Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) Q4 2015 Earnings Report, Transcript and Summary

Good morning. My name is Nicole and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Chesapeake Utilities 2015 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Beth Cooper, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, you may begin your conference.

Thank you, Nicole, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today to review our fourth quarter and 2015 annual results. Joining me on the call today is Mike McMasters, President and CEO. In addition to Mike, we also have several members of our management team here with us to answer questions. The presentation to accompany our discussion can be accessed on our website under the Investor section and Events and Webcasts subsection or via our IR app. Moving to Slide 2, before we begin, let me remind you that matters discussed in this conference call may include forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements and projections could differ materially from our actual results. The safe harbor for forward-looking statements section of the company's 2015 Annual Report on Form 10-K will provide further information on the factors that could cause of such statements to differ from our actual results. I would like to begin today's presentation by highlighting the company's record performance. As shown on Slide 3, the year 2015 culminated in the ninth consecutive year of record earnings generated by the company, both in terms of net income and earnings per share. In addition, as the slide highlights, Chesapeake has generated very strong returns on equity ranging from 11% to 12.2% over this nine-year period. These results have been driven by our successful capital investments in organic growth opportunities and acquisitions like FPU, Sandpiper Energy, and Aspire Energy of Ohio. The returns that we have generated on these investments have resulted in a compound annual growth rate of 9.8% in earnings-per-share over the nine-year period. Moving to Slide 4, yesterday, we reported results for both the year and the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2015. Net income for the year was $41.1 million, or $2.72 per share, which represents an increase of $5 million, or $0.25 per share, compared to 2014. Year-over-year earnings per share grew by 10.1%. For the fourth quarter of 2015, the company reported net income of $8.6 million, or $0.56 per share. This represents a decrease of $1.5 million, or $0.13 per share, compared to the same quarter in 2014. The decline in the quarter-over-quarter results was caused by lower energy consumption due to warmer temperatures that reduced earnings by $2.5 million, or $0.17 per share. The fourth quarter of 2015 was the warmest fourth quarter in the past 30 years in our operating territories. As you know, gas consumption is impacted by the variability in heating degree days in the winter months. I will now highlight the accomplishments and results for the two business segments for the year. Detailed discussions of our results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2015 are provided in our press release, which was filed yesterday and will be included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, which will be filed Monday. Turning to Slide 5, Chesapeake's regulated energy businesses, which include our natural gas distribution and transmission and electric distribution operations generated operating income of $61 million in 2015, compared to $50.5 million for 2014. The increase in regulated energy operating income was generated from strong growth in the regulated energy businesses. The impact of several nonrecurring items also enhanced 2015's results. Gross margin increased by $13.2 million as a result of service expansions, the Florida Gas Reliability Infrastructure Program, or GRIP, as we refer to it, natural gas customer growth and the Florida electric rate case. The higher gross margin was partially offset by lower margin as a result of warmer weather and an increase in other operating expenses reflecting the incremental cost of service, ultimately resulting in an increase of $2.6 million in 2015 operating income. The nonrecurring items included non-cash pretax impairment charges recorded in 2014 in the aggregate amount of $6.4 million and a gain from a customer billing system settlement of $1.5 million recorded in 2015. The impact of these nonrecurring items resulted in additional operating income of $7.9 million in 2015, compared to 2014. As shown on Slide 6, the unregulated energy segment reported operating income of $16.4 million, compared to $11.7 million for 2014. Operating income excluding a $432,000 nonrecurring charge in 2014 increased by $4.2 million. Higher retail propane margins and margin generated by Aspire Energy were the largest drivers of the $12.4 million increase in gross margin generated by the segment. The increased gross margin was partially offset by the warmer weather, lower results for Xeron, operating expenses from the addition of Aspire Energy and additional expenses as a