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CPI Aerostructures, Inc. (CVU)

Q4 2014 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 5, 2015

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the CPI Aero's 2014 Fourth Quarter and Year-End Results Conference Call. With us today are Douglas McCrosson, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Vincent Palazzolo, Chief Financial Officer. After management’s prepared remarks, there will be a Q&A session. As a reminder, this conference call will contain forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to be materially different from projected results. Included in these risks are the government's ability to terminate their contracts with the company at any time; the government's ability to reduce or modify its contract if its requirements or budgetary constraints change; the government's right to suspend or bar the company from doing business with them, as well as competition in the bidding process for both government and subcontracting contracts. Subcontracting customers also have the ability to terminate their contracts with the company if it fails to meet the requirements of those contracts or if the customer reduces or modifies its contracts to them due to budgetary constraints. Given these uncertainties, listeners are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements contained in this conference call. Additional information concerning these and other risks can be found in the filings with the SEC. During this conference call, there will be references to adjusted revenue and adjusted gross margin, which are non-GAAP financial measures as defined by Regulation G promulgated under the Securities Act of 1933 as amended. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to relevant GAAP financial measures can be found on the company's website at cpiaero.com. Now, I will transfer the call to Douglas McCrosson, CPI Aero's President and Chief Executive Officer.

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

Thank you, Ralph. Good morning, and thank you to all for joining us for our 2014 fourth quarter and year-end results conference call. Before I turn the call over to Vince who will discuss our recent financial results, I would like to start this call by summarizing our achievements for 2014. We ended the year with a funded backlog of $120.6 million, up $10.2 million for the year. We received $92.9 million in new contract awards for both commercial and defense programs. This figure includes several defense contracts, a particularly important achievement during this difficult defense budget environment. Finally, we expanded our commercial business, which generated $36.9 million of revenue in 2014, up 37.6% as compared to 2013 commercial revenue. These achievements set us up well for 2015 and we are reaffirming our guidance that revenue in 2015 will reach an all-time high. I will now hand the call over to Vince Palazzolo, our CFO, to discuss our recent financial results and expectations for 2015. Then I will comment on the current business environment, backlog and contract awards and new growth opportunities going forward. I will then open the call to questions. Vince?

Vincent Palazzolo

Management

Thank you, Doug. Our 2014 financial performance was affected by a one-time non-cash charge of $44.7 million related to revised estimates of a significantly shorter life and lower production quantity for the A-10 Wing Replacement Program. Although we expect this program to end sometime in 2015, we continue to book revenue for the A-10 Wing Replacement Program at zero margin. As shown on Slide 6, for the fourth quarter 2014 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2013, we reported on revenue of $20.1 million compared to $21.3 million. Gross margin was 21.3% compared to 24.8%. Pre-tax income was $2.1 million compared to $3.4 million. Net income was $1.7 million or $0.20 per diluted share compared to $2.4 million or $0.28 per diluted share. Slide 7 shows that our revenue and gross margin for the fourth quarter of 2014 and 2013 what would have been if revenue generated from the A-10 Program were excluded from both reporting periods. So, excluding the A-10 Program, adjusted revenue for the fourth quarter of 2014 would have been 17.5 million as compared to 16.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2013, an improvement of 3.5%. At the same time, adjusted gross margin for the fourth quarter of 2014 would have been 24.5% slightly improved as compared to 24.4% for the fourth quarter of 2013. Moving to Slide 8. For the full year 2014 versus full year 2013, revenue was $39.7 million as compared to $83 million in 2013. Again, 2014 results included one-time non-cash $44.7 million adjustment to revenue related to revised estimates of a significantly shorter life and lower production quantity A-10 Wing Replacement Program. Revenue generated from commercial contracts in 2014 accounted for approximately $36.9 million, up $10 million or 37.6% as compared to $27 million of revenue generated from commercial contracts…

