Jim Mintern
Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead
Thanks, Randy. A great update there on a busy year of investment activity. It's a very exciting time for CRH. And at this stage, I would like to take a moment to discuss how we are strategically positioned going forward. Turning to Slide 17, and as you can see, we are uniquely positioned to benefit from key secular growth tailwinds, including urbanization, transportation and critical infrastructure, megatrends that will support significant above-market growth and value creation for years to come. As I said earlier, we are the largest building materials business in North America and Europe, two of the most attractive construction markets in the world. No one comes close to the size and scale of CRH. In the United States, we have a national footprint with an attractive mix of regional, sector and end-use exposures. We have also focused on higher growth markets in the South and West, with states such as Texas and Florida, our two largest markets benefiting from higher rates of population growth and inward migration, which drive new-build construction demand. We also benefit from attractive geographic footprint in Europe, with some of the most demanding building specifications in the world, Western Europe is an important hub for construction innovation, design and new technology. And here our strong market positions allow us to remain at the cutting edge of our industry, developing new products and techniques, which we can then transfer at scale across the entire group. In Central and Eastern Europe, our business benefits from significant long-term construction needs, much like the Southern and Western regions of the United States. As you can see on the right hand side of this slide, we have leading positions in these markets, including being the number one aggregates producer in North America. So in summary, we have positioned our business to capitalize on key secular tailwinds in higher growth regions, and we have developed leadership positions in these markets through our uniquely connected portfolio of businesses. All of this represents a powerful combination to deliver consistent compounding performance through the cycle. Turning now to Slide 18, and here you can see what consistent execution of this strategy has produced over the last decade. In addition to growing our top-line, we have delivered strong double-digit growth in adjusted EBITDA and earnings per share, equivalent to compound annual growth of 15% and 17%, respectively. We have also significantly improved our margin, up over 900 basis points, reflecting the relentless focus on continuous business improvement I mentioned earlier. On Slide 19, you can also see that on a relative basis we have delivered an industry-leading performance in 2024, particularly in terms of profit growth and margin improvement, outperforming some of the best in our industry and delivering superior value for our shareholders. So we outperformed in 2024, but let's take a look at Slide 20 and our performance over-time. Over the last 1, 5, 10 or even 50 years, the answer is the same, industry-leading total shareholder return, a performance that really highlights CRH as the leading compounder of capital in the industry. Now before I discuss our expectations for the year ahead, let me share our thoughts on the outlook across our markets. Turning to Slide 22, today the Americas represents approximately 75% of our adjusted EBITDA, with our international division representing the remaining 25%. First to infrastructure, our largest end-market. Here, we expect demand in the United States to be underpinned by the continued rollout of state and federal funding. As Randy mentioned earlier, only one-third of the IIJA highway funds have been deployed so far, highlighting the significant runway that lies ahead. In our international markets, we expect robust demand in infrastructure activity to continue, supported by significant investment from government and EU funding programs. In non-residential, we expect our key segments to benefit from secular growth tailwinds as well as increased industrial manufacturing and onshoring activity. In the residential sector, we expect new-build activity in the U.S. to remain subdued, while repair and remodel activity remains resilient. As we have said in the past, we believe the long-term fundamentals for residential construction remain attractive, supported by favorable demographics and significant levels of under build. In our international markets, we expect residential activity to stabilize with structural demand fundamentals supporting a gradual recovery. Regarding the pricing environment, we expect positive momentum to continue across our markets, supported by disciplined commercial management as well as the benefits of our differentiated strategy. So in summary, the overall trend is positive for our business and we are well-positioned to capitalize on the strong growth opportunities that lie ahead. Turning to Slide 23, and against that backdrop, here we have set out our financial guidance for 2025. Assuming normal weather patterns for the remainder of the year and no major dislocations in the political or macroeconomic environment, we expect full year group adjusted EBITDA to be between $7.3 billion and $7.7 billion, net income between $3.7 billion and $4.1 billion, and diluted earnings per share between $5.34 and $5.80, representing another strong year of delivery for CRH. It's obviously still very early in the construction season, but we feel good about 2025, and we will of course update you on our expectations as the year unfolds. As I mentioned earlier, our differentiated strategy, relentless focus on performance, disciplined capital allocation and uniquely connected portfolio are the fundamental drivers of our outperformance in recent years, and they leave us well placed to deliver another year of growth and value creation in 2025. So that concludes our presentation this morning. We look forward to spending some more time with you later in the year when you will have the opportunity to meet the wider leadership team and hear more about the significant growth and value creation opportunities we see for our business in the years ahead. I will now hand you back to the moderator to coordinate the Q&A session of our call.