Earnings Labs

CSG Systems International, Inc. (CSGS)

Q4 2023 Earnings Call· Wed, Feb 7, 2024

$80.37

-0.02%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

+15.06%

1 Week

+14.15%

1 Month

+14.86%

vs S&P

+11.27%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by. My name is Greg, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to CSG’s Q4 and Full Year 2023 Earnings Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to John Rea, Treasurer and Head of Investor Relations. John, please go ahead.

John Rea

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and thanks to everyone for joining us. Like last quarter, we will be working from a slide deck, which can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website. Please take a moment to locate these slides. Today’s discussion will contain a number of forward-looking statements. These include, but are not limited to, statements regarding our projected financial results, our ability to meet our clients’ needs through our products, services and performance and our ability to successfully integrate and manage acquired businesses in order to achieve their expected strategic operating and financial goals. While these risks reflect our best current judgment, they are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially. Please note that these forward-looking statements reflect our opinions only as of the date of this call, and we undertake no obligation to revise or publicly release any revision to these forward-looking statements in light of new or future events. In addition to factors noted during this call, a more comprehensive discussion of our risk factors can be found in today’s press release as well as our most recently filed 10-K and 10-Q, which are all available in the Investor Relations section of our website. Also, we will discuss certain financial information that is not prepared in accordance with GAAP. We believe that these non-GAAP financial measures, when reviewed in conjunction with our GAAP financial measures, provide investors with greater transparency to the information used by our management team in our financial and operational decision-making. For more information regarding our use of non-GAAP financial measures, we refer you to today’s earnings release and non-GAAP reconciliation tables on our website, which will also be furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K. With me today on the phone are Brian Shepherd, Chief Executive Officer; and Hai Tran, Chief Financial Officer. With that, I’d like to now turn the call over to Brian.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Thanks, John. Hi, everyone. We appreciate you joining the call as we begin on Slide 4. Team CSG finished a record-setting 2023 with a strong fourth quarter. We posted 7.3% year-over-year revenue growth in 2023, all coming from organic growth. Our performance this year was the best annual result in nearly two decades. Our full year non-GAAP adjusted operating margin was 17.2%, which is a significant improvement over the 16.6% we reported in 2022 proving our ability and our commitment to consistently expand CSG’s operating leverage with disciplined execution. Another highlight of the year was our strong 2023 free cash flow performance, especially during Q4. For the year, we generated $104 million in free cash flow, including over $74 million in Q4, our best quarterly free cash flow performance on record. At the end of the day, our faster revenue growth is fueled by strong ongoing market demand for CSG’s industry-leading SaaS products and good sales performance across all areas of our business. CSG’s sales pipeline is large and healthy as we win and wow big new customers in a wide variety of faster growth industry verticals. Another important topic I want to touch on is our belief that diverse companies, who care about sustainability, perform better and consistently deliver better results. At CSG, we believe that good people and high-integrity companies can and should finish first. In December, we announced our official carbon commitment as we strive to be carbon neutral in both Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions by 2035. In 2023, we issued our inaugural Impact Report, which showcases our initiatives around ESG, diversity, inclusion and global community impact. In our increased disclosures especially with our annual SASB and TCFD reports are moving the needle from an ESG rating agency perspective. In April, we received our second…

