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PC Connection, Inc. (CNXN)

Q4 2024 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 6, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2024 Connection Earnings Conference Call. My name is Josh, and I will be the coordinator for today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following the prepared remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. As a reminder, this conference call is the property of Connection and may not be recorded for rebroadcast without specific permission from the company. On the call today are Tim McGrath, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Tom Baker, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. I will now turn the call over to the company.

Samantha Smith

Management

Thanks, operator. Good afternoon, everyone. I will now read our cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements. Any statements or references made during the conference call that are not statements of historical fact may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Various remarks that management may make about the company's future expectations, plans and prospects constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of the Safe Harbor provision under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in the Risk Factors section of the company's annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, which is on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission as well as in other documents that the company files with the commission from time to time. In addition, any forward-looking statements represent management's view as of today and should not be relied upon as representing views as of any subsequent date. While the company may elect to update forward-looking statements at some point in the future, the company specifically disclaims any obligation to do so other than as required by law even if estimates change. Therefore, you should not rely on these forward looking statements as representing management's views as of any date subsequent to today. During this call, non-GAAP financial measures will be discussed. A reconciliation between any non-GAAP financial measure discussed and its most directly comparable GAAP measure is available in today's earnings release and on the company's website at www.connection.com. Please note that unless otherwise stated, all references to full year and fourth quarter 2024 comparisons are being made against the year ended December 31, 2023 and the fourth quarter thereof. Today's call is being webcast and will be available on Connection's website. The earnings release will be available on the SEC website at www.sec.gov and in the Investor Relations section of our website, www.ir.connection.com. I would now like to turn the call over to our host, Tim McGrath, President and CEO. Tim?

Timothy McGrath

Management

Thank you, Samantha. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for Connection's Q4 2024 conference call. I'll begin this afternoon with an overview of our 2024 performance followed by our fourth quarter results. Tom will then walk us through a more detailed look at our financials. For the full year, revenue was $2.8 billion, a decrease of 1.7% compared to the prior year, while gross profit was $519.8 million, an increase of 1.6%. Gross margin was a record 18.6%, growing 60 basis points. Our SG&A was $422.3 million, an increase of 4% compared to the prior year. This increase was due to our investment in critical areas of our business, which we will discuss in detail later in the call. Net income was $87.1 million, an increase of 4.6% compared to the prior year. Earnings per diluted share was $3.29 for 2024 compared to $3.15 in the prior year. Now let's discuss our Q4 performance. Consolidated net sales were $708.9 million, an increase of 1.8% compared to last year. Gross profit was flat at $129.8 million. Gross margins were down 30 basis points to 18.3% in Q4 compared to the prior year quarter, primarily due to a shift in product mix. Operating income in Q4 was $22.6 million, a decrease of 19% compared to Q4 2023. Operating income as a percent of sales was 3.2% compared to 4% in net sales in the prior year quarter. Net income in Q4 was $20.7 million, a decrease of 12.9%, compared to $23.8 million in the prior year quarter. In Q4 2024, our diluted earnings per share was $0.78, a decrease of 12.8% from $0.90 in Q4 2023. Last quarter, during our conference call, we noted that the recovery in IT spending was taking longer than we anticipated. This trend…

Thomas Baker

Management

Thanks, Tim. In the fourth quarter, SG&A increased by 5.2% over the prior year. The increase in SG&A was primarily due to investments in resources to strengthen our sales, technical sales and services capabilities. On a percentage of sales basis, SG&A increased 49 basis points to 15.1% of net sales in the quarter compared to 14.6% in the prior year. Interest income for Q4 amounted to $4.8 million compared to $4.1 million last year, an increase of $660,000, and our effective tax rate was 24.1% down from 25.8%. Net income for the quarter was $20.7 million, a decrease of 12.9% from $23.8 million and diluted earnings per share was $0.78, a decrease of 12.8%. Our trailing twelve month adjusted earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization or adjusted EBITDA was $118.9 million compared to $125.5 million a year ago, a decrease of 5%. In the fourth quarter, we paid a $0.10 per share quarterly dividend and we repurchased shares having a total cost of $4.9 million at an average of $70.39 per share. At the end of the year, we had $59.7 million remaining for stock repurchases under our existing stock repurchase program. Today we announced that our board of directors has declared a 50% increase in our quarterly dividend to $0.15 per share. The dividend is payable to shareholders of record on February 25th and payable on March 14th, 2025. Cash flow generated from operations for the year ended 2024 was $173.9 million. Our accounts receivable balance increased $6.5 million for the year ended 2024 and our DSO decreased to 72 days from 73 days for the same period a year ago. Cash from operations benefited from a reduction in inventory of $29.1 million for the year. Our accounts payable balance increased $36.5 million for the year ended 2024, largely due to timing of payments. Cash used in investing activities of $115.3 million was the result of $358.3 million of investment purchases, offset by $250.6 million of investment maturities. We used $25.2 million of cash for financing activities during the year, primarily for the payment of $10.5 million of dividends to shareholders and repurchases of $12.4 million of stock. We ended Q4 with $442.6 million of cash, cash equivalents and short term investments. When we're thinking about capital allocation, we remain committed to growing the business and have an ongoing program focused on investing in inorganic opportunities and organic growth programs that Tim will expand upon later. Furthermore, as announced above, we have increased our dividend by 50%. We anticipate evaluating our dividend program regularly and target a payout in the range of 15% to 20% of net income. During 2024, we significantly increased our repurchases of stock and we anticipate continuing to do so in a disciplined manner. I will now turn the call back over to Tim to discuss current market trends.

