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Concentrix Corporation (CNXC)

Q4 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, Jan 19, 2023

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Transcript

Company Representatives

Management

Chris Caldwell - President, Chief Executive Officer Andre Valentine - Chief Financial Officer David Stein - Head of Investor Relations

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Concentrix Fiscal Fourth Quarter, 2022 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there'll be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, David Stein, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

David Stein

Analyst

Thank you, Leanne, and good morning. Welcome to the Concentrix fourth quarter, fiscal 2022 earnings call. This call is the property of Concentrix and may not be recorded or rebroadcast without the written permission of Concentrix. This call contains forward-looking statements that address our expected future performance and that by their nature address matters that are uncertain. These uncertainties may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements as a result of new information or future events or developments. Please refer to today’s earnings release and our most recent filings with the SEC for additional information regarding uncertainties that could affect our future financial results. This includes the risk factors provided in our Annual Report on Form 10-K. Also during the call we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures, including free cash flow, non-GAAP operating income, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS, as well as adjusted constant currency revenue growth. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures is available in the news release and on the Concentrix Investor Relations website under Financials. With me on the call today are Chris Caldwell, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Andre Valentine, our Chief Financial Officer. Chris will provide a summary of our operating performance and growth strategy, and Andre will cover our financial results and business outlook. Then, we’ll open the call for your questions. Now, I'll turn the call over to Chris.

Chris Caldwell

Analyst

Thank you very much, David. Good evening, everyone, and welcome to our fourth quarter and fiscal year 2022 earnings call. I would like to start with a quick review of 2022. We made progress across several fronts that we believe continue to position us as a leader in the customer experience industry. For the full year, revenue increased over 13% on an as reported basis. On an organic constant currency basis, revenue was up over 8%. On a non-GAAP basis, our operating margin – operating income increased more than 20% and our operating margin was up 90 basis points to a record 14%. Free cash flow was up 26%. In addition to this profitable growth, our operational performance continued to be strong in 2022, once more delivering the highest customer satisfaction and innovation scores since we started our surveys over a decade ago. Our investments in new technologies and innovative services have also allowed us to capitalize on new opportunities with clients as their priorities have shifted going into 2023 from helping to support their growth, to reducing their operational costs. As a reminder, earlier in the year, we introduced our new Concentrix Catalyst Group, successfully integrating the PK acquisition, to allow us to deliver deeper CX Technology Solutions at scale. In July, we augmented our B2B revenue generation capabilities and footprint with the service source acquisition. Throughout the year, we have rolled out multiple technology platforms for our operations that have helped increase our profitability and security such as Recruit CX, Connect CX and CXQI. We have also increased our operational footprint with new countries and additional locations in Europe, Latin America and Asia. In 2023, we have additional footprint investments in the works, as well as continued focus on building platforms that will help us be more efficient…

Andre Valentine

Analyst

Thank you, Chris, and hello, everyone. I'll begin with a look at our financial results for the fourth quarter and then discuss our business outlook for fiscal year 2023. We delivered solid revenue growth, impressive margin improvement and strong cash generation in the fourth quarter, despite some impact from lower client volumes and slower project ramps than we expected going into the quarter. Revenue in the fourth quarter was $1.64 billion as reported, up 11.9%. The improvement in reported revenue includes a 5.1% negative impact from foreign currency fluctuations and 11.2% impact from acquisitions. Organic constant currency growth was 5.8%. In terms of client verticals, on a percentage basis, revenue increases of healthcare clients led the way in the quarter, growing approximately 23%. Revenue grew 13% in the technology and consumer electronics vertical, with technology clients driving the growth. Our retail, travel and e-commerce clients grew by 12% with travel clients driving the growth. Revenue from banking, financial service, and insurance clients grew by 10% in the quarter. Communications and media client revenue grew 9% with all of that growth driven by the contribution of the catalyst acquisition. Revenue from our other vertical grew 5%, with growth from acquisitions more than offsetting an organic decline in that vertical. Organic growth in the quarter was driven primarily by increases with clients in the technology, travel, banking, healthcare and automotive industries. New economy clients generated growth of 13% year-over-year and represented 22% of fourth quarter revenue. We generated modest growth across our enterprise clients on an organic, constant currency basis. While we grew with 14 of our 20 largest enterprise clients, softer volumes with a handful of consumer electronics and communications clients were a headwind for this grouping of clients in the quarter. Turning to profitability, non-GAAP operating income was $248 million…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Vince Colicchio of Barrington Research. Your line is now open.

