Operator
Operator
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Coles Group Limited FY '26 Results. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to Leah Weckert, Coles Group CEO. Please go ahead.
CLEGF (CLEGF)
Q4 2026 Earnings Call· Mon, Aug 24, 2026
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Operator
Operator
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Coles Group Limited FY '26 Results. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to Leah Weckert, Coles Group CEO. Please go ahead.
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Macquarie
Good morning, and thank you for joining our full year results call this morning. Before I begin, I would like to acknowledge the traditional custodians of this land on which we meet today, the Wurundjeri people of the Kulin Nation. We acknowledge their strength and resilience and pay our respects to their elders, past and present. I'm joined in the room today by Charlie Elias, our CFO; Matt Swindells, our Chief Operations and Supply Chain Officer; Anna Croft, our Chief Commercial and Sustainability Officer; Michael Courtney, our Chief Customer Experience Officer; and Claire Lauber, Chief Executive of Liquor. Moving now on to Slide 3. FY '26 was another year of strong execution, where we strengthened our competitive position and grew market share in supermarkets. Excluding significant items, group EBIT increased by 9.9% and NPAT increased by 13.7%. Digital was again a standout with Supermarkets eCommerce sales increasing by 26.4%. And importantly, our customer fulfillment centers delivered positive EBITDA in only their second year of operation. We delivered $311 million of Simplify and Save to Invest benefits, helping us continue to invest in value and the customer experience. And what is particularly pleasing is that our financial performance was accompanied by further improvements in customer satisfaction and our highest ever team member engagement score. We have also announced targeted investments in our next phase of growth. This is across new stores, online and technology, coupled with a clear strategy to improve the performance of our liquor business, and I will talk to this in more detail in my presentation. Moving on to Slide 4 and the financial highlights. We reported group sales revenue of $45.6 billion, an increase of 2.8%. As I just mentioned, excluding significant items, group EBIT increased by 9.9% and NPAT increased by 13.7%. In Supermarkets, sales revenue, excluding tobacco, increased by 5.1%. And Supermarkets EBIT increased by a very strong 12.2%, underpinned by top line growth and EBIT margin expansion of 43 basis points. Charlie will talk more to the financials in his presentation. Moving on to Slide 5. The common thread through these results is the consistent execution of our strategy. Our customer proposition is resonating. We have continued to invest in value, Exclusive to Coles is performing strongly and customer satisfaction has improved. Our eCommerce business is scaling profitably with strong eCommerce growth, positive CFC EBITDA and continued improvements to the customer proposition. Our productivity programs are allowing us to convert that growth into earnings with EBIT growth significantly ahead of sales. And our strong cash generation and balance sheet gives us the capacity to reinvest in the business and pursue the next phase of growth. During the year, we refreshed our strategy for our flywheel to reflect the increasing importance of nonfood everyday essentials beyond food and drink and the growing role AI is playing across our business. The fundamentals of our strategy, however, remain consistent. Let me take you through the progress we are making, starting with destination for food, drink and everyday essentials on Slide 6. We know value remains front of mind for Australian households and delivering value for our customers remains one of our high priorities. During the year, we continued to strengthen our value proposition in a number of ways. We expanded our everyday value range with more than 5,600 products now providing customers with consistent value whenever they shop. At the same time, we have been simplifying our promotional program around fewer, bigger and more impactful offers. This is about making specials truly special and at the same time, making execution simpler for our customers and our team members. Our seasonal campaigns and continuity programs continue to resonate strongly, and we are increasingly using Flybuys and our digital capabilities to deliver more relevant and personalized value. Our Exclusive to Coles portfolio also remains a key differentiator for us, making shopping more affordable, and we saw growth ahead of the rest of store. Importantly, we're delivering value across all price tiers while continuing to offer the quality products our customers expect from Coles. Let's discuss this in more detail on Slide 7. Exclusive to Coles delivered sales growth of 6.1%, with Coles Finest continuing to perform particularly well, with sales increasing by 9.2%. Exclusive to Coles plays an important role in both our value proposition and differentiation. We want to make shopping more affordable for customers, and we also want to create a range of products valued for their taste or functionality that are only available at Coles, providing a reason for customers to choose to shop with us. That means focusing our innovation where we believe we can lead and where there is an opportunity to offer something genuinely compelling. We see particular opportunities in health and convenience and saw strong momentum from our PerFORM high protein convenience meals this year. We also saw strong growth in our Ultra cleaning range in nonfood. Quality and innovation remain at the heart of the portfolio, and it was great to see our products recognized with 40 awards, including 17 Product of the Year awards. We've also expanded our exclusive partnerships with leading brands, including M&S, Grill'd and Gami. These partnerships, together with our innovation, broaden our offer and give customers more reasons to choose Coles. Move on to Slide 8. As I said at the start, one of the outcomes I was most pleased with this year was the improvement we saw in our customer satisfaction metrics. It is great to have seen a step up in all of the important metrics of quality, range, availability, price and store look and feel for the year. For me, the important takeaway is that customers are noticing the changes we are making. Our investments in value, quality and range, together with improvements in availability and execution in our stores are translating into a better customer experience. There is always more we can do, but the breadth of improvement across these measures gives us confidence that our customer proposition is moving in the right direction. Moving on to Slide 9 and Accelerated by digital. Our eCommerce business had another very strong year with Supermarkets eCommerce sales increasing by 26.4% to $5.6 billion and penetration of 13.6%. We delivered double-digit growth across all our fulfillment channels and building a differentiated offer across the full range of customer shopping missions. Whether that be through our CFC, which provides our customers with our best online availability, guaranteed shelf life and a high-quality next-day and same-day delivery proposition and customers can even shop later at night now for delivery the next morning. Or whether it's customers looking for immediacy, our expanded partnership with Uber Eats gives them access to around 17,000 products. This is the largest grocery range available through an on-demand delivery platform in Australia. We also continue to expand Windowless Rapid Click & Collect and saw strong growth in our Coles Plus and Coles Plus Saver subscriptions, and we've also seen some very good improvements in Click & Collect wait times. Importantly, our eCommerce business is not only growing strongly, but it is scaling profitably. We have delivered this through improvements in pick and last-mile delivery efficiencies as well as growth in our Coles 360 Retail Media business. We are also really pleased to report that our CFCs are EBITDA positive, which I'll talk to now on Slide 10. Customers are responding positively to our 'Deliver More' proposition with strong volume growth and CFC NPS significantly ahead of total online NPS. Sales through the CFCs grew by more than 30%, ahead of overall eCommerce growth as we expanded catchments and introduced same-day delivery. We also continue to improve the economics with CFCs achieving positive EBITDA for the year. This was achieved through higher volumes, together with operational improvements, including on-grid robotic pickups, auto frame loading and auto bagging, which were all installed during the year. This is an important milestone in only the second year of operation, and it demonstrates that we can deliver a better customer proposition while at the same time improving efficiencies as the business scales. Moving now on to Slide 11. Our digital assets and Flybuys loyalty program give us an increasingly powerful ability to connect loyalty, eCommerce and retail media. We know customers value offers that are relevant to them rather than simply receiving more offers. During the year, we continued to enhance our digital functionality and increase personalization across the customer journey. Features such as 'New for You' and 'My Weekly Specials' are making it easier for customers to discover products and value that is relevant to them. At the same time, our customer data capabilities are helping us create more connected experiences across our app, website and stores. Coles 360 is becoming a more important part of the business. We know that retail media in Australia