Tim Go
Analyst · Howard Weil. Your line is now open
Thank you, Noel. And good afternoon to all of you joining us today. For the first quarter, Calumet reported adjusted EBITDA of $6.6 million in line with the financial guidance we issued publicly on April 15. Our first quarter adjusted EBITDA includes a favorable lower of cost or market inventory adjustment of $9.5 million. Clearly these results are wholly unacceptable and underperform the high expectations I have for this organization. The responsibility for this performance sits entirely with me and my management team. Our vision for growth is sound, yet we must execute on this vision through continuous improvement and self-help at each level of the organization with end-goal being positive growth in cash flows from every part of our asset portfolio. Pronounced weakness in our fuels products segment was the main cause for our poor first quarter results due to a combination of a 45% year-over-year decline in the benchmark 2/1/1 Gulf Coast spread and soft refining economics in the regional markets we serve. Further weighing on results was our oil field services segment which remains challenged in a lower for longer crude oil price environment. On the other hand, our core specialty products segment continued to generate stable cash flows from operations during the first quarter, consistent with what we've come to expect from this business. On an adjusted basis, gross profit margin in the specialty products segment were solid, averaging just under $40 per barrel on an adjusted basis, while segment level adjusted EBITDA came in at just under $52 million in the first quarter. Our diverse base of specialty assets and product lines are a strong foundation on which to grow Calumet, particularly as we seek to reshape our cash flow profile requirements in a way that over time can support a new distribution policy. From an operations perspective, our plants ran well in the first quarter as we took care to manage those factors within our control. We processed record volumes of cost advantaged heavy Canadian crude oil, we achieved record system-wide utilization, and our growth projects are all up and running. Our Montana refinery expansion has reached completion and is currently running at planned capacity. San Antonio is producing and selling on-spec solvents, and the Missouri esters plant is currently producing and selling on-spec esters for valued customers. Most importantly, we operated without any major safety incidents which allowed us to better optimize our asset portfolio. I'm very proud of our employees for staying focused on delivering these results in spite of the challenges evident in the fuel segment and in the broader commodity markets. Please turn to page 4. In my first 100 days as CEO, my focus has been largely directed towards three areas: first, develop and introduce a new strategic framework to the organization guided by a new long-term vision for Calumet; second, bolster near-term liquidity; and third, effect change through a series of organizational initiatives that I will touch on later. As I first introduced to you in February, our vision for Calumet is to become the leading petroleum-based specialty products company in the world. In application, this means our focus will be on developing niche specialty businesses where we have a proven sustainable competitive advantage. We're getting back to basics; investing in markets where we know we can win over the long-term. There are two primary changes in this new vision. First, our attention will not be diluted across multiple downstream markets. It will be focused on the optimization of specialty products assets, products and brands. Second, growth will need to originate from the internal assets we own today. Acquisitions cannot be used as a crutch to achieve growth. We must first extract value from the portfolio we own today in order to consistently achieve organic growth. Since this messaging was rolled out to my employees in January, cross-functional business teams have come together to develop an operations excellence dashboard that includes dozens of low to no cost organic growth projects capable of generating meaningful benefits over time The second area of considerable focus has been around ensuring the partnership's continued access to liquidity to support ongoing operations and business growth while emphasizing the importance of balance sheet discipline and cost control. To that end, on April 15, we issued a press release that announced the pricing of the $400 million senior secured notes offering, and the suspension of our quarterly cash distribution. The completion of the notes offering in late April was a financial imperative for us, particularly given the rapid pace at which the declining crude oil prices reduced the availability on the borrowing base of our revolver. The lower availability coupled with the rapid deterioration in the fuels refining economics in our local markets required we come to market to ensure we have sufficient liquidity to manage the business. The offering was well received by a group of institutional investors who threw their support and the offering, exhibited their support of our business and the changes we're making to reinvigorate