Gary Millerchip
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thanks, Ron. In today's press release, we reported operating results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 for 12 weeks ending February 15. As usual, we published a slide deck under Events and Presentations on our investor website with supplemental information to support today's press release. Net income for the second quarter came in at $2.035 billion or $4.58 per diluted share, up nearly 14% from $1.788 billion or $4.02 per diluted share in the second quarter last year. Net sales for the second quarter were $68.24 billion, an increase of 9.1% from $62.53 billion in Q2 2025. Comparable sales were up 7.4% or 6.7% adjusted for gas price deflation and FX. Excluding gas sales entirely and adjusting for the impact of foreign exchange, comparable sales were up 7.4%. Digitally-enabled comparable sales were up 22.6% or 21.7% adjusted for FX. Our segment breakout of comparable sales is disclosed in both our earnings release and the supplemental slide deck. In terms of Q2 comp sales metrics, FX positively impacted sales by approximately 1.4%, while gas price deflation negatively impacted sales by approximately 0.7%. Traffic or shopping frequency increased 3.1% worldwide. Our average transaction or ticket was up 4.2% worldwide and 3.5% excluding gas price deflation and changes in FX. Moving down the income statement to membership fee income. We reported membership fee income of $1.355 billion, an increase of $162 million or 13.6% year-over-year. Adjusting for FX, the increase was 12.2%. The September 2024 U.S. and Canada membership fee increase accounted for about 1/3 of our membership income growth. Excluding the membership fee increase and FX, membership income grew 7.5% year-over-year. This was driven by continued growth in our membership base and upgrades to executive memberships. At Q2 end, we had 40.4 million paid executive memberships, up 9.5% versus last year. We ended the quarter with 82.1 million total paid members, up 4.8% versus last year and 147.2 million cardholders, up 4.7% year-over-year. In terms of renewal rates, at Q2 end, our U.S. and Canada renewal rate was 92.1%, down 10 basis points from last quarter; and the worldwide rate came in at 89.7%, unchanged from last quarter. The slight decline in the U.S. and Canada renewal rate was due to the factors we have discussed in prior quarters and reflects new online members growing as a percentage of our total base and renewing at a slightly lower rate than warehouse sign-ups. We continue to focus on increasing the renewal rate of these new online members through targeted digital communications and retention strategies. And those efforts partially offset the negative effect of the increased penetration of online sign-ups. Turning to gross margin. Our reported rate was higher year-over-year by 17 basis points and higher 11 basis points without gas deflation, coming in at 11.02% compared to 10.85% last year. Core was lower by 3 basis points and lower by 7 basis points excluding gas deflation. In terms of core margins on their own sales, our core-on-core margins were higher by 22 basis points. The increase in core-on-core margins was broad-based with nonfood, food and sundries and fresh all higher year-over-year. The difference between reported core margins and core-on-core margins was driven by mix changes as well as higher 2% executive rewards and lower income from our co-brand credit card program compared to last year. Ancillary and other businesses gross margin was higher by 19 basis points or 17 basis points excluding gas deflation. This was driven by higher gas profitability and strong growth in pharmacy. LIFO negatively impacted the gross margin rate by 4 basis points. We had a $12 million LIFO charge in Q2 this year compared to a $12 million credit in Q2 last year. This quarter's gross margin rate also included a nonrecurring legal settlement, which had a positive impact of 5 basis points. Moving on to SG&A. Our reported SG&A rate was higher or worse year-over-year by 13 basis points and higher or worse by 8 basis points without gas deflation, coming in at 9.19% compared to last year's 9.06%. The operations component of SG&A was higher or worse by 2 basis points, but better or lower by 2 basis points excluding the impact of gas deflation. Our operators once again did a great job improving productivity and capturing efficiency benefits from the technology investments we've recently implemented. These productivity improvements fully offset last year's wage investments and any impact of extended operating hours. Central was higher or worse by 4 basis points and higher by 3 basis points excluding the impact of gas deflation. This quarter's SG&A also included an increase in general liability reserves to reflect higher expected future costs for prior year claims not yet settled. This negatively impacted the rate by 6 basis points. Below the operating income line, interest expense was $33 million versus $36 million last year. Interest income was $140 million versus $109 million last year, driven by higher cash balances; and FX and other was an $8 million benefit this year versus a $33 million benefit last year, largely due to changes in FX. In terms of income taxes, our tax rate in Q2 was 25.2% compared to 26.2% in Q2 last year. Turning now to some key items of note in the quarter. Capital expenditure in Q2 was $1.29 billion. We estimate CapEx for the full year will be approximately $6.5 billion as we continue to invest in building a larger pipeline of new warehouses, remodeling our existing warehouses to drive continued growth in high-volume buildings, expanding our depot network to support operations and enhancing the member digital experience. In terms of merchandising highlights, the Lunar New Year celebration this year showcased our merchants global buying expertise. We were able to introduce many exciting new items for our members that help drive growth across fresh, foods and sundries and nonfood categories in the U.S. and our international markets. Some of the best sellers included items ranging from duck and quail eggs, Year of the Horse-inspired gold jewelry and bullion and Shine Muscat grapes. We also had a very successful Valentine's Day. In fact, laid out stem-to-stem, the roses we sold in the U.S. for Valentine's Day this year would have stretched all the way from Seattle to New York City and back again. Fresh comparable sales were up low double