Roland Burns
Analyst · Stifel. Your question please
All right. Thanks, Jay. On slide 5, we summarize our reported financial results for the fourth quarter of 2020. Our production for the fourth quarter totaled 109 Bcf of natural gas and 340,000 barrels of oil. This is 11% lower than production from the fourth quarter of 2019. Our oil and gas sales including realized hedging gains were $277 million about 10% lower than 2019 due to the lower production level. Oil prices in the period averaged $44.47 per barrel and our realized gas price averaged $2.40 per Mcf including hedging gains. So overall, our natural gas prices were up 4% in the quarter and our oil prices were down a little bit. Looking at the cost side, our lifting costs were down 11% in the quarter. And our depreciation, depletion and amortization and G&A were both down 7% in the quarter. Our adjusted EBITDAX came in at $211 million or 10% lower than 2019's fourth quarter. Our operating cash flow was $155 million which was 18% lower than 2019 and we reported a net profit of $77.5 million for the fourth quarter or $0.30 per share. The net income for the quarter did include an $80.2 million unrealized gain from the mark-to-market of our hedge positions, which is mainly driven by the change in natural gas prices since September 30. Adjusted net income excluding the unrealized hedging gain and certain other unusual items was a profit of $34.6 million or $0.14 per diluted share for the quarter. On slide 6, we summarize the financial results for all of 2020. Our production for 2020 totaled 460 Bcfe, which that includes 1.5 million barrels of oil. That's 49% higher than 2019's production. The increase mainly reflects the acquisition of Covey Park that we closed in July of 2019. Pro forma for the Covey Park acquisition our production increased 2% year-over-year. Our oil and gas sales, including realized hedging gains, were $993 million, which was 21% higher than 2019. Oil prices, including hedging, averaged $40.88 in 2020, and our realized gas price, including hedging, averaged $2.07 per Mcf, which was 12% lower than 2019. Adjusted EBITDAX for the year was $722 million, an 18% increase over 2019. Operating cash flow was $521 million, which was 11% higher than 2019. Overall, we did report a net loss of $83 million for the year or $0.39 per share, but that loss was entirely due to the mark-to-market unrealized loss on our hedge positions. Excluding unrealized hedging losses and other unusual items, we had a net profit of $49.6 million or $0.23 per diluted share for 2020. Despite a year of very low oil and gas prices, we were able to have a profitable year, and we did not have any impairments or other write-downs of our assets which is I think an unusual compared to many other companies in our industry. That says a lot about the quality of our assets and our low-cost structure. On slide 7 we cover our hedging program. And during 2020, we had 51% of our gas volumes hedged, which increased our realized gas price to the $2.07 per Mcf, I mentioned, as compared to the $1.80 that we actually received from selling our production. We also had 84% of our oil volumes hedged. That increased our realized oil price to the $40.88 per barrel versus the $32.30 per barrel we actually received. Overall, our realized hedging gains totaled $134.5 million in 2020. With the continued strength in natural gas prices, we've continued to add to our hedge book. Since we last reported earnings, we've hedged another 90 million cubic feet of our production for the second half of 2021 and another 100 million per day for the first half of 2022. For 2021, we have natural gas hedges covering almost 900 million a day of our gas production, which is around 65% of our expected 2021 production. The weighted average floor price of our 2021 gas hedge is $2.51. Going forward, we're primarily focused on adding to our 2022 hedge position. We continue to target having 55% to 70% of our production hedged for the upcoming 12 to 18-month period. Slide 8, we recap how much of our production was shut-in during the last quarter, the fourth quarter. So we had 6.6% of our natural gas production shut-in in the fourth quarter, compared to the 7.2% we had in the third quarter. As we had talked about in our third quarter call, in early October, we voluntarily shut-in 300 million a day of our production really during the first two weeks of October, due to the very low spot market gas prices. The remaining of the shut-in in the fourth quarter is really due to offset frac activity. We also had 2% of our oil production curtailed or shut-in in the quarter, which was a -- that's a big decrease from how much was shut-in earlier in the year. On slide 9 we detail our operating costs per Mcfe produced. Our operating cost per Mcfe averaged $0.56 in the fourth quarter as compared to the third quarter of $0.55. Gathering