profitable growth. Our liquidity to manage the business was significantly enhanced by this successful offer. Given the weakness in fuels refining economics evidenced in late 2015 and into early 2016, our Board unanimously approved the expansion of our quarterly cash distribution that was announced on April 15. While the decision to suspend the distribution was a difficult one, this action was necessary to further support our liquidity position and financial flexibility. Our Board expects to evaluate our reinstatement of a quarterly cash distribution in due course taking into account a number of factors, including our liquidity requirements, the relative health of cash flows from operations, balance sheet leverage, broader market conditions and the overall performance of our business. However, in order for us to be a position to get back to paying a distribution, we not only need to better optimize the assets in our portfolio, we need to effect the organizational changes required for our long-term success. The third area of focus involved a series of organizational changes that show clear progress towards developing the required infrastructure required to achieve our vision. In March, we named Steve Mawer, the former President of Koch Supply and Trading and a 27 year energy industry veteran to our Board of Directors. Steve shares with the Board a deep understanding of the commodity markets and risk mitigation strategies that will help us to be successful. In addition, we recently hired Bruce Fleming as our EVP of Strategy and Growth. Bruce has more than 30 years of industry experience including the last 10 years where he served as VP of M&A for a large publicly traded independent refiner. At Calumet, Bruce will lead internal growth initiatives, business development and strategic advisory for the partnership reporting to me. I want to welcome both Steve and Bruce to the team. We look forward to reaping the benefits of their leadership in the years to come. Importantly, I want to emphasize that personnel changes have not been limited to the senior leadership of our organization. At an operational level, we recently added a new VP Operations for our Specialty plant, new plant managers at our Montana and Missouri esters facilities, and new operations managers at Shreveport, Montana and DPR facilities. At the same time, we have reorganized our supply chain management group positioning us to fully realize synergies around significant areas, including procurement, transportation and crude oil trade. Further in an effort to transition our company toward an increasingly data centric management culture, we have moved forward with a full-scale conversion of our enterprise systems to SAP, a project which should reach conclusion by early 2017. Overall, these changes have brought about a sense of urgency within the organization, along with a growing awareness that status quo is not acceptable. We have a long way to go, but we are making considerable strides towards improving how we manage the business on a day-to-day basis with an emphasis on staying scrappy, fighting for the lose ball and taking accountability at an individual level. Please turn to pages 5 and 6. Our specialty product segment has remained stable on both the gross profit per barrel basis and on an adjusted EBITDA basis. Over the last three years, our specialty products segment has generated average adjusted EBITDA of approximately $50 million to $60 million per quarter. During the same period, our fuels product segment EBITDA has been more volatile, particularly in the last two quarters where negative contributions from fuels and oilfield services has more than offset the positive contributions from specialty products. Please turn to page 7. Not all specialty products are created equal. Some products are more specialized than others as determined by factors of quality, formulation specifications and scarcity of supply. Historically, Calumet has produced a wide range of specialty products ranging from paraffinic and naphthenic base oils to specialty waxes and branded formulations such as Royal Purple, Bel-Ray, TruFuel and Quantum. While this diversification across multiple product markets has been a competitive advantage for us, setting us apart from other smaller less diversified producers, the opportunity set becomes incrementally more rewarding as we move further into markets where formulations are unique and gross profit margins are consistently higher relative to other specialty based refined products. For Calumet, our goal is to increase cash flows generated from quality-driven and brand-driven product lines as listed on this slide. If we can leverage our size in niche specialty markets like these, we believe there is a significant opportunity to reshape our free cash flow profile over time, particularly given the low capital intensity of these product lines. Please turn to pages 8 and 9. When it comes to fuels refining, Calumet is a small niche inland player. Despite our small size, our refiners are strategically located in markets that enjoy unfettered access to some of the most cost advantage crude oils available in the domestic market. Back on our February conference call, I introduced our heavy-up strategy, an approach that