Earnings Labs

CRA International, Inc. (CRAI)

Q4 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 2, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day everyone and welcome to Charles River Associate's Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2022 Conference Call. Please note that today's call is being recorded. The company's earnings release and prepared remarks from CRA's Chief Financial Officer are posted on the Investor Relations section of CRA's website at crai.com. With us today are CRA's President and Chief Executive Officer, Paul Maleh; Chief Financial Officer, Dan Mahoney; and Chief Corporate Development Officer, Chad Holmes. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Mr. Mahoney for his opening remarks. Dan, please go ahead.

Daniel Mahoney

Management

Thank you, Rob, and good morning, everyone. Please note that the statements made during this conference call including guidance on future revenue and non-GAAP EBITDA margin and any other statements concerning the future business, operating results, or financial condition of CRA including those statements using the terms expect, outlook or similar terms are forward-looking statements as defined in Section 21 of the Exchange Act. Information contained in these forward-looking statements is based on management's current expectations and is inherently uncertain. Actual performance and results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements due to many important factors, including the level of demand for our services, as a result of changes in general and industry-specific economic conditions. Additional information regarding these factors is included in today's release and in CRA's periodic reports, including our most recently filed annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q filed with the SEC. CRA undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements after the date of this call. Additionally, we will refer to some non-GAAP financial measures and certain measures presented on a constant currency basis on this call. Everyone is encouraged to refer to today's release and related CFO remarks for reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to their GAAP comparable measures and descriptions of the calculation of EBITDA and measures presented on a constant currency basis. I will now turn it over to Paul for his report. Paul?

Paul Maleh

Management

Thanks, Dan, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. CRA once again set financial highs as fiscal 2022 topped a record-setting fiscal 2021. Revenue increased by 4.4% to $590.9 million. This marked the fifth consecutive year in which CRA established a new record for annual revenue. Over this five-year period of time, as revenue increased by 60%, we expanded non-GAAP EBITDA, net income, and earnings per diluted share by 120%, 167%, and 211% respectively. Capitalizing on the revenue growth in fiscal 2022, CRA posted record profits for the year with non-GAAP net income, earnings per diluted share, and EBITDA, each growing faster than revenue. We achieved this performance despite strong currency headwinds associated with the U.S. dollar that saved $12.6 million or 2.2% year-over-year growth from our reported revenue on a constant currency basis. CRA's revenue growth for fiscal 2022 was balanced geographically as our North American operations increased by 4% and international operations grew by 5%. Our expansion was led by legal and regulatory services which grew by 8% year-over-year. Eight of CRAs practices grew their top line with four practices, anti-trust and competition economics, intellectual property, labor and employment, and risk investigations and analytics delivering double-digit revenue growth in fiscal 2022. For the fourth quarter, we can say, we continued to see broad-based strength across our portfolio. Reported revenue increased 7.6% compared with the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021. Currency headwinds reduced revenue by $4.4 million or 3.3% year-over-year growth on a constant currency basis. Geographically, we saw balanced contributions from our North American and international operations, which grew fourth quarter revenue year-over-year by 8.2% and 5.4% respectively. Leading the way with double-digit revenue growth in the fourth quarter were six practices auctions and competitive bidding, finance, financial economics, intellectual property, labor and employment, and…

Chad Holmes

Management

Thanks, Paul. Hello, everyone. I want to update you on our capital deployment initiatives during the quarter. During the quarter, we repaid $45 million of our borrowings under our revolving line of credit to bring our year-end outstanding debt to zero, as we have done in prior years. Our cash balance increased during the quarter by $7.4 million to end the year at $31.4 million. The fourth quarter of 2022, so our cash outlays of $9.5 million for forgivable loans in connection with talent investments. We also spent $800,000 on capital expenditures bringing the full-year amount to $3.8 million. For fiscal 2023, we expect to spend $7 million to $8 million on capital expenditures with the year-over-year increase primarily related to expenditures on real estate. We paid $2.7 million in dividends to our shareholders during the fourth quarter. For the full year, we returned a total of $37.2 million to our shareholders through a combination of share repurchases and quarterly dividends. This represents 62% of CRA's 2022 adjusted net cash flows from operations and exceeds our previously stated aim of returning half of our adjusted cash flows from operations to shareholders. As announced earlier today, CRA's Board of Directors authorized an expansion to our existing share repurchase program of an additional $20 million in value of shares of common stock. With this expansion, we have approximately $42.9 million available under our share repurchase program. Taken together, our capital allocation decisions in fiscal 2022, demonstrate continued confidence in CRA's long-term outlook, as we look to invest in the business for profitable growth while simultaneously returning meaningful capital to our shareholders. With that, I will turn the call over to Dan for a few final comments. Dan?