is a large and growing market. In store, that might be digital screens, Coles Magazine or Coles Radio. On site, it is banners, tiles and videos in the app and on our website. Off-site, it could be YouTube and social media. The goal for us is to make the right value more visible and help suppliers connect with customers in ways that are useful, relevant and trusted. And this is an important area of growth for us. Moving on to Slide 12 and our Simplify and Save to Invest program. Our Simplify and Save to Invest program remains a core part of how we operate. We delivered $311 million in benefits in FY '26, taking cumulative benefits since FY '24 to $876 million. And we remain on track to exceed $1 billion of benefits by the end of FY '27. If we look further back, we have now delivered around $1.9 billion of benefits since FY '20 through SSI and our previous Smarter Selling program. This demonstrates the consistency of our approach to productivity. These savings are important because they help us offset inflationary and other cost pressures while creating capacity to reinvest in value, our stores and our digital capabilities. And increasingly, data, technology, automation and AI are helping us identify new sources of productivity. Moving on to Slide 13. AI is already well established across Coles and delivering value in many parts of our business. What has changed recently is the pace of capability and the breadth of where we can apply it. Coles has a unique combination of data and physical assets, millions of customer transactions every week, more than 1,800 stores, 8,000 suppliers, 115,000 team members and 10.3 million active Flybuys members. And we are increasingly bringing together those capabilities to improve outcomes for customers, our operations, and our team members. For customers, AI is helping us to improve personalization, product discovery and the relevance of our offers. The next wave is conversational shopping and agentic commerce. Over time, we see the potential for customers to engage with us in a much more intuitive way from discovering what they need through to transacting and receiving post-purchase support. Given the scale of our customer relationships, Flybuys and our digital channels, we think this is a particularly exciting opportunity for Coles. Across our operations, AI is already embedded in our decision-making in areas such as forecasting, space and rent optimization, and inventory and store decisions. We are building towards end-to-end optimization across our supply chain, bringing together decisions across inventory, DCs, transport and replenishment so that increasingly, we can optimize the system as a whole rather than individual decisions in silos. And for our team members, we are using AI to make everyday tasks simpler and more productive. The next opportunity is to move beyond individual productivity tools towards function-specific agents and AI embedded directly into everyday workflows. This will help our team members spend less time on repetitive tasks and more time on the work that creates value. Overall, we remain disciplined about where we will deploy AI. Our focus is on areas where it can meaningfully improve customer experience, availability, growth and efficiency, and we're excited about the opportunities ahead. Moving on to Slide 14. Alongside our financial performance, we remain very conscious of the role that Coles plays for our team members, suppliers and communities. We achieved our highest ever team member engagement scores during the year, placing Coles in the top quartile against the Australian benchmark for the third consecutive year. We continue to support our suppliers and growers with more than 97% of our fresh produce sourced from Australian growers, and we awarded more than $3.5 million in grants through the Coles Nurture Fund during the year. Our community partnerships also remain an important part of who we are. Coles contributed $45 million in community support in addition to the equivalent of 40.9 million meals donated to SecondBite and Foodbank. And we continue to make progress against our sustainability priorities, including an 82.6% reduction in Scope 1 & 2 emissions from our FY '20 baseline. These outcomes reflect the commitment of our team members right across Coles. Moving on now to our strategic update. Over the past 3 years, we have invested significantly in transforming Coles. As we look back at the priorities we set 3 years ago, we can see tangible evidence that the time and resources that we have invested is delivering outcomes. And over the past 3 years, we have materially strengthened the business. Starting with our customer proposition. Exclusive to Coles has continued to grow and differentiate our offer, while Coles Finest has delivered particularly strong growth. We have enhanced value through the introduction of more everyday value products and reduced promotions, making it easier for customers to find value in store. At the same time, we have seen customer satisfaction improving across all key metrics. In digital, we have a significantly different business to where we were 3 years ago. eCommerce sales have more than doubled. Our 2 CFCs are now fully operational and delivering strong returns, and we have a market-leading immediacy offer and have made meaningful enhancements to our app and website to improve the customer experience. At the same time, we have transformed our supply chain with our 2 ADCs now fully operational, which are delivering improvements in the availability and cost efficiency and an optimized store network. So when we look across the business today, we have a stronger customer proposition, a much larger digital business and a more automated supply chain and a more productive operating model. Moving on to Slide 17. Importantly, the strategic progress that we have made has translated into strong financial outcomes and improved returns. Since FY '23, sales have grown at a compound annual rate of 4%. Over the same period, EBIT has grown at 7.7% per annum. Return on capital has increased by around 80 basis points to 17.3%. That is important as our objective has never simply been to grow the size of the business. We want to deliver sustainable earnings growth and attractive returns on the capital we invest. The combination of customer-led growth and disciplined productivity has allowed us to grow earnings faster than sales while continuing to reinvest in the business. And it has been underpinned by disciplined capital allocation, including consistent growth in dividends, which have increased from $0.66 per share in FY '23 to $0.78 per share this year. Moving on to our capital allocation framework on Slide 18. Over the past 3 years, we have, on average, converted more than 100% of earnings into cash while investing around $1.1 billion a year in our core business across maintenance growth and efficiency. At the same time, we have maintained a strong investment-grade balance sheet, giving us capacity to invest through the cycle. That financial strength has enabled us to complete our major ADC and CFC investments, pursue strategic acquisitions, including our acquisition of MilkCo and several strategic property investments and progressively increase dividends while retaining flexibility for further shareholder returns. Looking ahead, our approach will remain unchanged: invest where we see attractive returns, maintain balance sheet strength and return surplus capital to shareholders. Moving now on to Slide 19. With the transformation platform we've built over the past 3 years now well established, we're moving into the next phase of targeted investment. This isn't the entirety of our strategy, and we are looking forward to sharing more at our Investor Day later in the year, but I wanted to provide some insights this morning on where we are investing for future growth. First, our Victorian ADC. The $880 million development remains on time and on budget. Once operational, it will have capacity to process 4.6 million cartons a week and complete the automation of our ambient distribution network across the Eastern Seaboard. Secondly, stores and technology. We plan to invest an additional $300 million by the end of FY '28, supporting around 45 new supermarkets, largely in infill locations and high-growth corridors and around 150 renewals. These investments will allow us to augment our store footprint, improve the customer experience, create more capacity for online fulfillment and make our stores more efficient. We'll also continue to simplify our technology and expand the use of AI-enabled capabilities. Thirdly, liquor. FY '26 performance was below our expectations. We have completed a strategic review and have established a clear plan ahead. We will be focused on creating a more integrated food and drink experience across loyalty and eCommerce, optimizing the store network with greater emphasis on supermarket co-locations and simplifying the operating model. And finally, the Coles Capability Center. Our expanded partnership with Accenture will give us access to world-class skills and technology at greater scale and pace. It will help accelerate technology delivery and create a more efficient operating model. Benefits are expected to begin in FY '27 and build to an annualized run rate of more than $100 million by the end of FY '29. Together, these investments are focused on improving our customer offer, creating capacity for growth and delivering productivity benefits and attractive long-term returns. We have a strong balance sheet, and we will remain disciplined in how we allocate capital while ensuring we continue to deliver a competitive offer that meets the needs of our customers. I will now hand over to Charlie, who will take you through the financials in more detail.
