoming less disrupted by these waves, as evidenced by the increasingly strong performance throughout the year. Looking ahead, the economic outlook remains strong. US real GDP grew by a preliminary estimate of 5.7% in 2021 and this forecast to grow at a healthy rate of 4% in 2022. These growth rates are significantly above the pre-pandemic average and are anticipated to be among the strongest back-to-back growth years – growth rates ever recorded. The global economy is projected to have grown by a similar amount, 5.9% according to the International Monetary Fund, with growth in 2022 expected to register in the mid-4s. As we know historically, GDP has been a solid predictor for the commercial real estate sector. When the economy grows at a healthy rate, it typically means more jobs, more leasing, more capital markets deals, more buildings to manage, giving us conviction on a strong outlook for property in 2022. Lastly, we continue to monitor the impact of elevated inflation and other downside risks. However, I would emphasize that the commercial real estate sector has been successfully navigating these challenges for several months, which again speaks to the sector’s resiliency. Additionally, we are monitoring the Federal Reserve and interest rate movements. But here, I would emphasize that even with a 10-year treasury yield drifting higher, interest rates still remain low and below pre-pandemic levels and are still half of their…

Neil Johnston

Analyst

Thanks, Kevin and good afternoon, everyone. We are very pleased with our financial performance for both the fourth quarter and full year of 2021. Strong revenue growth, combined with the execution of our operating efficiency initiatives, drove record adjusted EBITDA growth and margins. In addition, strong operating cash flow further strengthened our balance sheet, resulting in improved leverage and continuing strong liquidity. For the fourth quarter, fee revenue surpassed $2.2 billion, an increase of 35%, resulting in $348 million of adjusted EBITDA or about $150 million more than the fourth quarter of 2020. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.7% increased by 365 basis points compared to prior year, driven by Brokerage revenue growth of 72% and the benefit of operating efficiency initiatives. Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter was $0.94, an increase of 51% over prior year. For the full year, we generated fee revenue of $6.9 billion, an increase of 24%, and adjusted EBITDA of $886 million, an increase of 73% over prior year. The strength of our Brokerage business, which grew 55%, coupled with our strong execution of operating efficiency initiatives and disciplined cost management, led to adjusted EBITDA margins of 12.9%, a year-over-year increase of 365 basis points and an increase of over 150 basis points compared to 2019. As a result of our strong earnings and efficient management of working capital, we delivered $550 million of operating cash flow for the full year. Adjusted earnings per share for the year was $2.04, up from $0.81 in the prior year. Taking a look at our fee revenue by service line. In the fourth quarter, Leasing and Capital Markets revenue increased 65% and 80% versus prior year, respectively. Leasing exceeded pre-pandemic levels for the quarter with fee revenue increasing 5% over the fourth quarter of 2019. Non-office leasing…

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. At this time, we will be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator instructions] We have a first question from the line of Anthony Paolone with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Anthony Paolone

Analyst

Great, thank you. My first question relates to Brokerage revenue growth in 2022. It seems like leasing has a lot of runway to go. And so wondering what you think the puts and takes are to you know this upper single-digit revenue outlook might be for your system and what might keep that from being higher?

Brett White

Analyst

Let’s – let’s John take that.

John Forrester

Analyst

Hi, Tony. We see relatively positive outcomes in all sectors. As you said, the continuing growth in logistics and multifamily, life sciences you know there’s strong momentum. Unlike – unlikely to duplicate what we saw in Q4, but still strong. We’re very positive about the continued rebound in offices, now moving strongly through green shoots all over the data sets that we watch. And as Kevin mentioned, actually bottoming out and some growth now in retail. So combined, you know we do see a good outlook for the Brokerage market, but we’re taking it you know one quarter at a time as we move through the recovery and into a true growth.

Anthony Paolone

Analyst

Okay. And then on the expense side, you had mentioned I think it was $125 million that you expect to see. I think that’s in 2022, I believe. But I was just curious if you’re starting to see any cost returning faster than expected or cost pressures from inflation anywhere in the system.

Brett White

Analyst

Neil?

Neil Johnston

Analyst

Yes, sure. Tony, that $125 million we took out in 2021. As we go into 2022, we will clearly be focused on costs, but not to that same extent. Some of the factors we considered as we look at 2022 are considering this, we do expect inflation. But the good news is the business has a natural hedge against inflation. So, the area that we focused on around inflation is really just our non-fee-earners and the salaries there that could go up. Other considerations, we do have some – the final piece of the savings as a result of COVID coming back in. So those are things like travel. But then offsetting that are, as I said, continued focus on permanent cost out. So, those are some of the factors that weigh in as we look to expenses next year.

Anthony Paolone

Analyst

Okay. And then last one just on the investment side. Can you talk about just your appetite to do transactions and what the pipeline or activity levels look like right now?

Brett White

Analyst

Sure. Let’s – John, you can take that?

