Good morning and welcome to Carpenter Technology's Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Laura, and I'll be your coordinator for today. At this time, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' remarks, you will be invited to participate in the question-and-answer session towards the end of this presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the call over to your host for today Mr. Mike Hajost, Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer. Please proceed.

Thank you, Laura. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Carpenter's earnings conference call for the fourth quarter ended June 30, 2015. This call is also being broadcast over the Internet along with presentation slides. Please note, for those of you listening by phone, you may experience a time delay in slide movement. Speakers on the call today are Greg Pratt, Executive Chairman; Tony Thene, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Tim Lain, Acting Chief Financial Officer. Statements made by management during this earnings presentation are forward-looking statements and are based on current expectations. Risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements can be found in Carpenter's most recent SEC filings, including the company's June 30, 2014 10-K, September 30 and December 31, 2014 and March 31, 2015 10-Qs and the exhibits attached to those filings. Please also note that in the following discussion, unless otherwise noted, when management discusses sales or revenue, that reference excludes surcharge. When discussing operating income, that reference excludes pension earnings, interest and deferrals or EID. When referring to operating margins, that is based on sales excluding surcharge and operating income excluding pension EID. I will now turn the call over to Greg.

Thank you, Mike. Good morning, everyone. It is good to be with you today. I have appreciated having the opportunity to talk with you over the last several quarters as we repositioned our company for growth and conducted a search for our new CEO. As you know, we concluded that process recently and appointed Tony Thene as the new President and CEO of Carpenter. Tony has been instrumental in helping me address our challenges this year. However, we still have a significant amount of work to do. I have every confidence that Tony will provide the continuity essential to carrying forward our ongoing initiatives that are positioning Carpenter for long-term success. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Tony.

Thank you, Greg, and good morning, everyone. Let me start on slide four with our safety performance. I'm very pleased to report that, for the full fiscal year, we achieved a Total Case Incident Rate or TCIR of 2.1. This is an annual company best and represents a 36% improvement over last year. We had 29 sites with zero OSHA recordable injuries during the last fiscal year, and our new Athens facility has had only one recordable injury since its start-up. I'm extremely pleased with the improvements we have made in the area of safety. We want to be very clear that a zero injury workplace is possible and it is our ultimate goal. Moving to slide five and our full-year performance summary, as Greg mentioned, we faced several challenges this past fiscal year. Over the last two quarters, we have acted decisively on several fronts to improve our performance and deliver greater value to our shareholders. We implemented a restructuring plan that included the elimination of approximately 200 salaried positions and 60 outsourced positions, as well as other non-labor related costs. It is estimated that these actions will yield approximately $30 million of annual overhead savings. We targeted an inventory reduction of $50 million by year-end versus first quarter of fiscal year 2015 level. We actually achieved a $67 million reduction. We strengthened our continuous improvement process with the introduction of the Business Management Office. We announced a $500 million two-year share repurchase plan. In fiscal year 2015, we purchased $125 million of our shares, and in the month of July alone, we purchased $30 million of our shares for a total of $154 million spent under the program to-date. And we made several key organizational moves, most notably naming a new Senior Vice President of our SAO operations,…

Thanks Tony. Good morning, everyone. Let's start on slide nine with the income statement summary. Net sales in the quarter were $558 million or $463 million excluding surcharge. Sales excluding surcharge were relatively flat sequentially on similar volumes. In the quarter, selling, general and administrative expenses were $45.2 million, which is in line with the sequential quarter as we had expected. Operating income was $39.5 million in the quarter. Excluding pension EID, the restructuring charges and special items, operating income was $48.2 million or 10.4% of net sales excluding surcharge. This represents a sequential improvement in the operating margin of 280 basis points, driven principally by the actions we took to improve our operating cost performance in the quarter, as well as the benefits of the overhead cost reduction initiatives that we announced in the third quarter. Our fourth quarter effective tax rate was 32.4%, which is in line with our expected normal run rate. Net income for the quarter was $22.5 million or $0.44 per share. Adjusted for the $6.3 million of restructuring charges and special items, which I'll cover in the next slide, earnings per share would have been $0.52 per share. Let's move on to slide 10 to discuss the restructuring charges and special items in a little bit more detail. The restructuring charges in the current quarter totaled $3.7 million. These charges include some additional severance costs associated with the position eliminations that we initiated in the third quarter. The restructuring charges for the quarter also include some trailing costs associated with the closure of certain sites. These costs are associated with the actions we took in connection with the restructuring plan we outlined in our recent third quarter, aimed at reducing annual operating overhead costs by about $30 million annually. The special items in the…