digits in the quarter, led by meat and bakery. In meat, we saw strong growth in both premium cuts of beef and lower-cost proteins such as ground beef and poultry. In bakery, we continue to see success with the launch of exciting new items like the chocolate hazelnut mini beignets and a variety of seasonal pastries and cookies. Nonfood comp sales were up high single digits in Q2. Top-performing departments were gold and jewelry, tires, majors, health and beauty and small electrics. Unique items continue to play an important role in creating excitement for our members in nonfoods. And our second quarter sales included a $150,000 emerald-cut 5.8 carat diamond ring, a $20,000 Babe Ruth autograph baseball and nearly 200 luxury Whisper golf carts at an average price of approximately $9,000. In food and sundries, comps grew mid-single digits, led by candy and packaged foods. While egg price deflation is expected to continue to be a headwind to sales in food and sundries for the foreseeable future, we're seeing significant unit and market share growth in eggs because of our strong value proposition. Overall inflation decreased slightly in Q2 as we saw lower inflation in foods and sundries and fresh, led by deflation in produce, eggs and dairy. This was partially offset by slightly higher inflation in nonfoods. The supply chain was also relatively stable in Q2, and our merchants feel good about our current inventory position heading into the spring. That said, as we look at the rest of the fiscal year, the situation in the Middle East could impact fuel costs and shipping schedules if there is instability in the region for a sustained period of time. Kirkland Signature remains a top focus to deliver great value for our members with KS items typically offering 15% to 20% value compared to the national brand alternative with equal or better quality. In Q2, we launched approximately 30 new KS items, including crispy wings, blackened salmon and various apparel items. As Ron mentioned earlier, our goal is to be the first to lower prices where we see opportunities to do so. And a few examples this quarter included KS Butter from $13.89 at the end of Q1 to $8.49 at the end of Q2, 12-count KS Organic Coconut Water from $12.79 to $10.99, KS Organic Seaweed from $10.99 to $9.99, and 2-liter KS Italian extra virgin olive oil from $29.99 to $24.99. Within ancillary businesses, pharmacy and food court experienced double-digit comparable sales growth, and optical and hearing had high single-digit growth. Gas comps were negative mid-single digits, driven by mid- to high single digit price deflation, partially offset by gallon growth. Turning to digital. Site traffic in the quarter was up 32% and app traffic was up 45%. Sales of pharmacy, gold and jewelry, toys, tires, small electrics, special events and housewares, all grew double digits year-over-year. And our same-day delivery service offered through Instacart, Uber Eats and DoorDash continue to grow at a faster pace than our overall digital sales. The enhancements we are making to deliver a more personalized digital experience for our members are starting to create measurable impacts. In Q2, our personalized product recommendation carousels drove over $470 million of e-commerce sales, and our newly modernized product display pages are driving incremental sales on our dot-com site as well as increased traffic to our same-day sites. We have a clear road map for future digital enhancements and believe these will allow us to continue to grow digitally-enabled sales at a faster pace than overall sales. Finally, a brief update on our February sales results for the 4 weeks ended this past Sunday, March 1. Net sales for the month came in at $21.69 billion, an increase of 9.5% from $19.81 billion last year. Comparable sales were as follows: the U.S. was up 5.2% or 6% adjusted for gas deflation and FX; Canada was up 12.8% or 9.3% adjusted for gas deflation and FX; Other International was up 17.9% or 10.9% adjusted for gas deflation and FX. And this resulted in total company comp sales of plus 7.9% or plus 7% adjusted for gas deflation and FX. Digitally-enabled sales were up 21.8% or 20.8% adjusted for FX. Total company comparable sales for the month, excluding all gas sales and the impact of foreign exchange, was 7.8%. As a reminder, Lunar and Chinese New Year occurred on February 17, 19 days later this year. This shift positively impacted February Other International and total company sales by approximately 4% and 0.5%, respectively. Our comp traffic or frequency for February was up 3% worldwide and 1.5% in the U.S. Foreign currencies year-over-year relative to the U.S. dollar positively impacted total and comparable sales as follows: Canada by approximately 5%, Other International by approximately 8% and total company by approximately 1.7%. Gas price deflation negatively impacted total reported comp sales by approximately 85 basis points. The average worldwide selling price per gallon was down 7.5% versus last year. Worldwide, the average transaction was up 4.8%, which includes the impacts from gas deflation and FX. Excluding gas deflation and FX, average transaction was up 3.9%. In terms of regional and merchandising categories, the general highlights were as follows: U.S. regions with the strongest comparable sales were the Midwest, Northwest and Southeast. Other International in local currencies, we saw the strongest results in China, Taiwan and Korea. The negative impact of cannibalization was approximately 60 basis points for the total company. Moving to merchandise highlights. The following comparable sales results by category for the month excludes the positive impact of foreign exchange. Food and sundries were positive mid-single digits. Better performing departments included candy, food and frozen foods. Fresh foods were positive low double digits. Better performing departments included meat and bakery. Nonfoods were positive mid-single digits. Better performing departments included jewelry, majors and small appliances. Ancillary business sales were up mid- to high single digits. Pharmacy, food court and optical were the top performers. Gas was down low to mid-single digits, driven by price per gallon changes year-over-year. In terms of upcoming releases, we will announce our March sales results for the 5 weeks ending Sunday, April 5; on Wednesday, April 8, after market close. That concludes our prepared remarks, and we'll now open the line up for questions.