Hai Tran

Analyst

Thanks, Brian. Let’s walk through our 2023 financial results and then I’ll wrap it up with some key conclusions. Starting on Slide 11, we generated $1.169 billion of revenue, which represents 7.3% year-over-year growth. For the year, the increase in revenue was primarily attributed to the continued growth of CSG’s revenue management solutions, including the conversions of customer accounts onto CSG solutions, strong year-over-year growth in our digital customer experience solutions, and increased payments volumes. As we mentioned on our Q1 earnings call, some of the revenue uplift we recognized in Q1 was related to the timing of certain license oriented deals moving from Q4 2022 into Q1 of 2023 and the growth we got in 2023 from converting certain subscribers off of a competitor at Charter. When excluding both of these items, our year-over-year revenue growth rate would have been towards the top end of our long-term organic revenue growth range of 2% to 6%. Our 2023 non-GAAP operating income was $186 million or non-GAAP adjusted operating margin of 17.2% as compared to $169 million or 16.6% in the prior year. The growth in non-GAAP operating income and non-GAAP adjusted operating income margin percentage for the full year period was driven by higher revenue growth and improved profitability. Moving on, our non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA was $243 million for 2023 or 22.4% of revenue excluding transaction fees, as compared to $226 million or 22.3% in the prior year. Lastly, our 2023 non-GAAP EPS was $3.69, a 2.2% year-over-year increase as compared to $3.61 in the prior year. The increase in non-GAAP EPS is mainly due to higher operating income and to a lesser degree share repurchases, partially offset by higher interest rate expense and adverse foreign currency movements. Turning to Slide 12, I’ll go through the balance sheet, our cash…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Okay. It looks like our first question comes from the line of Maggie Nolan with William Blair. Maggie, please go ahead.

Maggie Nolan

Analyst

Hi, thank you. So you highlighted and you have in the past as well, the significant vertical diversification that you’ve been able to achieve over the last five years or so. What is your confidence in the ability to further diversify on an organic basis as you think about your medium-term base case goals? Or are acquisitions a really important part of further diversification from here?

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Yes. Hi Maggie. Hope you’re doing well. I love the question. We are highly confident that we can continue to diversify the revenue into new faster-growing verticals organically. I mean we continue to report the strong double-digit revenue growth, the strong sales bookings, the good consistent new logo wins coming from both our AI-driven digital CX business and our North American payments business, and we see that continuing with everything that we see in the business. The win that we announced with a large financial service provider, one of the leaders in APAC, which is the first for our cloud-based Ascendon platform to be the digital monetization and the order price quote solution for that bank is also a game changer and will also contribute nicely to the organic growth. And you should see that 28% continue to grow even as the other parts of our business still grow nicely. They’ll just grow faster in these other verticals. And to your point, we do think that there will continue to be disciplined, attractive, accretive acquisitions that we can do both in the Digital CX and the payment space in the coming quarters and years that should layer on additional growth on top of the strong organic growth we’re seeing.

Maggie Nolan

Analyst

That’s really helpful. Thank you. And then on the margin range that you gave for the year, it’s operating margin range you gave for the year, can you kind of talk through the puts and takes of what would get the company to the low end versus the high end, particularly in the context of some of the factors that you, Hai mentioned in your remarks about some of the nonrecurring revenue in the first quarter and maybe think about what it would look like on a quarterly basis as you frame your comments, if you can.

Hai Tran

Analyst

Yes. Sure, Maggie. One, I think we, the guidance we gave, hopefully it shows our confidence in continuing that progress towards growing both our revenue as well as expanding our margins over time. We’re committed to delivering on those numbers. I think that when we think, though, about the low versus high end [ph] a lot of that has to do with mix. It’s something I’ve spoken to quite a bit in the past. It’s the mix of revenue is going to drive effectively that margin profile. But in terms of our commitment to creating operating leverage, we’ve got a pretty disciplined and intentional plan to ensure that our expenses are going to grow at a rate that is less than our revenue growth.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Maybe the only thing I would add, you mentioned a little bit about quarterly spread. You will see, as you heard in Hai’s remarks, Maggie, you’ll see a more traditional CSG like spread, 48% to 49% in the first half and then a little stronger, a little bit above 51%, 52% in the second half. Therefore, with the mix, with the higher revenue growth, you might see a little more profitability even in Q3 and Q4 is what you sometimes have seen with a more historical spread, but we expect strong profitability for all four quarters.

Maggie Nolan

Analyst

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, Maggie. And our next question comes from Matthew Harrigan with Benchmark. Matthew, please go ahead.

Matthew Harrigan

Analyst · Benchmark. Matthew, please go ahead.

