Earnings Labs

CSG Systems International, Inc. (CSGS)

Q1 2025 Earnings Call· Sun, May 11, 2025

$80.37

-0.02%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Abby, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to CSG's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. Thank you. And I would now like to turn the conference over to John Rea, Senior Vice President of Finance. You may begin.

John Rea

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and thanks to everyone for joining us. Like last quarter, we will be working from a slide deck, which can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website. Please take a moment to locate these slides. Today's discussion will contain a number of forward-looking statements. These include, but are not limited to, statements regarding our projected financial results, our ability to meet our clients' needs through our products, services and performance and our ability to successfully integrate and manage acquired businesses in order to achieve their expected strategic, operating, and financial goals. While these risks reflect our best current judgment, they are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially. Please note that these forward-looking statements reflect our opinions only as of the date of this call, and we undertake no obligation to revise or publicly release any revision to these forward-looking statements in light of new or future events. In addition to factors noted during this call, a more comprehensive discussion of our risk factors can be found in today's press release as well as our most recently filed 10-K and 10-Q, which are all available in the Investor Relations section of our website. Also, we will discuss certain financial information that is not prepared in accordance with GAAP. We believe that these non-GAAP financial measures, when reviewed in conjunction with our GAAP financial measures, provide investors with greater transparency to the information used by our management team in our financial and operational decision-making. For more information regarding our use of non-GAAP financial measures, we refer you to today's earnings release and non-GAAP reconciliation tables on our website, which will also be furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K. With me today on the phone are Brian Shepherd, Chief Executive Officer; and Hai Tran, Chief Financial Officer. With that, I'd like to now turn the call over to Brian.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Thanks, John. Hi, everyone. Welcome to the call as we begin on Slide 4. Q1 was an excellent start to 2025. We delivered 19.0% non-GAAP operating margin in the quarter, a 240 basis point improvement compared to 16.6% in Q1 2024. Based on the confidence we have from our 90% plus revenue visibility, our success selling higher gross margin SaaS deals and our consistent ability to unlock greater operating efficiencies, we are pleased to raise our 2025 full-year profitability and non-GAAP EPS targets that Hai will cover in more detail. We diversified CSG's revenue even more with 33% of Q1 revenue coming from big faster-growing industry verticals outside of cable and telecom, led by our data-driven CX monetization and payment solutions. This is a new quarterly record for CSG, up from 30% in the first quarter last year. Our top two customers, Charter and Comcast, now represent 37% of total Q1 revenue, down from 49% of revenue in 2017. The great news is that this significant improvement in CSG's revenue concentration is not because the revenue we earn from our top two customers is declining. In fact, we've grown the annual revenue at Charter and Comcast by approximately $76 million from 2017 to 2024, representing a 2.6% compound annual growth rate. And yet the revenue concentration from our big two customers has significantly improved because the other parts of our business are growing revenue even faster, a trend that we believe will continue in the years ahead. We reported our best first quarter non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow performance since 2018, generating $7 million of non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow in Q1, a huge improvement over the negative $34 million free cash outflow in Q1 2024. And as promised, we rewarded shareholders with even more dividends and more buybacks. We…

