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Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)

Q3 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, Jan 31, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to Columbus McKinnon Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Kristy Moser, Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer.

Kristy Moser

Analyst

Thank you, Rob. And good morning, everyone, to Columbus McKinnon's fiscal third quarter 2024 earnings conference call. The earnings release and presentation are available for download on our Investor Relations website and at investorrelations.cmco.com. On the call with me today are David Wilson, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Greg Rustowicz, our Chief Financial Officer. In a moment, David and Greg will walk you through our financial and operating performance for the quarter. But before we begin our remarks, please let me remind you that we have our safe harbor statement on slide two. During the course of this call, management may make forward-looking statements in regards to our current plans, beliefs, and expectations. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties and other factors that can cause actual results and events to differ materially from the results and events contemplated by these forward-looking statements. I'd also like to remind you that management will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. You can find reconciliations of the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures on the company's Investor Relations website and in its filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Please see our earnings release and our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for more information. Today's prepared remarks will be followed by a question and answer session. With that, let me turn it over to David.

David Wilson

Analyst

Thank you, Christy, and good morning, everyone. The third quarter was another quarter of strong net sales as we leveraged our playbook for growth and gained traction with commercial initiatives. In fact, we delivered over $1 billion of net sales on a trailing 12-month basis for the first time in our history. With continued category resilience and healthier supply chain dynamics, we improved operating performance in areas that matter most to our customers and reduced our lead times. This improvement in operational performance enabled us to further reduce our past two backlog levels and delivered improvements in customer experience. In the third quarter, we drove 10% top-line growth, which translated to even stronger growth in operating profit, as we expanded gross margin, benefited from leverage on our growth and remained focused on performance improvement through CMBS and our 80-20 process. Adjusted gross margin expanded by a robust 160 basis points year-over-year, even as we lapped pricing actions from the prior year. Improvements over time have been driven by progress in capacity planning, material costs, direct labor productivity, factory overhead rates, pricing, and the acquisition of Montratec. Although we delivered strong margin expansion year-over-year, it fell a bit short of our own expectations due to a few unique items that Greg will unpack shortly. While those dynamics had an impact in the third quarter, we expect to accelerate year-over-year adjusted gross margin expansion in the fourth quarter. We have line of sight to 200-plus basis points of expansion with potential upside opportunities and remain on track for our 40% gross margin target in 2027. That exceptional operating performance is all thanks to the hard work and strong execution of our 3,500 Columbus McKinnon team members. I couldn't be more proud of how our nimble and innovative team has continued to deliver…

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst

Thank you, David. Good morning, everyone. Turning to slide seven, we delivered sales in the third quarter of $254.1 million, up 10.3% from the prior year period, or 8.5% on a constant currency basis. This was at the high end of the guidance we provided last quarter, supported by strong execution from the team and continued resilience in demand. The Montrotec acquisition contributed $15.5 million to net sales, accounting for 6.7% of the net sales increase. Montrotec had a very strong quarter, reflecting the timing of several large project deliveries, namely to Airbus and a large German automotive company in the EV space. We realized pricing gains of $6.5 million, or 2.8%, which was in line with what we were anticipating as we lapped last year's November price increase. Volume decreased by $2.4 million, or 1%. This was largely in our precision conveyance platform, which was impacted by lower order rates earlier in the fiscal year. As David discussed, the funnel is healthy for this platform, and we saw strong order growth of 23.5% in Q3. Foreign currency translation was a benefit this quarter of $4.1 million, or 1.8%. We saw robust growth outside of the U.S., with sales increasing by 30%. This was the result of a combination of both Montrotec revenue and high single-digit organic growth. In the U.S., sales decreased 2% on lower volumes, primarily in our precision conveyance platform as just referenced. On slide eight, we recorded gross margin of 36.9% in the third quarter. On an adjusted basis, gross margin was 37.2%, up 160 basis points year-over-year. As expected, we saw adjusted gross margin decline sequentially by 150 basis points, which includes normal seasonality. While gross margins were the highest we ever had in a third quarter, we came in a little behind our expectations.…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator instructions]. Our first question comes from Matt Summerville with DA Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Matt Summerville

Analyst

Thanks. A couple questions. With respect to Monterey, the duplicative manufacturing cost, of course, you're going to have, are you able to quantify that? Is that included in the guide? Will that be one-timed out? And then can you also talk about Monterey, maybe what you're consolidating into that facility, how the ramp-up trajectory looks, timing on cost savings, quantification, all that stuff?