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · Macquarie
Thank you, Leah, and good morning, everyone. I'll now take you through the group financial results in more detail. Overall, we are pleased with the financial performance of the group in FY '26. The result reflects continued sales momentum in supermarkets, strong operating leverage, disciplined cost management, while at the same time continuing to invest in value for our customers. Moving on to Slide 21. We reported group sales revenue of $45.6 billion, an increase of 2.8%. Excluding significant items, group EBITDA increased by 7.1%. Group EBIT increased by 9.9% and NPAT increased by 13.7%. Importantly, earnings growth was well ahead of sales growth, reflecting the strong supermarkets performance, operating leverage and continued discipline across the cost base. The Board declared a fully franked final dividend of $0.37 per share, taking total dividends for the year to $0.78 per share. This represents an increase of 13% compared to FY '25. Moving to the segment overview slide on 22. Starting with Supermarkets. We had a very strong year with EBIT increasing by 12.2%, reflecting strong top line growth, coupled with 43 basis points of margin expansion. Sales revenue increased by 3.7%, successfully cycling the impact of the competitor industrial action in the prior corresponding period and achieving market share growth for the year. Excluding tobacco, sales revenue increased by 5.1%. Our strong EBIT margin expansion was driven by improvements in both gross profit margin and cost of doing business as a percentage of sales. For the year, our GP margin increased by 37 basis points and CODB as a percentage of sales improved 6 basis points. The GM result reflected the annualized benefit from our ADC program and a significant decline in tobacco sales following the legislative changes at the beginning of the year. Both of these were weighted towards the first half. Going forward, we would not expect to see material benefits to gross margin from tobacco given that we have reached a more stabilized level. We also continue to see benefit from strategic sourcing and SSI initiatives as well as the growth of 360 media income. Pleasingly, these benefits were able to successfully offset the meaningful investments we made in value throughout the year, including in red meat, as well as incremental fuel costs in the second half as a result of geopolitical tensions. In terms of cost of doing business, again, pleasingly, our SSI program went a long way offsetting our inflationary cost pressures this year with $311 million in savings and a majority being CODB related. And we also benefited from major project implementation, dual running and transition costs falling away, which assisted both GP and CODB. We are pleased with the continued strong growth in eCommerce sales, coupled with the ongoing positive margin outcome. Our ability to scale our digital business profitably is something we know you have been focused on, and we have continued to deliver on this. As Leah mentioned, over the last year, 3 years, we have doubled our e-com sales and grown our EBIT margin by 90 basis points to 5.7%. This is a real achievement and reflects the significant benefits of our major transformation programs and continued focus on SSI have delivered. As we look to the year ahead, we will be continuing to work harder on SSI and continue to deliver the benefits from strategic sourcing and growing Coles 360. We know these programs are more important than ever with value being a key focus for our customers and inflation still coming through the cost base. We are also keeping a close eye on retail crime given the current pressure on consumers as we know this remains an industry issue. In addition to the above, we are really pleased we have announced the extension and expansion of our strategic partnership with Accenture to establish our Coles Capability Center, which will support the enhanced digital and technology capabilities, greater operational efficiency and improved outcomes for the business. The strategic partnership is expected to deliver annualized cash benefits of over $100 million per annum by the end of FY '29 with one-off implementation and establishment costs of $190 million in FY '27. These costs are expected to be treated as a significant item. Importantly, this program is incremental to SSI with a really strong payback as this program will do much more than just save costs. It will accelerate our opportunities and strengthen our competitive position. Moving on to Liquor, where sales revenue declined by 3.3% and EBIT declined by 47.8%. Sales were impacted by the cycling of the prior year benefits from competitor supply chain disruption, together with ongoing cost of living pressures and subdued consumer sentiment. Promotional activity across the sector was also elevated, particularly in the Big Box end of the market. Notwithstanding this, we completed our Simply Liquorland store conversion program and our convenience portfolio, representing more than 90% of our store network, delivered positive sales growth. Gross margin increased by 40 basis points, supported by strategic sourcing, promotional optimization initiatives, growth in Coles 360 Retail Media and a disciplined approach to price investment. Liquor EBIT of $59 million was impacted by softer top line and a $20 million in one-off costs relating to Simply Liquorland conversions. In Other, revenue related solely to the Product Supply Agreement we have with Viva Energy. The improvement in the other EBIT line primarily reflected lower corporate costs, partly offset by higher net property losses. Turning to operating cash flow on Slide 23. Operating cash flow, excluding interest and tax, was $4.3 billion with a cash realization of 101%. Working capital was broadly neutral for the full year. Higher receivables were partially offset by increased payables, largely due to the impact from inflation on cost of goods, while inventory remained broadly stable compared with the prior year. The movement in provisions and other primarily reflects the FWO provision, which is a noncash but recognized in EBITDA. Moving to capital expenditure on Slide 24. Gross operating capital expenditure on an accrued basis was $1.2 billion, a decrease of $76 million compared to the prior year. As you know, capital expenditure falls into 4 areas: store renewals, growth initiatives, efficiency initiatives and maintenance. Within renewals, we completed 212 store renewals across our network, consisting 71 in supermarkets and 141 liquor stores. Within growth, we opened 13 new Supermarkets and 16 new Liquor stores while also continuing to invest in our e-com business. Efficiency initiatives included investments in-store front-end service transformation, liquor easy ordering and our Victorian ADC. Maintenance CapEx included ongoing refrigeration, electrical, store and technology life cycle replacement programs. We continue to optimize our property portfolio with net property capital expenditure increasing by $162 million due to an increase in property acquisitions and developments and lower proceeds from divestments. Looking ahead, as Leah talked to, we are stepping up our capital expenditure this year to invest in a number of incremental strategic projects, including an additional $150 million in FY '27 and FY '28 in growth through opening 45 new supermarkets, delivering a net space growth well in excess of 2%, the renewal of 150 supermarkets, increasing online capacity, enhancing the customer experience and priority technology to both improve efficiency and accelerate AI capabilities. The increase is not an ongoing step-up in spend, but a very specific set of growth investments. We're also making excellent progress with our Victorian ADC and the project is both on time and on budget and we will complete the automation of our ambient distribution centers down the eastern seaboard. The FY '27 CapEx for the Victorian ADC is expected to be approximately $300 million. So overall, inclusive of our core CapEx program, we are expecting operating capital expenditure for this year to be around $1.55 billion. Turning to balance sheet and liquidity on Slide 25. Our funding position remains strong. At year-end, our weighted average drawn debt maturity was 4.4 years with undrawn facilities of $2.5 billion, while our lease adjusted leverage ratio further strengthened to 2.3x. We continue to hold investment-grade ratings of BBB+ with S&P Global and Baa1 with Moody's. Combined with our strong balance sheet and cash generation, this provides the capacity to fund targeted growth investments, maintain financial discipline and continue returning dividends to shareholders. As I said earlier, the Coles Board declared a fully franked final dividend of $0.37 per share, taking total dividend for the year to $0.78 a share, a 13% uplift. As you can see on this slide, we have a healthy franking credit balance of approximately $550 million after the payment of our final dividend. To summarize before I hand it back to Leah, FY '26 was a strong financial year for the group. We delivered earnings growth ahead of sales, strong cash generation and an improvement in balance sheet metrics. This puts us in a good stead to fund the next phase of growth for Coles. I'll now hand it back to Leah to take us through the outlook and concluding comments.