result of the year's strong performance. The key variances in terms of net income and earnings per share contribution between 2015 and 2014 are highlighted on Slide 7. This table is a summarized version of what is included in our filings and provided in the appendix. For 2015, as mentioned previously, earnings per share increased $0.25, or 10.1%, to $2.72 per share. Gross margin increased $0.95 per share, higher operating expenses largely to support growth offset the gross margin increase by $0.48 per share. Unusual items resulted in a $0.13 decrease in earnings per share for 2015, the largest component of which was the warmer weather in 2015, compared to 2014. While approximating normal weather, 2015 was significantly warmer than 2014, which impacted results year-over-year by $0.18 per share. In our regulated energy segment, an increase in gross margin of $0.65 per share was generated from natural gas customer growth, service expansions in the natural gas transmission businesses, continued investment in the Florida GRIP to enhance infrastructure reliability and safety and the full-year impact of the 2014 electric rate case. In the unregulated energy segment, gross margin increased $0.30 per share largely due to higher retail propane margins, which added $0.37 per share partially offset by lower contribution from propane wholesale marketing and sales. The inclusion of nine months for Aspire Energy lowered Chesapeake’s earnings per share by $0.06, including the impact of issuing approximately 593,000 shares for the acquisition. Finally, interest and other changes reduced year-to-date net earnings per share by $0.03. Slide 8 shows our history of capital expenditures as a percentage of total capitalization. For 2015, we invested 28.3% of total capitalization, 20.7% of which came from organic growth capital investments and 7.6%, which related to the purchase of Aspire Energy. Since 2011, we have made capital investments of $545 million, including acquisitions, which equates to an average 21% of capital expenditures to total capitalization annually. In terms of the dollars invested during 2015, we invested $142.7 million in our existing businesses, including $98 million in our regulated energy segment. Adding in the Gatherco acquisition that was completed in 2015 for $52.5 million, this increases our total capital expenditures for the year to a record of $195.2 million. The execution of our strategic plan continues to generate significant opportunities for profitable capital investment. The current capital budget for 2016 projects investments of $179 million to support and grow our existing businesses. We are pursuing several other projects, which could further increase our level of capital spending. Of the total capital budget for 2016, approximately $30 million represents capital expenditures that are in early project development stage. We are excited about these investments, but recognize that the review and approval process by the regulatory bodies may take longer then we experienced in our previous applications. Slide 10 highlights the company's commitment to maintaining a strong balance sheet, which should facilitate access to competitively priced capital to fund our growth initiatives. Our equity to permanent capitalization and equity to total capitalization, including short-term borrowings, was 70.6%, and 51.9%, respectively, as of December 31, 2015. We target to maintain a ratio of equity to total capitalization, including short-term borrowings of 50% to 60%. As of December 31, 2015, our short-term debt, including the current portion of long-term debt, was $183 million, which also includes $35 million borrowed under our $150 million revolving credit agreement. Available for five years, we can utilize this facility to bridge financing to long-term debt. Given the level of capital expenditures in 2015 along with the 2016 capital budget, we anticipate securing longer-term permanent capital to maintain our targeted equity to total capitalization ratio and will seek to align such financing with the earnings generated from the larger projects. In this regard, on Slide 10, we have highlighted one possible means of securing new long-term debt capital, a Shelf Facility with executed with Prudential Investment Management in late 2015 also for $150 million. In May of 2015, the Board of Directors increased our annualized dividend by $0.07, or 6.5%, to result in an annualized dividend of $1.15 per share as shown on slide 11. We are firmly committed to dividend growth supported by earnings growth. Chesapeake Utilities has paid a dividend continuously for 55 years. Our Board of Directors will be revisiting the dividend level again in May 2016. Given broad market uncertainty and investors current expectations for income and security, we understand the desire for reliable dividends. We expect a significant growth potential in our businesses to continue to provide potential for superior dividend growth in the future, just as it has in the past. Before I dig into the details regarding the gross margin growth we achieved in 2015 as well as our