Daniel Mahoney

Management

Thanks, Chad. As a reminder, more expansive commentary on our financial results is available on the Investor Relations section of our website under prepared CFO remarks. Before we get to questions, let me provide a few additional metrics related to our performance in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022. In terms of consultant headcount, we ended the year at 939, which consisted of 149 officers, 496 other senior staff, and 294 junior staff. This represents a 9.1% increase compared with the 861 consultant headcount reported at the end of fiscal 2021. Non-GAAP selling, general and administrative expenses, excluding the 2.6% attributable to commissions to non-employee experts was 16.7% of revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022 compared with 16.1% a year ago this quarter's ratio. This year was primarily impacted by an increase in travel and entertainment expenses and higher other operating expenses including professional services fees. For the full year fiscal 2022, the ratio was 15.5% compared with 14.2% for full-year fiscal 2021. The effective tax rate for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022 on a non-GAAP basis was 22.2% compared with 27.4% on a non-GAAP basis for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021. The lower rate in the fourth quarter of 2022 was largely attributable to a higher benefit arising from the accounting for stock-based compensation. Turning to the balance sheet. DSO at the end of the fourth quarter was 114 days compared with 123 days at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2022. DSO in the fourth quarter consisted of 82 days of billed and 32 days of unbilled. We concluded the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022 with $31.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and a further $195.6 million of available capacity on our line of credit for a total liquidity of $227 million. That concludes our prepared remarks, we will now open the call for questions. Rob, please go ahead.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Andrew Nicholas with William Blair. Please proceed with your question.

Daniel Maxwell

Analyst

Hi guys, good morning, this is Daniel Maxwell on for Andrew today. Just to kick things off, I was wondering if you could give a little detail on how you're thinking about headcount growth in '23 after strong growth in '22. And any detail you can give on what practices that might be concentrated in as well as and breakdown you can give between experienced versus university hiring?

Paul Maleh

Management

Sure. Good morning, this is Paul. So I'll take a pass at the headcount projection. Right now, we ended the year close to about a 10% year-over-year growth on headcount, and what we're going to try to do as the year goes on is try our best to match the supply of labor and the demand for our services. There are some portions of headcount that already -- decisions have already been made starting in the fall of 2022 that will be joining us this summer. Those are the university hires that you referenced on that, but in terms of an exact year-end number, really depends on the broader market that we're seeing and the rate of replacements that we undertake to offset any kind of attrition in the firm but we're starting at a good place of strength, a lot of labor to deliver those services and hopefully, we can continue to grow that headcount. In any year, particularly absent that of any large acquisition, the majority of the hires that we do at CRA come via the university route. Lateral hires are typically oriented towards senior-level revenue-generating individuals. So the majority of hires are going to be coming via university, Daniel.

Daniel Maxwell

Analyst

Great, thanks, that's helpful.

Paul Maleh

Management

And with respect, and with respect to the practice, I'd now realize, I didn't finish my answer for you. The majority of the hires are going to come across our top four practices that being antitrust competition economics, life sciences, forensics, and finance as those four practices make up roughly 80% of the firm's revenue. The rest of the firm will be roughly proportional to their contribution to that revenue line.

Daniel Maxwell

Analyst

Great, that's helpful. Thanks for hitting all the parts of that.

Paul Maleh

Management

Sure.

Daniel Maxwell

Analyst

For my follow-up, just wondering if you can comment broadly on the macro assumptions that are baked into guidance may be on the high and low ends of the guidance range and any flow-through impact you would expect from those in terms of upside or downside margin estimates.