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Macquarie
Thank you, Charlie. So turning now to our outlook on Slide 33. We enter FY '27 in a strong position, with Supermarkets having gained market share and significantly improved customer satisfaction scores over the past year. Sales growth for the first 8 weeks of FY '27 was consistent with fourth quarter FY '26. In the first few weeks of FY '27, sales momentum was well ahead of fourth quarter FY '26 with a temporary moderation during a competitor's collectibles campaign in late July and early August. Following the end of the collectibles campaign, sales recovered quickly back to levels consistent with fourth quarter FY '26. Our differentiated eCommerce offer continues to be a significant driver of growth with penetration increasing to 15.7% over the period. In Liquor, the sales trajectory strengthened across the first 8 weeks relative to fourth quarter FY '26. Our convenience portfolio continued to deliver positive growth, while performance in the warehouse portfolio also improved. And with that, I'd now hand back to the operator for Q&A.
Operator
Operator
Your first question today comes from Caleb Wheatley with Macquarie.
Caleb Wheatley
Analyst · Macquarie
Just wanted to come back to the strategic initiatives you're calling out in the 4 major areas there. Appreciate clearly there's a fairly meaningful step-up in CapEx as you look to invest in those. But from a returns point of view, how should the market sort of think about the pathway for these investments and especially when we should expect these returns to start to be realized in a tangible sense?
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · Macquarie
Yes. Thanks, Caleb for that question. It's a great question. Let us unpick those very clearly. Firstly, the ADC. I think you're probably pretty well-versed on the ADCs going forward. As you know, that will come into train in FY '29, FY '30. This year's CapEx on that is $300 million. And then you know we've had a very disciplined way in terms of we allocate capital to those sort of programs. They are risk-adjusted returns on our cost of capital, and we're very clear how those drive benefits. If I think about the step-up in the store programs, we're talking about 45 supermarkets over the next 2 years. That is taking our net space growth to well over 2%. That's a significant step up in increasing in terms of our capacity. We love investing in our stores. They are some of the best returning assets that we buy, very strong returns on capital. If I look at the renewals step-up to 150, we did 71 in FY '26. We are stepping it up to 75, but the nature of the spend is really important in those 75, the 150, sorry, that we're talking about over the next 2 years, is they're not standard. What we're looking at doing is increasing our online capacity and improving the customer experience in those stores. And we know, Caleb, if you recall when we actually took the next-day home delivery volume out of our Metro Melbourne and Sydney, when we freed up that capacity, it really did facilitate strong growth in our eCommerce business. So we're really excited about the growth that can unleash in eCommerce and in our stores, but also improve what we're doing. And what are we doing in those stores? Improving things like staging areas, refrigeration in the back of house, really ensuring that these stores can really deliver and cater things like Click & Collect more bays, et cetera, that are really driving sort of growth. So again, we're really pleased with that growth. If you look at our performance on our capital, more importantly, we have been consistently investing at $1.1 billion ex the transformation programs. And what you can see over the last 3 years is our return on capital has improved over 80 basis points over that period. So I think a very strong returning set of CapEx.
Caleb Wheatley
Analyst · Macquarie
Okay, great. And then I guess a bit of a follow-up. I appreciate this isn't necessarily kind of a CapEx item. But perhaps I'm a bit surprised that sort of Coles 360 or Retail Media hasn't been as much of a focus there. I appreciate it's not new, I appreciate income up 55% as you called out over the past few years. But just sort of operationally and the sort of benefit you see that driving on a go-forward basis, just keen to sort of understand where that's at, both from a capability point of view, from a sort of inventory point of view in inverted commas, and then sort of how you're thinking about that as sort of an investment on a go-forward basis?
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Macquarie
Yes. Thanks for the question, Caleb. I'll start and then I might get Michael to give us a bit of color. I mean I think we were quite pleased with double-digit growth in the Coles 360 space. We've continued to bring on more assets. We've improved our measurement capability through the year and really focused on ensuring that we're really listening to feedback on how we can lift ROI. That has been some big focuses over the last 12 months. And I think we're feeling like the business is really starting to get some momentum behind it. But maybe, Michael, you could give a bit of color to that.
Michael Courtney
Analyst · Macquarie
Yes, happy to, Leah. I think the key word that both yourself and Caleb used is capability because this has been a year where we are continuing to build capability so that we can keep scaling the business into the future. And Leah mentioned some of the areas where we're building, bringing capability from a product aspect of whether that's ad server manager, whether it's reporting and measurement capability that we're being able to offer to suppliers because of what they've been asking for. So we've made some improvements in that space. I think the other area where we've been building capability over this year that we haven't spoken a lot about is in the people space as well. So back in September last year, we completed quite a big in-sourcing exercise of some capability that previously sat externally had helped us scale the 360 business through the initial phase of growth, but bring our capability in-house to have it closer to our planning. Our technology is going to help us accelerate in this next phase of growth. So just to finish up on that, I would echo Leah's sentiment that growing at double digit in a year where we're still rapidly building capability, I think, is a good result. I think it positions us really well for continued growth into the future in what is a large and attractive market for us.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Peter Marks with Goldman Sachs.
Peter Marks
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
My question is just on the July acceleration in the first few weeks. Is there a benefit from the Uber Eats exclusivity arrangement in that time frame? Or if not, what's driven that acceleration? If I can just touch on that? Because I guess if it's the Uber Eats benefit, that should continue into the second quarter is the way I'm thinking about that.
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
So again, I'll start and then maybe ask for a bit of color from Michael. I think actually, as we came into the back end of FY '26, Peter, we actually saw probably a strengthening in the market. So June picked up again a bit versus where we've been in May. And then actually going into July, we saw a further pickup again. So there's definitely strength in the grocery market at the moment. And certainly, that would align with some improvements that we've seen in consumer sentiment since April and May, where it sort of hit some low points, but also more and more customers telling us that they're eating more at home than they are out of home. So I do think that, that is playing a role there. That being said, as we've gone through these first 8 weeks, we have seen really strong strength in the online proposition. And I do think -- and you would have seen we've called that out in the outlook. But I do think that, that's starting to really highlight that we've got some areas of differentiation in there with regards to the Deliver More offer through the customer fulfillment centers, but also through the Uber partnership, which is growing very strongly for us. Michael, did you want to just make a couple of comments on the Uber partnership?
Michael Courtney
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Yes, very happy to. We're very pleased with how the momentum in that offer continues to grow. Peter, if you're thinking about the sales impact of it, in terms of timing, I would think about it from the perspective of when we announced the deal, which was just prior to Christmas. Because what that means is that through the second half, really from the start of this calendar year, we've seen sales through our media offer and our partnership with Uber continue to increase steadily throughout the second half. And that's a really good achievement when you think about at the start of this calendar year, when we went from 2 platforms down to 1, we first had to recover the sales that we were losing from the second platform, which we did successfully very quickly and then continue to grow. So throughout the first half of this calendar year, we've continued to see benefits. And I think that's a testament to what the strength of the partnership is because that expanded partnership with Uber, we think, gives us the market-leading offer in what is a very high-growth channel. Why is it a market-leading offer? Because from a customer perspective, we think we've got the largest range in that space with over 17,000 SKUs, we're the partner of choice on the largest platform in that part of the market. And this partnership that we've signed with them, we're already seeing benefits from being able to plan marketing and promotional activity more effectively. So really pleased with how that's going, see room for further growth, and it's certainly been a strong part of what's been helping us get to such strong growth rates in e-com as an overall business. And as Leah said, it's one of the differentiated offers that we've got in that space.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Shaun Cousins with UBS.