Thanks Tim. Let's turn to slide 15 to cover the individual reporting segments, starting with SAO. Compared to a year ago quarter, net sales ex surcharge are down 3% on 15% lower volumes driven by lower sales to industrial and consumer markets and weakness in demand for materials used in oil and gas applications. The results reflect a stronger mix versus a year ago quarter, as we increased sales in the aerospace and defense and medical markets. On a sequential basis, sales were relatively flat on similar volumes despite the decline in demand in oil and gas. Operating margins were lower compared to the prior year quarter as a result of higher operating cost and the unfavorable margin impacts of reducing the inventory. However, most importantly, on a sequential basis, operating margins showed some improvement as we started to see the benefits of the operating cost performance initiatives and the overhead cost reduction actions. As we look to the first quarter of fiscal year 2016, we expect lower volumes due to the continued weakness in oil and gas demand. This will amplify the normal seasonal volume decline we see in the first quarter of each year. Our operating margins are expected to be sequentially lower, as operating cost improvements are more than offset by the decline in volumes. Moving to slide 16 and the PEP segment, performance in PEP continues to be impacted by the significant decline in the oil and gas business due to limited drilling activity. During the quarter, the unfavorable oil and gas impacts were partially offset by strong performance in our titanium and powder businesses, driven by an improved mix. The fourth quarter also included a positive impact of a better-than-expected inventory valuation adjustment. For the first quarter of fiscal year 2016, we currently expect oil…

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Gautam Khanna from Cowen & Company. Please proceed.

Yes. Good morning, and congratulations, Tony.

Hi, Gautam. How are you this morning?

Pretty well. Hey, I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about the operating challenges that you are facing and have you been able to isolate root cause on some of the production inefficiencies that you have had over the past couple quarters and if not, how do you get to that point, and what you are doing?

Yeah. We're making very good progress, Gautam. If you remember, in the third quarter, when we put out the pre-release, we listed unfortunately a long list of some operational issues that we have. And if you take a look at that and if you use FY 2014 as the base to say, well, that was good operating cost performance, we've got 20, 25 independent projects going after each one of those to solve to root cause, and we've probably, as I said, clawed back about 50% of that in this quarter. So as we look forward to the first and second quarter, our goal is to get that second part. And by that time, run rate in FY 2016, we hope to be back at those levels that we experienced in FY 2014.

Okay. And just sort of put some quantification around that, do you anticipate getting to a 17% operating margin or better in any quarter at SAO in FY16? And is the 21%, if I recall, you had in Q1 of 2014, is that out of the cards in FY16?

Well, I think there's a couple of different pieces that play a part there. Number one is the variable operating cost that you and I are speaking of now. If that was by itself the only driver, yes, I think we can get back to those levels. On the fixed cost side, we have implemented our reduction in force. We probably in the fourth quarter got about 60% of that run rate value, right. The big drivers of getting back to those margins are going to be the markets, right, and how the markets perform. We feel relatively comfortable on the aerospace side. But honestly on the energy side, that's going to be – that's the wild card on whether we can get back to those levels.

Okay. And one other one, just on demand. Can you talk a little bit about what you are seeing with respect to your incoming orders on the aerospace engine side as well as the fastener side. Is it consistent across OEMs, or are you seeing fits and starts, any sort of color you could provide there would be helpful.

Yeah. I had a feeling you were going to ask that question. On the engine side, we feel very comfortable. So we have good order intake. We believe that that's going to be relatively stable for us, and we don't see any major differences among our primary customers. On the fastener side, we had a very good fourth quarter. Volume was very good at our Dynamet business. We do see the first quarter, maybe the second quarter being a little bit choppy consistent with maybe what you've heard in the market over the last couple weeks. But we think that will sort itself out and year-over-year we'll have good volumes on the fastener side.

Okay. Thank you and good luck. I'll turn it over.

Thank you.

Thank you. Your next question comes from Steve Levenson from Stifel. Please proceed.

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. Just to follow up on that first and second quarter being choppy in fasteners, is that program-specific do you think, or does that have to do with inventory levels at some of your customers or even their customers where there might be is a destocking still ahead.

Yeah. I don't like to use the word de-stocking. But yeah, I think you have some...

Out of balance?

Out of balance, but we do think that that's just this quarter and possibly into the next. But we don't see that as a long-term negative driver for our fastener businesses.

Okay. Thanks and I don't know if you'd be willing to break anything out on the fastener stock business, but would it be possible to give us a little more detail on volume and pricing and margins?