Paul Maleh

Management

Sure, I don't think I would be the only one who voices uncertainty with respect to how to read our macroeconomic factors. It's sort of like with the weather here in New England, just wait a few minutes and it will change. So right now, all I could observe are the larger factors hitting CRA and how CRA has responded to date. To date, we have been pretty resilient with different practices stepping forward during different periods of time. So that portfolio seems to have weathered the volatility, I won't say downturn. With respect to, I know a lot of people always ask about M&A activity. Our M&A revenue still remains relatively strong, particularly given the broader market statistics that we cited earlier. The one thing that I'm not expecting to change is the general regulatory environment. Regulators here in the United States and abroad are cracking down across various market sectors, whether it is in antitrust enforcement and technology or antitrust enforcement and the financial services sector. That doesn't seem to be changing and we are clearly benefiting from the continued rise of demand there. So we're keeping our eye on all the factors, I'm happy with the way the firm has performed to date. Lead flow into the first couple of months of fiscal '23 also continues that general trend that we've been enjoying. So more to come on that in that area, Daniel.

Daniel Maxwell

Analyst

Great, that's it from me. Thanks a lot.

Paul Maleh

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Marc Riddick with Sidoti and Company. Please proceed with your question.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

Hi, good morning.

Paul Maleh

Management

Good morning, Mark.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

So I wanted to go over. Just a couple of areas that sort of jumped out at me the pickup of headcount, which we certainly kind of sort of indicate some positive views on the trends that you're talking about. I was sort of thinking about the -- for a lot of the folks that we cover the acquisition of talent is a major challenge. And so I was wondering maybe you could talk a little bit about the, maybe the pricing inflation or how we should think about, I would imagine that it wasn't expensive to add this kind of talent, but maybe you could talk a little bit about that environment.

Paul Maleh

Management

Sure, I'll give it a shot. You always hire based on what you think the long-term value proposition is for your firm. For firms like CRA, our livelihood is based on hiring the best and brightest individuals at any point in time and the availability of those individuals varies. So if we have opportunities to enhance our pool of colleagues, we're going to take it. I'm not going to worry too much about any kind of short-term volatility that it may cause on profitability because it is just that it's short term we are value-based decision makers and thus will continue to take these positive NPV projects. As we've talked about in past earnings calls. The cost of labor has gone up, we're trying to see where that will shake out given some of the slight softness that has been introduced into the broader labor market, but to date, we've been able to largely mitigate those higher costs of labor through rate increases and the way we deliver our services. By that I mean, if we're able to deliver our services on a more leverage matter, thus being more junior professionals relative to senior professionals that also helps to offset the cost pressures. But as you can see from the profitability in 2022, the margins relative to '21 were identical and actually '21, fiscal '21 and fiscal 2022 margins were higher than we have ever achieved as a firm. So I think we're doing a pretty good job on that mitigation. Hopefully, the future continues to cooperate.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

And that actually leads to my next question, as far as the commentary and I appreciate the clarification around currency and how you view that and how that flows into the guidance. I was wondering if you talk a little bit about the margin range that you have in the guide and maybe this also ties into some of the comments in the prepared remarks as far as I'm thinking about travel and entertainment activity and expenses and maybe going out to see -- having to go out to see clients face to face a little bit more having some of that pickup. I was wondering if maybe you could just talk maybe in a broad sense of maybe sort of where that is kind of relative to maybe pre-pandemic levels or kind of where we're heading and maybe what you're seeing there, how that flowed into you're setting our expectations for '23?

Paul Maleh

Management

Well, let me first answer, what I think is a really easy question. You said in terms of pre-pandemic levels. Our margins are markedly higher than they were prior to March '20, March 2020. And that we are, have been enjoying record levels of profitability now consecutively for several years. So what I'm going to try to spend the second half of my answer on is more of the forward-looking on it. If I'm not mistaken the going-in margin in '22 was roughly the same as the margin that we have just provided for guidance for fiscal 2023. We begin with that largely because of the uncertainty that we have in our marketplace, not just in terms of the demand for our services, but COVID has sort of interfered with our ability to get out, to meet clients, to look, interact with senior talent and so that also remains uncertain heading into 2023. I'm hoping we begin seeing a more stable environment in which we can interact with our clients and prospective recruits but that is also unknown. With respect to CRA's travel and meals and incidentals sometimes that could be a driver of SG&A. I don't think we're anywhere near doing too much marketing or client outreach at CRA. So if my colleagues see the opportunity and are willing to go out and seek out this kind of business opportunities, I'm going to gladly support them with higher SG&A levels. So going forward, I'm comfortable with the range. Do I think there is an upside opportunity, yes, as there always is an upside opportunity, but it's really roughly in the same position that we have been for the last couple of years.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