Shaun Cousins
Analyst · UBS
You've expanded your strategy to include everyday essentials, and I assume that appears to accommodate the interest that Coles announced about Greencross. Can you provide some indications of the capability that Coles has in everyday essentials in a stand-alone format, big and small rather than the supermarket format as investors reacted negatively to Coles' interest in Greencross suggesting a lack of confidence in that capability, and there appear to be a preference for capital management. So can you maybe provide -- hopefully, there's an opportunity to talk about the capabilities that in everyday essentials as a stand-alone, please?
Leah Weckert
Analyst · UBS
Well, why don't I start maybe talking a little bit about the thinking behind Greencross. And then I might get Anna to talk a little bit about the focus that we've got in everyday essentials, which really for us is the nonfood component of our grocery offer. So Shaun, I think it shouldn't come as any surprise to anyone that we regularly assess opportunities which we think are going to complement or strengthen the business and ultimately create value for shareholders. And in general, we would be interested in looking at adjacencies that are quite close to the core areas of the business that we already run. And so something like specialty retail is a good -- specialty pet retail, I should say, is a good example of this because we already have a substantial pet business that we run with supermarkets. And I think if you go to the Greencross opportunity, I mean, we were attracted to it as a segment because 70% of households have at least one pet. And so it does make it a real stable component of a weekly budget. And you're also seeing the impact of pet humanization and a focus on pet nutrition, which is really encouraging customers to shop at pet specialty where they can get access to a different range and they can get access to advice. And I think what many people don't appreciate about pet specialty is there's not a lot of overlap between pet specialty and grocery pet. About 90% of the range that you will find in a pet specialty retailer is not available in a Coles. And because of the supplier dynamics, that's unlikely to change. And so you've seen us do the Swaggle investments that we made. That certainly taught us a lot about how to play in that specialty space. It's an area we will continue to look at and assess opportunities going forward from an inorganic perspective. But I think given we ultimately weren't able to reach a point of agreement on value around Greencross, we're now firmly focused on what we can do in the short to medium term around organic opportunities. And maybe I'll get Anna just to talk to that.
Anna Croft
Analyst · UBS
Yes. Hi, Shaun. Nonfood, as you know, remains a really strategic priority for us. And we have made some really clear progress on establishing strength in that area last year. That's really following on from the reset of the portfolio around value, better range relevance and much stronger execution. Importantly and pleasingly, we've seen a real change in the trajectory of those categories after more than 2 years of what I'd say is really consistent year-on-year pressure on share. We have returned to positive share momentum throughout half 2, which gives us increasing confidence that the changes we're making are working. And there are a couple of things that have really been driving that. Health & Beauty continues to strengthen, and we've seen really good share growth across many of the core categories, be that hair, dental, vitamins, face and body wash. And that's been really deliberate around stepping up innovation in those areas and bringing in a much more differentiated range of both exclusive and different brands. And some of those in hair care might be Mimi or DoseTheory, and many others that we are working through. But also alongside that, we've strengthened our everyday value proposition, making it much simpler for customers to find dependable value. And actually, as we exited Q4, everyday value was the highest contribution we've seen out of those categories. The other area I would just say is driving the performance is the strong results from own brand and the new bulk offer. So Coles Ultra, as Leah touched on earlier, delivered double-digit sales growth in the year and supported by very strong volume growth. And that was really about sharper value innovation in the core categories that matter most. And then again, I think kind of the core category, but toilet paper are a really good example where we've invested in value bulk and price investment of both quality into the own brand business, and that really is driving both improved offer and share. But we're not stopping there on own brands. We're building on that momentum taking into new categories and key areas that matter most for customers. And an example of this has been the strengthening of the Cub brand in baby, and we've gone into food there in the last couple of months, and we've been really encouraged by customer response in that space. So I'd say overall, we're really pleased with the momentum. We're pleased with the positive share growth, but there is a lot to do. It is a very competitive market, and we've got a clear plan, and we've just got to execute against it.
Shaun Cousins
Analyst · UBS
Great. My second question is just around Big Box liquor sales. I think in the third quarter, you called out that they were down 20%. Can you just maybe quantify what they were down in the fourth quarter as trading still remains sort of difficult there? And more generally, would you consider an exit of Big Box, possibly maybe at the end of lease? As it's unclear that ongoing investment in that business is sound, and it seems as though convenience is the winning sort of channel certainly for your business there. So maybe some more detail on Big Box trading and sort of outlook, please.
Leah Weckert
Analyst · UBS
Yes. So we did see the Big Boxes improve in Q4 relative to where we were in Q3. But overall, for the total year, they still were in decline somewhere between sort of negative 15% and negative 20%. We've done a full review now of the entire portfolio, not just the warehouses, but the entire Liquor portfolio. And what I'd say is whilst the warehouses have underperformed, the performance is not uniform across all of the stores in the cohort. And so what we've done in the review is look on a store-by-store basis very much at micro location, which makes a big difference here to performance. And what you're seeing in the strategic update that we've given today is on the back of that is the 30 store closures, which we're anticipating on doing in FY '27. And I would say there is a disproportionate amount of warehouses that are in that group. However, for the warehouses that haven't got the closures coming, we have optimism around getting them into a growth position again. And actually, if you visited any of our stores even in the last couple of weeks, you'll start to have seen that there are some things that we are doing to really differentiate the range in the Liquorland Warehouse from the rest of the network, and we're very encouraged by the early performance of that.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Phil Kimber with E&P Capital.
Phillip Kimber
Analyst · E&P Capital
Maybe to follow-on on Liquor. I was just interested if I looked at the half, the GP margins have gone up quite a lot in the second half for Liquor, they're up 40 basis for the full year and 20-odd basis points in the first half. So sort of implying 60 basis points in the second half. At the same time, sales are still negative, arguably deteriorating a little bit. Just trying to understand the correlation there that in a market that we understand is incredibly competitive, why your GP margins will be going up at the same time as the sales are going down?
Leah Weckert
Analyst · E&P Capital
Yes. Thanks for the question, Phil. I will let Claire answer this one for you.
Claire Lauber
Analyst · E&P Capital
Look, our gross margin pleasingly increased by 40 basis points for a few reasons. Our strategic sourcing program has been really strong and improved in the second half. Promotional optimization activities and also growth in our Coles 360 media income has improved half-on-half and a really disciplined approach to price investment throughout the year. So they are the key reasons why gross margin has improved, acknowledging that sales are still challenged in some areas.
Phillip Kimber
Analyst · E&P Capital
I mean what about your value sort of comparisons to the market? Have they weakened off at all? I know there's sort of 2 quite different trends going on in this business between the convenience side and the Liquorland Warehouse side, but just interested there as to whether you need to do a bit more work to further sharpen pricing?
Leah Weckert
Analyst · E&P Capital
It's a good question. I think we're comfortable with where our price indices are at the moment. As you can see, strategically, we're definitely moving to a stronger focus on the co-located stores with supermarkets. By and large, that's our Liquorland and Liquorland Cellars format. And they remain very competitive in terms of their competition that they have in the market. And as I said, with regards to Warehouse, what we are looking to do is to really start to differentiate the range there so that we've got an incremental offering for customers there.