David Wilson

Analyst

Matt, let me take the first part of that, and I'll address the second question, and then I'll hand it off to Greg to address the first of your questions. So if you go back to our analyst or investor day when we talked about our strategy from a footprint simplification standpoint, we outlined a path that included an improvement to gross margin through the rationalization of our footprint over time. And what we've done is we've put in place the foundation for that work with this brand new facility that we just erected, and we started to consolidate into. And so we have announced the consolidation of our Santiago MEXO facility into that location in Monterey, and that's underway. And then over time, we'll be addressing the follow-on plans associated with that overall strategy. And obviously, for sensitivity reasons, we're not going to get into more details related to those next steps. But we have a very well-defined plan that we're actively managing and leading the business through, and expect that to deliver the benefits that were outlined at that time in our bridge to 40% gross margins.

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst

Hi, Matt. So this is Greg. So with regards to how we're going to handle the cost for Monterey, so this quarter, we pro formaed approximately $755,000, as it represented the cost of us getting a team in place, hiring new people, and some facility costs. And we haven't yet produced a single item. So we would expect as we ramp up in Q4, we will also have pro forma costs related to that that would be in excess of what we would -- the standards we set for the cost of manufacturing our product. And as we go into fiscal year '25, we will start to realize benefits from the facility, from the consolidation. But we think that, in general, that it's going to be kind of offset by the fact that we're still scaling up.

Matt Summerville

Analyst

Understood. And then, David, could you maybe talk a little bit more – provide a little bit more granularity just around some more end market specifics, where you see the most strength right now, maybe where you're seeing some weaker spots in both the U.S. and your international business?

David Wilson

Analyst

Yeah, sure. Thanks, Matt. So we're – we've seen nice market resilience across all geographies. And I think in the data that we talked about relative to the performance of the business in Q3, we saw an increase in Europe of 9.5% in orders, including Montratec, 4.5% year-over-year, excluding Montratec on a constant FX basis. Order rates in our conveyance business were up 23.5% globally, including Montratec, 9%, if you exclude that. Our lifting business was up 7%. So there's been a nice level of resiliency. We are seeing nice performance as it relates to the EV pipeline, life sciences, food and beverage, as well as defense opportunities. And as we look to the future, we're in active discussions with a targeted set of customers that serve the life sciences space, the EV and hybrid vehicle space. The e-commerce spaces, we're starting to gain additional traction there. We're excited about the pipeline of opportunities that exist there. And then food and beverage is starting to gain traction. What I will say is the headwind seen probably between June of 2022 and June of 2023 related to the robotics and packaging markets with higher interest rates and some of the slowdown and in-order rates there that were affecting our conveyor business, those have bottomed that, and there's a rebound there that we're able to capitalize on, and we feel good about the progress our teams are making as we're targeting markets to support growth in our precision conveyance business.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from John Tanwanteng with CJS Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Jonathan Tanwanteng

Analyst

Hi, good morning, and thank you for the questions. I just wanted to drill down a little bit on that end market commentary a little bit more if you could. First, was US lifting down at all or was that all conveyance? And if it was all conveyance, was that simply the lapping of that large e-commerce and robotic customer you mentioned?

David Wilson

Analyst

Yeah, US lifting was up with orders in the quarter. And on a global basis, lifting was up 7%, 7.5%. But the US lifting business was also up in low single digits.

Jonathan Tanwanteng

Analyst

Okay, great. And then you mentioned strength in, I guess, ordering and bottoming and recovery in the conveyance business. Is that from returns of any customers that came out or is that more broad-based as you address more of the market?

