Kirk Andrews
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. You may begin
Thank you, David. Turning to financial overview on slide six, NRG Yield is reporting second quarter 2015 adjusted EBITDA of $187 million and cash available for distribution $26 million. Adjusted EBITDA and CAFD for the second quarter were below our second quarter guidance due to historical low wind speeds, which continued through the quarter end, primarily impacting our Alta Wind assets in California are also impacting the other wind assets in the fleet. The chart in the top right corner shows an illustrative view of the Alta average wind speeds for the first half of 2015 as compared to long-term historic average ranges of wind speeds for that region. As you can see the average wind speed for the first of 2015 were significantly below the historic range. Due to the ongoing low wind production impact in the fleet, we have adjusted our expectation on wind production over the balance of 2015. For the full year 2015, the company is updating adjusted EBITDA guidance from $690 million to $660 million and CAFD guidance from $195 million to $160 million, reflecting the impact of lower expected wind production. Our revised guidance also reflects the impact of reduced pace of residential solar drop downs by NRG Home Solar over the balance of 2015, which is offset by the half year impact of the Desert Sunlight acquisition. We are also providing guidance on third quarter 2015 with expected adjusted EBITDA of $195 million and CAFD of $110 million, which also reflect the impact of reductions in expected wind production. We do not expect the reduction in 2015 adjusted EBITDA or CAFD guidance to have any impact on either our current dividend or expected long-term dividend growth. The company remained confident in its long-term prospects and its targeting annual dividend rate of $1 per share by the fourth quarter of 2016, which will represent a 19% increase over the current dividend rate and a 67% increase since our first IPO dividend in the fourth quarter of 2013. During the second quarter the company raised net proceeds of 600 million from the issuance of approximately 28 million Class C shares and net proceeds of 281 million from the issuance of Senior Convertible Notes due in 2020, both of which were used to fund the Desert Sunlight acquisition and the tax equity refinancing of Alta X and XI. The tax equity refinancing enabled the monetization of production tax credits and other tax attributes to be generated from the Alta X and XI wind projects and resulted in $119 million of upfront cash proceeds to yield. The company used the proceeds from this transaction and a portion of the proceeds from the equity and debt offerings to fully repay the $491 million of project level debt associated with the Alta X/XI assets. This transaction is expected to result in incremental CAFD of $28 million on an annualized run rate basis beginning in 2016. Our revised guidance does not reflect any impact from the tax equity refinancing in 2015 given a substantial portion of the CAFD benefits result from the elimination of principal amortization, which was not scheduled to begin until 2016, coincident with the start of the PPAs for those two assets. During the quarter, we also expanded NRG Yield's revolving credit facility capacity by an additional $45 million, bringing total capacity to $495 million, providing additional liquidity to temporarily fund acquisitions. NRG Yield completed the formation of the previously announced $100 million DG solar partnership with NRG Energy during the quarter. Under the terms of this partnership, the company will receive 95% of the economics until it achieves its targeted return. In July, the company was offered the opportunity to purchase a third set of Right of First Offer assets from NRG Energy. Specifically 75% interest in a portfolio of 12 wind assets totaling 814 net megawatts of wind capacity and consisting primarily of assets acquired by NRG Energy in the EME transaction. The company's independent directors and advisors are evaluating this offer from NRG and assuming agreement with NRG on price. We would expect to fund the closing of the transaction with cash on hand by the end of the quarter. Turning to slide seven, relative to our 2015 guidance which only reflects the partial impact of the recently completed Desert Sunlight and tax equity transactions. We expect our current portfolio to deliver an annual run rate of adjusted EBITDA of $760 million and CAFD of 245 million. These run rate estimates reflect the full year impact of our two recently completed transaction, which combined are expected to contribute approximately $45 million in incremental run rate EBITDA exclusively from Desert Sunlight, and approximately $50 million of annual CAFD through the combination of Desert Sunlight and the tax equity refinancing as well as the impact of Alta X/XI PPAs which began in 2016 and adjustments to reflect lower wind production on a run rate basis. Our target annualized dividend rate of $1 per share by the fourth quarter of 2016 implies approximately 75% payout ratio on our current portfolio’s annual run rate CAFD, which when combined with a robust pipeline of remaining ROFO assets underscores our confidence in our ability to maintain annual dividend growth consistent with long-term target. Turning to slide eight. NRG Yield remains well-positioned to achieve long-term sustainable and efficient total shareholder returns through its superior business model. With one of the most adverse mixes of conventional and renewable assets in the growing yield sector, consisting a fast-start natural gas conventional generation, thermal combined heat and power in district energy assets and array of renewable assets, the company is well structured to deliver more stable and tax efficient CAFD. NRG Yield continues to target 15% to 18% dividend growth into the next decade, highlighting our top-tier long-term target in the yieldco space, which is not dependent on incremental M&A transactions, providing our investors with clear visibility as to our ability to deliver on our growth target. Through its strategic partnership with NRG, NRG Yield is able to access NRG’s proven track record in conventional generation development as highlighted by addition of the Carlsbad and Mandalay projects project to ROFO pipeline. NRG also provides yield’s unique platforms of residential solar and distributed generation solar, which provides further diversification and incremental CAFD. Importantly, NRG Yield does not have incentive distribution rights or IDRs, which over time allocate a greater and greater portion of the incremental CAFD from acquisitions and dropdowns back to the sponsor. NRG is already highly incentive to ensure efficient and ongoing growth with NRG Yield as contracted opportunities and NRG Yield’s cost of capital advantage are significant component of NRG’s overall strategy. We believe that the absence of IDRs not only helps preserve NRG Yield’s low cost of capital advantage. It also permits the company to appropriately allocate every dollar of incremental CAFD where it rightfully belongs, in support of dividend growth and return to our shareholders. They will underscore this advantage we provided in the last to do example on slide nine. It illustrates the long-term drag on CAFD from IDRs and the advantage according to NRG yield and its shareholders, without them, we’ve compared the CAFD impact of the generic 100 million acquisition to both NRG Yield, and a competitor with an IDR which is at the split IDR level which provides approximately 50% of incremental CAFD back to the sponsor as an incentive payment. Although the acquired assets within asset level CAFD yield of 8% delivers 8 million of CAFD, NRG Yield without an IDR realizes 100% of the incremental financial benefit of the acquisitions. While the competitor with a 50% split IDR mostly half of that CAFD back to the sponsor as an incentive. Importantly, while the asset level CAFD for the competitor is 8% on a yield basis, the realized CAFD to that yieldco and the corresponding yield is half of that realized by NRG Yield. Since as a result of the IDR, each acquisition will be incrementally less accretive. The competitive yieldco in this illustrative example must pursue twice the volume of acquisitions to achieve the same level of accretion, leading to larger and more dilutive capital raises overtime in order for dividend growth. The IDR may also create an incentive responses to be more aggressive in pursuing acquisition in search of higher incentive payments while the absence of IDRs we believe ensures that NRG Yield approach the acquisition is better aligned with shareholder interest. As robust acquisition activity continues across the sector, we believe this differentiation will become more apparent as an increasing number of competitors with IDRs move closer to the higher incentive tiers prescribed by the IDR arrangements with their sponsors making NRG Yield advantage more and more apparent to our shareholders. With that, I’ll turn it back to David to move to Q&A.