Tim Lain
Analyst · KeyBanc. Please go ahead
Thanks, Tony. Good morning, everyone. I'll start on slide 9, the income statement summary. Net sales in the third quarter were $585.4 million and sales excluding surcharge totaled $495 million. Sales excluding surcharge increased 5% sequentially on 5% higher volume. Compared to the third quarter a year ago, sales decreased 2% on 9% lower volumes.As Tony covered in his review of the markets, the year-over-year results reflected strong growth in aerospace sales offset by weakening demand in the Energy and Transportation end-use markets. The performance is significant given the challenges that we faced late in the quarter related to COVID-19. This impacted our ability to get shipments out of our mills both due to enhanced safety measures implemented in our facilities as well as the impact on certain customers who were unable to accept deliveries as they were forced to shut down their operations, particularly, in Europe as a result of the pandemic.Our production teams have adjusted extremely well for the additional safety measures, but the transition to this new way of working clearly impacted productivity. The teams also had to deal with certain self-isolation measures that affected staffing levels at key work centers. I'll talk more about the impacts on our results shortly in the segment details.SG&A expenses were $50.8 million in the third quarter up, roughly $1 million from the same period a year ago and down $4.5 million sequentially. The sequential change reflects the timing of certain expenses from quarter-to-quarter. Operating income was $58.7 million in the quarter compared to $73.2 million in the prior year period.As Tony mentioned the current quarter's results include about $5.5 million of COVID-19 related impacts. Last year's third quarter included an $11.4 million insurance recovery benefit related to our Dynamet facility that was included in our PEP segment's operating income results.Adjusted operating income as a percentage of sales was 11.9% in the quarter representing margin contraction of 270 basis points as compared to Q3 and fiscal year 2019. When excluding the impact of the insurance recovery, year-over-year margin came down about 40 basis points, which is impressive considering the challenging environment.While not specifically shown on this slide, our results for the current quarter include mark-to-market losses related to investments we hold for certain benefit plans. The mark-to-market losses totaling $3.9 million are included in other income loss and are the result of a significant decline in equity values of these underlying assets during the quarter, especially, in March.Our effective tax rate for the third quarter was 20%. The tax rate was favorable versus our expectation due to a favorable adjustment related to prior year taxes that were finalized during the current quarter. Net income for the quarter was $39.9 million or $0.82 per diluted share.Now turning to slide 10 and our SAO segment results. Net sales for the quarter were $488.1 million or $398.8 million excluding surcharge. Sales excluding surcharge increased 1% year-over-year on 10% lower volumes. The results reflect strong demand in the Aerospace and Defense and Medical end-use markets, partially offset by weakness in the Energy and Transportation markets.The Aerospace and Defense performance speaks to the underlying strengths of our position in the supply chain. We offer solutions across multiple platforms, applications and a broad base of customers. The results are especially significant given the ongoing headwinds facing the supply chain recently related to the 737 MAX production halt. Sequentially, sales excluding surcharge increased 4% on 4% higher volumes.SAO operating income was $76.4 million for the third quarter with adjusted operating margin at 19.2%. The same quarter a year ago, SAO's operating income was $73.6 million. Again, it's worthy to note that despite the significant disruption caused by COVID-19 late in the quarter, the operating teams ensured that our facilities could safely continue to satisfy customer needs. The current quarter's performance reflects approximately $5 million of operating income impacts for SAO including both delayed shipments and incremental expenses due to COVID-19.Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we are expecting operating income to be down approximately 50% when compared to our recent Q3 results. Most of the decline in operating income in SAO will be driven by the impacts of the significant reduction in inventory in Q4 as we look to manage cash. Although, we had already planned to reduce inventory in the fourth quarter as we demonstrated last year, we are now targeting further reductions in inventory. The significant reductions in new material starts and the associated reduction in raw materials in a time of declining prices will have a significant negative impact on our upcoming fourth quarter's profitability.We are also expecting sales to be down sequentially as the global economy adjusts for the ongoing disruption caused by the current pandemic. Forward visibility is limited and the impact to each individual market will vary. In addition, individual customer demand adjustments or reactions will vary depending on their individual situation. Our main objective is to stay close to our key customers, to understand their needs and further strengthen our position.To deal with the impacts of lower volumes, we have implemented furloughs for certain production and maintenance positions as we match our workforce needs to production schedules in each of our facilities. In this environment of rapidly changing requirements and plans, we continue to emphasize the importance of the Carpenter operating model. We will continue lean heavily on areas such as waste elimination leader standard work and problem solving. The actions we have taken to implement the Carpenter operating model are expected to pay further dividends and we believe will provide significant operating leverage as we continue to navigate these challenging conditions.Now turning to slide 11 and our PEP segment results. Net sales excluding surcharge were $107.1 million which were down $18.8 million from Q3 of FY 2019 and up slightly