Lawrence Peiros
Analyst · Bernstein
Thanks, Steve, and welcome to all of you on the call. Hey, I’m happy to report that we delivered a good quarter and completed a strong fiscal year in fiscal '10, and we grew volume, sales and share, despite a tough economy, some competitive battles and the Venezuelan currency devaluation. We increased investment demand building activities to keep our brands healthy for the long term while addressing short-term competitive price gaps at shelf. Overall, as we look back at the year, we exceeded our expectations. As usual, I'm going to focus my comments on our top line results, highlighting volume, sales and market share trends. Starting with our U.S. business, consumer takeaway in our categories in tracked channels was down slightly in Q4, similar to what we’ve seen over the last several quarters. In tracked channels, our overall U.S. share was down slightly. Private label sales in our categories actually declined in the quarter, and private label share was about flat. As we have pointed out many times before, tracked channel data can be misleading given that it only accounts for about a third of our total U.S. volume. Further, our volume growth in tracked channels has consistently trailed the growth in the untracked universe. This was particularly true in the fourth quarter as we saw great performance at Wal-Mart, the dollar channel and the home hardware channel. On an all-outlet basis, our 52-week market share through June was up almost half a share point. Said another way, in fiscal '10, more consumers switched to our brands than the competitive set. In our International businesses, market share results are also generally positive. Our dollar share in both Latin America and Canada, our two largest International markets, were up significantly. Volume in the International segment was up slightly. Higher shipments of disinfectant and fragranced cleaning products in Southern Latin America were driven by new product introductions. These increases were largely offset by declines in Home Care products in Venezuela and Mexico and lower shipments of Glad products in Australia due to distribution losses. International sales were up 2%, primarily due to price increases, partially offset by the Venezuelan currency devaluation. Overall, our categories in International markets are generally a bit healthier than they are in the U.S. For the total company, Q4 volume was up 2% with growth in all four of our business segments. Sales growth for the quarter was a bit less than volume at just over 1%. Pricing, primarily in International markets, added about a point to sales growth. Foreign exchange negatively impacted sales by about one point, reflecting more than two points of negative impact for Venezuela and positive foreign exchange in other countries. Sales were also reduced by higher levels of trade spending in support of new products and in response to competitive activity. While there's always differences in performance across our portfolio, most of our businesses are performing well. Let me take you through a few highlights. In our largest category, Home Care, we maintained our strong #1 overall share position. Volume in sales declined, due in large part to modestly lower shipments of Clorox disinfecting wipes. We have now started to lap the year-ago period when consumers’ concerns related to H1N1 drove strong double-digit growth in Wipes and other disinfecting products. On the positive side, Pine-Sol cleaner had another fantastic quarter with strong volume growth and the brand's highest shares in the last two years. In Laundry, Q4 saw improved results versus recent trends. Like Clorox Bleach, volume was about flat versus the year-ago period, and our tracked channel share increased about half a point. We're feeling better about the fundamentals on this business and optimistic about the coming year. On Clorox 2, share and volume declined as a result of competition. However, we are pleased with early results in our new single-dose packs and are now seeing some sequential improvement in our share results. Our Glad business continues to see better results in the trash side of the business, which represents about 2/3 of total Glad. By contrast, our performance on the food storage side of the business remains weak. In Trash Bags, we saw mid-single-digit volume growth with particularly strong increases on our premium trash bags, ForceFlex and OdorShield. Our Trash market share is up significantly behind the innovation on ForceFlex and increased trade promotion investment. Looking forward, we are increasing Trash prices about 5% effective August 2 to compensate for the rise in resin cost. We’re also bringing a great new innovation to the category with a July launch of Glad with Febreze, a new product born of our joint venture with Procter & Gamble. We will invest a direct trial and will also benefit from the existing high awareness of the Febreze brand name. Burt’s Bees had another good quarter with double-digit volume and sales growth. Our Natural Acne Solutions line continues to perform well. Further results are very positive on the July introduction of new lip balm flavors in our body lotion re-launch. Burt's consumption continues to improve, and the International expansion is helping to drive growth. Overall, we're feeling confident about this business. Kingsford Charcoal had a great quarter with record volume and strong sales growth behind our product improvement. We feel very good about the plans we have in place for the rest of the grilling season, including an enhanced Grill and Tailgate at Home program that will be featured prominently on ESPN. In Food, we delivered a second quarter of record shipments of Hidden Valley bottled salad dressing and saw increases in both sales and share. The newly launched Hidden Valley Farmhouse Originals, which expands the brand into flavor profiles beyond Ranch, continues to exceed our expectations. The revitalization of our Hidden Valley Ranch Dry Dips and Dressings has also been a big success. Wrapping up, we feel good about our Q4 results and are very pleased with a strong fiscal year, despite a very tough economic climate and a tough competitive environment. Let me now turn to fiscal '11 and provide some perspective on how we see the business going forward. Overall, we are projecting top line sales growth of 2% to 4% for the full year, most likely at the lower end of that range. There are three key assumptions in our forecast that I would highlight. First, we are confident that we can continue to be competitive in the marketplace and at least maintain, if not grow, our market shares. We have a very solid innovation program in place and anticipate that we will generate about two points of incremental sales growth from new products, the same level of growth we have generated behind innovation in each of the last five years. Second, we are projecting continued sluggish U.S. category growth, given no significant signs of accelerating economic recovery. This obviously moderates our growth rate assumptions, although we are working hard to offset it by focusing on higher growth consumer segments like Hispanic and higher growth retail channels that focus on value. Third, we are now comparing to a base period which includes some very heightened demand for disinfecting products due to concerns around the H1N1 pandemic. It’s far too early to predict the upcoming flu season, but we believe that some parts of our Cleaning business will see declines versus year ago in the first half of the year. Other factors that go into our forecast, including modest net impact from domestic pricing and some international pricing to help offset inflation. Trade spending is forecasted to be slightly down for the full year, although trade spending will likely remain at elevated levels in the front half. The one other area where we do expect to see a material impact in fiscal '11 sales is foreign exchange. We have included a significant net negative impact from foreign exchange in our sales numbers, primarily resulting from the first half impact of the Venezuelan devaluation. To sum up, we feel good about the momentum coming in on fiscal 2010, and we're confident we can effectively manage our business to deliver on our fiscal 2011 plans. With that, I'll turn it over to Dan.