Timothy McGrath

Management

Thanks, Tom. During 2024, market conditions remained challenging as customers continued to struggle with the timing and priority of their IT investments. As a result, overall IT spend was lower than expected in Q4 and for all of 2024. While we continue to see year-over-year growth in the device ecosystem, including endpoint and related categories, many customers have delayed investments in large, advanced technology projects. We do believe that budgets will free up to support those initiatives throughout 2025. In 2024, we made significant investments and improvements in our business and we are confident that will position us to be successful in 2025 and beyond. We've invested in a world class CRM system, AI enabled workflow tools, enhancement to our technical integration and distribution operations. Perhaps more importantly, we've elevated our investment in key technical resources. These include solution sales executives, pre and post-sales technical sales experts, engineering personnel, services personnel, additional resources focused on Helix AI initiatives. In 2025, we expect customers to invest in data center and infrastructure projects driven in part by AI and server consolidation, as well as anticipated growth coming from the device refresh. These trends and technology advancements are driving growth in a number of opportunities in our pipeline. We believe that the strategic investments we have made will allow us to efficiently and effectively take advantage of this expected increase in demand and enable participation in many more larger scale opportunities. Our investments have resulted in higher levels of SG&A and are a key component of our ongoing transformation. There are other catalysts for growth in 2025, and we expect customers to focus on refreshing their networks, data management and security. AI automation and hyperpersonalized marketing solutions will drive deployment at scale in 2025. AI remains a focus of investment as many of…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from Anthony Lebiedzinski with Sidoti.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

First, just curious, can you comment on the sales progression that you saw during the quarter? Again, just wanted to get a better sense as to how the quarter trended October through December. Any early indication about how Q1 has started, that would be great.

Thomas Baker

Management

October was probably a little bit better than we've had seen in the last three years. November was markedly worse in terms of a percentage of sales that we've seen in the last three years and December was about the same. We didn't really see any budget flush, but November was pretty low. In terms of what we're seeing going forward, I think, for Q1, flat maybe up very low single digits on the top line is kind of what we're expecting and that's kind of how things are looking right now.

Timothy McGrath

Management

I'd add that that tells kind of part of the story looking back. But if we continue to look forward, we are seeing a very large number of projects come into the funnel. Our customer is engaging us in a number of areas and we're confident that number of those projects will be significant for us in 2025.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

In terms of those projects, as far as which vertical markets can you speak of, maybe just as far as talk about the opportunity that you see going forward as for which of your vertical markets do you think will have the most opportunity and, maybe conversely, which ones are you less bullish on?

Timothy McGrath

Management

Let me start with our subsidiaries and then we'll talk about vertical. So clearly, our large enterprise group has a large number of new projects, new customers and a lot of momentum going into 2025. So we're very optimistic about that. Our SMB group, our Business Solutions team, also their funnels are building, but probably at a lower rate. And then our Public Sector team, it's very much large contract, large customer dependent, a few in the federal space and a few in the SLED space. When we think about the vertical markets that underpin a lot of that growth, clearly, we're seeing number of projects in the retail space. So we are looking at good growth there. A number of projects in healthcare really around the GPOs and the group purchasing organizations and a number of manufacturing projects coming into play. So those would be kind of the leaders of our vertical market segment.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

I guess just to switch gears here as far as the SG&A. So it was up 4% in 2024 versus gross profit growth of 1.6%. So as we look forward to 2025, how should we think about expected expense growth versus what you think you can do as far as gross profit growth?

Thomas Baker

Management

As we said throughout the call, Anthony, and Tim in his remarks, we've invested a lot of money in people and solution sellers and technical people. And we're laying the infrastructure. We've invested in a lot of tools because we see this pipeline coming and we think we have to be ready. To answer your question directly, I think we'll probably see 3-ish, 4-ish percent SG&A growth over the next couple of quarters year-on-year. Obviously, we're doing everything we can to pull it back, but what you're seeing is just a real reallocation of resources here.

Timothy McGrath

Management

I would classify 2024 as a building year for us, Anthony. We invested in somewhat of a down market. So we have now additional capability, additional capacity and many of the investments have already been made. So when we think about growth in 2025, that SG&A growth a lot will come from variable compensation.

Thomas Baker

Management

The other thing I would add on Q4 specifically, Anthony, because there was a bit of a miss there, we had a couple of, I would say, two or three one-time items that probably cost us $2.5 million, $3 million that will not repeat and those were just kind of out of the blue.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

Can you speak to the expected impacts from tariffs that you may have to deal with? Just curious to get your thoughts on that.

Timothy McGrath

Management

It's a great question. And as you know, our major suppliers have very complex supply chains. And so, it's really difficult to have any accuracy in our predictions. The sort of the upside is, it's a great opportunity to reach out and touch all of our customers. It's a great opportunity to engage them and have meaningful conversations about planning for their contingencies. Generally speaking, the majority of our suppliers manufacture their desktops in Mexico. Generally speaking, majority of our suppliers have the majority of their notebook manufacturing in China and Vietnam and standing up a few other locations. And then, of course, display is a little more spread out, but also a lot of display coming out of China. So when you start to put all that together, it really depends on the specific product from the specific supplier at the specific time. Many of our suppliers are moving quickly to stand up alternatives to some of the tariff countries. But that said, still not really clear. And it's not clear to our customers either, but we will work through this together.

Thomas Baker

Management

The only other thing I'd add to that, Anthony, we're going to work with customers to tailor programs to help optimize all of us through this. So I think a lot is going to evolve over the next three weeks or so.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I would now like to turn the call back over to Tim McGrath for any closing remarks.

Timothy McGrath

Management

Well, thanks, Josh. I'd like to thank all of our customers, vendor partners and shareholders for their continued support. And once again, our coworkers for their efforts and extraordinary dedication. I'd also like to thank all of you listening to the call this afternoon. Your time and interest in Connection are appreciated. Have a great evening.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes the conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.