John Forrester

Analyst

Thanks, Brett. 2021 was actually a very big year for our acquisitions. So it was the most that we spent in any single year since growing the organization together. So, we are focused on you know the performance and success of what we did in 2021, and we’ll remain opportunistic both around value and fit across the full piece in 2022. As we said in the prepared remarks, we – we’ve built a fully diversified by geography, sector and service line model. But there are still significantly fragmented markets out there both in the Brokerage and in recurring revenue lines. So, I won’t you know state any specific areas at this time, because as I say, it’s based on value and opportunity, but we are you know ready to execute at the right time on the right assets.

Brett White

Analyst

And just I want to add that, Tony to John’s comments here. So, you know 2021 was a year where I think all the peer group talked about lofty valuations and the difficulty to finding high-quality terms. Greystone deal is emblematic and the way we go around M&A. So, that was a deal that was specific to a vertical we were very interested in and have been interested for a long time. We’re able, because of our platform, what to offer. And what Greystone was looking for in a partner, we’re able to get a deal done at a highly accretive value. It will add instant value to our platform and synergy to our multifamily transaction professionals. So, we always have to look out for great deals like that. We’re very careful around valuation and our ability to integrate. I think that deal is emblematic that we’re dealt in a marketplace where opportunities exist, and we’re going to pursue them as John mentioned there.

Anthony Paolone

Analyst

Great. Thanks for the help.

Brett White

Analyst

Thanks, Tony.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator instructions] Your next question from the line of Stephen Sheldon with William Blair. Please go ahead.

Patrick McIlwee

Analyst · William Blair. Please go ahead.

Hi. This is Patrick McIlwee on for Stephen. Just a couple of quick ones. So, first, could you talk about how you’re thinking about the integration of Greystone and how you plan to incentivize your – your brokers to work closely with that team and those officers? Thanks.

Brett White

Analyst · William Blair. Please go ahead.

Yeah, I’m going to let John take that, but will just make a quick comment on that front, which is the Greystone acquisition stands on its own, stands on its own very, very powerfully. If we never did a single deal between our investment property professional and the Greystone platform now, of course, we’re highly focused on that, but that is snow on the mountain. But John, I’ll let you talk a little bit about how we’re going to handle the integration and what that might look like.

John Forrester

Analyst · William Blair. Please go ahead.

Yes, the joint venture doesn’t actually come with a need to build a cost platform and then, as Brett says, revenues off it. But what we are seeing already in the very early days of our work with this great company is that, the offering to the market taken by our teams jointly is proving extremely attractive, and we are taking market share at this point. The offering that the acquisition provides to our existing multifamily business, particularly in the Capital Markets area, it strengthens our ability to penetrate the Capital Markets’ stack, both equity and debt. And as we add that into the capabilities and knowledge we get from the Pinnacle acquisition now nearly three years ago, which makes us the largest player in the full service multifamily market, gives us a pretty powerful offering to clients. And as I said, the motivation is actually more of what we’re all doing in taking market share, and we’ve got a very aggressive set of colleagues who are bent on delivering the best they can in those markets. And we are seeing it, as I say, we are seeing it now.

Brett White

Analyst · William Blair. Please go ahead.

And just, Patrick on that, just to underscore what John said. So specifically, our investment property professionals in multifamily are clinical folks. They needed and wanted an answer that we were able to provide them in this acquisition. So we don’t need to provide incentives for people who do business together. They were crying for it. And this makes as John well said, this gives them a rounded toolkit which they can use to service their clients to retain them as valuable clients and do more business with them.

Patrick McIlwee

Analyst · William Blair. Please go ahead.

Got it. That’s really helpful. Thank you. And then another one quickly. So, on the PM/FM side of things, it’s my understanding that an increase in transactional activity, so asset sales kind of create an opportunity for contract wins. And I wanted to ask if you can talk a little bit about how that transactional activity trending off has impacted your ability to win clients in that space?

Brett White

Analyst · William Blair. Please go ahead.

Again, I’ll let John get into the detail here, but I would think about it first this way, which is every time we transact with a new client is an opportunity for us to cross-sell into that client additional value-add services. And there’s no place for that. You see that more prevalent than in our Leasing and Brokerage business, where our folks are out there working with a customer. That customer tells them that in addition to this large lease they’re doing in Dallas, they’re looking at an outsourced requirement for the US. They bring in our outsourced professionals. We’re able to pitch that business. But John can speak very specifically to how increased transaction activity gives us more visibility in our clients.

John Forrester

Analyst · William Blair. Please go ahead.