Vince Colicchio

Analyst

Yeah, good afternoon Chris. Can you talk a little bit more about how demand patterns are changing for a more labor intensive work? Are you seeing demand for a bigger offshore piece? And are you seeing some existing engagements shift more towards catalyst type work, for example.

Chris Caldwell

Analyst

Hey Vince. So first on the labor part, we are seeing as we kind of talked about in Q3, a continuation of when people are looking to outsource for the vast majority, they are looking at outsourcing offshore versus near shore and onshore to begin with and that's primarily driven by sort of the cost environment that people are looking for a larger reduction in their run costs. And so we are seeing that, but we're not seeing sort of a difficulty to supply to those demands or changes in sort of the pricing environment relatively stable for sort of the higher value work that we do. You are correct; we've made a concerted effort over the last year, just really focus on more in-depth and integrated complex offerings with our catalyst business. Obviously, it takes some time to ramp those up and we had some constraints on the technical talent at the beginning of the year in 2022 as we mentioned, those constraints of sort of cleaned up or cleared up. And so we are seeing a much bigger pipeline of those more integrated offerings going into 2023 which we're excited about.

Vince Colicchio

Analyst

It sounds like a good amount of the consolidation related revenue you expect in the second half will be signed in the first half. I'm curious in terms of confidence level with signing that business. Are you dealing largely with existing clients and to what extent are these clients that have consolidated business with you in the past?

Chris Caldwell

Analyst

So you are correct, the vast majority are existing clients that we're having the conversations with. A big chunk, we have consolidated volume within the past through COIVD, as well as from other areas where they might have seen different changes in their growth pattern and we are predominant providers in those areas. And so we have a high level of confidence with what we think we can sign from a consolidation perspective in the first couple of quarters.

Vince Colicchio

Analyst

And then Andre, if I look at the midpoint of your adjusted operating margin expectation for fiscal ’23, it looks like a slight increase. I'm just wondering if you could review the puts and takes to that.

Andre Valentine

Analyst

Sure, Vince, happy, too. Your right. The midpoint, that’s 14.3%, which is up 30 basis points versus what we delivered in the past year. We think the drivers of our margin growth remain what they have been, which is certainly more complex, higher value offerings, more technology in our offerings, using technology, including some of the platforms that Chris alluded to in his prepared remarks to make ourselves more efficient and leverage on our G&A as we grow. I think the somewhat more modest margin progression this year versus last year and a couple of prior years would largely reflect that the growth rate is down a bit, and so less leverage on G&A, more investment frankly upfront in some of the program ramps. So including those large programs that we talked about on the third quarter earnings call, and let's see. I think we've talked about the pricing environment and our ability to pass through cost increases, but being a major contributor to our progress in the margin in 2022. I think we'll keep pace with cost increases and pricing, but probably not be playing the game of frankly catch up that we are playing in parts of 2022, catching up from some wage actions that frankly started in mid-2021 for us. So those are kind of the puts and takes, as I think about the margin progression. We're very, very proud of the margins progress that we've made, really since, if you go back to when Concentrix acquired Convergys moving from where it was at roughly 10% non-GAAP OI to being at 14% this most recent year, and we still think all those factors I talked about before give us the confidence that we can drive to 14.3% at the midpoint of our guide this year and keep going.

Vince Colicchio

Analyst

Thanks for answer my questions. I'll go in the queue.

Andre Valentine

Analyst

Great. Thank you, Vince.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Ruplu Bhattacharya with Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Ruplu Bhattacharya

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Hi. Thank you for taking my questions. Chris, I mean, my first question relates to your revenue guidance for the full year as well as for the first quarter. Looks like you know fiscal 1Q revenues will be down seasonally and you're guiding for a low single-digit organic growth in constant currency. The full year you're guiding mid-single digits, so that implies a healthy growth in the back half. I know you've said that you're getting some consolidation, volumes consolidated from other providers and you have these two large deals, but if I look at your business, about 50% of your business is tied to end markets like tech, consumer electronics, retail, travel and e-commerce, which are exposed to consumer spending and macro slowdown. So what happens if there's a recession? What have you factored in in terms of a recession either in the first half or second half. And is there a way for you to quantify like off the mid-single-digit organic growth you're expecting for the full year. How much do you think is coming from the large deals versus the consolidated volumes you are getting? I'm just trying to understand the risk associated with a macro slowdown in the second half and what you're factoring in for that. Thank you.