estimates for future margin growth, I would like to spend just a few moments highlighting the overall key financial accomplishments for the year. We have highlighted many of these accomplishments on Slide 12. First, as we mentioned earlier, we increased earnings per share by 10.1%, achieving record earnings for the ninth consecutive year. Our capital expenditures, including the Gatherco acquisition, were $195.2 million, the largest level of annual capital expenditures in our history. This level of investment fostered growth in our overall asset base, which surpassed $1 billion for the first time in 2015. Achieving record earnings enabled us to generate a solid return on equity of 12.1%. We are proud of the growth in our businesses and the returns we have generated for shareholders, which Mike will elaborate on later including a 16.7% total shareholder return for 2015 that included a 6.5% dividend increase. Finally, at year-end, our market capitalization had grown to approximately $867 million. As recently as yesterday, this had escalated further as we closed at a market capitalization of approximately $975 million. Slide 13 shows a snapshot of the consolidated gross margin impact of major projects and initiatives completed since 2014, as well as major projects and initiatives announced and underway. As you can see, these projects and initiatives add a gross margin of $18.2 million in 2015 and are expected to add incremental gross margins of $19.1 million in 2016 and $10.3 million in 2017. We have included a slide in the appendix that provides the detail for the completed projects and their margin contribution for 2014, to 2017. We have a number of other projects and initiatives in place to expand margins in 2017 and beyond and as their timing related to in service is solidify, we will update our projections accordingly. Slide 14 provides detail on projects and initiatives underway as referenced on the previous slide. These investments will be completed over the next year and are expected to produce gross margin of approximately $7.2 million, in 2016 and $18.2 million, in 2017. As our results over the past nine years demonstrate, our team is relentless in identifying and pursuing opportunities to enhance our growth and further increase our gross margin. As always, thank you for your support and interest in our growing company. These continue to be very exciting times for Chesapeake Utilities, as exemplified through our strong financial results. Now I will turn the call over to Mike, who will expand on our strategic growth initiatives, long-term performance results and commitment to continued growth for shareholders.

Thanks, Beth. Good morning everyone. Slide 15 illustrates how we approach achieving sustainable growth. Chesapeake Utilities' success story starts with engaged, dedicated, and capable employees who are committed to expanding our infrastructure, to meet the energy needs of our customers and communities. Our employees continually seek opportunities to further engagement with the local communities. They construct and operate safe, reliable energy delivery systems whether they are pipelines, wires or trucks. Our employees do a remarkable job of identifying, developing, and transforming opportunities into profitable earnings growth. Finally, we employ a disciplined capital allocation process to produce superior returns to shareholders. Turning to Slide 16, our success in delivering returns is due to the hard work of our employees, our strategic planning process, and discipline in executing our strategic plan. Strategic planning is a continuous process for our company. We update our strategic plan every year and we ask our business unit leaders and our strategic business develop team, to take a new look at market conditions and the new opportunities are evolving in the market. Then we challenge our teams to identify ways to grow at rates faster than they could if they simply continue doing what they are doing today. This keeps our thinking fresh and our focus on generating sustainable long-term growth. Turning to Slide 17, the performance quadrant is one of the ways that we monitor the results of our strategic plan and its execution. We believe that one of the keys to our success is our ability to deploy significant amounts of capital with attractive returns on investment. Chesapeake continues to rank in the upper quartile of gas distribution, electric, and combination utility companies in terms of capital invested and return on capital over the past three years. Our ability to achieve higher than industry average returns, while investing higher levels of capital relative to our size is result of our ability to identify and develop profitable growth opportunities, maintain our disciplined capital investment decision-making process, execute on our growth opportunities and achieve our targeted financial results. Turning to Slide 18, the environmental and economic advantages of natural gas and propane provide opportunities for expanded use in our service territories and across the United States. Natural gas is abundant, clean, efficient, domestic