Hai Tran

Analyst

Thanks, Brian. Let's walk through our Q1 2025 financial results, and then I'll wrap up with some key conclusions. Starting on Slide 10, we generated $299 million of revenue versus the $295 million we generated last year and represents the highest first quarter revenue in our company's history. From a phasing perspective, our Q1 results came in slightly better than we had expected and benefited from a couple of million dollars of revenue we had anticipated coming in later in the year. Looking ahead, we now expect to grow revenue in 2025 between 2% and 3%. Moving on, our Q1 2025 non-GAAP operating income was $51 million or a non-GAAP adjusted operating margin of 19% as compared to $45 million or 16.6% in the prior year period. Similarly, our non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA was $64 million for the first quarter or 23.7% of revenue, excluding transaction fees, as compared to $58 million or 21.5% in the prior year period. We are excited to see non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA improve over 200 basis points in Q1 of 2025, and we believe we have a clear path to exceed 25% non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margins in the coming years. Our margin expansion is being driven by our increasing success in selling sticky SaaS revenue solutions, combined with operating leverage enhancing initiatives that include improved procurement, increased productivity and process reengineering. Specifically, we were able to grow Q1 non-GAAP adjusted operating income and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA at 15% and 11%, respectively, against the prior year period. We expect to maintain our higher profitability metrics as we have taken significant cost-efficiency actions to optimize our capacity and better align CSG's resources to areas of our business that will deliver faster growth. I'll share more on our revised 2025 guidance targets momentarily. Lastly, our Q1 2025 non-GAAP EPS…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And we will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. And our first question comes from the line of Dan Bergstrom with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Dan Bergstrom

Analyst

Hey, thanks for taking my questions. Any thoughts you could share as far as what you're hearing from customers around the end of the quarter? Anything to note around those last couple of weeks? We've heard different views across software so far as to whether it was a normal close or there were some elevated uncertainty. And then maybe could you talk to the tone of business through the first month of the new quarter here?

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Yes, sure. Thanks, Dan. Appreciate the question. I wouldn't say there's anything unique in Q1 or the first month of this quarter. I think just the global macroeconomic uncertainty in general that's been around for a couple of quarters, we see that continuing. And so, what we see in most industry verticals are some belt tightening. And therefore, any solution that can actually improve experience can help drive cross-sell or upsell on their half or cut their operating costs and has a short ROI payback, you're seeing those deals still move through even with some of the, I'd just say, the heightened concern that most customers and most companies are operating with today. I think the second thing that we see is if there's a strategic longer-term transformation horizon that can really move the business and put it in a better competitive position, we still see those bigger deals coming to the market. We still see deals getting signed as we've announced a bunch of those. But I would say people are thoughtful and they're measuring 2x or 3x before they move forward with those bigger transformations. But we see them. It's just they're being thoughtful. Hai, anything else you'd add to that?

Operator

Operator

Mr. Tran's line did disconnect.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

All right. Thanks.

Dan Bergstrom

Analyst

Will just ask a follow-up then on the margin side, really impressive here in the first quarter, and I appreciate the added color in the script around guidance. The presentation pointed to constantly optimizing and reinventing how you do business around the expense side. Maybe, Brian, could you take a step back and maybe expand on those concepts a bit and then talk to your philosophy around constantly optimizing costs?

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Yes. No, I love that question. You're going to hear us just talk non-stop for every quarter to come about operating discipline. And one of the things I'm most proud of is the way the CSG teams are taking a hard look at everything we do. Anything that doesn't add value to a customer and doesn't add value to our business and our shareholders, then stop doing it or reinvent it. That's everything from AI, that's looking at just good old-fashioned operational improvement. We talk about these quarter turns the wrench. I think you're seeing CSG now starts to do half turns the wrench. And I think we're just getting started on the ability to continue to expand our EBITDA and our op margin. But it's not just the efficiency, it's also taking -- using innovation. You see as our margins go up, you actually see R&D growing at a much faster rate, because we believe as a mission-critical technology company, innovation has to be the foundation both to ensure the existing platforms and the future platforms we build will be there for our customers today, five years from now and 10 years from now. And so, I think this investment in innovation and squeezing less productive spend and redirecting it to a more value-added use, I think that's something I'm pretty pleased that's moved -- come a long way in the last two years. And then part of it has -- part of the margin expansion has nothing to do with operational efficiency. It has to do with our revenue mix shift that Hai talks a lot about. We're just -- as we sell more SaaS, higher gross margin deals, as we diversify into other faster growing industry verticals, that's also just giving us operating leverage across the business. You're seeing that at the gross margin line as well as at the operating margin and EBITDA line and the free cash flow. The part that I am most excited about is what I think we could do with free cash flow. And I think we're finally now starting to see the improved profitability really convert into free cash flow. And we've got a real focus on becoming more asset-light and generating double-digit returns through 2026. Stay tuned for what happens after 2026, but we don't want that music to stop.

