Bradley Dodson
Analyst · Howard Weil. Please proceed with your question
Thanks Frank. As we look to the balance of the year, our outlook is largely consistent with what we have been saying, absent the fires of course. While we were disappointed with the LNG Canada's decision to delay FID, given our contracts for this project, we have been and will continue to manage the operations and the balance sheet, under a conservative no FID approach. Looking at our expectations for the third quarter, in Canada; while we are continuing to support the recovery and restart efforts of our oilsands clients from the Fort McMurray fires this quarter, we expect most of that surge in recovery occupancy to wind down in the third quarter of 2016. We will continue to benefit from turnaround activity at our Athabasca and Beaver River locations in the third quarter as well. Assuming a Canadian dollar exchange rate at 0.76, we are guiding to revenue of $66 million to $69 million for our Canadian segment, and adjusted EBITDA of $16 million to $18 million for the third quarter of 2016. This is based on 10,000 rentable rooms and we expect lodge occupancies to be between 61% and 63%, with an average room rate of approximately $128 per night in that same Canadian dollars. For the full year in Canada, we are assuming a Canadian dollar exchange rate again of 0.76 to the U.S. dollar, and we are guiding to revenue of $275 million to $280 million, and we expect full year adjusted EBITDA from Canada to be in the range of $66 million to $71 million. This full year guidance assumes 9500 rentable rooms, with lodge occupancy between 62% and 63% and a room rate of approximately $138 a night in Canadian dollars for the full year of 2016. In Australia, we are assuming an exchange rate of 0.75 to the U.S. dollar for the third quarter of 2016. We expect $25 million to $26 million of revenues and adjusted EBITDA of $9 million to $10 million from Australia. This is based on 8750 rentable rooms and village occupancy of 40% to 42%, with average daily rates of $103 to $105 per night in Australian dollars. For the full year of 2016, we are assuming an exchange rate of 0.745 to the U.S. dollar. We expect $102 million to $104 million of revenues and adjusted EBITDA of $39 million to $41 million. This is based on approximately 8700 rentable rooms for the full year, and village occupancy of 43%, with average daily rates of approximately $100 to $101, again that's in Australian dollars per night for the full year. There is currently no near term catalyst to stimulate incremental mining activity or spending in Australia. Until we start to see stabilizing in the economic growth trajectory in Asia, primarily China, that will increase the demand for steel, we don't expect an appreciable increase in results from Australia from existing locations. We continue to pursue a couple of non-mining related projects, that can provide incremental revenues and occupancy, by utilizing existing assets. We still believe in the long term fundamentals, particularly in the low cost Bowen Basin, that are solid, and we will continue to manage the business very carefully, keeping a close eye on margins and capital spending. On a consolidated basis, for the third quarter, we expect revenues to be in the range of $93 million to $99 million, and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $18 million to $21 million. For the full year, we expect revenues to be in the range of $390 million to $400 million, and we are tightening our adjusted EBITDA guidance for the full year to be in the range of $74 million to $82 million. This again reflects the strong performance from Canada in the second quarter. Before we get to questions, I want to underscore that Civeo is well positioned, with improving liquidity, solid service delivery and management stream, to weather a downturn that is running deeper and longer than any of us had envisioned. While we take control of the macroeconomic factors obviously, our team has done a great job of managing the business, reducing costs to match the lower levels of activity, and making sure that we have the service capability to ramp up quickly, like we did in response to the Alberta fires, to handle shorter term customer needs. We still see shorter term demand, both in Canada and Australia, around turnaround and maintenance activity, and we have been very successful in winning this work that has been up for bid. That concludes our prepared comments. We are ready for questions.