Chris Caldwell

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Thanks, Ruplu. So let me kind of break up apart the question from this perspective. When we look at our 2023 plan and what we are seeing as our growth drivers, clearly our clients have kind of recalibrated their volume based on what we experienced during the fourth quarter and what they experienced during the fourth quarter. And how we've looked at that is basically you continue to do it in those specific areas that you mentioned about consumer electronics and retail through sort of 2023 regardless of additional changes in the macroeconomic as we muted that down fairly significantly. We then layered on where we have discussions already going ahead and where we think we’ll be successful from the consolidation perspective and how those get layered in. They are not instantaneous over a 30 -day period. They kind of get phased in over a quarter or four and a half, two quarters, hence we kind of talk about the first two quarters being choppy. The third thing that we layer on, is net new wins and the net new wins, as we talked about in Q4, we want a significant number of new logos. Those are at muted volumes. Those are at the new volumes that we're seeing that are coming through and so they will continue to progress and will add on to our growth. The next layer is the elements of, and verticals that we continue to do well in that are not so bound by macroeconomic locations. You saw the health care vertical grow, BSSI grow. Some of the work that we're doing in those tends to be more resilient to sort of shaky economic times that we're seeing. The next layer down from that is we have some regions that are somewhat isolated from what…

Ruplu Bhattacharya

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Okay, thank you for all the details there, I appreciate that. For my follow up, if I can ask about the growth rate for the new economy clients. You know three quarters ago they were growing at 47%. I think you mentioned 13%. What are you seeing with respect to those type of clients? I mean, are they more hesitant to spend? When do you think - what do you think is a steady state growth rate for the new economy clients. And I was wondering if you can – if you've mentioned it, maybe I missed this. What was the revenue total contribution from, the new economy clients in fiscal ’22 and what – in general, what growth rate should we expect from those clients going forward.

Chris Caldwell

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Yeah, so I'll let Andre answer the total dollar figure for 2022. But just prior to that, you know Ruplu the New Economy Company as we've talked about a few times kind of replicate a lot of our verticals that we deal with. So we do have new economy companies within e-commerce. They tend to be feeling the same pain as traditional e-commerce players and some retailers where there's been less sort of disposable consumption within those areas. We've also seen as we've mentioned in sort of Q3 and Q4, where the new economy companies where they were focused at really growth and customer acquisition at any cost at sort of the beginning of 2022 to where they are, rightfully so being prudent about their investments and our, you know the services we're offering them tend to be more traditional services around with cost optimization, process consulting and then really a focus around where they think that they can drive higher returns for their shareholders versus just growth at any cost. We do expect that the new economy companies will grow at an elevated rate versus enterprise clients. It’s just the nature of the beast that they are building the market where enterprise clients are optimizing their markets. But you know we are still expecting and we still continue to win net new deals in the new economy space that we think that will have the higher elevated growth rate. I’ll pass it to Andre on in terms of the total contribution in ’23.

Andre Valentine

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Yeah, so Ruplu the total contribution in fiscal ’22 from new economy clients are about $1.45 billion overall. So right in that 22% to 23% of revenue that has been tracking at frankly each quarter here this year.

Ruplu Bhattacharya

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Okay, thanks for that Andre, I appreciated it. If I can ask you one more question on capital allocation priorities. I think you mentioned dividend and debt reduction followed by modest share buybacks. Can you remind us what the target is for leverage and your debt? What leverage ratio are you comfortable with, what is the target? And then I'd like to hear your thoughts on M&A. Is the long term target still to get to the 10 billion in revenues by fiscal ’25 and I think that entailed $1.5 billion of M&A. So in this environment in fiscal ’23, your thoughts on inorganic growth.

Andre Valentine

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Yes. So I'll start with kind of the middle of your question. So the $10 billion is still absolutely our target for 2025 for this business and we're confident we can get there. You're right, it requires some amount of M&A in that $1.5 billion range and we still think that that is a good use of capital in this business. We think the industry will continue to consolidate. Clients want to have deeper relationships with less partners and therefore having that scale is important in terms of the capabilities, etcetera. Obviously, what we’ll look for there, first of all, first and foremost the deals need to be accretive to our EPS. They have to hit our targets from a return on capital perspective and then we're not just looking for scale for scale sake. We're looking for domain expertise, for groups of clients that we think that we can grow more quickly and for technology capabilities. Those things really all remain unchanged. From a leverage perspective, we've said you know for M&A we are comfortable taking our leverage up as high as 3.5x, may be even higher and it feel that with the strong free cash flow generation of this business, as well as the acquiree, we would be in a position to delever very, very quickly, and get to – you know get very quickly under 3x and keep pushing down towards the low twos from a net leverage perspective. Right now, given the current interest rate environment, as we think about the strong free cash flow we're going to generate in 2023, you know obviously we're still looking for accretive M&A, that's a priority supporting our dividend. It's certainly a priority and then from a share buyback perspective, I think you'll see us be modestly active there. We do want to offset dilution from share issuances. So that will be a part of the program and then some amount of opportunistic share repurchase, perhaps after that. But right now, in the current interest rate environment, you know delevering, creating more fresh powder for accretive M&A would be a higher priority for us than what I would call kind of large-scale share repurchase.