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

Thank you, Vince. During 2014, we received several new long-term contracts both military and commercial programs totaling approximately $93 million. This total included approximately $67 million for defense programs and approximately $25 million of commercial programs. Slide 17 shows the breakdown of our backlog at December 31, 2014. Our total backlog was $403.7 million with approximately $149 million for commercial aerospace contracts. Our funded backlog increased to $120.6 million, which was $10.2 million higher than funded backlog at December 31, 2013. The value of the unfunded backlog was approximately 283 million with 51% related to our long-term commercial aerospace program. Moving to Slide 18, this shows our largest contracts currently in progress including our recently won contracts, which collectively had a potential to generate revenue of $445 million during the remainder of their performance periods. I will provide an update for each of these programs starting with the programs currently in progress, as highlighted on slides 19 and 20. Slide 19 provides 2014 highlights from our defense programs. Of particular note is that near the end of 2014, our outer wing panel kits program for the E-2D Advanced Hawkeye and C-2A Greyhound aircraft was extended through 2019 adding new funded backlog of $63.6 million. We finalized the contract with Sikorsky to manufacture fuel panel assemblies for the BLACK HAWK. Deliveries started in 2014 but 2015 will be the first full year of production. 2014 also saw the first delivery of our most technologically complex product, the pod structure for the DB110 Reconnaissance System produced by UTC Aero Systems. Moving to our commercial programs, 2014 was a great year for our Phenom 300 engine inlet assembly program with Embraer. Last year, we successfully ramped production from two ship sets per month to more than 10 ship sets per month, exceeding our…

Operator

Operator

Yes. Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Mark Jordan with Noble Financial. Please proceed with your questions.

Mark Jordan

Analyst

Good morning, gentlemen.

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

Good morning, Mark.

Mark Jordan

Analyst

First question is on the booking numbers that you give. You said you had government contracts to 67.1, but you also mentioned the E-2D program at 86 million, the F-16 at 53. Was there de-booking relative to the A-10 counted in there? And if so, what was the gross number of incoming awards and what was de-booked and how do we get to that 67.1?

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

The 67.1 is I’ll say the funded amount. We don’t – for example, the F-16 order, we won’t consider that as an award until we get delivery orders for it. It’s not the total value of the contracts won, it’s the amount that was put on purchase order.

Mark Jordan

Analyst

Okay. So the gross amount of awards was exceptionally larger than that, it was just what you have that is funded in coming quarters.

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

Correct.

Mark Jordan

Analyst

Okay.

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

The three programs I believe I’d say were added up to something like $188 million or something like that, the three newest government programs.

Mark Jordan

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. What is the timing of – when should you actually receive the $9 million tax refund?

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

We are hoping to get that back in the third quarter of 2015. Given the size of it, it may be somewhat delayed because it may get reviewed by the IRS, so that would push it into the fourth quarter. But our hope at this point is that will be a third quarter receipt.

Mark Jordan

Analyst

Okay. Could you talk a little bit – obviously there’s sometimes a long gestation period from the time a contract is awarded until revenue starts to flow in volumes, as evidenced by the ramp from the commercial relationships. With the F-16 and the T-38C, when do you expect first revenues and how should they ramp? And how much meaningfully will it fall into 2015 or are they really 2016 from a volume standpoint?

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

The one thing of importance is that each of those programs is going to be – the revenue recognition is different on both. For the T-38 that will be, I’ll say, our normal percentage completion accounting. On the F-16, it will only be as we deliver the product. So I’ll start with the F-16 first. We have a contractual requirement that within a year we will be in a position to supply the air force with product on a 24-hour turnaround time. That said, not all of those 400-some-odd different components we will be supplying will not be available until a year from now. Some will be available as early as this year. So there is some amount of revenue in our guidance that will be for product that we ship to the air force to support the F-16 wing line in calendar year 2015, a small amount. On the T-38 Pacer Classic program, we will begin recording revenue primarily associated with the start-up functions of labor, supply chain management program, program management, engineering, so we will be booking some revenue on that probably starting in the second quarter of this year and maybe ramping up a little further, a little higher in the fourth quarter this year as we begin to make a receipt of some of the purchased items. I would expect the T-38 to ramp up to what I would call a regular run rate in the 12 to 15-month range, maybe middle of 2016 and on to be a regular contributor, a monthly contributor to revenue.

Mark Jordan

Analyst

All right. Two final questions. One, you said that you have a strategy to decrease SG&A and overhead. As you mentioned, you’re relatively lean historically. What’s the strategy there? And secondly, what are your capital expenditure plans for 2015?

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

I’ll let Vince start with the capital expenditure plan.

Vincent Palazzolo

Management

The capital expenditure plan actually is a little bit more aggressive than we’ve had in the past few years. We’ve budgeted historically under $1 million per year for capital expenditures. For this year we’re budgeting in the $1 million to $1.5 million range and closer to the top number.

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

And as far as the SG&A and overhead – Vince, stop me if I say something really dumb here. We’re talking about lowering our rates as a percentage of sales. So the overhead number, the physical overhead number may actually go up but as a percentage of output it’s coming down as a percentage. I think that’s really what we mean to say.

