Luiz Carvalho
Analyst · UBS
Luis, if I may also make a kind of a broad question. Last week, you had -- I think, last Friday, you had a meeting with Mines and Energy Minister, Bento, in Rio. And lots of, I’d say, the company businesses are facing somehow significant regulatory discussions in May fronts, right? There’s a discussion about the natural gas, and of course, as the last question about Gaspetro and also the discussion between the A&P and ARSESP regarding the distribution/transport pipeline, for example, in São Paulo. Recently, we had this provisional measure signed by the federal government, talking about the fuel distribution business. So, if you can basically share a bit of light in terms of what are the main discussions and what are the main concerns the group has in terms of each of the businesses from a regulatory perspective and where you’re working in order to try to make that -- not for the Company, specifically, but basically for the sector last impact, if I may? The second question, you recently signed an agreement to buy a company -- a fuel distribution company in Paraguay. You already have assets in Argentina. So, just trying to get a bit more sense in terms of the potential path in terms of internalization of the -- internationalization of the Company, if you see other geographies that might be of interest of the company as Moove you already have assets outside of, I would say, Latin America. And if I may, a last one here. Despite of the leverage of the company that you just announced close to 2.8 times when we assess the recent IPOs, both Compass and Raízen, the initial numbers that you presented publicly are way above what the market is pricing. So, would that make sense to try to look to buybacks at some point and as the reference that we see in Cosan listed is way below what you guys thought in terms of value for both IPOs? Thank you.
Luis Henrique Guimarães: Thank you, Luiz. Thank you for the questions. Let’s take in the order you mentioned. So of course, we work in markets, both in the energy and logistics that have strong regulatory frameworks. And this is not a privilege of Brazil. I think it’s a global phenomenon markets that are so important for the day to day of the population and strategic in terms of the impact on the society and on the ability to the country to have lower costs and to serve well the consumer. You guys know my opinion about these two measures from last conversations we have. So, it’s not new for you. We believe that these measures are not very relevant in terms of the objectives they have in term of cost reduction or a reduction in terms of the level of competition on the industries because these businesses are already very competitive. If you look at the number of retail sides, you look at the number of distribution companies or you look at the number of production gas companies or you look at the number of mills, the challenge of Brazil is creating infrastructure of high volume in all the businesses. We are talking about fuels, we’re talking about gas, we talk about -- so we need to create pipelines. We need to create more rail service. We need to create more harbor access. We need to create higher volumes in terms of everything, but this is what’s going to drive costs down. And the only way to do that is to have regulatory certainty and judicial guarantees, right? So, nobody can invest billions of reals in a pipeline being fuels, being gas, so that if you don’t know that you’re going to be able to exploit it and have sufficient returns or the legislation will be stable, sufficient for you to understand. So, our whole advocacy is on that level. We have no issues with competition. We’re very respectful to good competitors and competitors that push us forward in terms of ability for us to be better with customers, lower cost, et cetera. What we don’t accept and we fight all the time is about two things. One is opportunistics that are trying to get a free ride on investments that companies that are putting money on the ground are doing. And second is about tax evasion, right? So, as long as all these measures are connected to strong measures to reduce tax evasion and to avoid free ride, we will be very supportive. And the discussions we are having with the ministry and all the governments around these two topics, is around making sure that whatever is done is looking from an angle that the people that would not fulfill them. And this is where we are concerned on both, on the direct sales of ethanol and the other measures. In terms of the brand side of the measures or on the ability for sites to have other brands, in our view, and it’s very explicit on the MP and very explicit with the announcement, the government and MME did on Friday night, at almost midnight Friday, clarifying that contracts are to be followed. Contracts are to be agreed between private parties. And this is just another model that could be used by companies that we want to use, right? So we have two models in Brazil today: a model where a retailer has a contract with a brand, and he uses that brand on the canopy. And for that, he has exclusivity contract to use their products. It’s very traditional on any license business or franchise business. So, if you go to McDonald’s, you’re going to have McDonald sandwich. If you go to VW workshop, you’re going to have a VW car and new VW car being sold. You’re not going to have a Fiat; you’re not going to have a Renault. You not have a Mortadella sandwich on a McDonald’s outlet. And this is the same that happened today. You have a second model which is the retailer brand. So, you can have your own retail site. You have your own brand. And you buy from whoever you want, and you just want to identify the product that you are reselling on that side. And you can change that more often as you wish. So, what the MP has created a third model, in case the license company will allow the licensee to sell a different product than theirs, he could do it, which today is not allowed. A&P would find retail outlet that would have a brand from a third party and will not sell 100% that part. So, there is no obligation. There is no mandate. It’s a private relationship. So, if someone wants to do that, it’s okay. Just to be very straightforward, and I think Mussa has made it very clear on the Raízen call, under the Shell Canopy and the Shell brand license, we only have Shell products because this is the way we believe is the value for the consumer. We differentiate with better fuels, with digital solutions and other service requirements that attract more customers that have been improved by the way Raízen has been gaining market share since its inception 10 years ago. The same is happening in Argentina and the same will happen in Paraguay. So, it’s not a matter of when, it’s a matter that we will stick to our model that we believe is the most successful, and by the way, is the one used in 100% of the markets in the world, right? So, our only plea there, Luiz, is about equality of competition, isonomy of competition. Brazil and the regulators and the government needs to understand that -- the legislators need to understand that without that certainty, investment will not come. And we desperately need investments in all the areas of infrastructure, energy, et cetera. So, we will continue to fight against that. We will continue to be very vocal about that. We’ll continue to take the issue to the legal [ph] more equipped because it’s around R$24 billion that the government is losing. And we are doing a lot of reforms, reducing cost of the states and other measures that some of them don’t get close to R$ 24 billion per month -- per year, sorry. So, we need to take that serious, and this is what we believe. So, no free ride and no tax evasions, the only things we have. The rest, we love competition. We will continue to compete. We’ll continue to be trying to be ahead. We love good guys that will push our teams further because this is what makes market better. Moving to your second question regarding Paraguay and the portfolio, I think we have said in a couple of years now that we are looking for good opportunities outside Brazil, and Paraguay is a good market. It’s a small market, but profitable with good structure where the Shell brand has been out for several years now and has a very strong recognition. And we believe that by the JV we did with the best retailer in Paraguay and a very solid family business with people that are very competent that we have been discussing for a long time, we will be able to do good inroads on that market, benefiting from the infrastructure of Argentina because the trading and all the market comes from the same logistic route. And as you asked for the future, we will continue to look for opportunities in other markets, not necessarily on Raízen only, but as you know, Moove is our most international market -- most national company, sorry. And we will continue to look for opportunity there. I think it’s good for us to have a balanced portfolio. Of course, Brazil is always going to be our lead market, but having other market is important to differentiate from other competitors that we have and be able to have different cycles of results and ability to invest. Regarding your third question, we will always going to look for. When we believe that the market is discounting our share, we will look for that as one of the ways to invest on. And we have done that a lot over the last few years. But we will continue on our journey to have the companies underneath Cosan open each one -- or each time. And Thiago has asked the timings for Moove and Compass. When the time comes, Thiago, sorry to not be precise, it will come. But we are very happy with the partners we have. As you know, CVC is our partner in Moove, and we have Atmos as our partner in Compass and already treat and manage this company as open companies and listed company anyhow from the point of view of governance, Board, et cetera. So, they will be prepared to do that when the timing is correct.