Phillip Kimber
Analyst · E&P Capital
Is that what you mean when you say grocery in the liquor stores?
Leah Weckert
Analyst · E&P Capital
It's a combination of things. There are definitely some grocery items that have gone into warehouses, and they make a great incremental purchase when you're buying alcohol. I think things like mixers, soft drinks, chips, even things like Berocca, Phil, which you obviously need the next day. But we are also looking at differentiating range within the alcohol offer as well at both ends, looking at what we can do from a value perspective, but also bulk sizes and the more premium end as well.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Adrian Lemme with Citi.
Adrian Lemme
Analyst · Citi
My first question was just on the trading update in Supermarkets. It was better than we're fearing based on the supply feedback. Can I just ask, have you had to sacrifice some margin to sustain sales during this recent period, please?
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Citi
Yes. So I think we're quite pleased with where it ended up given -- if you look at the 2-year stack in particular, I mean, it's an unusual shape. But if you take consistent with Q4 and you stack it on where we were last year, which was 4.9% or actually probably the more relevant number is the 7% ex tobacco. That's a very strong 2 year-on-year growth number even with that moderation that we saw from a collectibles campaign for 3 to 4 weeks in the middle. And as I said in the outlook, we're very pleased that the sales have recovered quickly post the collectible campaign coming to an end. I think more generally, not even just talking about the first 8 weeks, but I would say the competitive intensity right now is quite strong. That's not new, but we certainly are seeing many of our grocery competitors investing in price, and we are responding to that to ensure that we remain competitive. And then we are also proactively investing in areas, particularly own brand to ensure that we're giving the customers a basket that really is very value-oriented.
Adrian Lemme
Analyst · Citi
And could I just ask on the balance sheet positioning? Just pulling together a couple things I think was said on the call. I think you mentioned that you would look to return surplus capital to shareholders. And in the earlier question, it was said that you're more focused now on organic opportunities in nonfood. So just pulling all that together, the gearing is down to 2.3x. It was, we think, sort of over 3x 6 years ago. So can I just ask, do you think you actually do have surplus capital at the moment? I guess that will depend on your acquisition outlook. But do you look to return that capital to shareholders over the next 12 months? Or I just want to get your thinking on that, please.
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · Citi
Adrian, great question. Thank you for that. Look, I think it all starts, Adrian, with our capital allocation framework that Leah took us through a little earlier. And really, we do take a very disciplined approach to how we allocate capital. And we take into account the things that you've highlighted, things like the strength of the balance sheet, what our organic investment requirements might be, dividends, strategic flexibility and of course, the relative returns from all those various areas that you could deploy capital, which become really important. So and as you know, we've been paying out dividends of around 80% of our earnings in the form of dividends each year. That's been really consistent since demerger. This year, we actually stepped up 13% and the fully franked dividend is $1 billion, which is quite an achievement. But in terms of surplus capital beyond our requirements, the Board is always going to consider the most appropriate way to deploy or return capital. And the objective is and will always be how do we generate the optimal returns for shareholders over the long term.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Bryan Raymond with JPMorgan.
Bryan Raymond
Analyst · JPMorgan
Just one on the renewal program. I just wanted to ask about the average store age at the moment, how -- I guess, since it was either opened or last had a major renewal as opposed to a light touch renewal, where that is versus your target and whether these 150 renewals are like incremental to sort of what you have been doing, which is 50 to 70 per annum in recent years? So just keen to understand sort of the magnitude of what you're doing here on renewing the store network.
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · JPMorgan
Yes. No, thanks, Bryan. Great question. Look, I think we have been. I think when we were renewing at a rate of about 50. I would say that our store fleet was getting older, right? And when we step it up in FY '26 to 70, that's the point in which is your fleet in general actually gets younger. And certainly, going forward with the 150 renewals that we are indicating that we could see that our average fleet will get younger going forward. But it's a quick reminder though of what are we spending the renewal amount on. And I think we talked a little bit about and I talked a little bit about that it is going to look at how do we actually build capacity for growth. And that's the important distinction. These aren't just normal renewals, and we will get a younger fleet out of it, but we will more importantly, increase the capacity to facilitate more online growth, but also better experiences for our customers in store. And that's our focus with these 150 renewals over the next few years.
Bryan Raymond
Analyst · JPMorgan
Right. Just to put that in context for us through numbers, is it possible to give us sort of an average spend per renewal in this $150 million versus what you've been doing in recent years, which I assume is not as transformative for those particular stores?
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · JPMorgan
Look, I won't go into in terms of breaking it down. But I think the best way to think about it is if I look at the sort of $300 million or the $150 million over each year for FY '27 and FY '28. 70% to 75% of that spend is really in relation to property, whether it's the new stores or the renewals. So it's all about how do we actually grow and augment our store network for growth.
Bryan Raymond
Analyst · JPMorgan
Right. Okay. That's helpful. And then just on the new store openings, as you said, it's been a bit softer in recent years, and you are looking to accelerate that, which is good to see. The 45 stores, I assume a lot of those have been in train for some time because these things don't happen overnight with the property planning approach, et cetera. Just wanted to understand like how confident you are in delivering those, let's call it, 22 to 23 stores per annum for the next couple of years, given you've been doing roughly half that pace in terms of store openings over the past 3 years? Or is there some chance of slippage given delays and all sorts of things with building and approvals, et cetera?
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · JPMorgan
Yes. So in relation to those 45, Bryan, we're very confident. We wouldn't have called it out otherwise. So let me say, I think we're very confident. It will always be things like weather and things that could impact timings. What we are confident on, firstly, is these stores firstly have been pre the merger law reforms that the ACCC, they are approved. We have line of sight. We're doing more through our Coles Property Group as well. And we are in constant dialogue and constant monitoring with our developers that are working through to the extent the lease developed stores. So Bryan, we're very confident of the 45 stores. But always, there will be other things like weather things that can't always predict. But we're confident of delivering over 2% net space growth over the next few years.
Leah Weckert
Analyst · JPMorgan
I think it's probably also just worth touching on in the context of this question around the ACCC merger regime. So we have been submitting proposals through that regime since it came into place in January. There's obviously been a lot of media coverage around Kalgoorlie, which is the one store that has been denied through that process so far. But we've actually received 10 approvals through the process as well. So we are proactively and actively participating in that process and successfully having stores approved.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Tom Kierath with Barrenjoey.
Thomas Kierath
Analyst · Barrenjoey
My question is just on your tobacco growth rate. I suppose, especially in July and August because you're lapping some pretty tough numbers, obviously, when the legislation changed. But can you maybe just give us an update on what's happening in the trading update on tobacco? I know it's quite volatile and you haven't given us a sales ex-tobacco growth rate there.
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Barrenjoey
Yes. So sales have remained relatively consistent now in terms of the dollar number for several months, and that's really because we've cycled over that Q4 exit that we made of products last year related to the regulatory change. And so you will have seen in the Q4 numbers, there's very little difference between all-store number and the ex-tobacco number. That's what you should really expect going right now.
Thomas Kierath
Analyst · Barrenjoey
Yes. Okay. And then just secondly, on the gross margins, I think they only went up 7 basis points in the second half or a bit more just with tobacco kind of coming down, especially in that third quarter. Is the right way to read it like more price investment or just some of the, I guess, higher costs coming through like fuel prices, et cetera, that you couldn't kind of offset necessarily there?