and affordable. The abundance of clean natural gas in the United States continues to provide security of supply, energy reliability, and stable prices to Americans every day. As shown on Slide 18, natural gas and propane continue to have price stability, compared to oil and are expected to maintain this advantage for the foreseeable future. This price stability creates opportunities to satisfy new customer demand at affordable prices. And has helped to create opportunities that our team has developed to drive growth in margins, earnings, and ultimately dividends. Turning to Slide 19, one such opportunity is the White Oak expansion project to increase mainline capacity to serve Calpine's new power plant in Dover, Delaware. Eastern Shore plans to invest between $32 million and $35 million, which could be used to build 7.2 miles of pipeline looping an additional compression facilities to provide natural gas to the power plant. The estimated annual gross margin resulting from this project, under the 20 year service agreement will be approximately $5.8 million. In 2016, we expect to generate approximately $5 million of incremental margin. As part of our ongoing commitment and efforts to provide reliable service to our customers, Eastern Shore has proposed a $32 million reliability project that is highlighted on Slide 20. The project includes the installation of one compressor and 10.1 miles of 16-inch pipeline looping. These facilities are necessary to provide optimal system reliability and design. FERC issued a scheduling notice to establish a deadline of April, 2016 for the environmental assessment and July 2016 for all other federal agency decisions. The project will be included in the Eastern Shore's upcoming 2017 rate chase filing. Once the cost is included in our rates, the estimated annual margin associated with this project will be approximately $4.5 million. As a company, we are committed to offering our customers supply, diversification opportunities and access to the lowest cost of natural gas. One such example is highlighted on Slide 21. Eastern Shore is moving forward with making certain modifications to its interconnect with Texas Eastern transmission, TETCO, that will increase the availability of natural gas at the interconnect point by 53,000 dekatherms a day. FERC's approval to move forward with these modifications was granted in December 2015. These modifications, which are scheduled to be completed and in service during March 2016, will allow customers to have access to additional TETCO supply and the opportunity to secure lower cost natural gas. This 53,000 dekatherms equates to $2.8 million, in incremental annual margin for Eastern Shore. Turning to Slide 22, safety is a top priority for our company. Our Florida GRIP pipeline replacement program is an example of one of our initiatives designed to increase service reliability and operation safety for the communities we serve. The GRIP program enables the company to accelerate the replacement of cast-iron and bare steel mains, and service lines. GRIP also authorizes a company to accelerate the recovery of pipeline replacement investments including a return on those investments, as well as the recovery of certain program related costs. Our GRIP investments totaled $32.8 million, in 2015, and are approaching $80 million, since the program's inception. To date, we have replaced 162 miles of pipeline and over 4,300 service lines. The gross margin generated from these investments was $7.5 million at 2015 and is projected to be $11.4 million, in 2016. Turning to Slide 23, our Eight Flags Energy subsidiary is constructing a combined heat and power plant located in our electric and natural gas distribution territory on Amelia Island, Florida. The plant will produce approximately 20 megawatts of base load power to be sold to our electric distribution system on the island. Steam from the plant will be sold to Rayonier’s Advanced Materials paper mill. The combined heat and power plant and the related facilities will cost approximately $40 million to construct. Site construction is moving forward on schedule. In terms of timing, the project is expected to be online in the third quarter of 2016. In addition to generating approximately $7.3 million in incremental annual gross margin, the electric output from the plant is excited to generate savings for our electric customers of approximately $3 million to $4 million annually. As shown on slide 24, the Eight Flags project is an example of the diverse capabilities that we have to provide value-added service to our customers and the communities we serve. In this case, our financial pipeline company transports the natural gas to FPU's natural gas distribution system. FPU in turn delivers that gas to the Eight Flags CHP plant. Eight Flags then generates the power for delivery to FPU’s electric distribution system and the steam for delivery to Rayonier Advanced Materials plans. When all of this is said and done, we save Rayonier Advanced Materials money, save our electric customers on the island money and returns on capital