Vivek Garipalli
Management
Thank you, Mark. Before taking questions, I just wanted to provide some high-level thoughts on 2022, mostly focused around our MA business. We expect another strong year of above-market growth driven by continued MA success and our second year of direct contracting. For Medicare Advantage, we preliminarily expect our membership to average 82,000 for the full year, next year, representing an acceleration in year-over-year growth to more than 20%. This is being driven by continued market share gains in New Jersey and strong growth in Georgia, where we expect to double members to a projected 2022 average of 8,500. In direct contracting, we expect significant growth in 2022 up from current levels and plan to provide more details as expected lives are finalized. Similar to this year, almost all growth will come through claims At the same time, we expect meaningful reductions in MCR as we drive continued clinical program enhancements, improved risk scores, and as COVID-19 becomes less of a direct and indirect impact, we expect this to lead to MA GAAP MCR in the range of 95% to 99%, and an improved direct contracting margin, both of which are well below where we've been throughout 2021. Further, as we look beyond 2022, we expect 3.5 stars to have a meaningful impact on 2023 MA MCR, and we currently expect that impact to be in the range of 300 basis points to 500 basis points. Importantly, the potential achievement of 3.5 stars to 4.0 stars would have an even higher future benefit to MA MCR than the movement from 3.0 to 3.5 stars. Finally, despite the COVID impact this year, Clover has made significant strides in it's planning towards achieving profitability. As we head into the new year, we are excited about our planning process focused on the following 3 phases. Number 1, leverage our position centric model, which will create unique operating cost synergies across multiple lines of business, and the ANDC start. Number 2, continued favorable negotiations with vendors who see the business value who have Clover as a partner. And number 3, leverage human assisted automation technology to achieve efficiencies that are unique to Clover's organic growth. We believe we'll make significant progress over the next 18 months. That will also show in our operating margin overtime. We believe we are executing on our mission to improve every life, and that our results this past quarter, our early proof points of that execution. Before we get to questions, a re-reminder that we published an extensive white paper on Friday, the details, how our approach works to create a more equitable healthcare system. I strongly recommend that you all read it. With that, let's take questions.