Vincent Palazzolo

Management

That is correct. There are certain cost cutting efficiencies that will take place in this year. Particularly, there was an announcement actually that New York State had made that we were eligible for an Excelsior start-up New York power program. We only started drawing power off of that program in the fourth quarter of 2014. This will be the first year that we have fallen out, so that will save us some money. But Doug is correct, it’s the rate that’s going to improve even if overall costs are flat or slightly higher in absolute dollars.

Mark Jordan

Analyst

So what you’re doing is, is you will be growing SG&A at a lesser rate than you’re growing revenues moving forward?

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

Correct, much less.

Mark Jordan

Analyst

All right. Thank you very much.

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

Thank you, Mark.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Mike Crawford with B. Riley & Company. Please proceed with your questions.

Mike Crawford

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed with your questions.

Thank you. When we talk – why are the commercial revenue expected to decline given that major programs like HondaJet are just starting to ramp up in 2015?

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

A lot of it is based on our revenue recognition. We’re just – we have some inventory particularly on the Honda program, so even though we’re shipping product, we’re not incurring any new, necessarily not a lot of material receipt costs. So in our system, revenue could actually be lower even though product deliveries is a little bit higher for the year. Similarly, on the G650 program, in 2015 we had a step-down pricing with our customer as a result of the multiyear we signed a couple of years ago. The overall price reductions that we negotiated took place over two periods of time and that kicked in starting in '15 that contributes a little bit to that as well.

Mike Crawford

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed with your questions.

Okay. Thanks, Doug. And then with all things considered including new funds and maybe some future claim regarding to A-10 work, do you think it would be better or worse for CPI Aero today if you were just able to stop working on A-10 new winging or if you actually kept it a little busy by continuing to work on A-10 new winging even though that the revenue is being booked at cost?

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

There is no question in my mind that the overall financial performance of CPI would be better the earlier we stop the A-10 program. And it isn’t just the fact that if the government terminated it for convenience, we would be entitled to recoup some of the cash investments we made at the start of the program. What it is also doing is it’s deferring our ability to reassign personnel who are building those assemblies on the floor and where we could be putting them over to Honda and Embraer and some of our commercial programs that are going gangbusters right now. So, we need and I’m trying and maybe with the new Congress and the new budget, we still expect to be out of our program at the end of the current fiscal year, which ends September 30 of this year.

Mike Crawford

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed with your questions.

Okay. Thank you. And then just if you can clarify guidance. Can you say what your expected GAAP tax rate will be in 2015? And also what your expected cash taxes with the exclusive potential 9 million refund?

Vincent Palazzolo

Management

Cash taxes is going to be zero in 2015. We won’t be paying any taxes because of the NOL carry forward.

Mike Crawford

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed with your questions.

Right. And so when you’re providing a net income guidance, what GAAP tax rate are you contemplating on that net income guidance?

Vincent Palazzolo

Management

It’s actually – call it slightly higher than our historic rate. Our historic rate the last few years has been around the 31-ish range, 31.5. While we’re using the NOLs up, it’s probably going to be closer to 33, because there’s a couple of things particular. We did the carry back. There’s a couple of permanent differences that we can’t take in lost years, so it will be just figure 33% for this year, for 2015.

Mike Crawford

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed with your questions.

Okay. So in other words, you’re expecting closer to 11 million or so on income before taxes?

Vincent Palazzolo

Management

Yes.

Mike Crawford

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed with your questions.

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

Thank you, Mike.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. The next question comes from the line of Alex Silverman with Special Situations Fund. Please proceed with your questions.

Alex Silverman

Analyst · Special Situations Fund. Please proceed with your questions.

Good morning, gentlemen.

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

Hi, Alex.

Alex Silverman

Analyst · Special Situations Fund. Please proceed with your questions.

Since your Q or your K is not out yet, can you help us with what your year-end EBITDA was?

Vincent Palazzolo

Management

Sorry, we’re really not supposed to do that but I don’t – that is a non-GAAP measure and we don’t have a reconciliation for that. I know it’s a lawyer-ish answer, but --

Alex Silverman

Analyst · Special Situations Fund. Please proceed with your questions.

No, that’s fair. Okay, guys. Thank you.

Vincent Palazzolo

Management

All right.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. Gentlemen, it appears we have no additional questions at this time. Would you like to make some closing comments?

Douglas J. McCrosson

Management

Yes. Thank you, Ralph. Thank you all for participating in this call. We look forward to speaking with you again in early May when we announce our 2015 first quarter results. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today’s teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and we thank you for your participation.