Glenn Tynan
Analyst · Myles Walton, Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead your line is open
Thank you, Dave and good morning, everyone. I will begin with a review of our second quarter end market sales. Overall we experienced a long increase in sales for our defense markets and a 4% decline in sales to our commercial markets. However sale in both end markets improving gradually. Earning and defense sales in the aerospace defense market were up slightly from the prior year, but much improved from the first quarter. We experience higher demand from embedded computing products from several C4ISR programs, including the Global Hawk UAV, Apache and SeaHawk helicopters. Although those sales were largely offset by lower foreign military sales. In ground defense, our result primarily reflects lower sales, turret drive stabilization systems as expected, as prior year included a one-time benefit relating to a large production contract award. Excluding that benefits from ground defense sales were only down 2% year-over-year. In Naval defense we experienced solid growth of 4% due to the ramp up in development on the new Ohio fast replacement submarine program, partially offset by reduced CBN79 aircraft carrier revenues as production nears completion. Well beyond the commercial markets, I will begin in commercial aerospace were sales were up 5% in the second quarter. This growth was led by higher sales of actuation systems and sensors in control products to Boeing that were partially offset by lower shot in sales to Airbus. As previously discussed Airbus elected shift wing forming on the April 20 program to a supplier in South Korea resulting in lower revenues in 2016. April 20 sales in the second quarter declined approximately $3 million from the prior year. Please note that this impact is now essentially behind us. In power generation our performance reflects higher revenue on the AP1000 program for the new nuclear power plants in the U.S. and China. Partially offset by reduced demand in the nuclear aftermarket business. The general industrial market our performance once again reflects lower sales of severe service industrial valve, principally the oil and gas market and anticipate. Second quarter valve sales improve slightly compared to the first quarter and are still expected to improve modestly in the second half the year. Moving to industrial vehicle on highways sales were down partially 5% as lower class a truck revenues were partially offset by higher medium truck revenues. All Highway medical sales were essentially flat in the quarter. Elsewhere the balance of our more economically sensitive general industrial businesses were relatively flat. That's higher surface treatment revenues were offset by lower industrial automation sales. Next, I'll discuss the key drivers of our second quarter operating income and margin performance. Overall, Curtiss-Wright second quarter operating income increased 4% which led to an 80 basis point improvement in margin 12.8%. We produce sequential operating margin improvement in all three segments, driven in part by the benefits of our ongoing margin improvement initiatives. Our Vehicles commercial industrial segment remote operating income and margin decline prepared for the prior year. Similar to the first quarter the primary driver with lower overhead absorption due to the lower sales in our and our industrial balance businesses. Next to the defense segment which produce lower year-over-year operating income and margin including a $2 million favorable impact from FX. The organic decline was primarily driven by prior year benefit from the transition from development to production contract for our turret drive stabilization systems in the ground defense market. This resulted in a $4 million one-time benefit them both sales and operating income in 2015, which did not recurred in 2016. In addition, we also experience lower sales in associated lower overhead absorption primarily on the 747 and various commercial helicopter programs. Finally, the $2million in restructuring costs that we originally expected during the second order in this segment has shifted to the third quarter. Next in the power segment operating income and margin were considerably compared to the prior year reflecting significantly improve profitability on the AP1000 program. And a reminder in the prior year we spent $11 million in engineering, testing and design cost for our AP1000 which did not recur this year. Excluding those costs are comparable second order segment results were solid driven by higher absorption on the domestic AP1000 production as well as initial revenues on the new China contract. Similar to last quarter the benefits vehicle impound program out-weight reduced profitability in our nuclear aftermarket business which continues to be impacted by lower outages and deferred spending in the industry. Moving on to our 2016 guidance. Although we remain firm on our full year EPS guidance we made several updates for the remainder of our 2016 guidance, we reduced full year sales by $50 million, and now expect an over-all decline of one to three percent down from the prior range down 1% to up 1%. Approximately $10 million of that decline is related the weakening in foreign