Yeah. Going forward, we'll take a look at that. Right now, obviously, we present it as a segment in total. But certainly, it's something we'll take a look at going forward.

Okay, appreciate that. Thank you.

Okay, thank you. And your next question comes from Josh Sullivan from Sterne, Agee Capital. Please proceed.

Good morning, Tony. Just with rig counts in the US showing some indications of inching up, what is your sense of how this inventory cycle plays out on the energy side? You given us some guidance for the year, which is helpful, but just thematically how should we think about the duration of this energy inventory overhang, relative to the rigs beginning to inch up here.

Okay. So maybe I'll take a step back and answer that question in a general standpoint and then we can drill down into it. We have two – our PEP segment and our SAO segment are going to react a little bit differently. On the PEP segment, you're going to see the impact quicker, because they're on the drilling materials primarily. Our SAO is probably going to be about a quarter lag, that's what you've seen, primarily on completions material. If you look at our PEP segment over the last – since the first – our third quarter of FY 2015, you've seen a very steep decline. We believe, as we get into the next couple quarters, at least as we look forward, that maybe we've seen the bottom of that. But that doesn't mean that we think we're going to see an improvement going forward. We believe that we're going to bounce around those bottom levels for the rest of our fiscal year FY 2016 in our Amega West business. And we're looking at ways now – just like other companies are, we have to make sure that we right-size our organization and right-size our cost structure to meet with that demand that we anticipate we're going to have to work with for the rest of this year.

Okay. And then just from the cash deployment strategy. Maybe you could give us some channels. What sort of scenario in energy would make you have to revisit those targets for the $500 million repurchase program? Or do you feel like as you just mentioned that you are seeing some bottoming where you are pretty confident?

I would way we're pretty confident right now. As you look forward, we have plans in place and we have had plans in place. In fact, Greg kicked that off for us more than a half a year ago looking forward to the oil and gas market, what are we going to do at each stage of that roll-out, if you will. So, we feel comfortable that we've got that baked in, the impact of that, and as we see it now will not have an impact on our cash deployment plans.

Okay. And then just one last one on the aerospace side, you know, last week there was a Boeing executive talking about the 787 titanium supply and they are trying to control costs on that program. Was that more general to just partnering for success, or have you seen any indications on the titanium fastener in particular?

Yeah. No impact that we believe on the titanium fastener side. That's not going to be the real driver. But we look at it as a possible opportunity for us on some alternative products that Carpenter makes that maybe we have an opportunity there, so.

Okay, good. Thank you.

Thank you.

Thank you for your question. Your next question comes from Phil Gibbs, KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Good morning. I have a question just on general outlook for either volume or sales this year. Anything that you can provide us in terms of just the thought process on growth, top-line growth this year, and what you are anticipating or should this be viewed as more or less a year of stabilization given what we are seeing in energy?

Yeah. I think it's more of the latter. We think aerospace – we know aerospace is going to be consistent for us. We're, like everyone else, trying to understand where the bottom is on energy on our two different businesses. We're looking at ways to offset that as we move into other markets. We see the medical market doing better for us. That's relatively small, but still obviously a very good margin business for us. So I think it's quite frankly, Phil, more of the latter, as we kind of take our way quarter-by-quarter through this year.

Okay, terrific. And a question on the – I think you said you had an inventory valuation benefit in PEP in 4Q. What was – is there magnitude of that that you could provide us?

Well, I'll tell you this way. I would normally never call that out, because any type of inventory valuation changes, that's part of your numbers whether they're positive or negative. And if it was negative, it shouldn't be excluded. So, the only reason I mentioned it is because you saw our PEP business be relatively flat quarter-over-quarter from an operating income. I would tell you this, if you would exclude that, you would have seen the type of decline in PEP that we had guided to last quarter, which was around 25%. And that way you can do the math and kind of get the feel for that is it's in that $2 million to $2.5 million range.

Okay. So we should think about that level in terms of trying to think about the September quarter?

Yeah. I think – yeah, let's just call that $2.5 million. We know that's not going to repeat and then we have the normal – the other items that we gave you on the slide.

Okay, thanks so much.

Thank you.

Thank you for your question. [Operator Instructions] And the next question comes from Andrew Lane from Morningstar. Please proceed.

Hi. Good morning, everyone. Could you provide some commentary as to trade flows and import pressures you are seeing in the stainless markets? And have you been an active participant in the provision of a potential trade case filing on stainless?