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · Barrenjoey
Yes. Great question, Tom. So thank you for that. Look, you're right. So the gross margin, obviously, we did grow gross margin in FY '26 by 37 basis points. That was across the year. But it was weighted to the first half. I think not surprisingly, we called it out at the previous and earlier that [indiscernible], if you like, tailwind from -- in terms of gross margin run rate is very much first half related. But also what was in that first half as well is now very firmly the benefit that we got from the ADCs, right? So the ADCs, as we know, have been strong benefit programs that are delivering exceptionally well against the business case. Again, weighted in the first half than the second half. There are lots of moving parts in gross margin. Our strategic sourcing, which is an always-on program, very successful. SSI very much over to $311 million. I guess what's been different this year in SSI is traditionally 1/3 of SSI has been in gross margin and 2/3 in CODB. It's probably more like 20% in CODB this year rather than 1/3. And -- but we see that potentially maybe reverting back to 1/3, 2/3. So lots of moving parts, but also Coles 360 in that as well. So lots of moving parts. And I think that has allowed us to make the investments as well. We have been investing as we have called out. So I think going forward, tobacco tailwinds, if you will, et cetera, and the ADC now firmly in the base, they are very, very different going forward. That being said, I really do encourage you to look at the P&L top to bottom. And things do move between GP and -- that we've moved anything, but with the mix of sales now and e-com growing very, very strongly. And so what's really pleasing about the result here is the growth in the EBIT margin. And the EBIT margin has grown strongly, and you've seen our EBIT growth rate 3x that of our [indiscernible].
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Barrenjoey
And just, Tom, rounding out the answer, you specifically raised the fuel piece. We did call out in Q3 that we expected that to be $10 million to $15 million of impact in H2, and it came in at the top end of that range, and that will have gone into the GP as well.
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · Barrenjoey
Tom, just in case I did not -- just in case I said it differently, what we said was this year, 20% of the SSI was in GP, 80% in CODB, just to be very clear. But historically, that's been 1/3, 2/3.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Michael Simotas with Jefferies.
Michael Simotas
Analyst · Jefferies
I've got one short-term question and one longer-term question. Firstly, on the trading update, I appreciate there's a lot of moving parts, and you've given us some color on the cadence of sales through that period. Do you think that exit run rate of something similar to the fourth quarter is indicative of the underlying growth in the business? Or do you still think there is some ongoing drag from your competitors' collectible program due to pantry stock and forward buying, et cetera?
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Jefferies
It's a great question. So the collectibles campaign really came to an end 10 days ago. So it's -- I think at this stage, probably a bit hard to say whether the full recovery has occurred in terms of it coming back up. But I think in general, as we look ahead for sales for the year, we're feeling very encouraged because of a number of factors. The first is this new space that we've got coming on will help to drive our top line sales. The second piece would be the strength that we saw in online through those first 8 weeks because really, it didn't miss a trick through that period and that strength that we've got in both Uber and Deliver More offer through the CFCs. We expect both of those to be good contributors to sales growth this year. And then the third thing I'd say is probably where I came back to when I was talking about the market. It's certainly feeling to us at the moment that many customers are choosing to eat more at home, and that is really supporting a healthy growth rate in the grocery area. And very much that is led by volume, which is a great place to be. Our inflation actually at the moment is still running pretty low and most of our sales growth is coming out of volume, which is always where we want to be.
Michael Simotas
Analyst · Jefferies
Okay. No, that's helpful. And then the second one is on implementation costs for the Victoria ADC. So you've called out $35 million of implementation costs in 2028. How should we -- without giving numbers, how should we think about the evolution of that as it comes through the P&L? Will it follow a similar shape to what you reported with the first 2 ADCs where it gets a little bit bigger in the years after the first year before it moderates and then turns into a tailwind for the P&L?
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · Jefferies
Yes, Michael, thank you for the question. Look, there's probably a couple of things. We've given you obviously the FY '28 number today. And as with the other 2 programs, we'll give you those numbers very much closer to in 12 months' time, a little bit. There will be a post -- there will be a step-up on the $35 million. That will be fact. But I won't give you the number today. But as you're right, there will be some implementation costs. They will then fall away as they have done with these sort of programs. And that -- because these assets are really strong returning investments that we are making for the future.
Michael Simotas
Analyst · Jefferies
Yes. Okay. So it sounds like if we use the shape of the first 2 as a guide, it's probably sensible at this stage.
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · Jefferies
Well, Michael, that's not really what I said, but yes, I won't tell you how to model this. I've given you a number for FY '28. And yes, there will be a step-up in '29 as these will come on in '29, '30.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Craig Woolford with MST Marquee.
Craig Woolford
Analyst · MST Marquee
Just first one, you touched on there on inflation. It is interesting and good for the consumer that we haven't seen much movement in that inflation figure despite the volatility around Middle East. Can you just give some color on what you're seeing on the inflation backdrop? And I'll be a bit cheeky and sneak in a second part of that, which is what do you expect in the outlook on your EDLP versus high/low mix?
Anna Croft
Analyst · MST Marquee
Craig, it's Anna. I might give you a bit of color on that because there is a lot going on in the inflationary number. What I'd say at a headline level, it was broadly stable in the quarter. So there were a number of moving parts. I would say, first of all, in the quarter, we received twice the number of CPIs we did versus Q4 last year. Fuel did account for the vast majority of those, but we saw additional pressure coming through from fertilizer, freight, shipping, packaging and utilities and labor. So there's a number of drivers behind that. But also some drivers at the category level. We're continuing to see inflation coming out of livestock, and we've been seeing that for some time as well as dairy, and that includes across kind of what we're seeing in milk and cheese and some of the pricing there. Bakery was also impacted by the global disruption costs as well alongside some of the fuel-related pressures. But those increases we have seen offset by some very heavy deflation in produce as we cycled over the very tight supply and elevated pricing from last year, and that was particularly in soft veg, such as tomatoes. We've also seen eggs moderate as we cycled over the avian flu shortages last year as well. This has also been coupled with really strong promotional intensity across a number of categories in grocery, predominantly impulse and breakfast. And coupled on top of that, we're continuing to invest in price competitiveness. So you saw that reflected in some of the GP profit and that investment we expect to continue into the first half. If I flip into looking forward, there is definitely some upward pressure on inflation, particularly as produce cycles that deflation and more broadly as our suppliers face the inflationary costs. And we're also watching fuel, freight and packaging and the impact from global costs coming through very tightly as well as both poultry and eggs from the avian flu position. So there's a lot going on there. I expect livestock to remain elevated. And indeed, we have been absorbing some of those increases for some time now to really minimize the impact on customers. So the full effect has not flowed through into our inflation number. And I would say the offset of that has been some of our sourcing program as we continue to work with suppliers to continue to achieve competitive terms and identify more opportunities to invest for customers, and we'll continue to invest really where it matters most to customers. So on balance, I do expect we are going to see inflation higher in the next 12 months than we have in the previous 12, although there is a number of different variables, and it will depend a little bit on the competitive environment that we find ourselves in.
Craig Woolford
Analyst · MST Marquee
And just that EDLP, like what's the future of that EDLP mix in your business?