costs were $0.26. Our taxes averaged $0.09 and our field-level cost averaged $0.21. The fluctuation between our lifting costs and gathering cost is related to where the new wells were completed during the quarter, but we continue to expect those costs to remain within the guidance ranges that we have been providing. On slide 10, we detail our corporate overhead for Mcfe. Our cash G&A cost in the quarter were $0.04 per Mcfe, which is down from the third quarter, primarily due to year-end accrual adjustments. We do expect our cash G&A costs to return to a more normalized level of $0.05 to $0.06 going forward. On slide 11, we detail the depreciation depletion and amortization per Mcfe produced. Our DD&A averaged $0.94 in the fourth quarter, about $0.01 lower than the $0.95 rate we had in the third quarter. Slide 12 shows the balance sheet at the end of 2020. We currently have $500 million drawn on our $1.4 billion revolving credit facility and we do expect to use our free cash flow that we are targeting to generate in 2021 to continue to pay that down. We have just over $2.25 billion of senior notes outstanding comprised of $619 million of our 7.5% senior notes, due in 2025 and $1.65 billion of our 9.75% senior notes due in of 2026. With a quarter end cash position of $30 million, our current financial liquidity stands at $930 million. On slide 13, we summarize our fourth quarter and full year 2020 capital expenditures. We spent $169 million on development activities in the fourth quarter, of which $151 million was spent on the operated Haynesville shale properties. We also spent $6.5 million in to lease new Haynesville acreage in the quarter. For the full year, we spent $484 million on all development activities, including $410 million, which was spent on our operated Haynesville shale properties. We drilled 46.1 net operated horizontal Haynesville wells and we turned 40.9 net operated horizontal Haynesville wells to sales in 2020. We also spent another $82 million in 2020 on non-operated wells, and other development activity. And we spent a total of $7.9 million in 2020 on leasing new Haynesville acreage. So right now, we're currently utilizing six operated rigs for our 2021 drilling program, but we do expect to drop one of our operated rigs later this year, due to the faster drilling times that we're achieving as Dan's going to go over with his operating results. Based on our current operating plan for 2021, we expect to drill 51 net operated Haynesville wells and turned about 50.5 net operated wells to sales in 2021. At the end of 2021, we expect to have about 17.9 net DUCs to carry into 2022. We estimate our total development capital expenditures to come in between $510 million and $550 million. And we're also budgeting to spend an additional $7 million to $10 million on the leasing program. We remain focused on generating significant free cash flow and we'll continue to target over $200 million of annual free cash flow generation as we plan our drilling activity. On slide 14, we summarize our oil and gas reserves at the end of 2020. We grew our proved reserves from 5.4 Tcfe at the end of 2019 to 5.6 Tcfe on an SEC basis at the end of 2020. Our 2020 drilling activity added 366 Bcfe to our proved reserves and we had 367 Bcfe of positive performance-related revisions driven by the strong well performance of our Haynesville wells. The positive reserve revisions more than offset negative price-related revisions, which were 86 Bcfe that related to using the low first of the month 2020 average prices to determine reserves. Our all-in finding costs for 2020 came in at a very attractive $0.75 per Mcfe or $0.66, if you exclude the price-related revisions. Our reserves were 99% natural gas and then 36% of our reserves were developed. 95% of our proved reserves are in the Haynesville/Bossier, 2% are in the Bakken and 3% or in other regions. The PV-10 value of our proved reserves was $2 billion using the SEC prices of $1.99 for gas and $39.57 for oil, and 67% of that PV-10 value is related to our developed reserves. Using an NYMEX reference price of $2.75 for gas and $50 for WTI oil, which is more reflective of our current price outlook the PV-10 value of our preserves increases to $4.4 billion and the quantities of proved reserves with those prices would increase to 5.8 Tcfe using that $2.75 and $50 reference prices. In addition to those proved reserves, we have an additional 2.4 Bcfe approved undeveloped reserves, which are not included in our proved reserves as we're not currently expecting to drill those within the five year window required by the SEC rules. We also have another 4.6 Tcfe of 2P or probable reserves and 6.8 Tcfe of 3P or possible reserves for a total reserve base of 19.6 Tcfe on a P3 basis. I'll now turn it over to Dan to cover the fourth quarter drilling results in more detail.