Anders Lonning-Skovgaard
Analyst · Jefferies
Thank you, Gavin, and once again, a warm welcome to Coloplast. On April 23, we revised our guidance for full year '25-'26 and preannounced our results for the first half of '25-'26. We delivered a very strong second quarter, excluding wound and tissue repair, with solid underlying performance across the majority of the group. Now let's take a closer look at today's results. Please turn to Slide #5. In Ostomy Care, organic growth was 5% for the first 6 months and growth in DKK was 1%. In Q2, organic growth was 7% with growth in DKK of 3%. Following a soft start in Q1, we saw the anticipated pickup in momentum in Q2, and we expect this good momentum and continued market share gains to continue into the second half of the year. From a product perspective, our SenSura Mio portfolio continues to be the main growth driver, followed by the Brava supporting products. From a geographical perspective, growth in the quarter was broad-based across regions with solid contribution from Europe, led by the U.K. and Germany. I would also like to call out the U.S., which delivered double-digit growth and continues to deliver strong underlying momentum from Q1. Our U.S. business is in a great shape. In H1, both Vizient and Premier, the 2 largest GPOs in the U.S. renewed Coloplast national group purchasing agreements for Ostomy Care. And we are seeing good uptake of our latest SenSura Mio launches, the black bags and the new 2-piece offering, which has been well received in the market. Our main challenge in Ostomy Care remains China, which saw another quarter with subdued growth due to the continued weak consumer sentiment and competitive pressures from domestic players in the community channel. For the full year, we now expect sales in China to decline slightly year-over-year. Outside China, the rest of our emerging markets contributed nicely to growth. In Continence Care, organic growth was 7% for the first 6 months and growth in DKK was 3%. In Q2, organic growth was 8% and growth in DKK was 4%. Growth in the quarter was driven by the Luja catheter portfolio, which performed strongly across key European markets and the U.S. The male catheter continued to perform well, while the female catheter saw a strong uptake in the quarter driven by Europe. Luja is our most important innovation in Continence Care in a decade, and it's encouraging to see how Luja continues to pick up momentum, becoming an increasingly larger share of our growth contribution within intermittent catheters. It's a great example of how customer-centric innovation backed by compelling clinical evidence is setting a new standard of care in the market. Our Bowel Care business also continued its good momentum and made a strong contribution to growth in the quarter, driven by the Peristeen portfolio in Europe. Vice & Respiratory Care posted 8% organic growth for the first 6 months with growth in DKK of 5%. In Q2, organic growth was also 8% and growth in DKK was also 5%. Growth in laryngectomy in Q2 was high single digit and driven by an increase in the number of patients served in existing and new markets as well as an increase in patient value driven by the Provox Life portfolio. Growth in tracheostomy in Q2 was mid-single digit, driven by continued solid underlying demand, partly offset by phasing in distributor markets. From a geographical perspective, all regions contributed to growth, driven by Europe and the U.S. In Wound & Tissue Repair, organic growth was 1% for the first 6 months and growth in DKK was minus 7%, with 3 percentage points negative impact from the Skincare divestment in December '24. In Q2, organic growth was minus 2% and growth in DKK was minus 6%. Q2 revenue from biologics amounted to DKK 283 million with 0% organic growth and 0% operating profit margin, excluding the PPA amortization. As also mentioned on the extraordinary conference call 3 weeks ago, we continue to see a healthy inpatient business with growth that remains at a healthy double-digit level despite a slight easing of momentum in Q2. On the other hand, our outpatient business is challenged with significant sales decline, in line with the rest of the market. In Advanced Wound dressings, sales declined 2% in Q2 and 3% in the first half of the year. China detracted from growth due to the product return initiated in Q3 last year with a negative revenue impact of around DKK 25 million in the quarter, similar to the impact in Q1. Outside China, Europe had a soft quarter across markets. In Interventional Urology, organic growth was 8% for the first 6 months and growth in DKK was 3%. In Q2, organic growth was 8% and reported growth in DKK was 2%. Growth in Q2 was mainly driven by continued strong momentum in the U.S. Men's Health business driven by the Titan Penile implants. From a geographical perspective, the U.S. continued to be the main contributor, followed by Europe. On February 18, '26, Coloplast has completed the acquisition of all shares and voting rights of Uromedica, a commercial stage medical technology company specializing in the treatment of stress urinary incontinence with a solution highly complementary to our existing men's health business. The integration of Uromedica is progressing well, and the acquisition has been well received by our existing men's health customers. Before turning to the H1 financials, let me make one final remark on organic growth. While performance in the wound tissue repair franchise remains below our expectations, this reflects a set of external headwinds that we are actively addressing. Importantly, more than 80% of our business continues to perform well with solid growth and market share gains. Now with this, let's look at our H1 financials. Please turn to Slide 6. Reported revenue for the first 6 months increased by DKK 171 million or 1% compared to last year. Organic growth contributed DKK 789 million or around 