Benoit Fouilland
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thank you, Eric, and hello everyone. I am also very pleased with our continued strong profitable growth. I am particularly happy with our growing profitability and strong free cash flow generation, which both remain unique differentiators in our space. As usual, I will walk you through the financials in detail and provide our guidance for the first quarter and fiscal 2016. Afterwards we will take your questions. Q4 revenue increased 55% or 46% at constant currency to EUR362 million, growing 21% sequentially. Fiscal 2015 revenue grew 60% or 50% at constant currency to EUR1.2 billion. Revenue ex-TAC is a key metric we use to measure our business performance. Q4 revenue ex-TAC grew 51% or 43% at constant currency to EUR146 million. And revenue ex-TAC margin was at 40.3%, similar to prior quarters. Fiscal 2015 revenue ex-TAC increased 59% or 49% at constant currency to EUR482 million. And revenue ex-TAC margin was at 40.4% remaining well within our long-term range of 39% to 41%. Compared to our guidance, changes in foreign exchange rates had a EUR1.6 million positive impact on reported revenue ex-TAC in Q4, partly driven by a stronger dollar. Compared with prior year periods, Forex continued to represent a tailwind to reported revenue ex-TAC growth of 9 percentage point in Q4 and 10 percentage points in the full year. Moving to profitability, Q4 adjusted EBITDA grew 53% or 49% at constant currency to EUR49 million. This increase was primarily driven by our strong revenue ex-TAC performance. Nearly half of the over achievement in revenue ex-TAC flowed through to adjusted EBITDA. We incurred slightly higher than anticipated expenses, primarily as a result of negative Forex and variable costs. Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin was 13.5% of revenues, consistent with Q4 2014. Fiscal 2015 adjusted EBITDA grew 64% or 59% at constant currency to over EUR130 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 20 basis points to 10.9% of revenue, despite continued investments throughout the year. Excluding our investments in search, which includes the acquisition of DataPop, 2015 adjusted EBITDA margin was 12.1% of revenue, an improvement of 140 basis points compared with 10.7% in 2014. We’re pleased with our growing profitability that remains well in line with our long-term operating model. In Q4, other cost of revenue, comprised of hosting and data costs, were EUR16 million, driven by increased capacity and redundancy across our data centers. On a non-IFRS basis, other cost of revenue were EUR8 million. In fiscal 2015, other cost of revenue came at EUR29 million on a non-IFRS basis, representing 2.4% or revenue. In 2016, we expect to grow other cost of revenues on a non-GAAP basis closer to 3% of revenue, as we plan to increase our investments in data, as well as in hosting capacity. Looking now at our operating expenses, in Q4, operating expenses were EUR99 million or EUR89 million on a non-IFRS basis. We continued to scale the organization to support our growth. In 2015, OpEx came in at EUR356 million or 322 million on a non-IFRS basis, representing 27% of revenues, down 40 basis points compared with 2014. Excluding our investments in search, non-IFRS OpEx were at 25.7% of revenue in 2015, down 170 basis points compared with 2014. Headcounts-related expenses represented over 75% of operating expenses, both in Q4 and in the fiscal year. We had ambitious recruiting plans in 2015. We added over 540 net new employees in 2015 and closed the year with more than 1,840 employees, an increase of 42% compared with December 2014. Looking at Q4 operating expenses by function on a non-IFRS basis, R&D expenses came in at EUR19 million, largely driven by a 60% increase in headcount to approximately 400 employees. Sales and operations expenses were EUR50 million, also largely driven by a 35% increase in headcount to over 1,120 employees. Quota-carrying headcount, which include both sales and account strategists, grew 47% to close to 530 employees. Approximately 60% of this growth was in midmarket. G&A expenses came in at EUR19 million, while headcount increased 47% to 318 employees. On a full year 2015 view, also on a non-IFRS basis R&D expenses were EUR65 million, or 5.4% of revenue, up from 5.1% of revenue in 2014. Excluding our investments in search, R&D represented 4.8% of revenue. Sales and operation expenses came in at EUR191 million. Sales and operation expenses decreased 30 basis points to 16% of revenue, despite our significant investments, in particular in the midmarket. Excluding our investments in search, sales and operation expenses were at 15.4% of revenue, down 90 basis points from 16.3% in 2014. And G&A expenses were EUR67 million, decreasing 50 basis points to 5.6% of revenue. In 2016, we plan to continue to invest in our growth priorities, although at a slightly slower pace than in 2015. We expect those investments to be mostly in hiring, in particular in R&D and sales and operations. While we expect to invest in new talent across the board, we also plan to deliver continued operating leverage in G&A and sales and operations. In particular, we expect to generate productivity gain in our sales and operation organizations for large clients and midmarket in North America and EMEA, while continuing to invest heavily in our midmarket organization in Asia-Pacific. Moving now to our financial income. Q4 financial income was EUR0.6 million compared with a EUIR4.7 million loss for the nine months to September. In fiscal 2015, our EUR4.1 million financial loss was driven by a EUR5.4 million forex loss, primarily the result of the negative impact on our intragroup positions of the Brazilian real’s significant fall against the euro in 2015. Q4 net income increased 101% to EUR35 million. As a result of recognized deferred tax assets in our US and other subsidiaries, we had a positive provision for income taxes in the quarter. Q4 net income was also impacted by the reversal of a 2 million acquisition-related deferred price consideration charge. Fiscal 2015 net income increased 60% to EUR57 million. Our effective tax rate was 13% in 2015, largely driven by the recognition of deferred tax assets in Q4. Moving now to our cash flow generation, Q4 cash flow from operating activities increased 53% to EUR60 million, primarily driven by strong adjusted EBITDA generation and a seasonal positive change in working capital. 