Thank you. Thanks for the encouraging outlook and information on – all strategic initiatives. But sort of, I guess, mundane, on Q1, you talked about the difficult comparisons, licensing internationally and how that really has the anomaly of being very front-loaded on last year’s revenues and margin. Can you more precisely quantify how we should – how much that might dampen the year-over-year Q1 comparison? Thanks.

Hai Tran

Analyst · Benchmark. Matthew, please go ahead.

Yes, Matt, thanks for the question. So last year, as we’ve highlighted throughout the year, we did benefit from a couple of licensing deals that are non-recurring in nature in Q1, and hence, we had a very strong Q1 last year, but its – they were roughly about $10 million of revenue. And if you think about the margin impact, if we excluded the impact of those licenses in Q1 last year, our effective margin would have been in the mid 16%, around 16.5% or so.

Matthew Harrigan

Analyst · Benchmark. Matthew, please go ahead.

Okay, that’s very helpful. Thank you.

Hai Tran

Analyst · Benchmark. Matthew, please go ahead.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Great. Thanks, Matt. Our next question comes from the line of Greg Burns with Sidoti & Company. Greg, please go ahead.

Greg Burns

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Greg, please go ahead.

Good afternoon. So when you think about fixed wireless penetration, I know you said it’s not really that big of a concern right now. But I think the story, at least as far as I understood with the cable operators was that even though there was core cutting, broadband is growing and net subs are growing, so that’s good for CSG. So I’m just trying to understand why you don’t consider maybe a competitive threat to their broadband businesses as maybe a risk? And is there – are there areas where you can diversify within the North American cable market beyond your traditional revenue management solutions to continue to grow revenue even if subscribers are not growing anymore?

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Greg, please go ahead.

Yes. Now, thanks, Greg. Hope you’re doing well. Let me give maybe just a couple of data points on why we might believe that there is a fairly significant overreaction to some of the news in the market. Data point number one, even as there has been some headwinds with some of our customers on the broadband growth throughout 2023, we saw very good growth from overall revenue. At the corporate level, we even saw our big two grow 5% year-over-year, and some of those headwinds were there in the first part and throughout 2023, would be point one. And point two is to remember that there is a tiered pricing in this. So as we talked, we serve 64 million subscribers at Comcast and Charter, almost 80 million across North American broadband. Those incremental subs at the top of that are priced at a much lower price point, which is why you didn’t – some people ask why didn’t we see even more pickup when we converted 14 million subscribers at Charter. Therefore, even if there is some impact on the customer, it tends to be a lot smaller than might be modeled or anticipated by some of those players. Third, we’ve done a nice job of just trying to relentlessly bring greater value to all of our big North American cable customers. We’re mission-critical. We picked up a lot of land mass, and there is a sizable footprint in all of these customers, even if they continue to face some headwinds in the coming quarters, we can win and grow in other areas just like we’ve done pretty consistently over the last several years. And then fourth, we tend to just believe we’ve seen these players, we’ve served them well for three plus decades. We tend not to underestimate the competitive response of industry leaders like Comcast, Charter and others. And maybe the fifth point is one of our fastest-growing areas is in global telecom. So we also serve multiple players in North America and around the world. So it doesn’t mean that there is not some of those headwinds in storm clouds. But like you saw us in 2023, we grew through it extremely well at 7.3% growth and the midpoint of our guidance even in 2024 is 4.3%. So we don’t take it for granted. We go out and earn it every day.

Greg Burns

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Greg, please go ahead.

All right. Great. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Great.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Operator

Thanks, Greg. And our next question comes from the line of George Notter with Jefferies. George, please go ahead.

George Notter

Analyst · Jefferies. George, please go ahead.

Hi. Thanks a lot guys. I guess I was just curious about the progress you guys are making with new products, I was thinking a bit about the Bill Explainer product. Obviously, AI is going into lots of products and across the marketplace. What can you tell us about anything you’re seeing that’s new or different there in the last three months? And then, again, progress with Bill Explainer. Thanks.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Jefferies. George, please go ahead.

