Todd Garner
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thank you, Curt. All sales growth numbers I reference today will be given in constant currency. The reconciliation to GAAP numbers is included in our press release. As usual, we have included an investor deck on our website that summarizes the results of the quarter and our updated guidance, including a few slides on the acquisition announced today. For the first quarter of 2022, our total sales increased 4.3%. The month of January was below the prior year January due to the impact of Omicron on hospital procedures and staffing and each month of the quarter saw improving hospital volumes. For Q1, our sales in the U.S. increased 5.9% versus the prior year quarter. Our international sales grew 2.6% for the quarter compared to the prior year. Worldwide Orthopedics revenue grew 0.4% in the first quarter. In the U.S., Orthopedic sales grew 2.2% and internationally, Orthopedic sales decreased 0.5%. Total worldwide General Surgery revenue increased 7.7% in the quarter. U.S. General Surgery revenue grew 7.5%. Internationally, General Surgery revenue increased 8.2%. AirSeal and our direct Buffalo Filter product lines had a very strong quarter despite the slow start. The OEM side of the Buffalo Filter products continues to lag our direct products. Now let's move to the expense side of the income statement. We will discuss expenses and profitability in the first quarter, excluding special items, which include charges for restructuring, amortization of intangible assets and amortization of deferred financing fees and debt discount net of tax. Adjusted gross margin for the first quarter was 56.1%, an increase of 90 basis points over the prior year quarter. Our improving mix continues to drive margins up. We are seeing increased costs that will affect future quarters, and we will talk about that more when we discuss guidance. Research and development expense for the first quarter was 4.4% of sales, 10 basis points higher than the prior year quarter. First quarter SG&A expenses on an adjusted basis were 39.7% of sales, an increase of 60 basis points from Q1 2021 due to the expansion of the sales force last summer. On an adjusted basis, interest expense was $4.1 million in the first quarter. The adjusted effective tax rate was 17.5% in Q1. Once again, we benefited from the excess tax benefit from stock plans. We do not expect that same level of benefit going forward. First quarter GAAP net income totaled $15.0 million, an increase of 51.9% over Q1 of 2021. The $0.47 of earnings per diluted share this quarter was up 51.6% over the prior year quarter. Excluding the impact of special items discussed earlier, we reported adjusted net income of $23.5 million, an increase of 22.9% compared to the first quarter of 2021. Our Q1 adjusted diluted net earnings per share was $0.70, an increase of 11.1% compared to the prior year quarter. Turning to the balance sheet. Our cash balance at the end of the quarter was $24.9 million compared to $20.8 million as of December 31. Accounts receivable days as of March 31 were 68 days compared to 60 days at the end of 2021. This is a function of the timing of revenue in the quarter, with March being much stronger than January, a higher mix of receivables came in the last month of the quarter than our normal cadence. Inventory days at quarter end were 215 and our effort to serve our customers, we continue to build inventory to mitigate supply challenges. About half of the increase since December has been in raw materials and WIP. Long-term debt at the end of the quarter was $704 million versus $672 million as of December 31. About $23 million of the increase is due to the new accounting standard for convertible notes. The other side of the reclass is essentially a debit to equity. Our leverage ratio on March 31, 2022, was 3.5x, which is consistent with December 31. Cash flow provided from operations for the quarter was $0.3 million compared to $22.3 million in the first quarter of 2021. The difference is due to the increase in accounts receivable and inventory discussed earlier. Capital expenditures in the first quarter were $3.7 million compared to $3.1 million a year ago. Now let's turn to financial guidance. We are very pleased with what we're seeing on the revenue momentum. While the effects of COVID still linger, we are seeing good volumes in most of our geographies. Our confidence in our revenue projection has strengthened since January. Therefore, on an organic basis, we are raising our revenue guidance today to the range of $1.085 billion to $1.130 billion. That represents organic growth between 7% and 12% over 2021. Compared to our previous guidance, the new range is $10 million higher on the bottom and $5 million higher on the top. There is still a lot of year left, but we're seeing very good momentum on the commercial side of the business. As it relates to currency, foreign exchange has gotten worse since January, but our hedges are doing what they are intended to do so far. And at the end of the first quarter, we continue to expect a material impact to 2022 financial guidance from currency. On the cost side, we are definitely seeing elevated inflation compared to what we were seeing 3 months ago. Oil costs are significantly up, which affect freight and resins. We are currently projecting freight to be 14% higher for the full year 2022 than we were projecting in January. Material costs have also increased. So far, we estimate that materials in aggregate will cost us 5% more in 2022 than we thought 3 months ago. Because of how we recognize costs with inventory, those recent increases did not really impact our P&L in Q1, but they will begin to weigh on the margins we report going forward. Of course, we don't know how long we will live in this inflationary environment and where it goes from here. We are actively working to mitigate these pressures on the P&L. We have already implemented some price increases where it makes sense and are analyzing the opportunity to take price in other areas. We are also being extremely judicious with any new commercial spending. However, I do want to emphasize that we do not think it would be wise to make wholesale cuts to our commercial infrastructure in an effort to offset these macro and hopefully, temporary inflationary pressures. Our business momentum is strong, and we expect double-digit revenue growth in the back half of this year. We think it would be very unwise to jeopardize our revenue growth to solve what is hopefully a short-term macro issue. Due to those increased costs without the acquisition that we will talk about in a few minutes, we would have been directing investors to the low end of our prior full year adjusted EPS guidance. Specific to gross margins, 3 months ago, I told you I expected gross margins in 2022 to grow over each prior year quarter. Q1 was a good example of that forecast as it grew 90 basis points above the prior year. However, given the accelerated inflation, I now project each remaining quarter this year to be below the prior year gross margin for the comparable quarter, because we recognize manufacturing variances with inventory, we have a better forecast for Q2 than we do for the subsequent quarters. I can tell you that Q2 looks to be about 100 basis points lower in gross margin than Q2 of 2021. We will keep you updated as we move through the year. We also did an analysis of what our gross margins would be today if freight and material costs were simply static with pre-pandemic levels. Our estimate is that these 2 items alone have cost us approximately 300 basis points in gross margin since 2019. Our commercial engine is strong. Our prior investments are paying off. We are also navigating an unprecedented macro storm along with everyone else. We will continue to stay focused on the customer and serving them with an engaged workforce and innovative products, which has resulted in increased profits for our shareholders. That continues to be our approach. As we transition out of the pandemic, we believe customers will continue to reward our actions as valued partners with increased trust and market share. Now let's talk about the financial impacts of the acquisition we announced today. In2Bones had revenue of $36.8 million in 2021 at approximately 80% gross margin. We expect a late Q2 or early Q3 close, and we always want to be cautious in the first months of an acquisition due to potential disruption and channel issues. So we are estimating $20 million of revenue contribution in the back half of 2022 from the acquisition. As you see in the materials included in our deck, we expect the extremities market to grow in the high single-digits and In2Bones has been growing at least twice as fast as the market. We expect that similar growth rate to continue as we join together to address this important customer base. From an adjusted EBITDA perspective, we expect the acquisition to be slightly positive in 2022, contribute single-digit millions of EBITDA in 2023 and double-digit millions after that. From an adjusted EPS perspective, we expect the acquisition to be between $0.05 and $0.10 dilutive to both the remainder of '22 and the full year of '23 and to be accretive thereafter. That would make our full year 2022 revenue guidance, including the acquisition to be between $1.105 billion and $1.150 billion. Our full year 2022 adjusted cash EPS guidance range, including the dilution from the acquisition is $3.50 to $3.65. And with that, I'll turn you back to Debbie for the Q&A portion of the call.