2015 cash flow from operating activity grew 41% to EUR124 million, representing 95% of the full year adjusted EBITDA. Now to our capital expenditures. Q4 CapEx was EUR18 million, primarily made of data center equipments. 2015 was an exceptional year for capital expenditures, when CapEx reached EUR67 million, driven by data center equipment for increased capacity and redundancy, as well as leasehold improvements in new facilities globally. CapEx represented 5.6% of revenue compared with 4.7% in 2014, and was below the 6% guidance we had provided for 2015. We expect CapEx to be back to approximately 5% of revenue in 2016. Moving now to our free cash flow, Q4 free cash flow grew 45% to EUR43 million, representing 88% of adjusted EBITDA. Free cash flow for 2015 increased 8% to over EUR57 million, or 44% of adjusted EBITDA, despite a very material increase in CapEx. I am very pleased with our high free cash flow generation, which continues to demonstrate the robustness and scalability of our financial model, quite a unique feature in our space. Finally, total cash and cash equivalents were EUR325 million at the end of December, up EUR35 million compared with December 31, 2014. This increase is primarily the result of our EUR57 million free cash flow generation and 6 million positive cash flow from financing activities. These were partly offset by the cash consideration paid for the acquisition of DataPop, as well as a 5 million negative impact of forex changes in the year. I will now wrap up with our guidance. The following forward-looking statements reflect our expectation as of today, February 10, 2016. As from January 1, 2016, Criteo began reporting under US securities laws as a US domestic registrant and will file its Annual Report for 2015 on Form 10-K. As a US domestic registrant, we are now required to present our results in US dollars and in accordance with US GAAP. As a result, we are now providing our guidance in US dollars. We believe our new financial reporting in US dollars and US GAAP will make it easier for US investors to read our results in comparison to other US companies in our industry. We expect 2016 will be another year of growth, investment and operating leverage for Criteo. As outlined earlier, we plan to invest in R&D and hosting as well as in our midmarket sales & operations, in particular in Asia-Pacific. In parallel, we expect to generate continued leverage in sales and operation, especially through productivity gain in our large client organization in most established markets, and the continued scaling and ramping of our midmarket organization. We also expect to deliver incremental leverage in G&A. In view of our change in reporting currency and as a result of the company tripling the scale of its business since going public, we are taking a new approach to our annual guidance. Going forward, we will provide new metrics for our annual guidance, a projected annual growth range at constant currency for revenue ex-TAC and an adjusted EBITDA margin improvement outlook for the year. We previously provided absolute ranges in our annual guidance for revenue ex-TAC and adjusted EBITDA. As a result of our larger scale, the ranges we will provide for our revenue ex-TAC growth will translate into broader dollar ranges than previously provided. We believe this new approach will establish a more stable guidance framework for investors. Now that we report in US dollars, we believe that providing estimated growth at constant currency will make it easier for investors to focus on our operating performance against prior periods. We also believe this new guidance approach will help investors better assess our operating performance against our mid to long-term outlook for our business. On a quarterly basis, we will continue to provide a dollar range for both revenue ex-TAC and adjusted EBITDA. We expect Q1 2016 revenue ex-TAC to be between $153 million and $158 million, or between EUR139 million and EUR144 million. At the midpoint of the range, this would imply 36% growth at constant currency compared with Q1 2015. We expect changes in foreign currency rates to represent a headwind of approximately 4.5 percentage points to our reported growth in Q1 2016. And we expect Q1 2016 adjusted EBITDA to be between $36 million and $41 million, or between EUR33 million and EUR37 million. For fiscal 2016, we expect revenue ex-TAC growth to be between 30% to 34% at constant currency and we expect our fiscal year 2016 adjusted EBITDA margin as a percentage of revenue to improve between 60 basis points and 100 basis points compared to fiscal year 2015, directionally in line with our long-term operating model. As a percentage of revenue ex-TAC, this would mean a margin improvement between 150 basis points and 250 basis points compared to fiscal year 2015. Underlying our Q1 2016 guidance, we assume the following exchange rates for the main currencies impacting our business: a dollar-euro rate of 0.905, a dollar-Japanese yen rate of 117, a dollar-British pound rate of 0.69, and a dollar-Brazilian real rate of 4.0. This guidance also assumes no acquisitions are completed during Q1 or fiscal year 2016. In order to help you compute our growth at constant currency in fiscal 2016 compared with fiscal 2015, we are also providing the average exchange rate for full year 2015 for the main currencies impacting our business: a dollar-euro rate of 0.902, a dollar-Japanese yen rate of 121, a dollar-British pound rate of 0.65 and a dollar-Brazilian rate of 3.29. Overall, I'm very happy with our 2015 achievements and enthusiastic about our upcoming initiatives as we enter 2016. With that, let me turn the call back to the operator to take your questions.