Yes. Now, thanks so much for the question. Appreciate you joining. Yes, I mean, we try – we have mission-critical enterprise software, not only we got to keep the lights on and just be flawless in our execution. We’ve got to constantly invest in innovation. And so we have made a meaningful investment in AI, the most important areas in our Digital CX business, where we announced and launched the Bill Explainer.AI. We see good traction both in cable, global telco. We’ve already sold and won a couple of early deals, small, but still, it shows the power of how you can actually bring value relatively quickly. This is a solution that can be deployed in a matter of weeks. And so we also see applicability in other industry verticals, more subscription economies even outside of cable and telecom. So we like the building sales pipeline. I would say we’re still in the early days in terms of where that is but we are super excited about what’s going on in that Digital CX space. We’re also leveraging AI in our payments business. Fraud is one of the biggest areas that most merchants focus on, it’s one of the things we invest a lot in to really reduce the fraud and risk profile, speed on-boarding of new merchants and help. So we’re doing a lot around data and some new solutions with nano sites and micro sites to help merchants make it easier to collect the payments that they have. And then if you come all the way back to kind of our core monetization BSS part of the business, working with our telecom media cable customers to leverage the data that is in their possession to be able to make it easier to predict what customers want and when they want upgrade, downgrade service, cross-sell, deal with promotion roll-off, reduce calls to the call center like the Bill Explainer, great opportunities to just expand the value that we bring. So love what we’re seeing on the innovation. We spend a little over 14% of our revenue on R&D. So innovation and co-creating with customers and testing that in the market, is a big part of our business model.

George Notter

Analyst · Jefferies. George, please go ahead.

Great, thank you.

Hai Tran

Analyst · Jefferies. George, please go ahead.

Thanks, George.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Jefferies. George, please go ahead.

Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Shlomo Rosenbaum with Stifel. Shlomo, please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Stifel. Shlomo, please go ahead.

Hi, this is Adam [ph] on for Shlomo. Could you provide an update on what you’re seeing on the M&A front? I mean you are seeing assets with valuations coming more in line with what you consider attractive now and just general commentary there. Thanks.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Stifel. Shlomo, please go ahead.

Yes. No, thanks so much Adam [ph] hope you are well. We are seeing the market improve on that. There is always going to be some degree of separation, I think, between buyers and sellers. But in general, yes, much more in line than what we saw in the back half of 2022, definitely much better than what we saw in 2023. And we think that there are deals that can be done. What we’ve kind of found, though, is you just – with the company our size, you’ve got to constantly be working deal flow. We work with founders, we work with partners, we work with maybe larger companies that would be looking at spinouts of smaller assets, maybe it’s not core to them. So we kind of run the gamut from small, mid and even larger deal size constantly looking at how do we expand our portfolio capability with recurring revenue around CX, payments, and monetization scale for telecom, cable or financial services. So we tend to be pretty laser-focused on how we can actually pay an attractive price on a pre-synergy basis and do even better in terms of cost synergies and revenue post acquisition. And so we like what we’re seeing. Stay tuned on what we might be announcing in coming quarters.

Operator

Operator

Alright, thank you Adam. [Operator Instructions] And it looks like our next question comes from the line of Nehal Chokshi with Northland Capital Markets. Nehal please go ahead.

Nehal Chokshi

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Nehal please go ahead.

Yes, great. Thank you. Thank you for the question. Nice results, especially on the free cash flow. Is that by any chance impacting your calendar 2024 free cash flow guidance?

Hai Tran

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Nehal please go ahead.

No. I mean as you saw in our guidance for 2024 remains very strong, right? We increased our guidance with the midpoint of $115 million. So it’s a nice, sequential progress. And the team has done particularly well, as I highlighted in my prepared remarks, we just got after just similar to how we got after profitability and we’ll continue to go after opportunities to improve our performance over time.