David Wilson

Analyst

Yeah, it's a little bit of both, actually. We've continued to gain traction with a new set of customers that we've engaged in channel diversification initiatives and business development with targeted customers. And so we're pleased with the traction we're gaining around e-commerce more broadly through both integrators and end users. But we are seeing the return of activity with customers that we've worked with for a long time and continued traction around beta developments that we're working on with them.

Jonathan Tanwanteng

Analyst

Got it. And then finally, you mentioned strength in EV, which seems counter to the sentiment that maybe production is ahead of demand there. I was wondering if you could provide a little more color on what your customers are telling you and kind of how they're planning?

David Wilson

Analyst

Sure, yeah. So we're working with a number of participants in that space. And as we build capacity for our customers, they're focusing on both long-game benefits as they position themselves for this as a long-term trend, but also they're focusing on productivity improvements in their own factories and the advantages we can provide them with, whether that be for immediately growing demand or current demand. And there's opportunities for us through the work we do with Intelligent Motion Solutions that help them with their productivity and cost savings to sell more. And so we're seeing traction with the work we're doing there.

Jonathan Tanwanteng

Analyst

Great. Greg, if I could sneak one in there, what would you expect on a gross margin basis as we head into the fourth quarter, both what would normally be a seasonal thing and kind of the one-offs that you expect this quarter?

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst

Yeah, so we think we're going to be in the 200 basis point plus from where we sit today sequentially, or from last year, sorry. So that puts it approximately at the 38% gross margin, but just the gross margin area.

David Wilson

Analyst

And I think we noted in our prepared come up commentary, John, that we see upside potential and we're working on that.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Walter Liptak with Seaport Research. Please proceed with your question.

Walter Liptak

Analyst

Hi, thanks. Good morning, guys. I'm good quarter. Thanks. One to ask about Montratec and the sales came in a little bit stronger than I was expecting. And so I guess the question is, was there something that was pulled forward? What are we thinking now for sort of the 12-month revenue run rate for Montratec?

David Wilson

Analyst

Sure, sure. So as Greg indicated in his prepared commentary, we shipped two large projects to Airbus and then to a large German EV manufacturer. And those were planned. We had visibility to that demand and to those shipments in the quarter. So they were elevated. And that's not a quarterly run rate, if you will, right now for the business. But as we purchased the business, it was a $30 million business. And we had communicated that we anticipated we'd grow the business at roughly a 30% rate. And so I think that still remains intact and would anticipate that we're a year later running at more of a $40 million rate. And as a project-focused business, it's natural that that business will have a level of variability quarter-to-quarter. And so that $15 million does not repeat itself in this coming quarter. But we continue to see really robust demand for that business. And we're encouraged by the progress we're making with our integration work, the opportunities for that business, not only through their historical channel of delivery or sales to customers, but also through what we've been able to enhance that with, with the combination of our businesses. So we really feel good about the early innings for that business and the growth trajectory that we think we can achieve over time.

Walter Liptak

Analyst

Okay. That sounds great. And maybe a last one. The fourth quarter, I kind of look back at the data, tends to be a fairly big quarter. And I wonder, is there something seasonal about the order patterns where you get large project orders in your March quarter that shift during the year? And what's the funnel looking like?

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst

Yeah, so I'll take the first part of that, Walt. And so typically, from a seasonal perspective, you're absolutely right. Q4 is our strongest quarter. And to put it into perspective, Q3 is our seasonally weakest quarter with the holiday season. So typically, there's, optimism about the New Year. Our channel, in a lot of cases, has reduced their inventory levels as of the end of the calendar year. They might be year-end reporting companies. And so it's important that they have their balance sheets where they want them. But now they've got to look to the future and look at what is their expected demand and so what inventory do they need. You've got new CapEx budgets that have been approved. And so from a project perspective, we're starting to see activity where orders are going to be coming in related to those projects that we've been working on for quite a while. And so we would expect those same trends to continue in our fiscal fourth quarter this year.