calls for us to process increasing volumes of discounted heavy Canadian crude oil in our fuels refining system overtime to capitalize on this feedstock advantage. As illustrated on top of page 8, heavy Canadian crude oil continues to trade at a significant discount to WTI, averaging nearly $12 below WTI on the year-to-date 2016 basis. While this discount isn't quite what it was back in the 2012 to 2014 timeframe, it remains a highly advantaged feedstock that is easily accessible to our refineries in Superior and Montana, given their connection to feeder lines out of Canada. Current indications are that this discount should remain wide over the next several years given the continued imbalance between increasing Canadian production and the insufficient pipeline offtake capacity in the region. As you can see on the bottom of page 8, we purchased a record 31,900 a barrels a day of heavy Canadian crude oil in the first quarter 2016, up from 23,900 barrels per day in the prior year period. We remain well on pace to reach our full year 2016 goal to process 40,000 to 45,000 barrels per day of heavy Canadian crude oil by year-end. Longer term, we anticipate the ability to process up to 70,000 barrels a day of heavy crude oil, all of which would be run at our Montana and Superior refineries. As our Northern refineries have processed an increased diet of heavy Canadian feedstock, our asphalt production increased as was intended. We remain bullish on the asphalt outlook for this year and then work to further expand our wholesale and retail distribution footprint through direct sales and third-party marketing relationships such as those we have on the West and East Coasts. In the first quarter 2016, we produced more than 17,800 barrels a day of asphalt, representing just over one quarter of our total fuels production versus 14,800 barrels per day in the year-ago period. Recall however that asphalt paving and roofing season is highly seasonal. Generally, we will produce and store asphalt in November through April timeframe and sell it to customers in the May through October timeframe. On page 9, you can see that we have locked in approximately half of our anticipated 2016 WCS purchases using the combination of percentage and fixed basis differential hedges. Net net, we have locked in an average discount of roughly $14 to WTI in 2016 based on these positions. Please turn your attention to Page 10 of the slide deck. In the near term, having completed the recent senior secured notes offering and having made the tough decision around our current distribution, our access to liquidity has improved, although we must be prudent in our stewardship of capital in what remains a volatile commodity price environment. It is this intense focus on disciplined capital management and cost control. Together with ongoing efforts to energize our existing businesses through low or no cost self-help projects that will position us to generate positive free cash flow in the business. In the mid-term, we will focus on executing on our operations excellence initiatives while continuing to identifying new and existing challenge to help us achieve our goals and manage our business for the long term profitable growth. Further, we will complete a comprehensive internal valuation of our portfolio assets to better understand the relative contributions from these assets over time. Longer term, once we have build the infrastructure and processes to support a leaner more competitive organizations, we intend to once again return to the market as an opportunistic acquirer of specialty assets. However, for now our focus is entirely on strengthening our balance sheet and optimizing the portfolio of assets we own today. Please turn to page 11, looking ahead to second quarter, fuels refining economics have improved through April when compared to the first quarter. The 211 Gulf Coast crack spread averaged nearly $2 per barrel higher in April than in the first quarter 2016 supported by a seasonal strengthening in the gasoline crack. Further, the WCF WTI differential widened slightly in the first quarter which should benefit our Northern refinery, which run mainly heavy Canadian feedstock. Local rack prices for gasoline and distillate sold in our local fuels markets when compared to Gulf Coast rack prices have improved during the last 30 days which should provide some benefit to the realized margins at our fuels refineries in the second quarter. Further, we intend to begin selling the asphalt we built during the winter fill season beginning this month. So we should have a working capital benefit as asphalt inventory decline in the coming months. Finally, we anticipate that a significant year-over-year decline in capital spending which Pat will touch on shortly should put us in a good position to generate positive free cash flow as we made progress in the remainder of 2016. On one final note, I'm pleased to report that beginning in the second quarter of 2016, we'll start providing guidance around the anticipated benefits we expect to realize from our operations excellence self-help initiative. Internally, we are holding ourselves individually accountable for the success of this initiative. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Pat.