sequentially. The year-over-year decline reflects ongoing weakness in energy sales, more specifically in the oil and gas submarket as well as weaker sales in the distribution business that is more sensitive to global economic conditions. On the positive side, we continue to see year-over-year and sequential growth in medical sales. In PEP, sales to the medical market increased 27% sequentially and 19% year-over-year.In the current quarter, PEP reported an operating loss of $0.3 million. For clarity, last year's third quarter operating income of $16.6 million included an $11.4 million benefit from an insurance recovery. The results for PEP were influenced modestly by the COVID-19 situation. Again, credit goes to the teams who are doing whatever it took to ensure our employees safety and to keep the facilities operational at this critical time.As we look ahead to the fourth quarter, we expect to see headwinds across most of the markets related to COVID 19. Given the uncertainty associated with COVID-19 on the PEP business, we have initiated several key actions focused on reducing costs and preserving our liquidity. Similar to SAO, we've initiated furloughs for production and maintenance positions across most of the facilities. In addition, we have also recently made several key strategic decisions affecting the PEP segment.Given the ongoing weakness in the oil market, which has worsened since the end of the quarter, we have decided to exit the Amega West business. Actions to exit this business including strategic discussions with third parties are underway and anticipated to be completed by the end of our upcoming fourth quarter. We have also decided to idle two domestic metal powder production facilities. We remain committed to a metal powder production, but consider it necessary to close these two facilities to save cost and preserve cash flow in the near term.Action plans have been initiated and we expect those facilities to be closed during the fourth quarter. We expect that the actions to exit the Amega West business and idle the two powder facilities will generate estimated annual savings of $15 million to $20 million based on the current run rates for these businesses. As we look ahead we expect PEP to report an operating loss of $5 million to $6 million in the fourth quarter.Now turning to slide 12 and a review of cash flow. Free cash flow in the third quarter was positive $13 million. Within the quarter, we decreased inventory by $23 million. As I mentioned earlier, we expect to continue to reduce inventory in the fourth quarter. In the third quarter, we spent $50 million on capital expenditures. We expect to spend $170 million on capital expenditures for fiscal year 2020 consistent with the guidance we previously provided.Within the $170 million, there are several large multiyear projects. First, the $100 million hot strip mill being constructed on our Reading PA campus. This investment will be completed next fiscal year and will enhance our soft magnetics portfolio and increase capacity.Second, we have substantially completed the capacity expansion projects for our Dynamet titanium business, allowing us to capture emerging growth for high-value titanium solutions in the medical market.Finally, we completed our emerging technology center, which demonstrates and drives the commercialization of new technologies supporting the company's growth programs.I'll talk a little bit about our future CapEx plans as well as our liquidity on the next slide. As we move to slide 13 our liquidity position remains solid, which is critical in today's environment. As of the close of the current quarter, we had $317.1 million of total liquidity, including $93 million of cash.I should note that during the third quarter, given the significant uncertainty as the COVID-19 situation unfolded, we drew $50 million from our credit facility as a preventative measure in the event there were any potential issues with our ability to access our credit facility as needed.We did this purely as a precaution and we remain in regular contact with our banking group participants. We are confident in our banking group's ability to meet the funding commitments under our credit facility.It is also important to note that we are well within requirements for compliance with the covenants under the credit facility. As I mentioned numerous times already, our focus clearly has shifted to preserving liquidity in response to the uncertainty created by the pandemic.Although our current liquidity is strong at $317 million, we are continuing to execute plans to increase cash flow. First, as I mentioned, we are rigorously evaluating our production schedule and related inventory levels to ensure we are aligned with our customer needs. We believe inventory represents a significant cash flow lever for us over the next several quarters.Second, we are actively managing our cost structure. We have already taken actions, such as production and maintenance workforce furloughs and a global hiring freeze. Also, given that we are finished with the bulk of our spending on growth projects, we expect to be able to reduce capital expenditures for fiscal year 2021 by 25% to 30% or $40 million to $50 million.In addition, as I mentioned, we've taken strategic steps to rationalize our business and facilities portfolio. We've initiated plans to exit Amega West and idle two powder facilities. Again, these strategic actions are anticipated to save $15 million to $20 million annually based on current run rates. We've identified additional levers available to us in the event the situation worsens.We have evaluated various scenarios and believe even in scenarios where demand is meaningfully depressed for an extended period of time, we have ample liquidity. Although we have no near-term maturities, we will continue to actively evaluate options to access the capital markets as necessary to ensure the strength of our balance sheet and continue to execute against our disciplined capital allocation philosophy.The actions we have taken over the last several years to ensure the strength of our balance sheet and financial position have put us on solid footing even as we face the current uncertainty.With that, I'll now turn the call back over to Tony.