David Wilson

Analyst

And I'd just add on relative to the funnel. We're encouraged by the funnel at this point. While we saw orders increase in Europe, as I communicated earlier, we're believing that the business resiliency is going to continue there as we've come off a low in our second quarter and have seen orders creep up in Q3. And we expect them to continue to move in the upward direction this quarter. And as I mentioned earlier, we see opportunities for our precision conveyance and lifting businesses that have sustainable trends. And we're supported by a lot of macroeconomic trends. So we feel good about the position that we're in. We, of course, remain cautiously optimistic and we're paying attention to how things are developing. But at this point, we see the trends of positive order development continuing.

Operator

Operator

Our last question will be from Steve Ferazani with Sidoti and Company. Please proceed with your question.

Stephen Ferazani

Analyst

Good morning, David. Greg, appreciate all the color on the call. I just did want to get back into the sales guidance for Q4. When we think about the growth, and I think you indicated maybe not as strong for Montratec in Q4, but if I back out Montratec, it would seem at minimum at the low end of guidance, you're looking at an organic sales decline. Is that accurate year-over-year?

David Wilson

Analyst

So we do have an organic sales growth, Steve, year-over-year at the midpoint of guide. And I think that we expect that we'll continue to see positive developments throughout the quarter. We do have a shrinking past due backlog, as I mentioned before. And so we've been able to address those backlog challenges that we've had. And what that's done is it's driven backlog down. And I mentioned in my prepared remarks that as we work with our customers and get them into a more frequent ordering pattern and we become more competitive with our lead times, we believe that there's opportunities to gain share. And that helps us to drive demand into the business. But that does have a periodic impact on this quarter. But we feel good about the progress we're making in those initiatives. And so that should trend well as we go into the next year.

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst

And just to add on, Steve, so at the midpoint, it's kind of mid-single-digit growth for the company.

Stephen Ferazani

Analyst

When we think about, and I've asked you this in previous quarters, now we've seen four out of five quarters with book-to-bill under one. You're going to lap Montratec in May. How comfortable are you that you can get sales growth post-lapping Montratec, given where you are?

David Wilson

Analyst

I mean, we certainly feel good about the quarter that we're in. And we'll be coming back in the May timeframe with our guidance for fiscal '25. But we do remain encouraged with the momentum. And our order funnel remains really healthy. We're in active discussions with our customers. I mentioned the channel diversification initiatives, the opportunities to gain share, and the self-help work that we're doing. This isn't all about a growing macro. It's about opportunities for us to compete in the landscape that we compete within and do that effectively. And so we remain optimistic about the future.

Stephen Ferazani

Analyst

Thanks for that. Last one, just on debt paydowns. I know Q4 is, and you've got sort of guiding for it being the big quarter for cash flow. Any reason you wouldn't ramp up the paydowns?

David Wilson

Analyst

Which we have, and we will continue to do so, Steve. So we started the year with guidance of $40 million, roughly $10 million a quarter of debt paydown. And we've ramped that up. We're going to be at $55 million for the year with what we expect to do in Q4. And if we can do more than that, we will. But I think what's an interesting fact here is that for the fiscal year, we'll have paid down about half of the purchase price of Montrotech. Right? We paid roughly $110 million for it, and we're going to pay down $55 million of debt. I think that's a very impressive number.

Stephen Ferazani

Analyst

The 67% of debt's hedged. What does that mean as if we get the rate cuts in 2024?

David Wilson

Analyst

Yeah. So we'll benefit from the rate cuts for sure, and for a third of our debt. And, as the capital markets improve, there's always opportunities to even do better. And so we'll look to see what we can do there as well.

Operator

Operator

We have reached the end of the question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call back to David Wilson for closing comments.

David Wilson

Analyst

Great. Thank you, Rob. And thank you, everyone, for joining us today. Our team is executing and delivered double-digit sales and operating income growth in a dynamic environment. This reflects the significant progress we're making with our transformation and our proven playbook for growth. We're pleased with the momentum that we have entering our fourth quarter, powered by a diversified platform and an improving competitive position. We remain a strong cash generator which enables us to reinvest in our business and de-lever the balance sheet, unlocking further cash flow potential. We're confident in our ability to deliver long-term profitable growth and enhance shareholder value. Thanks for your interest in Columbus McKinnon, and have a great day. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and we thank you for your participation.