6% to reported revenue. Inorganic revenue mostly related to the divestment of the skin care business in December '24, reduced reported revenue by DKK 70 million or around 50 basis points. Foreign exchange rates had a negative impact of DKK 548 million or 4 percentage points on reported revenue, mainly related to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, the British pound and a basket of emerging markets currencies against the Danish kroner. Please turn to Slide 7. Gross profit for the first 6 months amounted to DKK 9.5 billion, corresponding to a gross margin of 67% compared to 68% last year. The gross margin was negatively impacted by currencies of around 60 basis points, mostly related to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, the British sterling and the basket of emerging markets currencies against the DKK and appreciation of the HUF against the DKK. Ramp-up costs in Costa Rica and Portugal also impacted the gross margin negatively. The negative impact was partly offset by lower inflation on freight compared to last year. Operating expenses for the first 6 months amounted to DKK 5.8 billion, a 2% increase from last year. The distribution to sales ratio for the first 6 months was 33% on par with last year. The growth in distribution costs were flat year-over-year, reflecting one-off logistics costs in the U.S. last year and lower sales costs in China this year, partly offset by Kerecis one-off costs this year. The development in distribution costs were also positively impacted by the depreciation of the U.S. dollar against the Danish kroner. The Admin-to-sales ratio for the first 6 months was 5% compared to 4% last year and includes around DKK 15 million in one-off advisory costs incurred by Kerecis in Q1 in connection with the recent CMS regulatory changes in the U.S. outpatient setting. The R&D-to-sales ratio for the first 6 months was 4% of sales compared to 3% last year. The increase was driven by high activity levels in Chronic Care and Biologics. Overall, this resulted in an operating profit before special items of DKK 3.7 billion in the first 6 months or a 3% decrease compared to last year. The EBIT margin before special items in the period was 26% compared with 27% last year. reflecting around 70 basis points negative impact from currencies and around 40 basis points negative impact from Kerecis. In constant currencies, EBIT grew 5% compared to last year. Coloplast incurred special items expenses of DKK 3.1 billion in the first half of the year, of which DKK 3 billion relates to the Kerecis impairment loss. Financial items in the first 6 months were a net expense of DKK 63 million compared to a net expense of DKK 385 million last year, driven mostly by interest expenses related to the financing of the Atos Medical acquisition, which were largely offset by gains and exchange rate adjustments, mostly related to the U.S. dollar, Hungarian Forint and the Costa Rican colon. The tax expense in the first 6 months was DKK 121 million compared to an ordinary tax expense of DKK 770 million last year. The tax rate was 22% on par with the ordinary tax rate last year. Net profit before special items in the first 6 months was DKK 2.8 billion or a 6% increase from last year when adjusted for the nonrecurring tax expenses last year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share before special items increased by 5%. Please turn to Slide #8. Operating cash flow for the first 6 months was an inflow of DKK 3.7 billion compared to an inflow of DKK 2.7 billion last year. The positive development in cash flows from operating activities was mostly driven by a favorable development in working capital. Lower financial items also had a positive impact on cash flows, while higher income tax paid had a negative impact. Cash flow from investing activities was an outflow of DKK 1 billion compared to an outflow of DKK 442 million last year. CapEx in the first 6 months was 6% of sales compared with 4% last year and includes investments related to the new manufacturing site in Portugal, expected to be in operation in Q4 '25/'26. As a result, the free cash flow for the first 6 months was an inflow of DKK 2.7 billion compared to an inflow of DKK 2.3 billion last year or a 16% increase. Excluding acquisition costs this year and benefits from the divestment last year, the free cash flow increased 33% in the first half '25/'26 with a free cash flow to sales ratio of 20% compared to 15% last year. The trailing 12-month cash conversion was 89% and net working capital amounted to around 25% of sales. Lastly, the Board of Directors approved a half year interim dividend of DKK 5 per share, corresponding to a total of interim dividend payout of approximately DKK 1.1 billion. Now let's take a brief look at the financial guidance for the year. Please turn to Slide #9. As I mentioned earlier, we revised our guidance for full year '25/'26 on April 23. For the revised guidance, we now expect full year organic revenue growth of 5% to 6%, EBIT growth in constant currencies before special items of around 5% and return on invested capital after tax before special items of around 15%. We continue to expect negative impact from currencies with around 2 to 3 percentage points, negative impact on reported revenue growth and around 80 basis points negative impact on the reported EBIT margin. We are especially seeing negative impact from the Hungarian Forint, which has appreciated 6% against the Danish kroner since the Hungarian election on April 12. In terms of phasing, we expect both organic growth and EBIT growth in constant currencies in the second half of the year to be similar level to the first half of the year. We continue to expect net financial items of around minus DKK 500 million based on spot rates as of May 8, down from around DKK 1 billion in '24/'25. Thank you very much. Operator, we are now ready to take questions.