Brian Armstrong
Analyst · Clear Street
Yeah. So we are seeing lots of different companies come out and launch their own chain now, which, you know, in a way is normal. Like, whenever you have an a growing market, you see initially fragmentation And then over time, you typically see consolidation. We have seen that, you know, that is this has been true for automobiles and you know, trains and all kinds of things historically. But even in the crypto space, I think we saw this with stablecoins where just it seemed like there was a period of time where every company was coming out with their own stablecoin, and there was a belief that we all have to have our own. And then it is turned out that despite all of those new stablecoins being announced, the market share of say, USDC and Tether has not really shrunk by almost any amount over the last year or so. So maybe a very de minimis amount. So I think what we are what people found out in stablecoins is that there is an actual network effect to stablecoins. And customers if you are sending and receiving between platforms, which is a big part of the utility of it, then you want to keep it all in a stablecoin that you know. You do not wanna have to be paying sort of an x FX or conversion fee every time you use a stablecoin. So my guess is we are gonna see something similar happen with blockchains and you know, Stripe is has launched 1 and Robinhood has launched 1. Some of them are a little bit more special purpose, I guess, in what they are they are targeting. And then know, the largest blockchains out there, Ethereum and Solana, are still kinda more general purpose. So an interesting question about whether where when the consolidation phase will start to happen. And, of course, Base has been doing really well as the largest L2 on Ethereum. You know, it is it is the it is the most liquid market for instance, like, with crypto spot trading, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. You know, I think it is number 1 now in terms of stablecoin volume. I think it did about, like, 32 bill 32 trillion in the last 12 months of stablecoin transfer volume. it is also the leader in AgenTic. Finance. Right? We have seen like I mentioned earlier, the payments that are happening with X402 and those kind things. They are happening predominantly on base. So you know, I am very excited about base. I think it is an incredible innovation. I think you know, there is a path to, decentralize it over time, which we have said publicly in the past. Where we want lots of companies to be able to build on it as neutral infrastructure, and we have been making good progress on that through the different stages of decentralization. We have got really like a 2-year head start, I would say. We are gonna continue to invest in base. We are gonna make sure everyone can build on top of it. And then you know, we probably will see more companies launch their own. And then the question is, how and when will that consolidation phase happen? And how might there be sort of an M&A-type process in the world of blockchains? Like, we have seen small examples of that in the past, but who knows? We might have to become a bit of a specialist in that area.