James A. Donahue
Analyst · Sidoti & Company
Okay. Thanks, Jeff. Earlier, I commented on the strength of our automotive-related business. But much of the talk today about semiconductor application centers on smartphones and tablets. The automotive segment is growing rapidly, and Cohu is an excellent -- is in an excellent position to benefit. The market for automotive semiconductors is well established. Until recent years, this was a mature, low-growth business, mainly associated with increased sales of automobiles. But this is no longer the case. The automotive sector has become a dynamic driver of growth for the semiconductor industry. While the largest overall industry segments are expected to remain computing and communications at least through 2017, the automotive sector is the fastest growing, with a CAGR of 9.4% compared to 6.5 for the total semiconductor market. Global automotive sales will exceed 100 million units by 2017, and that represents 28% growth over 2012. Analysts expect that semiconductor content per car will grow from $215 in 2012 to $385 in 2017. The key drivers for this growth are powertrain, chassis and safety, in-vehicle infotainment and advanced driver assist systems. And while historically, innovations that were introduced in the luxury end of the market had a slow transition to lower-priced vehicles, that too is changing. Customers are demanding more capability and features that manufactures are now able to provide as costs continue to fall and innovation accelerates. While long-time automotive semiconductor suppliers like Infineon, ST, Freescale and NXP will continue to be major players, the growth of communications applications and processing capability within the vehicle provides opportunities for companies such as Broadcom, Qualcomm, Marvell and Nvidia, even Samsung, the world's largest maker of memory chips and the second largest semiconductor maker, is taking a fresh look at the automotive semiconductor market. Automotive safety and quality requirements are among the strictest in the world. Much more so than other industries, automotive products can be subject to recall, involving lengthy, complex and costly processes. If a chip is determined to be the root cause of an issue, the cost of recall could exceed the supplier's automotive revenue. So as a result, semiconductor manufacturers subject their automotive chips to the most rigorous testing, short that is of military applications. For example, automotive semiconductor devices must be tested across the temperature range of minus 50 degrees C to 175 degrees C, compared to about 30 to 120 degrees C for consumer applications. Since the 1970s, Cohu has been the world leader in providing highly accurate temperature conditioning across the extended automotive temperature range. In addition to enabling test at the automotive temperature extremes, our proprietary thermal technology maintains temperature stability throughout the test process, thereby optimizing yields. Our MATRiX pick-and-place and Rasco gravity handlers are considered to be the industry standards for automotive semiconductor testing. These systems deliver more than just temperature accuracy, they provide an integrated solution for optimized yields with our high-precision Kelvin contactors, the highest parallel test capability in the industry, and productivity features that maximize efficiency. Furthermore, the increasing expansion of processing capability in a vehicle is likely to drive demand for active thermal power management during test, one of our key proprietary technologies that has been recently implemented in our general purpose handlers. The qualification process for new equipment in the automotive market can take several quarters and imposes high entry barriers for competitors. While we continue to invest to maintain our technology leadership, we already have a strong incumbent position with our handlers being the standards today for testing automotive semiconductors. So while there is considerable talk about mobility these days, it's important to highlight the automotive semiconductor sector, where growth is robust and where Cohu has a dominant position in test handling. And now looking at the current business environment. So order rates for back end semiconductor equipment declined during the third quarter. It's encouraging that equipment utilization remained near the 80% level, where it's been for most of the year. Based on forecast and comments from customers, we expect that the mobility segment will regain momentum, the industrial power segment will continue to improve and that automotive applications will remain strong. For the fourth quarter, we expect sales to be approximately $60 million. Though current conditions in the back end semiconductor equipment industry are challenging and customers are cautious about capital spending, we know that this will change at some point. We are focused on optimizing our business model with key strategic and operational actions to increase sales and also to improve our financial performance across the cycle. Our strategy has 4 key elements: First, maximize sales synergies following the Ismeca acquisition, leveraging our broad product line and like customer base to win more business at target accounts; second, expand our share in the mobility and premium LED markets with new products; third, lower our manufacturing cost structure with the transition of handler manufacturing to Asia; and finally, implement the financial discipline to deliver 15% operating income or better on $90 million in sales per quarter. This is the plan that we are executing to deliver great products and support to our customers and solid returns to our shareholders. That concludes our prepared remarks, and now we'll take questions, please.