for investors. Slide 25 illustrates the aspired energy of Ohio business model, which operates over 2500 miles of pipelines pipeline in the areas in and around the Utica Shale, and Eastern and Central Ohio. We operate 16 gathering systems for conventional producers in the area. Over 80% of Aspire's margin is derived from the sale of natural gas, to two local distribution companies that are connected to our gathering system and serve more than 20,000 end use customers. The addition of new producers to our system presents an opportunity for increased reliability for our local distribution customers and increased margins for the company. Finally, we also own rights-of-way that we expect will present additional opportunities for growth over the long-term. Over the last 10 months, since April 1, there has been a significant progress and success with integrating Aspire Energy into the Chesapeake family of companies. Our management team lead with focus and drive to strategically develop, Aspire Energy organization and align the business with the vision, strategies and cultural of our parent company. The team has maintained the momentum of operating the existing business and customer needs, while also focusing on the future growth of the business. Our Aspire Energy employees are actively engaged in developing a strategic growth plan and have already begun to successfully identify and develop new growth opportunities. As a result of our team's efforts, Aspire energy generated $6.3 million in gross margins since April 1 and is expected to generate approximately $13 million in gross margin in 2016. We continue to be excited about the opportunities presented by the latest addition to the Chesapeake family and continue to expect the Aspire Energy to be accretive to earnings in the first full year of operations. Turning to Slide 26, in 2014, we found a rate increase for our electric operations in Florida which increased rates by approximately $3.7 million annually. As the rate case was approved last year, 2015's results include a full-year impact of the new rates. On December 1, 2015, we found a rate increase application for $1 million, to increase our Sandpiper subsidiaries operating - returns in Worcester County, Maryland. The following was required as part of the Maryland PSC's approval of the Sandpiper acquisition and regulatory plan. A decision on the application is expected during the second quarter of this year. We found a $4.7 million rate case in Delaware in December 21, 2015 included in our application, our new service offerings to promote growth and a revenue decoupling mechanism for residential and small commercial customers. The decision on the application is expected during the third quarter of 2016. Pending the decision, the Delaware division implemented an interim rate increase of $2.5 million, on February 19, 2016. Our last rate case in Delaware dates back to 2007. Finally, our Eastern Shore natural gas subsidiary will follow a rate case with the FERC new rates effective February 1, 2017. The filing is required as part of a settlement of our last rate case. Our application will be submitted by the end of 2016. As the chart on Slide 27 shows, Chesapeake provide a total shareholder return of 17%, for 2015. For each of the five periods shown, Chesapeake shareholders have earned more than 14% returns on a compound annual basis. In addition, before the five periods shown, the Chesapeake’s performance exceeded the 75th percentile of the peer group. Slide 28 shows our financial performance of the past one, three, and five years. I am proud to say that our employees have delivered top quartile performance in 18 of the 20 categories. Further, our 10 and 20 year compound annual total shareholder returns of 14.4% and 14% respectively, ranked first amongst our peers. In fact, when you compare our the shareholder returns to the broader market, you could evaluate our performance relative to this larger group. As Slide 29 shows, when you compare us to more than 2,200 companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange, our performance exceeds 84th percentile. Similarly, as shown on Slide 30, when we compare performance to the company's comprising S&P 500, for all periods shown, our returns range from the 703rd, to the 81st percentile. We are very pleased with our strong performance after the broad market as measured by either of these two larger groups. In closing, our employees' determination for excellence and consistently high performance, enables us to deliver clean, liable, low-cost energy solutions to our customers while achieving strong growth and earnings and return to shareholders equity, and therefore delivering superior shareholder value. We will now be happy to take questions.

Well I just want to thank everyone for joining us on our call today and for your interest in Chesapeake Utilities. We're proud of what our team has accomplished for shareholders in the past and remain committed to working hard to deliver superior shareholder returns in the future. Thank you.

This concludes today's conference. You may now disconnect.