Dean Jernigan
Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets
Okay. Thanks, Tim. Good morning to all. I will admit, I had hoped for a more positive trading day on my last conference call. So, I guess, I can start with what is the market missing, from my perspective. I did pull out my crystal ball for my last final crystal ball day and I polished it up some. And I want to talk about the wonderful earnings that CubeSmart has announced, as well as the rest of the sector, over this past week. And, of course, the trading has not reflected the incredible positive results that we've all encountered. So obviously, the market sees -- doesn't see something in the future that I think that the companies see as very real, right around the corner. So first, you heard me talk over the years about the different arrows in our quiver. We've always had the occupancy arrow, and we have played that. That is the only arrow in our quiver that we have played, and quite frankly, the other 3 public companies as well. We still have the opportunity to reduce substantially, if not eliminate almost completely, all of our free rent, all of our promotions. Those are very large numbers. I listened to the other calls and I hear you talking about this, but make sure you factor that into your models, because those are very large numbers. With diminished promotions, come higher rents. And on top of higher rents, the consolidation that we're starting to see now, that we've been talking about now for a couple of years, is real and is going to continue. So as the 4 public companies get larger and we all take our platforms that we have and the mechanics we have within those -- built in those platform to reduce promotions, maintain our occupancies, reduce our promotions, and push our higher rents, I think those are sustainable revenue gains over the next 2 years that the market is missing right now. Substantial revenue gain opportunities over the next 2 years using those other arrows. The other -- there's a couple of other things. One is that how is this different from what we saw with the multifamily sector over the last couple of years? Well, there's 1 huge difference, and that is no new construction of storage facilities. Write that down and underline it, because that is fact. The crystal ball is very clear on this. We have a dearth, shortage, deficiency, whatever you want to call it, of new construction of storage facilities. And my crystal ball is very clear that we will not have any kind of headwind for another 20 -- at least another 24 months from new construction. So big difference between storage and multifamily there. No storage developer goes into a zoning office or pulls up their zoning atlas online -- no storage developer can find zoning that's really appropriate for self storage, like the multifamily guys do when they go into a new market. We have to go in and get the entitlements ourselves with our special use permits, and that, more often, will not take upwards of a year. So those 2 elements alone speak to continued growth on the revenue line. You see how -- where everyone has their margins now. The margins are outstanding in this sector. And that resulting number, dropping through to FFO, will continue to be good for CubeSmart and its other 3 public company peers. I want to discuss just another subject and that's about cap rates. With the ramp up in acquisitions, everyone's focused on what are you paying? Are you overpaying? Where they're going in cap rates? And I want to tell you that going in cap rates are normally irrelevant. Unless it is a stabilized asset, the going in cap rate is really irrelevant. And I cannot really think of a circumstance over the years, where I have supported my friend, Ron Havner, in some comments publicly like this. But when he said on his call, these cap rates are between 0 and 8, I mean, that's what he was speaking to, the irrelevance of it. The question -- you're asking the wrong question. You should be asking what will be the unlevered yield to the company at stabilization? And maybe you want to ask, how long will it take you to get to stabilization? That's how we buy. That's what's important to us. So if the cap rate's 0, we're not actually buying a property we think has 0 value. So talk about how long it takes to get to stabilization and what will the yield be on stabilization. So those are some things that I think the market is missing right now in our sector. You're going to see continued outstanding performance in this sector. And if it is reversing to the mean, so be it in our sector. You can look back at the website and look back to 1994, at almost any period of time you want to look at, be it 19 years, 10 years, last 5 years, last 3 years, last 1 year, self storage has been at the top in virtually every quarter, every year throughout those years, as we have performed against other real estate property types. So the mean is outstanding for self storage. But I'm going to tell you, it's too early to be talking about the reversion to the mean with the self storage product because of the items that I've just talked about, because I think the readers and people interested in investing in our sector are missing. So I'll leave our sector and talk about our company just for a second. I had a question asked the other day, how will things be at CubeSmart after my departure at the end of the year, and my answer was, "Even better". And I say that because CubeSmart has a management team that I will be leaving, that is ready to take this company to the next level and beyond. Chris Marr has been a CEO in the making for at least 15 years. He's performed every role in an exceptional, outstanding manner that I've asked him to perform, really, all the way back to since 1994, when Chris joined our company. He's had direct responsibility for finance and accounting as CFO, asset management as Chief Investment Officer, and for the last 2 years, as Chief Operating Officer, operations, which is huge. All the great results -- and look back over the last 2 years, great operating results we have -- we have enjoyed, Chris and his team gets all that credit. So he knows how to operate. He has been an outstanding CFO and outstanding CIO. He's had indirect responsibility in that he's had department heads of HR, Marketing report to him for many years, and at CubeSmart, for all these years, the General Counsel, our Chief Legal Officer, Jeff Foster, has reported directly to Chris. He's eminently qualified to take the range of this company on January 1. I will remain a long-term shareholder of the company. I look forward to working in a consulting manner with Chris on a continued basis going forward. And the stage is set for my exit, and quite frankly, I could not be more pleased with CubeSmart with where it stands today and what the -- optimistic the future is going forward, after 12/31 for me. So thank you for your support. I look forward to seeing many of you next week out in San Francisco. And with that, operator, we will start with the questions.