Dan Bergstrom

Analyst

Thank you.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Thanks, Dan.

Operator

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Greg Burns with Sidoti & Company. Your line is open.

Greg Burns

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Your line is open.

Good evening. Can you just talk about the revenue trends at Charter and Comcast? It looks like Charter -- sorry, Comcast was flat year-over-year, but down sequentially. Maybe that's just a seasonality thing and Charter was down a little bit year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter. So maybe if we could just talk about what's driving that and the general demand dynamics within the cable market?

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Your line is open.

Sure. Greg, I hope you're doing well. I think there's a couple of things. I think if you look at what we've tended to see with our big two is you look at that trend that we shared in the script that we've seen a compounded annual growth rate of about 2.6% going back from 2017 to now. Over the medium- to longer-term, we still see and believe that you could kind of see annual growth in that range. There's price escalators built into the contracts. There's new solutions and new land mass we could sell and help them with. And so, you will get some quarterly fluctuation. As we've talked a lot about, we really don't -- our revenue is driven very little by the number of broadband adds or total adds they have. So therefore, that headwind, I would say, that they face isn't really impacting as much. The one comp around Q1 I would call out that you asked about was the reminder, we won a really exciting new deal with Comcast in a new area of billing outside the core triple play. And I think we gave insights last year that that drove about $10 million of onetime revenue that will make the comp comparison on growth from 2024 to 2025 look a little questionable. The second thing is that fantastic six year renewal we did with Comcast. The only thing we did give was no price increase in 2025. And so therefore, we won't get the benefit this year of a price increase at Comcast, but it's part of that fantastic six year deal we did. So, I think a couple of those things are what's driving a little bit of the quarter-over-quarter comp that you asked about.

Greg Burns

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Your line is open.

All right. Great. Thank you.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Your line is open.

Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Matthew Harrigan with Benchmark. Your line is open.

Matthew Harrigan

Analyst · Benchmark. Your line is open.

Thank you. And congratulations on the guidance. I'm curious on the M&A side as you look to be more active and maybe some larger assets get dislodged. I know every circumstance is a little unique and sometimes idiosyncratic. But what are you really looking for? Is it IP? Is it channels? Is it incremental market share right out of the blocks? And generally, what sort of disparity are you seeing in the parent seller versus buyer multiples when you layer in synergies? I know some of it's on the revenue side and it's realized over time, and it's tricky. But just kind of general thoughts more specifically on your ideal M&A candidate. I know probably different companies have different possibilities. And then secondly, also on the thing one and thing two, otherwise known as Charter and Comcast, you've seen some divergence in results. I mean, Charter, I think, has done a better job on bundling and pricing sometimes even though there's a lot of commonalities on the product, okay. But it feels like broadband is just becoming more of a unified category between mobile and fixed line and the walls are breaking down. And it feels like there's even more maybe of an imperative for these companies to have unified billing on a competitive vantage point. So those are my two quick questions, I guess, fairly broad. Thank you.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Benchmark. Your line is open.

Thanks so much, Matt. Appreciate it. On the M&A side, there's a couple of great aspects we can dig into. First, we feel zero pressure to do any deal. This concept of operating discipline is going to just drive us through. And yet, we do see kind of the market of M&A as active as it's ever been. We see good deals with pricing coming down that could make for very value-creating opportunities. And yet, you're going to see us stay very disciplined with no pressure to do a deal just to do a deal. Maybe to give a little more color on what we're looking at is we really see in this world where across industry vertical, one of the things that really drives sustained growth and sustained profit expansion and cash generation is the ability to provide an end-to-end integrated domain-specific solution that includes things like product catalog, order management, monetization, digital CX, integrated customer engagement. And so, we love that sticky integrated aspect of it. And so, if we have an opportunity, what we want to spend two-third of our M&A capital buying companies better than us. SaaS technologies and verticals that focus where we do, which is simplified complex customer engagement and monetization. When we find assets like that with good gross margins, good double-digit organic growth, good profitability that could actually accelerate what we're doing and have high attach rate with cross-sell, we would love the opportunity to buy companies like that inside our core markets or increasingly in some of these other industry verticals. And we think that could be a fantastic opportunity that can extend the good performance we've been having the last couple of years. But on the one-third side, we also see scale and portfolio expansion deals that could be highly…

