Bradley Dodson
Analyst · Howard Weil. Please go ahead
Thank you, Frank. I'll begin with our Canadian segment, and I'll be comparing our sequential performance to our fourth quarter of 2015 compared to the third quarter of 2015. Revenues from our Canadian segment in the fourth quarter were $65.8 million, which is down $5.7 million from the third quarter. Adjusted EBITDA decreased $5.9 million to $13.6 million sequentially. Average daily room rates increased sequentially $5 to a $152 per day in Canadian dollars in the fourth quarter, which reflects the addition of our new Sitka Lodge in British Columbia. Our average occupancy in our Canadian lodges in the fourth quarter was 52% versus 57% in the third quarter. The adjusted EBITDA margin on our Canadian operations declined sequentially by approximately 290 basis points to 21%. We realized additional revenues from the reopening of our Mariana Lake Lodge in the fourth quarter for a contract that extends with the first quarter of 2016 with the potential extension into the next winter drilling season. We also began ramping up operations at our new Sitka Lodge in British Columbia in October, so we expect to see a more meaningful contribution in our first quarter results from that location. We announced C$41 million of new and renewed contracts in the first quarter in the Alberta Oilsands region. This includes a two-year accommodations contract to support the facilitate turnaround of an oil sands customer in the first half of 2016 and 2017. We will reopen our Athabasca Lodge and we’ll use additional rooms at our Beaver River lodge to service this contract. We also won several shorter contracts to support pipeline activity using both existing lodges and some of our mobile assets. We recently extended a catering and services contract to support 290 customer-owned rooms through the first quarter of 2017. We've been providing catering for this customer for more than 10 years. These activities are part of our strategic plan to leverage our services and assets to drive additional revenues and profits. Looking at our expectations for the first quarter and a full-year in Canada, assuming that Canadian dollar exchange rate of 0.71, we are guiding to revenue of $62.5 million to $65.5 million for our Canadian segment, and adjusted EBITDA of $13.5 million to $14.5 million for the first quarter of 2016. This assumes 8,340 rentable rooms for the quarter, and we expect lodge occupancy to be between 65% and 68% with the room rate of approximately $151 per night in Canadian dollars. For the full-year, we are assuming a Canadian dollar exchange rate of 0.72 and we are guiding to revenues of $270 million to $290 million for our Canadian segment, of which, possibly 58% is contracted. For 2016, we expect adjusted EBITDA of $60 million to $67 million. This assumes 8,010 rentable rooms, and lodge occupancy to be between 66% and 70% with a room rate of approximately $137 per night in Canadian dollars. Although, we don't expect new projects to be announced in the Oilsands region this year, we think there will continue to be plants and pipeline maintenance projects around existing infrastructure that we are well positioned to win. While most of the headcount reductions are behind us, we will be relentlessly pursuing operational efficiencies and process improvements to reduce costs, as well as identifying opportunities to leverage our existing infrastructure and our lodge-based service operations. Again as Frank mentioned, CapEx will be focused on maintenance this year, and any growth capital will be anchored by contractual commitment. Now moving to the Australian segment. Revenue declined by $2.5 million versus the third quarter to $26.7 million, which is in line with our guidance and we performed low on cost. Adjusted EBITDA included a $3.6 million FX gain. Excluding that gain, our adjusted EBITDA was $10.1 million, in line with guidance. Average daily room rate for the Australian villages was $93 per night in Australian dollars for the fourth quarter versus $98 per night in the third quarter. Occupancy was down 1 percentage point from the prior quarter of 49%, mainly due to holiday related downtime. Adjusted EBITDA margins continued to be relatively strong in Australia at approximately 38%. Slowing demand for steel-making in China continues to lay on met coal prices, and on the 2015 outlook for our Australian operations. Assuming an exchange rate of 0.71 for the Australian dollar versus U.S. dollar in first quarter of 2016, we expect $24.5 million to $26 million of revenues, and adjusted EBITDA of $10 million to $11 million for our Australian operations. This is based on 8,730 rentable rooms and village occupancy of 44.5% to 47.5% with average daily rate of approximately $98 per night in Australian dollars. For the full-year 2016, assumingly exchange rate of 0.72 for the Australian dollar to the U.S. dollar, we expect $93 million to $98 million of revenues, of which, 57% is contracted. 2016, we expect adjusted EBITDA of $34 million to $37 million for Australia. This is based on 8,820 rentable rooms and village occupancy of 42% to 44%, with an average daily rate of approximately $95 to $96 in Australian dollars. Lastly, now looking briefly at the U.S., the continued weakness in the Bakken, Rockies and Permian basin in our well site business and lower activity for our offshore fabrication business continue to impact our financial results for this region. However we had, and will continue to manage our costs to protect our cash flow. With the U.S. rig count down 13% sequentially in the fourth quarter, our U.S. revenues for the quarter were $4.8 million and adjusted EBITDA was a negative $2 million. We expect these markets to continue to weaken in the first half of 2016. On a consolidated basis for guidance, we expect revenues in the first quarter to be in a range of $90 million to $95 million, and adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $16 million to $19 million. For the full-year of 2016, we expect revenues to be in the range of $385 million to $415 million, and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $72 million to $82 million. Before we go to questions, I'd like to make a few additional observations about our outlook for Canadian growth about our opportunities that maybe in front of us and our company's ability to take those projects on in current environment. The pace of Canadian LNG business has admittedly been slower than we anticipated as the two major proponents pursued final commercial and federal approvals. However each of these projects would require thousands of workers to build liquefaction facilities in gas transportation pipelines. As a result, LNG represents a significant opportunity for Civeo to diversify beyond our oil sands business in Canada. While these projects are moving a little slower than we expected, the size of the opportunity is material and we are well-positioned from a competitive standpoint to capture this business. Our Sitka Lodge was the first project to be awarded to support pre-FID activity for one of the possible LNG developments. We won this work to our land banking strategy and our integrated business model. While we positioned ourselves for B.C. LNG market and continue to pursue work in our core oil sands market, despite the continued deterioration in oil prices, particularly in January, oil sands construction projects that are already in place continue to move ahead and existing assets continue to operate. We continue to see small pockets of demand for turnaround and maintenance activity and this is evidenced by in January of $41 million of new and renewed contracts. In Australia, the slowdown in China's industrial sector has continued impact the global economy. Australia is the nearest and most competitive supplier of met coal to the Asia-Pacific steelmaking industry. Coal prices will remain under pressure this year but the coal producers who are operating today are our cash flow positive and we believe in the long-term - we believe the long-term fundamentals are favorable, particularly in the low cost Bowen Basin where about four-fifths of our Australian revenue is generated. Operationally, our strategic focus for 2016 remains unchanged from 2015: continue to the generate free cash flow by utilizing existing assets and applying disciplined cost and CapEx management; continue to pay down debt; and pursue organic growth opportunities. We have accomplished a lot over the last 18 months to ensure that Civeo is positioned for long-term growth and for the new opportunities that come to market. That completes our prepared comments. Manny, we’re ready for questions.