Louis Borgmann
Analyst · H.C. Wainwright
Thanks, John. Good morning, and welcome to Calumet's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. The beginning of this year has certainly been an eventful and strategically pivotal period for Calumet. Late in the quarter, we saw the renewable fuels market take a major step forward following EPA's long-awaited Set 2 RVO announcement, and we entered one of the strongest margin environments we've seen across both traditional and renewable energy markets. Further, we brought down Montana Renewables for a turnaround in MaxSAF 150 expansion in early March and successfully commenced operations in early May. While these developments did not fully benefit first quarter financial results due to previously disclosed downtime at Shreveport and the planned expansion work in Montana, Calumet is exceptionally well positioned to capture these tailwinds, further accelerate deleveraging and continue our long-term growth and value creation strategy, which we'll discuss further in this call before David takes us through the quarter. Let's turn to Slide 4 and begin with the outlook for our Specialties business. First, as we've seen historically, Calumet's integrated business is robust and performs throughout the business cycle, and is particularly well positioned for the current market with commodity spreads growing sharply due to global disruptions. We make fuels the co-product of our specialty production process. Typically, when cracks are lower, strong and stable specialty margins carry the day. When crack spreads are high as they are now, we're fully exposed to that upside. Long term, the Specialties business will take advantage of positive commodity environments to strategically deploy excess cash flow into specialties growth. Right now, it creates an accelerated deleveraging opportunity and also opens the door to target low-risk, high-return growth opportunities. The recent volatility has also reminded us of the capability of our Specialties commercial excellence engine. In March, crude oil prices increased over 50% in the 2-week period and have moved further from there. Our commercial team rapidly executed on over 20 price increases across our product lines to counter the cost escalation, and our customers understand the uniqueness of this current environment. While we have some sales contracts tied to previous month pricing and further downstream and Performance Brands, we see a bit more lag. The fact that our SPS specialties business was able to demonstrate $54 a barrel margins this past quarter despite the rapid cost inflation is a testament to the nimbleness of this team, and the outlook improves on that with the increases now in. The other pillar of commercial excellence is providing an exceptional customer experience. And despite the craziness in this market, Calumet's team went to great lengths to ensure our customers were as well serviced as evenly possible in this remarkable time. That didn't come without a bit of short-term financial costs, but our specialties enterprise is built on delivering a world-class customer experience. Further, let's hit on what's going on in the broader specialties market. We all know that roughly 20% of the world's daily crude oil comes through the Strait of Hormuz by now. But what's less publicized is that about 10% of the global base oil supply does as well. Probably more importantly, a disproportionate amount of the world's LOOP crudes, as we call them, come from the Middle East. These are grades that have particularly good specialty qualities and yields and are purchased around the world, particularly in Asia. At Calumet, our crude supply is largely domestic and readily available. Further, we always value the fact that we're a fully integrated, fully dedicated producer of specialty products, which provides stable and quality control despite the market condition. And in strong commodity markets like this one, it also carries an even higher-than-normal economic benefit. Nonintegrated suppliers purchase intermediates like VGO or fuels like diesel and jet as specialty feedstocks to produce lubes and solvents. We're able to make these end products from crude oil, which means we capture the intermediate value of the distillate intermediates embedded in the product price. Further, we just completed 2 successful planned turnarounds at our Cotton Valley and Princeton facilities in April, and we're running at max volumes across the board to capture the current opportunity. Let's turn to Slide 5. Making nearly as many headlines as the fossil energy market this past quarter was the EPA Set 2 RVO released in March, which has reset the outlook for the biofuels industry and the Montana Renewables. While this has felt like a new market environment given the past 2 years under the Set 1 rule, what we're actually seeing is the EPA applying the same tested and stable dynamic used historically that supports strong stable margins in this business. Many will remember the error in the 2023 Set 1 ruling was due to the EPA assuming feedstock would not be readily available. With that now