Ruplu Bhattacharya

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Okay, thank you for all the details. If I can just sneak one more in, Chris, can you talk about the sales cycle. You know is it lengthening, shortening; is it, as you would have expected in this environment and if you can make any comments on attrition rates, both in the catalyst business as well as in the base business? Thank you.

Chris Caldwell

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

No problem Ruplu. So just in terms of the sales cycle, what I will tell you is that discussions that clients feel a deal starting to form are taking a little longer, right. So clients are kind of going through this debate internally about do they outsource more, do they consolidate more. How is that going to look and what's their strategy based on what they're seeing from a volume expectation perspective? But once the decision is made to say, yes, we're going to do this, then frankly the sales cycle has not changed. It's actually maintained some of the speed that is coming through. On complex deals, which we're doing more of in the obviously the Catalyst business, it tends to be a longer sales cycle. We haven't seen that necessarily extend any further. It's just been – it's just a longer sales cycle because of more kind of moving parts and more integration into their IT systems and infrastructure that we have to deal with. From an attrition perspective, our catalyst attrition frankly is down fairly significantly. You've seen a number of companies kind of looking at resizing their technical talent opportunity. So that has really sort of somewhat cooled the market and driven a lot of stability within it. In a general attrition perspective in our operations business, it’s still lower than pre-COVID and it's starting to trend down a little bit more. It had trended up a little bit through the course of 2022, as the job markets have kind of heated up in a lot of different regions that we operate in. We're now seeing it sort of trending down a little bit, but still not back to where it was pre-COVID levels and so we're comfortable with what we're seeing, hence our common and prepared remarks about sort of a more stable labor environment and more predictable labor environment.

Ruplu Bhattacharya

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Okay, thank you for all the details. I appreciate it.

A - Chris Caldwell

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Thanks Ruplu. No problem.

Operator

Operator

One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Joseph Vafi of Canaccord Genuity. Your line is now open.

Joseph Vafi

Analyst

Hello gentlemen! Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions here. I just thought perhaps we'd focus a little on the catalyst line of business a bit more. I know you signed up a large – a very large deal there last quarter. We get an update on progress there. I know you've cited it as a growth driver, but just a little more incremental color on progress on that and then a quick follow up.

Chris Caldwell

Analyst

Yes, for sure. Thanks very much for the question. So we have started the project. We started it a little sort of mid-December’ish, early December when we kicked off and started putting, I'll call it feet on the ground. That is one of the projects that's ramping slower than expected, primarily because of the change. There's a number of things that decline is coordinating within their ecosystem with vendors that are leaving us, that are taking over some of that work and projects that they've got on play that are being kind of reorganized in terms of what we're taking on and doing. Based on what we're seeing, we're expecting that it will be back on pace with our expectations in Q2, but we're pretty happy with this going so far. The clients happy with what they are seeing and looking forward to kind of getting into more of the meteor stocks. As we mentioned originally when we announced the deal, it will start to contribute more meaningful to our revenue in Q3, Q4 and that’s still frankly the plan and what we're seeing.

Joseph Vafi

Analyst

Got it, thanks for that. And then maybe if there's any differences in the current demand environment for the kind of more complex IT solutions work right now versus some of the CX work. I’d be interested to compare and contrast demand drivers given the macro right now. Thanks a lot.

A - Chris Caldwell

Analyst

Yes, for sure, good question. So we are seeing a change in some of the demand from what I'll call as discretionary IT projects. Think of it as sort of you know rewrite of workflow or other things that might be more customer experience facing versus cost takeout automation. We are seeing a higher demand requests for more consulting and journey mapping around how we can take costs out, and then if it drives a different customer experience, then delivery on that. And so that has changed a little bit in terms of what we're seeing within our Catalyst business. From the larger infrastructure projects that we are dealing with, frankly they are tied to fairly significant ROI’s for the client and so there's been really no impact in those. They continue to come along. We continue to bid and win new projects within that space and so that seems relatively stable. Anything pure – I'll call them vanity projects for the lack of a better term. Those generally dropped out of the funnel in sort of the Q3 timeframe.

Joseph Vafi

Analyst

Great! Thanks very much guys. Much appreciated.

Chris Caldwell

Analyst

No problem.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. That's all we have time for today. Thank you for participating in today's conference call. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.