J. David Williamson
Analyst · Desjardins Securities
Michael, David Williamson. I'll have a crack at -- from a business perspective because you're -- really it sounds like looking at it x treasury, which is kind of the way I look at it. So why don't I speak to it, and if there's any follow-up questions, we can come from there. So you talked about products, you talked about mix. So from a product perspective, part of how we've had an 8-basis-point uplift in NIMs year-over-year and 5 quarters of marginal increases in NIMs is really those 2 points you raised, products and mix. So on the product space, business banking, we're holding our margins. It's a competitive marketplace, but we're holding our margins in commercial mortgages, which has become quite a thin margin business. You've heard us say we've kind of downplayed that sector. Again, could have had the revenue growth if we pursued it, but we're looking to pursue business that's suitably profitable for use of the balance sheet, so we've deemphasized that business. In the other parts of our commercial lending we're meeting the needs of our clients, but doing so on appropriate prices. And the other, in mortgages, we're growing at rates above our peer group. But again, we're doing that and our -- the way we conduct ourselves in the market isn't by competing on price. We're trying to do it on a quality kind of and suitable volume level. So if you see us acting in each of the products, you see us acting with profitability and margin in mind. And then when it comes to mix, that's also very much a factor for us. So we've got, with the runoff of the FirstLine book and a move to our branded products, happening in mortgages and happening in other parts of our book, broker deposits, those kind of places, the mix is moving more to profitable areas. And that's where we get this kind of tailwind we've got, which is the impact of moving out of FirstLine and having a desire to get 25% of that into the higher-margin branded products. As I mentioned, we're running quite a bit higher retention than the 25% and that's having quite a positive impact. That's one of the things that's helping our NIMs, and frankly, offsetting the headwind, which everyone has, which is this low interest rate environment. So as a result of those dynamics, we've been saying we kind of anticipate a relatively stable NIM, again, excluding treasury, stable NIM. And it's just that over the last little while, we've been outperforming that marginally because of that focus on product profitability and the benefit of moving to a mix that's higher margin. So hopefully that covers it. And I look at the world, excluding treasury, if you want to get into treasury, that's probably worthy of a follow-up offline discussion, I would think.