corrected, after American farmers proved their right to challenge and produce the necessary feeds, the EPA resumed applying the methodology it's used for over a decade. In this, they evaluate prior year's biofuel capacity and increase the mandate to incentivize continued utilization growth. We see this dynamic displayed through the 3 graphics on this slide. Starting on the bottom left hand of the slide, we're reminded that this industry has seen steady $2 a gallon index margins consistently for years, which is historically what has been required for the industry's biodiesel capacity to run. When biodiesel was not required during Set 1, this dynamic was broken, and we saw industry utilization at roughly 50%. MRL was able to break even in that environment, which demonstrated our unique position, but we're much more excited about this current market for both our business and the industry. Taking a look at the industry supply stack in the chart on the top right here, we see how efficient this market is as well. Post ruling, margins have rapidly increased to create incentive for all biomass-based diesel production to come back online. We also see the Set 2 RVO actually requires the industry to operate at higher than historically demonstrated utilization levels to meet it. And our view is there are 3 ways that industry can fill this gap. First, the EPA understood there were carryforward RINs available from the small refinery exemptions announced last year. These carryforwards can satisfy most of the supply-demand gap in 2026, but they aren't nearly enough to settle 2027. Second, imports can fill the gap despite being disadvantaged to domestic biodiesel given they don't qualify for the PTC. The third is that this policy incentivizes industry to continue its utilization improvement journey. This journey certainly stalled over the past 3 years, but the administration knows that refineries typically run at slightly higher utilization levels and our industry in its early stages can also continue to improve. Efficiency improvement reduces the cost of biofuels, adds more reliable domestic energy and incentivizes the growth of more domestic agriculture, all while improving air quality. These results are right down the fairway for the current administration and also we expect to be supported in a bipartisan fashion as they always have been. We believe the industry is up for this challenge. And while very high sustained utilization certainly won't happen overnight, especially given the level of damage done over the Set 1 days, it can happen over time. The third chart on this page is a little closer look at historic biomass-based diesel production levels in relation to the RVO on a monthly basis. The difference in production and demand call results in a build or draw on RIN bank. Again, we see how rapidly industry utilization plummeted during Set 1, and we also see how it's increased with today's more promising future, albeit with a long way to go to meet the Set 2 levels. In addition to a renewed outlook for renewable diesel, we also just commenced operations post our MaxSAF 150 expansion, which was a major step for Montana Renewables. Let's turn to Slide 6 and further discuss this step in SAF's role in domestic energy growth. We've often discussed the promise of SAF and Montana Renewables' ability to capture the SAF premium given its first-mover marketing experience. Now that we started up our plant post the expansion, we turn our focus to producing increased SAF volumes. Through the initial operating period, we'll continue to condition the catalyst, complete a performance validation and deliberately and steadily ramp production to ensure consistent product quality for our existing customers and for our new customers to integrate into their supply chains over the next few months. In addition to the internal focus on the expansion and the industry's response to the RVO, we've seen the current market conditions highlight a lasting dynamic in jet fuel, and we think it's important to note. The Iranian war is certainly an extreme moment in energy, but there's a natural experiment here in the event, and we've seen the industry is not equipped to meet a sustained increase in jet demand. Expected jet fuel demand has been growing and is expected to grow faster than all other liquid fuels combined is important. The number of refineries are decreasing, not increasing, and refineries don't just make jet, thus as gas demand slows, the jet shortage grows. SAF can be made at much higher yields and much more intentionally than traditional jet. And SAF receives the additional benefit of environmental energy credits and farmers are rewarded for growing more domestic feedstocks. With an increase in SAF and the RVO, we can make more biofuels to supplement traditional energy, we generate environmental credits and American farmers grow more and make more money to sell us the feed. It's an extremely efficient and circular system with dramatic positive impact to our country, and Montana Renewables is in a perfect position to support this opportunity. With that, I'll turn the call to David.