Timothy Go
Analyst · Guggenheim Partners. Your line is now open
Thanks, West. Please turn to Slide 10 for our fourth quarter outlook. And as a reminder, the fourth quarter is usually a seasonally slower one for all of our businesses. In terms of the specialty products business, base oil supply remains somewhat tight and we are continuing to work through the backlog that West discussed. In response to higher crude prices, we also have taken price adjustments in the fourth quarter across a number of our product categories such as solvents, base oils and our branded and packaged products. Additionally, our new products have start to have some modest contribution in the fourth quarter and will continue to implement our self-help initiatives all of which should help offset some of the typically seasonally weakness we usually see this time of the year. As a result, we also see year-over-year growth in the specialty's business. On the fuels front, we typically see lower volumes and lower local market premium this time of the year. The crack spreads have held up reasonably well through the October month. So, we'd expect a fairly solid fuels environment but we do have some smaller maintenance activity in the fourth quarter. Three fourths work was completed in October while San Antonio has work in process right now. Market conditions for all our Oilfield Services segment remain positive and thus we expect to see continued solid performance and improvement from the group year-over-year. At the corporate level, we will be finalizing the last of the ERP implementation and thus will have higher cost during the fourth quarter. And lastly, we will continue to execute our plans to de-risk the business, enhance our liquidity and lower our debt profile over the long term. That concludes our third quarter remarks. So, I'd like to be following along to open up the second presentation we have provided on our website and will walk you through our review of the go forward Cayman post the divestiture or the Superior refinery. First, let me remind you of the facts and figures on Slide 3 of the transaction. The Superior divestiture closed Wednesday and we received a total consideration of $492 million. That included $435 million for the refinery and its associated storage, terminals and pipeline assets plus an additional $57 million for the plants inventories, networking capital and reimbursement of certain capital spending. I'm pleased to report that Husky agreed to take all the refineries roughly 180 employees. I want to again thank the employees on the Superior refinery for their hardworking commitment to make the refinery a success over the past six years. Slide 4 outlines the five key benefits of the transaction to Cayman. First, the sales Superior is accretive to both this year and next year's cash flows. Note that we were budgeting over $100 million of capital spending at the plant next year and by selling at this time we are able to redeploy that capital into our other businesses. Next, we have a stated goal to reduce our leverage profile and obviously this was a transaction that helped us take a very large step towards that goal. In fact, our net debt to total capitalization falls immediately from 90% to 76%. This deal also decreases our volatility in earnings by shifting our portfolio away from the higher bade of fuels products commodity markets. Our capital intensity decreases because our specialty facilities do not require the same level of turn around and maintenance as do our fuels refineries. We've lowered our 2017 capital spending projection significantly from a $110 million to a $130 million, down to $85 million to $95 million and we've also introduced a 2018 projection that we expect will fall between 2017's will fall below 2017's level despite some expected turnaround activity that I mentioned earlier. Lastly, the sale of Superior decreases our rents exposures by roughly 1/3rd. Cayman's 2017 system wide obligation of a 128 million rents will now fall to approximately 85 million rents in 2018, prior to any mitigation strategies such as blending. We estimate that ethanol and biodiesel blending will still allow us to offset roughly half of the 85 million rents obligation. To sum up, this was a strategic deal and this transaction moves us closer to our vision. Slide 5, provides a reminder of the vision that been referencing all year, which has focused on becoming the premier specialty petroleum products company. Our vision is supported by three fundamental strategies represented as layers in the pyramid. The first layer, operations excellence forms the foundation of our approach and has been a quarter wide mission to reduce unnecessary costs, optimize raw materials and enhance margins across the portfolio. We've already discussed the success of these efforts represented by the self-help report card we showed you earlier. But I think it's critical to understand there our self-help program will not just be a three year exercise, it will be a part of our culture as we look to drive continuous improvement in all of our businesses. The second layer of the pyramid is opportunistic growth projects. This has been a primary focus in 2017 as we look to capture opportunities with one to two year payouts with low capital investment requirements. For example, as we talked about earlier, we leveraged our proprietary technology to introduce our new group three lubricant product as well as our new transformer oil. In our expansion projects for our high margin, Royal Purple and TruFuel brands should contribute significantly to future growth. Lastly, the sale of Superior, has now moved us into the top of the pyramid where we undertake strategic M&A to optimize our portfolio. I'm going to pass the call onto Bruce Fleming who heads our strategic and growth group to talk a little bit more about this third level of Calumet strategy. Bruce?