Okay, great. And then shifting to be the use of cash and it seems as though you're lined up to be fairly consistent with the historical practice of returning capital to shareholders with a multi-prong approach, as well as the announcement of adding to the share repurchase authorization. So, I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about the acquisition side of the picture. Maybe you can sort of talk to us about maybe what you're seeing there, as far as the potential pipeline valuations if that's changed much since we last spoke, or at least maybe in the last six months or so.

Paul Maleh

Management

Sure, I'll start with a few words and then I'll kick things over to Chad on that front. Our commitment to maximize the long-term value per share of CRA remained strong. Here at CRA by no means that my capital constrained, I am not having to forego positive NPV projects because of a lack of capital, in fact, I have $200 million of dry powder that I can access at any point in time if the right opportunity presents itself. So we have been returning substantive capital back to our shareholders, and I see that continuing in the quarters and years ahead. With respect to the talent pipeline, I'm really excited that right now, our funnel has really never been any more robust than it is today. It's just our efforts to select the right talent to join this company. So with that, I'm going to turn it over to Chad maybe he can provide a little more color in terms of the senior talent pipeline.

Chad Holmes

Management

Thanks, Paul, and good morning, Marc.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

Good morning.

Chad Holmes

Management

So, as you know, and as we've talked about in prior calls, we're always looking to hire quality individuals to the CRA team and have been and continue to be active in the market for talent. We continue to see a strong and consistent flow of high-quality individuals who have been drawn to CRA's track record of strong performance over this extended period of time. As Paul said, our pipeline is as rich as it's ever been. Regarding valuation, they remain healthy despite what's going on in the broader financial markets. So we have remained disciplined when evaluating opportunities. A strategic cultural fit, business fit, remains our primary filter when we assess talent acquisition opportunities, and once we have cleared those hurdles and have identified a good opportunity, we can then consider the financial elements including valuation and we're mindful not to overpay. So we were active last year, you can see that through the outflows that we spent throughout 2022. We were able to make investments across many of our practices, the majority probably directed towards the legal and regulatory offering, which is our biggest offering. So it's roughly been proportional. 2023, I would expect a similar pattern, we're going to be actively looking for those good opportunities to invest in the business, expand our contour and provide solutions to our clients.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

Okay. Excellent. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Kevin Steinke with Barrington Research. Please proceed with your question.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Good morning. So I wanted to talk a little bit more about the antitrust and competition economics practice. Certainly impressive with 15% lead flow growth in the quarter despite you mentioned a slowdown in merger-related leads. Can you just talk about what's driving that lead flow growth, is it I guess you touched on the antitrust enforcement, is that the key driver there, are you gaining market share, or what kind of what are some of the factors you'd highlight driving that demand?

Paul Maleh

Management

Sure. Good morning, Kevin. Let me start by saying when we talk about our competition practice I sort of do bowels of praise to my practices, to my colleagues here in North America and Europe because we're not talking about easy comparables for that practice. They have been setting record levels of performance year after year after year. So first, when I talk about lead flow in the M&A marketplace declining for that practice in Q4 take that with a grain of salt in that they've been at high levels, quarter-after-quarter. So I'm not too worried about us getting a fair share of the M&A activity being contemplated, both here in the States and abroad. Secondly, we've been a go-to-provider for better company type of investigations being conducted here in the United States and in Europe for the major technology companies, for the major financial institution companies, and we're seeing that similar type of inbounds continuing for the firm. So I'm pretty pleased with that. It's hard to always ascertain the timeline of when those leads will turn into projects, turn into revenue, but anytime you have a 15% year-over-year growth for a practice of the magnitude of our competition practice it just speaks to the excellence of those colleagues.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Great. And just more broadly across the firm again, you mentioned a 17% increase in project lead flow overall in the fourth quarter. That's where at least some impressive demand in the face of economic uncertainty and could you just touch on I guess broader any trends, or that you call out across maybe your top four practices, maybe outside of antitrust competition, or again is it just feel like it's the quality of the people being able to pull in the business or any other factor you point to that they're driving that demand.