Nehal Chokshi

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Nehal please go ahead.

Okay, great. And my other quick question here is that outside of potential M&A, do you see it as potentially possible to hit the $1.5 billion goal organically?

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Nehal please go ahead.

I love the question. I would love to have that be the case, that’s not what we’ve talked about, though. The reality is, I think at this stage, you’ve seen this year alone in 2023, CSG put up just shy of $80 million of organic incremental revenue, most that have tracked our stock over a longer period of time. That’s not what they would have seen from maybe CSG a few years ago. We love the organic growth. We’re committed to it. It’s built into our executive compensation. So – our money, where our mouth is on this thing, and we are going to consistently grow this thing mid-single digit or better. That said, would we, from a planning standpoint, plan to get to $1.5 billion organic? No. That’s where we would do smart disciplined acquisitions layering on.

Nehal Chokshi

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Nehal please go ahead.

Great. Thank you.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets. Nehal please go ahead.

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Great. Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Brett Knoblauch with Cantor Fitzgerald. Brett, please go ahead.

Brett Knoblauch

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Brett, please go ahead.

Perfect. Thanks for taking my question. Congrats on the quarter, guys. Maybe to start, what are you expecting from a growth standpoint, from your two largest customers for this year? They grew very nicely in 2023. Is that something that you expect to continue or what is based on your current guide for the full year from them?

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Brett, please go ahead.

Yes. That’s – we don’t break out segments of our business other than to say, we’re committed to the 2% to 6%. We’re on record of saying across the full year, we would expect in a good performance to be mid-point or higher. In terms of that, at least 4% or better. Mid-point is at 4.3%. We expect CX and payments to be strong double-digit growth. We don’t break out beyond that. That said, do we think that there could be growth in all of our customers? Yes, that’s what we plan. That’s where we drive the teams. But then we’ll react. And that’s the portfolio fact of our business and why we talk so much also about constant industry diversification and revenue diversification as one of the exciting parts to our story. But do we think there could be growth in our big two? We think there could be. Let’s see how it plays out.

Brett Knoblauch

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Brett, please go ahead.

Perfect. And that’s a good segue. My second question on breaking out segments. With Charter and Comcast continuously becoming a smaller percentage of the total and payments continuing to grow double digits, is there any plan for you guys to maybe give us a bit more color on the higher growth segments?

Hai Tran

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Brett, please go ahead.

Yes. I mean I think it’s something that we evaluate kind of constantly. I think it is at some point in the future, when those businesses get to a certain scale, it makes sense for us to explore that opportunity to really break them out as separate segments. We’re not quite there yet, but it is something that we constantly evaluate.

Brett Knoblauch

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Brett, please go ahead.

Perfect. Thanks. Really appreciate it.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Brett, please go ahead.

Thanks, Brett.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Michael Berg with Wells Fargo. Michael, please go ahead.

Michael Berg

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Michael, please go ahead.

Hi there, thanks for taking my question. I just wanted to go back to the subscriber question one more time. Looking at my numbers and assuming my percentages and math are correct, it looks like the broadband cable segment declined 4% year-over-year after about flat 1% in Q3 and then Comcast specifically was flat in Q3 and slightly down in Q4. I guess given what you said earlier on the call and script, what can we think about as driving the outcomes there? Thank you.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Michael, please go ahead.

Yes. I think there’s a couple of things. Let’s just check the data points. If you look at the combined two revenue from our big two, it grew about 5% year-over-year. A majority of that would have come from some of the subscriber conversions that we did. So you neutralize that out, you would have seen, like you said, Comcast kind of flattish, give or take, Charter up a little bit. And so that’d be a combination of the additional services we would do, some of the impacts we saw that are already building into some of the subscriber counts. So I think the main thing that we’re kind of highlighting is, A, there’s additional headroom to grow and win more land mass in these customers, B, even if they continue to face some headwinds, it doesn’t have an outsized impact on CSG and we’ve been able to grow through that nicely. And what we’re focused on is, how do we help them perform better and respond to some of those challenges they may be facing. They’ve got great homes passed. They’ve got great offers. And we think with our digital CX, our payments, and our monetization, there’s a lot we could do to help them with some of the challenges, and we’ll see how they respond to some of their competitive dynamics in the market. Any other clarification on that, that would be helpful.