For us, some of the news that you've seen out there – remember, we play in the top-end of this market in the specialty steel market. We do not participate in those lower commodity areas. So therefore, that's not an impact for us.

Okay. And then also could you provide some color as to the size and mix, or a texture of your backlog and on a related note at least qualitatively, what kind of growth are you looking for in the aerospace and market in FY16? Are there any particular contracts or programs you'd highlight that should be good near-term growth drivers?

Well, I could say on our backlog, if you look at let's say from a revenue basis right now, whether it's year-over-year or sequential, it's down slightly. But that's – almost all of that is driven by energy market, right. Our aerospace backlog is going to be a little up, a little down, but it's pretty consistent, at least it has been over the last several quarters. But the main driver for our backlog now is energy and some on the industrial side as well as we move – selectively move out of that market and move more into the higher end automotive side. So, our backlog is going to move around from quarter-to-quarter. As I said, right now, the main driver is energy.

Great. And then in terms of aerospace sales qualitatively in 2016, you said it might be a consistent end market for you, so similar growth as to what we saw here in FY15 most likely?

Yeah. I think it's going to be – there's a wide range of what folks say out there. We – look, it's going to be in that 2% to 3% or that type of range. That's what we've planned for. And if it's a little bit more than that, that will be great. But from our planning standpoint, that's what we're looking at.

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Thank you for your question. The next question comes from Gautam Khanna from Cowen & Company. Please proceed.

I'm trying to get comment on any incremental price pressure you've seen across the business. Given the oil and gas continues to weaken. Are you seeing more feverish competition in nickel alloys sales in other markets? Is it bleeding over?

Yeah. Certainly, we've seen some of that on the energy side, right, and we're being very selective on what those trade-offs are. But we've not seen a significant evidence of that in our – that that's been a bleed-over into our other markets.

Would you anticipate the fact that that could happen or is that contemplated in your outlook?

No, that's not contemplated in our outlook right now. We don't foresee that.

Okay. And just to follow up on the fastener comments from earlier, were those isolated to one OEM or were you seeing this broadly across some of your end customers?

Well, I'll just say that our immediate customers saw that. So I'll leave that to them. We supply to a broad range of folks.

Okay. Do you think that it was confined to the Boeing supply chain or to Airbus as well?

Well, I think it was probably, to be quite frank, probably more specific to Boeing.

Okay. Thanks a lot, guys.

Yeah, thanks Gautam.

Thank you for your question. The next question comes from Phil Gibbs from KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Hey, Tony, I just had a question related to the two new hires you mentioned. Maybe they are on the line here too. Just in terms of what you think or they think that they bring to the table that is different and then strategically what may you be looking at doing moving forward that you weren't doing before or you know just in terms of strategy here?

Yeah. Thanks for the question, Phil. So, Joe Haniford is not here with us today. We wouldn't allow him to be here. He's out in the plant. So, he was in Athens earlier this week and he's on his way to Latrobe today. So, that's where his expertise will help. Joe has had a 30-plus year career in this industry, in operations and commercial, and he brings wealth of knowledge to us and ideas. He's been very, very well received. I think he's in his third week right now. So, we're looking forward to that. On the commercial side, Brian starts on Monday. And again, it's just – we've got a very, very strong workforce and we're trying to supplement that with some key external hires that bring sometimes a different view and some different experiences that we can leverage and take this company to the next level. And from a strategic standpoint, you're not going to see any drastic changes from me. We've got our marching orders on where we think we add value with our customers, right. We believe we have capabilities and products that others don't and we are going to make sure that we leverage those to the best of our ability. That's the key for us. And we know there's areas that we need to improve on to make sure that we maintain that position.

I appreciate that. And then lastly, can you touch upon the powders investment that you're making I think in Alabama near the Athens facility and what you're expecting that to give you moving forward? Thanks.

Yeah, that's – yeah, thanks Phil. That's very exciting. It's right across the street from our Athens facility. We are in start-up mode right now with that facility and are very excited about the potential there to supply superalloy powder into the engine market. As you know, we have an agreement with Pratt & Whitney. We're very excited about that, and we have other possibilities there as well. So that's an area where the market is moving and we're at the very beginning of that. And we think, going forward, we'll remain a leader in that area.

Thanks Tony.

Thank you.

Thank you. That concludes the question-and-answer portion of today's call. Let me now turn it over to Mr. Mike Hajost for any closing remarks. Please go ahead, sir.

Thank you again for participating on today's call. We look forward to speaking with you again next quarter. Thank you and good bye.