There’s a lot of facets to it, but all positive in all tailwinds for an organization like Cushman & Wakefield. As a full-service business, we have no interruption in our engagement with the clients. They seek all the services around the asset. So, that’s been part of our strategy of build-out. But as I think about the Capital Markets’ volumes rising and therefore more deals in the market. I point to the fact that actually during COVID, during the pandemic, there was actually quite a low level of churn in the management of buildings and the management of facilities contracts, et cetera, that there was quite low level versus – historic levels of renewals and like. And so, it was a very robust period for us, and taking market share on top of that added to our overall volume and our growth. Coming out of the pandemic and looking at the Capital Markets trading, as Brett says, every deal is an opportunity for us to either sell more to an existing client or get a new relationship with a new client. I’d point again to the multifamily stack that we – full-service stack we built out because there, we can now go to an equity client or a buyer of a multifamily asset, provide debt servicing to that client, refinance the asset. We can manage the asset. We can reposition the asset. And that’s something that is part of our long-term strategy of building out in those largest and fastest-growing sectors. Finally, one of the trailing growth areas in the return to the office, of course, is going to be project management because, ultimately, whether you believe offices gets back to its full amount of volume or not doesn’t really matter to how we drive revenue, because it’s the journey and the churn to get to whichever portfolio any occupier needs to get to. And we’re already seeing quite a lot of CapEx going into office space certainly more than 12 months and 24 months ago as occupiers seek to reposition the office as somewhere attractive and certainly more attractive than being at home. So there’s quite a lot of tailwind factors out there that are driving volume across the full sector – sorry, a full-service model.

Patrick McIlwee

Analyst · William Blair. Please go ahead.

Understood. Thank you all for the color, and congrats on the strong end of the year.

John Forrester

Analyst · William Blair. Please go ahead.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator instructions] We have a next question from the line of Richard Hill with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Jose Herrera

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Hi, everyone. Congratulations on the great quarter and year. It’s Jose Herrera on for Rich. Just a quick question regarding commercial real estate fundamentals for ‘22. You guys gave some good insight into that, but just curious on tailwind risk for the market. What do you think could drive the guide for the commercial real estate market down and regarding any risks and then potentially anything to the high end that could surprise? Thank you.

Brett White

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Yeah. So, we have Kevin Thorpe on the line, our Chief Economist, who can talk to the question of what macro could be out there that could depress the market, which I think is actually very low risk at the moment. And also I think, perhaps, more importantly, could drive performance above estimated levels currently. So, Kevin, do you want to take a shot at that?

Kevin Thorpe

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Yeah, sure. Certainly. So, of course, there’s you know there’s geopolitical risk that’s forming with Russia, Ukraine as that relates to oil. I would say just in my view, it’s really too soon to say precisely how that conflict will impact the property sector. There’s actually a couple of points I’d make on that. So, I think it’s important, just speaking to that downside risk to no commercial real estate is not the stock market, right. The stock market is subject to these wild daily swings, real estate is not. Real estate is more grounded in local economic fundamentals and generally has a longer investment horizon, right, with valuation supported by long-term leases. We know that interest rates remain very low. And it’s actually possible that this conflict could drive interest rates even lower, making spreads even more attractive, could actually drive demand for core real estate up. There’s you know the risk of elevated energy prices. Again, that does in some way link to the conflict. Certainly, European countries are more exposed to some of the economic ties with Russia. We’ll have to see kind of where – you know what happens with oil and gas and other you know raw materials and see how that feeds through to inflation. But as I believe it was Neil or John had pointed out, we all know commercial real estate does perform well during periods of elevated inflationary environment. It is a hedge to a degree on inflation. And I feel good about the fundamentals. I think what’s really important is to focus on the secular trends and the momentum kind of that’s been building across the commercial real estate sector in areas that are resilient in some ways to the – whether it’s interest rate movements, inflation, geopolitical events. And I can point to a couple of things. The industrial sector, which we talked about, I mean, e-commerce is gaining share as people climb up the online learning curve that’s clearly fueling demand for warehouse space and last mile. The multifamily sector, very much a growth area. People need a place to live, regardless of geopolitical inflation, interest rate movements. Demographics, still very favorable, fueling demand there. Excess savings, this has sort of been glossed over in recent weeks. But excess savings, this is savings on top of savings that really indicating very strong consumer demand, particularly for experiential retail concepts. And finally, the pandemic, I mean, perhaps we’re officially – that’s officially fading in the rearview mirror, boosting the return to office, right. So, there’s always downside scenarios. There always - you know it can create dark – really dark scenarios, but in my view, the commercial real estate sector is positioned really well, I think to handle a lot of these challenges and headwinds. Hopefully, that helps.

Jose Herrera

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Yeah, definitely –

Brett White

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Great answer, Kevin. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Mr. Hill, do you have any further questions?

Q - Jose Herrera

Analyst

No, that’s all. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. And I’d like to turn the call back to Brett White for closing remarks. Over to you, sir.

Brett White

Analyst

Great. Thanks – thanks, everybody. We appreciate your support. Great year in 2021. Looking forward into a great year this year. We’ll talk to you in another quarter. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.