currencies resulting from the Brexit vote, the majority of which impacts the commercial industrial segment. The balance of the sales decrease continued across all three segments which we'll elaborate on in a moment. We also reduced full year operating income by $3 million. We lowered segment operating income by $5 million reflecting the reduced sales outlook, partially offset by lower corporate and other cost due to $2 million lower pension expense. As Dave noted we expect to mitigate the impact to operating income from lower sales for additional cost containment actions within our segment to maintain or improve profitability. As a result we expect overall Curtiss-Wright operating income to grow 4% to 8% and we are increasing operating margin guidance to expand 90 to 100 basis points to a range of 14.2 and 14.4 in 20 basis points improvements comparing to our prior guidance. Next we will walk you through the adjustments for each segment. Within the commercial industrial segment we framed our segment sales by $15 million to reflect lower slower growth rate within industrial vehicles and now expect a year-over-year decline of 3% to 5%. We also reduced the operating income associated with lower sales by $3 million. However we are holding our prior margin guidance range 14.6% to 14.8 % as we continue control our cost and mitigate the slowdown in industrial markets. On a sequential basis we will also benefit as we move beyond overstepped restructuring charges related facility consolidations, which will benefit profitability in the second half of the year. Next to the defense segment where we framed our statement sales by $15 million growth rate to arrange a flat 2% the changes principal improvement by lower systems solutions ordered and various programs in aerospace as well as late contract U.S. modernization on the gravity program ground defense. Overall, second half sales to the end markets will be up, just not as robust as initially expected. As a result of the new sales guidance, operating income was reduced by $1 million. Operating margin is now expected to range from 19.5% to 19.7% reflecting a 40 basis point improvement over our previous guidance. This improvement is driven by a better sales mix of higher margins COGS business. It is also inclusive of the $2 million restructuring cost anticipated in the second half the year. In the power segment, we now expect sales growth to range from down 2% to up 1%. The decline in sales guidance of $20 million is driven by order delays in the nuclear after-market business. As a result operating income was reduced by $1 million. Our operating margin is now expected to range from 13.2% to 13.4% reflecting in 30 basis points improvement over our previous guidance, and an increase of 272 --290 basis points compared to 2015 this improvement is driven by better absorption due to the higher production volumes in AP1000 program and cost containment actions. Lastly, we've not made any adjustments to our 2016 end market sales guidance. And the updated waterfall chart can be found in the appendix. Continuing with our 2016 outlook we now expect an additional $2 million reduction of pension expense down to $20 million which will result in lower corporate another costly. Offsetting this improvement we have increased our forecast for interest expense by $2 million due to the unwinding of our interest rates of earlier this year. We also lower our forecasted diluted shares outstanding 45.2 million shares reflecting our ongoing share repurchase activity. In summary, despite all of the upgrades and changes for guidance we continue to expect diluted earnings per share $4 to $.15 which represents growth of 7% to 11% over performance 2015 results. Looking ahead, we continue to expect a strong second half of the year with our operating results following a similar trajectory as we've done historically. For purposes of your quarterly EPS modeling we expect modesty sequential improvement in the third quarter, followed by very strong fourth quarter. Next our cash flow will recover our performance to the end of the second quarter as well as our updated guidance for the year. Second quarter free cash flow was strong and approximately $80 million generating free cash flow conversion of nearly 200%. Year-to-date we've generated approximately $141 million of free cash flow. We're very pleased with this strong start of 2016. Our second quarter and year-to-date performance were primarily driven by higher advanced payments related to the new China AP1000 order received in late 2015 as well solid reduction in our work capital. We remain on-track to meet our working capital percent sales reduction guidance of 180 basis to 23.6% in 2016 as we continue our March towards top dollar performance. Meanwhile second quarter capital expenditures of $7 million remain flat of 2015 however we anticipate that the basic capital expenditures will wrap up in the second half including planned facility consolidators. Finally, we are raising our full year free cash flow guidance to new range re $300 million to $320 million up 10% to 18% compared with 2015 and now expect for free cash flow conversion rates range from 166% to 170%. Now I'd like to turn the call back over to Dave to conclude our prepared remarks, Dave.