Matthew Harrigan

Analyst · Benchmark. Your line is open.

And since you clearly have a purview even outside the U.S., if that's the right word on telecom, I would think that even if you look at Europe or Africa or India, you're seeing more of an imperative on companies to kind of break down the walls on the separate billing for broadband and mobile. I know you can't be too specific on Charter and Comcast, but it just feels like it's -- that's ever more of an imperative. And how tricky is it? I mean, how fast could you do that? I mean, based on what you're doing in Africa, for instance, I would think you could probably do that, implement that pretty fast because you certainly have the experience internationally.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Benchmark. Your line is open.

I mean, obviously, what we've seen in markets outside the U.S., where I think there was much more price pressure and intense competition across cable and wireless, that drove a level of maybe reinventing a more radical reinvention of business process. It doesn't start with the tech stack. If you want to radically reduce your cost, have an easier digital experience. And so, what we saw in other markets is them simplifying their business process, driving a converged experience exactly like you're talking about, that therefore, enabled a lower-cost tech stack to actually be part of the winning strategy for a lot of these operators. That's been a core tenet in both consumer wireless and enterprise wireless that's caused a big part of our growth in that part of the market. I think that pressure now has clearly finally come to the U.S. market. We see that with T-Mobile and Verizon and AT&T getting the lion's share of the broadband adds. You see that in the U.S. market with Comcast and Charter being the fastest-growing wireless by a landslide. And so therefore, I think being more intentional about simplifying business process and product offers, simplifying the pricing and lowering the cost to serve, we think is fundamental to winning big in the U.S. market or in the global markets, and we're trying to do our part. So obviously, we have our view that a converged experience on broadband and wireless could drive significant consumer benefits and significant cost saving advantage. When some of our customers may decide to take advantage of that, that's clearly their decision. We're just trying to bring them ideas and solutions.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Benchmark. Your line is open.

Great. Thanks Brian.

Matthew Harrigan

Analyst · Benchmark. Your line is open.

Thanks, Matt.

Operator

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Michael Berg with Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Michael Berg

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Hi, thanks for taking my question. I just wanted to dig in a little bit differently on the telco angle. There look to some weakness in that vertical there. Is that strictly a function of the Charter degradation here in Q1? And maybe you can just dig into both the dynamics of the weakness in Charter and telco and the relationship there. Thanks.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Yes. Hai, have you joined? Do you want to talk anything about the telco side?

Hai Tran

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Yes. No, I mean it isn't specific to Charter. It is, generally speaking, the part and parcel of the natural cycles that we're seeing across the board. As Brian said, the global telco business has undergone a multi-year transformation and continues to undergo a multi-year transformation. It's highly competitive. And we are battling for our fair share of that business, and we're winning a number of opportunities. But what we are seeing and one of the reasons we pointed to kind of that 2% to 3% growth rate is the normal anxiety given the uncertainty in the marketplace that does slow down some of the decision-making, but nothing abnormal with regards to what we're seeing in that global telco business, except maybe an extension of the decision-making.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Yes. Maybe the thing I would add on top of that as well, Michael, to your good question is you're also seeing it as part of the strategic focus that we believe could enable a big transformation in global telecom, but over a little longer time horizon, which is with the big wins we've announced with our SaaS AWS platform, Ascendant in telecom, six or seven fantastic wins in telecom. We're being intentional about selling more of a less services heavy, much more SaaS out-of-the-box, lower-cost solution with our SaaS billing and quote and order CPQ and our digital CX, because we think the way operators globally really win is going to be taking those radical costs out and adopting newer technologies. Therefore, we are purposely shifting and pivoting some to a more -- less services heavy, and you're seeing a little bit of a SaaS revenue play out in the numbers. We haven't seen any slowdown in telecom. In fact, the opposite. We've announced more wins than ever, but you will also see a little bit of a shift from an on-prem implementation services accounting to more of a SaaS that will play out, I think, over the next three to five years.

