Brian Ferguson
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Your line is open
Thanks, Kam. Good morning, everyone. I’m pleased to report that the first three months of 2017 marked yet another solid operational quarter for Cenovus. We also mark a turning point for our Company. While 2016 brought heightened commodity price volatility, Cenovus proved its resilience and entered 2017 in a position to take advantage of the significant liquidity and improved cost structures that we've achieved since 2014. In a volatile commodity price environment, economies of scale are important and the acquisition we announced last month approximately doubles the scale of our Company. This is something that I believe will give us a greater competitive edge and it transforms us into a better stronger company with long-term upside potential. The oil sands will continue to be our prime focus. The production ramp up of the latest Foster Creek and Christina Lake expansion phases, as well as the go forward capital efficiencies that we’ve been able to achieve for Christina Lake phase G and for potential future expansions, reinforces the strategic rationale for consolidating our ownership in these top tier oil sands assets. In the first quarter of 2017, Foster Creek production averaged approximately 81,000 barrels per day net, a 33% increase from the first quarter of last year. Our successful execution of our focused well maintenance program and completion and start up of seven new well pads, including the on-time start up of phase G in 2016, reaffirms our teams ability to leverage 15 years of experience operating these assets and apply a manufacturing approach to deliver on our plans. As you will see from our results today, our Christina Lake asset continues its impressive operational performance. Production in the first quarter averaged more than 100,000 barrels per day next to Cenovus. Compared with the first quarter of 2016, Christina Lake production was up 31% with a start up of phase F in the fourth quarter of last year, contributing strong volumes over the first three months of 2017. Non-fuel operating cost of both Foster Creek and Christina Lake were lower in the first quarter compared with the first three months of last year, primarily driven by increased production and reduced work force costs, as well as improved prioritization of maintenance activities. At Foster Creek, non-fuel operating cost averaged $7.06 per barrel, that’s down 26% from the first quarter of 2016. Christina Lake non-fuel operating costs averaged $5.51 per barrel in the first quarter, that’s down slightly from a year ago. Late last year, we announced our plans to resume investment in the Christina Lake phase G expansion. Field construction has resumed and we expect activity to ramp up in the first half of 2017. We continue to anticipate first oil in the second half of 2019. Our conventional oil and natural gas portfolio remains the most flexible component of our capital and continues to generate significant free funds flow to invest in our company wide growth opportunities. In the first quarter, our conventional oil and gas portfolio generated $57 million in free funds flow after the investment we made to resume our tight oil program in Southern Alberta. We have successfully completed planned turnaround at both the Wood River and border refineries. While this reduced our crude utilization rates, higher average market crack spreads, improved operating margins over the year. The refining and marketing segment generated $53 million in operating margin in the first quarter of 2017 compared with an operating margin short fall of $23 million for the first three months last year. As I mentioned earlier, the first quarter of 2017 marks a turning point for our Company as we look ahead to the successful completion and integration of our recently announced acquisition. Let me say once again how excited I'm about this transaction. We are transforming our Company and what I believe is a pivotal time in the industry and the beginning of a technological renaissance. Following the completion of this acquisition, we will have full exposure to our future oil sands growth opportunities and significant upside potential from emerging technologies that are already underway. We will also gain an established extensive position in the Deep Basin where we see substantial opportunity for short cycle, high internal rate of return growth potential. We will nearly double our existing production capacity with a clear line of sight to meaningful growth, resulting from our large inventory or regulatory approved oil sands projects and a decade of identified drilling opportunities in the Deep Basin. The greater size and scale of Cenovus significantly enhances our cash generation capacity over a range of commodity prices. Assuming the successful closing of the acquisition and including the anticipated impact of planned asset sale, Cenovus expects to have capacity to generate 2018 free funds flow of approximately $500 million, assuming WTI price of U.S. $50 barrel and NYMEX gas prices of $3 per million BTU. With this kind of capacity, we’ll have the scale and flexibility necessary to have a far greater competitive edge. Since the agreement was announced in March 29th, Cenovus has made good progress in executing its acquisition plan. To reduce debt associated with the transaction and the strength in our balance sheet, we begun marketing our legacy Pelican Lake and Suffield Conventional oil and natural gas assets. We're very pleased with the response that we’ve seen today and our data rooms have been very busy. There is strong interest in high quality Western Canadian property right now and we received a number of inbound calls on both our existing legacy conventional assets and components of the newly acquired Deep Basin assets. We are evaluating all options available to us and we’ll take a portfolio approach as we look ahead to further streamline our asset base, preserve our financial resilience and deleverage our balance sheet. In addition, we successfully completed a $3 billion bought deal equity financing and closed the U.S. $2.9 billion debt offering of senior notes. I'm also pleased to announce that we now have commitments from our lending syndicate to extend the tranches of our existing credit facility out to 2020 and 2021, and increased the total capacity to $4.5 billion. We expect this credit facility transaction to close later this week. To further support our financial resilience while the asset sale bridge loan remains outstanding, we plan to hedge a greater percentage of our forecast liquids and natural gas volumes, allowing us to increase certainty on a large portion of our expect cash outflows. For the remainder of this year, we have 87,500 barrels per day of crude oil hedges in place at an average minimum price of U.S. $49.20 per barrel and 50,000 barrels per day hedged at an average minimum price of U.S. $49.74 per barrel for the first half of 2018. The solid financing plan that we have in place, coupled with the post acquisition liquidity of approximately $4.5 billion, affords us the flexibility to execute on our planned divestitures. I'm extremely pleased with the milestones that we’ve achieved to-date. We're doing what we said we do. And as we move forward with our plan to complete this acquisition, preserving our financial resilience and remaining committed to investment grade credit rating, remains top of mind. I'm confident and excited about our new company and I look forward to sharing more with you following the close of this transaction. With that, the Cenovus leadership team and I are ready to take your questions.