Paul Maleh

Management

Sure. The majority of the inbound inquiries during Q4 resides in the legal regulatory arena with the two largest practices driving that growth was competition as we noted in our forensic services practice. So to no surprise, two of the largest practices also have the largest contribution to our lead flow there. And it's just been a lot of hard work, yes, the quality of the individuals are there, but they're getting out there hustling. The uncertainty is always again the conversion of those projects to revenue and the timing of it, but I think we've done a pretty good job to date over the medium to long term with bringing those opportunities to fruition.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

All right, great. In terms of the margin guidance is that, do you still feel like the SG&A expenses excluding commissions around were about 15.5% or so is a reasonable expectation, it maybe 15.5 to 16, somewhere in there. What are you thinking about, where that levels out?

Paul Maleh

Management

I think that is the range, really around 15.5% to 16% is our steady state range. Variations within that range, it could be because we find unique marketing opportunities we're jumping on, so the expense goes higher or it could be and just some volatility of the revenue quarter-to-quarter that may also drive the percentage higher but I'm comfortable with SG&A in the range of 15.5% to 16%, not just for 2023 but also beyond. I think that is a sweet spot, we're going to try to manage to.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

All right, great. I also wanted to ask about life sciences. You mentioned growth in the fourth quarter. And so what -- what's the outlook there, again your largest practice on the management consulting side. What does lead flow look like they're going into 2023 and I know you did a tuck-in there as well, a tuck-in acquisition, but just any more comments on life sciences would be helpful.

Paul Maleh

Management

Sure. The lead flow was not as robust in life sciences, as we were talking about that in the legal regulatory arena but yet positive. I -- there has been no structural changes in the practice. So all the people that delivered our performance in 2022 are here, as we begin 2023 and I expect their contributions to continue and we're just always looking to supplement that. The inclusion of the buyer strategy group has us really excited not just for those 17 individuals, but it also gives us an additional geographic home from which to recruit from. So now Chicago becomes a location for us to place top talent. And the other thing that Chad didn't elaborate on, but in terms of that talent funnel that he was referred to, a lot of that talent is in the life sciences area. So we're just trying to work through, make sure they are good fits, and make sure they're right for CRA in the long run. No one benefits from us trying to optimize near term quarters.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Great, that's helpful. And then just lastly, just kind of a numbers really question, Dan, I don't know if we wanted to recast the adjusted EBITDA margins historically to exclude the foreign currency gains and losses. I don't know if that's just as easy as excluding those and maintaining the tax rate or is it something we'll just have to wait for as the numbers come out to recast the historical quarters?

Daniel Mahoney

Management

Yes, Kevin. So it is, it is that simple by just adding back or excluding that FX gain loss line because of the way that if you follow our reconciliations starting with our non-GAAP net income, which is already accounting for the taking into effect, those tax adjustments you're referring to. I would also refer you to our investor deck that we posted this morning and in the back there, we have a number of reconciliations which include on an annual basis recasted numbers both sets historical presentation as well as under the new definition. So that's another resource, you can, you can look to.

Paul Maleh

Management

Yes, that adjustment really jumped out at us for Q4. When we updated our guidance during the Q3 earnings call, I had high confidence that we would hit our profitability, mid-point range of our profitability guidance on it and that was with one month into the quarter. And the foreign currency impact just grew over those last two months, and it just prompted us to make this change for transparency for our shareholders and for comparability quarter-over-quarter but for that foreign exchange, the quarter was pretty much exactly in line with our expectations for the quarter and for the year.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Great, that's helpful. And I agree. It definitely, I think makes a lot of sense to exclude that, going forward, and certainly the bottom line looks better when you exclude that volatile item. So, I appreciate that color. All right. Well, thanks, thanks for taking the questions.

Paul Maleh

Management

Okay. Thank you, Kevin, and thanks to everyone for joining us today. We appreciate your time and interest in CRA. We'll be participating in virtual meetings with investors in the coming weeks and months, and we look forward to updating you on our progress on our first quarter call. With that, that concludes today's call. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and we thank you for your participation.