Michael Berg

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Got it. Super helpful color. Thank you.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Thanks Michael.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your next question comes from Nehal Chokshi with Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Nehal Chokshi

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Thank you. A couple of questions here. First question is that in the prepared commentary towards the end, you commented on a strong pipeline. Can you give a little bit of characterization as far as what that means numerically? I mean, like does that mean better growth than at least what you're putting up revenue-wise? Or just what does strong pipeline mean?

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Hai, are you on or did we lose you? It sounds like we lost Hai. I can take that, Nehal, and I appreciate you joining and appreciate the question. When we look at it, we track -- like most companies, we track overall size of the pipeline on a weighted and unweighted basis, both annual contract value and TCV. We track the progression through our six stages of our sales pipeline. We look at where deals are falling out, where we're able to accelerate. We also look at the win rate and the loss rate once we get to Stage 5 and 6 around it. And overall, I would tell you the overall size of the pipeline is a little bigger than it was this time last year. The shape is healthy. We still see good win rates and progressions through. So, when Hai gives color like that, we see the overall size and shape in a very good shape, and we should be able to announce good wins in the coming quarters as we just execute that. So, from an overall, we don't break out the specifics on that, but that's what Hai was referring to. And we like what we're seeing kind of across the board.

Nehal Chokshi

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

And is that shape skewed towards the Ascendant platform?

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

We are seeing -- we have seen an increase, especially in global telecom, in media and one of the exciting things is actually in financial services, where we announced a really exciting deal with Australia on our AWS SaaS Ascendant platform. We also see it in quote and order, our CPQ side of the business. We see a strong pipeline on the -- in the payments business. And we also like what we're seeing. There are small, mid and large telecom deals on consumer wireless and enterprise in our mid and late stages of our sales pipeline. So, it's kind of across the board on that.

Nehal Chokshi

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Okay. And then the other question I had was on cash from operations, definitely much stronger than what we expected. It looks like stronger than consensus. Is it fair to say that it was also stronger than what you guys are expecting?

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

I think as Hai said, we came in, in general, Q1 due to some timing and just also strong performance, came in slightly ahead of our expectations. So, we were super pleased with that. But as we've been talking, we gave -- we tend to focus a lot on midpoint in the ranges that we give. So, with -- going from something like $113 last year to a midpoint of $130 million showed strong double-digits. So, we expect to have a very strong double-digit free cash flow year. And yes, we still got off to a slightly better start in Q1, but -- so that was good to see.

John Rea

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

And Nehal, it's John. Maybe just from a phasing perspective, because it was such a beat versus kind of estimates. We still expect Q1 to be the low point of the year. So, this was not the case where we had significant pull forward from other quarters. We still expect it to be the low point of the year and to grow free cash flow from here as we progress through the next three quarters.

Nehal Chokshi

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

That's great. Very helpful. Thank you. Congratulations.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Thanks Nehal.

Operator

Operator

And there are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the conference back over to Mr. Brian Shepherd for closing remarks.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Thanks, everyone, for attending. As you heard, we are proud of the Q1 start, but we're not satisfied at all. We think Team CSG is just getting started on this operating discipline, constantly putting up results that we're proud of. And we think we can do a lot better, and we're holding ourselves accountable to ensure we do that in the coming quarters. So, thanks for joining, and I look forward to talking to you this time next quarter.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call, and we thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.