Bill Boor
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open
Thanks, Mark. Welcome everyone and thank you for joining us to review our results for the second quarter. The people of Cavco continue to adjust to constantly changing dynamics with our clear objective of operating all of our businesses to the extent we can do so safely. It's been humbling to be part of and to see the commitment, it hasn't been easy in any regard. I really want to begin today's call by acknowledging, our people. We need to keep driving forward to serve our customers. Our folks are making smart decisions in light of the circumstances. I'm very proud of our performance. In late March. I don't believe anybody could have foreseen where we are today. I expect everyone on the call that has been watching demand indicators and understands that the general homebuilding industry, we're seeing extraordinary buyer activity. But we've been talking for a long time about the fundamental drivers such as years of under-building to household formations enabled by very low-interest rates, the pent-up demand is being proven despite the pandemic. Looking at recent MH industry shipment data could be misinterpreted as a demand indicator with the seasonally adjusted annual rate below last year's shipments over the shipments reflect what the industry has been able to supply. We have a backlog that has grown $164 million since last quarter and stands at approximately 21 weeks to 22 weeks, based on our current production rates. We believe every producer is experiencing backlogs that are on - at on a healthy level. Backlog increases from a combination of very high order rates and continuing production challenges due to labor and supply issues. To provide some perspective, even if we are producing at the same rate as last year, orders have been so strong that we would still have 19-week to 20-week backlog. We know that we need to produce more, however, the growth in our backlog has been primarily the result of extraordinarily high order rates. This quarter home order rates were nearly 65% higher than a year ago. Turning to the cost side, it's been widely reported that lumber prices increased dramatically since hitting lows this past April. Moving to extreme high as by the end of September. As an example, the Southern Yellow Pine indicator price rose approximately 180% in that period. The lumber prices has since come off those highs. The magnitude of these changes have resulted in the need to quickly adjust pricing on our homes. Gross margins may continue to be squeezed in the near-term as those price increase has worked through the backlog. Our proactive approach in addressing pricing should allow us to maintain gross margins over time. Production labor challenges continued through the second quarter. Absenteeism has affected our productivity and while there has been some improvement hiring still remains limited. To address these issues, our plants are making adjustments to hiring practices and wage rates as well as implementing other programs to attract, retain, and develop production employees. In manufacturing, our focus continues to be taking action to increase productivity. In our retail operations, we've continued to perform very well. What we're seeing in our own retail stores is a level of traffic that is a typical seasonal pattern with some slowing going into the fall. The traffic remained strong and still higher than last year's levels. Conversion rates, the percent of traffic opportunities converted into sales remained significantly higher than a year ago. In financial services, our lending has been relatively stable. Interest rates for mortgages - mortgages and home-only loans are at historic lows making financing much more affordable for most homebuyers. As previously discussed, the home-only lending environment has been increasingly competitive since early in the pandemic. We're still pursuing a longer-term strategy of increasing our home-only originations. The pace of that strategy in the near-term is affected by our measured underwriting standards and an aggressive low rate competitive environment. Our insurance operation is doing a great job with what they control, new policy sales, and renewals. During the quarter, we experienced an unusually high number of weather events, none of which were catastrophic but cumulatively they represented a high claims cost. The United States experienced a record number of named storm landfills this year 11. 4 of those directly affected Texas. Normally were affected by a name storm only about once every 2 years. I'll remind people that for comparison this quarter a year ago claims costs were very low due to unusually favorable weather. Overall, we generated a significant amount of cash from operations since the beginning of the fiscal year. Paul and Mark are going to provide specifics in a few minutes. As we've said in the past, we're continually evaluating capital priorities in light of our growing cash balance. When COVID hit I think it was understandable that we adopted a wait and see approach regarding cash. Two quarters later Cavco has demonstrated our ability to remain profitable and generate significant cash from operations, despite the disruption. There's no doubt that uncertainty remains high regarding interest rates, consumer demand, the general economy, and other factors that impact MH demand. However, our Board of Directors has determined that it makes sense to authorize a new $100 million stock buyback program. In light of those uncertainties, we are not putting a specific timeline in place. However, this is an important tool we now have along with other opportunities to deploy capital for us to manage our cash reserves at appropriate levels. It's very important to make clear that our decision to put this buyback authorization in place does not change our view about investment in our businesses for organic growth or an acquisition. We're comfortable that the buyback does not impede other opportunities. Again it was a good quarter in light of the challenges of the day, with all of our operations team flexible and focusing on the fundamentals. We know we have a lot of work ahead to meet the demand of buyers who are in need of quality, affordable manufactured homes. As noted in our recent 8-K, our CFO, Dan Urness has decided to go on leave to deal with the Wells Notice he received from the SEC. For those who have not heard from him previously, I want to introduce Paul Bigbee, our Chief Accounting Officer. Paul is doing an outstanding job stepping up. He and Mark Fusler will be reviewing the financial results. With that, I'll turn it over to Paul.