Keith Creel
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead
All right. I'll take a shot at the -- what my view is on the Wylie option, and I'll let John maybe touch on the tariffs on the automotive side, Walter. I think just for perspective, as everyone understands what we're talking about, back in 2006, when the Meridian LLC was created in partnership with KCS and NS, there was an option to purchase the Dallas Intermodal Terminal, which at that time was at a place called Zacka Junction that was conceptualized and baked into the agreement. It was a one-time one-year window that opened up and in 2024 that closes in April of this year. It's a one-and-done kind of thing, to purchase just that terminal. Now it's important to understand that it's just that terminal. So many of you have been to our Wylie terminal where we opened up our new automotive terminal, it's adjacent to the intermodal terminal, opposite -- south of the mainline, we got about a 500-acre footprint. It's about 90 some-odd acres of the 500. Essentially, that's it. So if it were to be purchased, if they were to exercise the option, it essentially, lack of a better term, is an island. Today, we own it, we operate it, they're the customer, they pay the slip rates for their agent. If they buy it, we take their money. They've got to pay a fair price that's all kind of worked out in the agreement. We can redeploy the capital and make money with it. And we become the customer and we're treated in a fair and equitable way the same way we treat them today. So to me, it's nothing to be concerned about at all. Because truly the true value of it is, it's how you package and how you create the total value for the customer because standalone if you think about it historic and this is the way I look at things, the facts are that was not a big growth engine for NS and KCS. For whatever reason, you go back and look at the data, and I went back as far as 2018; number one, 95% of the business originates or terminates outside of that terminal that's coming from [indiscernible]. So, essentially with an NS terminal, it always has been an NS terminal as far as the destination standpoint. Now we've changed a little bit of that, but there's been no runaway in growth because the true competitor in that lane for that terminal, if you look at it standalone is I-20, it's the interstate. So as the ebbs and flows go of trucking capacity, oversupply, undersupply, rates go up, rates go down, it's going to ebb and flow. So I'm not saying it doesn't have some value. But the true value is when you package it with an automotive compound. And you create an ecosystem that complements this automotive closed-loop system where you have the possibility now to ship automotive parts, they play a role in the production of those finished vehicles that go to those auto racks that operate in that closed-loop system. And when you can do that around our entire network, the strongest automotive network that's been created in the industry, that's when you start to move the needle. So again, my guess is and I've heard the same saber rattling and I know that in NS's recent challenges with their shareholders, some of those shareholders have strong views that there's a lot of untapped or lost value there. Quite frankly, I've been doing this a long time and I hope that they can unlock it. I hope that they can unlock some growth because the reality is this railroad is built to grow with both railroads. The traffic goes to and from on the rail is going to come over our route, we control it, we dispatch it. It's going to go perhaps in this case to their island, which they share with us and have to serve us in. So we're going to compete to that island, we're going to work hard with NS as well as with their competitor in the East to grow from the Southeast markets into the Dallas markets in the triangle down to the Mexican markets. So I hope that if they do buy it, Walter, that they're motivated and they want to grow. I hope that they do what they haven't done in the past because guess what, we get to be part of that and we'll work closely with them. And at the same time, whether they do or they don't, one thing you can bet your money on, this entrepreneurial team, these hunters that we have and John's marketing team are going to work closely with all strategic partners, be it Schneider, be it CSX, be it any other player that wants to bring traffic to the table to take trucks off-the-road and to utilize this unique network to leverage that triumph. We're going to grow into Dallas, we're going to go into Mexico, we're going to grow Mexico into the Southeast in a very unique way. So again, what I would say is they do, if they do, I'll shake their hand, we'll take their money, we'll redeploy it. We'll make a great return with a sizable amount of money, they're going to have to pay us to buy it out and we'll still compete against them and partner with them, nothing changes. We still grow. We still -- net-net, we're in a beautiful position of strength, however that shakes out.