Sue Nabi
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Chris, this is Sue speaking. So yes, indeed, this is a very important question. So let me start sharing with you our thoughts. First, this year, the beauty market growth, as we've seen it all, is normalizing to a steadier growth level. But I have to say that this low to mid-single-digit growth is broadly consistent with what we have estimated several years ago even if the market was much higher, but this is the assumption we made years ago. And the growth algorithm was based on a market that was growing between plus 3% and plus 4%. As before, our goal is to outperform the beauty market. This is very, very important. However, in these various macro environments, retailer environments, regional uncertainties, now there are potentially tariff wars that could happen here and there, which are honestly at a level that has not been seen in decades, many, many disruptions. I think, and we think, that it is no longer prudent to put specific sales growth targets. And we are, therefore, committed like some of our peers to outperforming the market. Whatever the level of growth we see in our core markets and specifically in our core categories. So how would we support this outperformance of the market? I believe that we have several drivers in our hands. First, a robust Fragrance category with still penetration and usage that are still increasing structurally and across many markets around the world. Second, the company is expanding its offering in Fragrances now to mass. So we are really leading, and we are the global leader worldwide when it comes to Premium Fragrances up to mass fragrances. Number three, we are expanding our businesses in categories where we are currently under-indexed. I'm thinking about Prestige Color Cosmetics category, including the launch of the new Marc Jacobs Color Cosmetics Line, but also I'm thinking about skincare. And this gives me the occasion to really say that one brand at Coty is doing wonders in China. Fastest-growing skincare brand of the market is indeed Lancaster during this quarter. It's growing on a market that is minus 10% at almost 200%. And some key SKUs has become part of the top 20 of the Chinese market. So this is really the start of our first green shoots when it comes to skincare on the most difficult market at the moment, but the biggest market when it comes to skincare. Number four, we will continue to grow our penetration and market share online, hence, the question I've been answering a few minutes ago. This is really an area where we are growing faster than the rest of the market, and we reached the $1 billion threshold a year ago when it comes to online sales. And number five, we'll continue to strongly grow our business in growth engine markets. I'm thinking about South Africa, to take one example, where the company has become the #1 Prestige Fragrance maker. I'm thinking about Saudi Arabia. I'm thinking about Southeast Asia growing by 15%. And I'm thinking about Mexico, where the company is doing also wonders. So clearly, the addition of this fifth growth -- these 5, sorry, growth drivers is really what will allow us to grow our sales above the market, and at the same time, our target remains to continue to grow our gross margin. You've seen our gross margin reaching a record level this quarter, at almost 70%, 68% to be precise. And of course, this would allow us to continue to grow our EPS and free cash flow. Laurent, you can do the swaps question.