Hai Tran

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Michael, please go ahead.

I think the only thing I’d highlight is what you said, Brian. If you look at quarter-to-quarter, there’s always going to be some fluctuations because we do provide some ancillary services to both Comcast and Charter, and that’s what’s going to drive the fluctuations that you’re seeing.

Operator

Operator

All right, thank you for the question. And our final question today comes from the line of Matt Harrigan with Benchmark. Matt, please go ahead.

Matthew Harrigan

Analyst

Thank you. Europe hoping to have a particularly good prism on global economic activity, not the consumer, and obviously corporate planning and that’s probably only enhanced by AI. What are you seeing, especially in Europe, but also in the U.S. right now with all the geopolitical uncertainty, how it’s affecting the consumer? And with AI, do you see that your sensitivity to economic conditions is moderated or is it about the same or do you have any thoughts just on the broad genre there. Thank you.

Hai Tran

Analyst

Yes. I mean, I’ll ask Brian to comment a little bit about his thoughts on the AI side. But in terms of the broad economic trends that we’re seeing, I think that – it’s gone back and forth, right. I think that there was obviously some concerns or some anxiety around a recession on the horizon that has come and it’s gone and it keeps coming back in cycles. It hasn’t really slowed down our opportunities yet. We still see a very strong pipeline building, in fact, a very robust pipeline that is building for us. And those opportunities will, I think, continue to play itself out through the year. With that said, however, given some of the dynamics within – on the global economy, one of the things we do see as a trend is the need and the hyper focus on CX. This is a consistent message across many of our customer base, regardless of the industry verticals that everybody’s focused on, how do we really differentiate ourselves from our competition by focusing on that customer experience and engaging partners like ourselves to help them think through those dynamics is something that is a priority for many of the organizations we work with.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Yes. Maybe the only thing I would add to that, Matt, is I think most companies saw some nervousness throughout 2023. I haven’t seen that get worse. I haven’t necessarily seen that get better. I think companies are just looking at, is there a softer landing? Is there a harder landing? Do things go bump in the global political economic situation? So I think companies that we see are kind of preparing for both sides. What we keep hearing over and over again. What’s most important one? Can you bring us solutions to help us drive revenue growth faster? Can you help us serve our customers around what Hai talked about, that digital CX in a lower cost way. And if we’re going to make an investment in our business, it better ring the cash register either on revenue or cost savings and efficiency in the near-term in one, two, three, four quarters. And that’s one of the things that we’ve been pleased about with our sales pipeline and the solutions we have. As we talked before, so far, we’re staying above the cut line, because we’re either able to help them on revenue, improve customer experience or take costs out of their business. And as long as we keep doing that, we think that’s fueling a lot of this accelerated revenue growth. I’m not sure we have the best crystal ball on your question, but that’s kind of what we’re seeing.

Matthew Harrigan

Analyst

Great. Thanks, Brian. Thanks, Hai.

Operator

Operator

All right, thanks, Matt. And thank you for all that had questions today. I would now like to turn the call back over to Brian Shepherd for closing remarks. Brian, the floor is yours.

Brian Shepherd

Analyst

Thanks for joining, everyone. We’re excited about the record setting results in the rear view mirror, but 2023 is over. Now, this team is laser focused. We got to deliver against midpoint to upper end of the guidance we just put out. We fully expect to do that, but we got work to do and this team is already one month into the year. We got to get after it. So thanks for joining. We’re going to continue the momentum and the commitment of doing business the right way at CSG. Thank you all.

Operator

Operator

Thanks, Brian. And ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today’s call. Thank you for joining and you may now disconnect.