Anna Croft
Analyst · MST Marquee
[indiscernible].
Craig Woolford
Analyst · MST Marquee
EDLP, the use of Down Down and our EDLP mechanics versus high/low.
Anna Croft
Analyst · MST Marquee
Yes. I think, look, we've been for some time, as you know, Craig, focus on where it really matters, but coupling that with the EDLP, and we've seen really strong customer engagement through that. And we're doing it on a category-by-category basis. And actually, we have extended the number of categories over the last quarter that are on EDLP, and we're seeing that work particularly well. And importantly, the suppliers we have are on the journey with us around the right categories, and we're seeing that really drive benefit. So I expect it to continue, and we are still absolutely strategically committed to driving trusted pricing where it matters most to customers.
Craig Woolford
Analyst · MST Marquee
And Charlie, just to clarify your CapEx comment earlier, the $1.55 billion, I think you said it's not going to stay at that elevated level. It sounds like there's 2 years of extra store openings and extra renewals. And, I don't know we thought the renewal rate is more where it should be rather than elevated.
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · MST Marquee
So Craig, let me break -- as I did earlier, break down what that $1.55 billion is made up of. One of it is the $1.1 billion that we have been spending, which does include -- has included 71 renewals, for example, last year. That obviously is what -- let's call it almost like core CapEx, but it does -- it can flex down very, very, very clearly. On top of that $1.1 billion is $300 million relating to the Victorian ADC. And as we've previously called out, FY '27 and FY '28 are really the core years of that program. Remember, the program is an $880 million program. We've spent $190 million to date, $300 million this year in FY '27, and we expect '28 to also be a strong CapEx year for the ADCs. And in relation to these very specific investments that we called out, both in terms of new stores and the uplift in renewals, they have called those out. They are very specific investments, not to be ongoing, and we've called them out for '27 and '28.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Benjamin Gilbert with Jarden.
Ben Gilbert
Analyst · Jarden
Just around costs, I'm just trying to understand how to think about the shape into fiscal '27. And specifically, you've done sort of second half cost out for SSI, $180 million, which is obviously a big step up on the first half. So I presume we can annualize some of that into fiscal '27. You've got this Coles capability center, which you're taking below the line, which I presume a bunch of those benefits will come above the line through next year because there's redundancies, et cetera. Is it conceivable that you could have pretty benign CODB growth similar to '26 into '27 based on these benefits? Because it seems like there's a lot of cost about to come out into '27 just based on second half run rate and the capability, which I think you said additional to SSI.
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · Jarden
So let me take that, Ben. So thanks for the question, firstly. On one of the things -- let me just go back to FY '26. And I think FY '26 is a really good year for us. Obviously, we took out $300 million for SSI, a really important program, which really assisted us in trying to keep CODB as a percentage of sales flat year-on-year. That's the target that we try and target as ongoing going forward, a really important number because obviously, that assists in delivering the right earnings outcome through that sort of environment. And more importantly, I think we've been able to do that with an ever-increasing e-com penetration rate, which is pleasing. I think in relation to the Coles -- and so remember, the SSI program, what we do try and target is about $250 million, plus or minus every year. That's been really the focus of the program. So just to give you some numbers there, $876 million delivered over the last 3 years. The previous 4 years, we delivered $1.47 billion through Smarter Selling. And so we are on track to actually deliver over $1 billion through this program. And obviously, we're not giving any guidance beyond this program in that regard. The capability center, just to be really clear on the capability center, we are forecasting that the run rate will build to FY '29 and delivering annualized benefits of $100 million a year. And in order to achieve that, there will be one-off implementation costs and establishment costs of $190 million. And as we called out in our presentation and in our release, it is our expectation that, that $190 million will be treated as a significant item.
Ben Gilbert
Analyst · Jarden
So Charlie, just to clarify. So the fact that the second half run rate, which is obviously a phenomenal number you guys have managed to do is $178 million, we shouldn't necessarily think that, that starts you off on a stronger run rate for SSI into '27 and in the capability center, that doesn't include redundancies, et cetera, for all the changes that have been announced more recently, that's part of SSI?
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · Jarden
No. So the capability center implementation cost is all inclusive of establishing and will include elements of redundancy in that as well and establishment costs. In relation to SSI, as we said, we target about $250 million a year, plus or minus. In terms of what we delivered in the second half versus first half, there are programs that sometimes are timing of those between first half and second half can vary. So I wouldn't necessarily annualize a second half as an ongoing run rate or the first half as an ongoing run rate. I think take my guidance that we're typically around $250 million a year, and it can vary between first half and second half, depending on the nature of the programs and projects that fall within that.
Ben Gilbert
Analyst · Jarden
That's helpful. And maybe just final one for me. Just sort of looking forward, if you sort of look forward on a 3-year lens, I appreciate it's probably touched on strategy as well. But what do you see Coles as? Do you see Coles as just a supermarket at its core and there's a few ancillary services around? Or -- is there a view to expand beyond that? Obviously, we touched on Greencross, but you've closed Swaggle, which surprised me if you wanted to keep learning around these sorts of categories, probably one of the few big retailers out there that doesn't have a marketplace capability. And obviously, you can do that in a low CapEx type environment or capability. Is the focus just being a supermarket on a longer-term lens and then maybe there'll be some ancillaries around it? Or do you see yourself taking a bigger step looking at things like Greencross or leaning into marketplace as sort of areas on the longer-term lens?
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Jarden
I think the first point I'd make is we still see a lot of growth in the supermarket space. And you're seeing us today announce a set of initiatives that really help to set us up to go and capture that. And it's fantastic to actually have a set of opportunities within the core business that does help us to drive that growth with good returns. So very pleased with that, and you can expect to see us continuing to do that as we move forward. However, I do think that we will continue to look at are there adjacencies. And I talked about that being close to the core. So you should think about that as that potentially is moving into other consumer segments. The pet specialty is the one that we've discussed today, but it could also include doing more vertical integration like what we've done with MilkCo and with Chef Fresh and even to some extent, what we do with RRM, our meat processing facility. If that helps us to build strategic capabilities that enable us to grow own brand going forward, then that can make a lot of strategic sense for us. And then I think the third area is probably in the digital space. And are there nonorganic options that we would have to build capability in that space overall. But all of that being said, we are very commercial. We are very financially disciplined around this stuff has to make sense from a value creation for our shareholders. And if it doesn't, we won't go down the path. And as I said, we've got lots of really good opportunities in the core right now to continue to grow and continue to deliver strong outcomes and dividend growth for the shareholder base.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Richard Barwick with CLSA.
Richard Barwick
Analyst · CLSA
Unless I've missed it, I can't see any mention of stock loss or theft through any of the documentation other than theft gets a little bit of a mention in the risk section of the annual report. Certainly, if you follow the -- if we watch the evening news, it looks like Victoria is the crime capital of Australia, and there's been lots of negative publicity on the impact on the supermarkets. So what update can you give us there? It looks like things are getting worse from an outsider's point of view, but what are you seeing internally? And is it making a difference?
Unknown Executive
Analyst · CLSA
Yes. Thank you for the question. You're right to say that it is a difficult operating environment in retail with regards to crime and loss, and that's not just a Coles or a supermarket problem. I think we've all seen the media coverage. And as such, we stay very focused on the issue. We've got a series of technology solutions that we've deployed over the last couple of years, and we continue to deploy those into stores where we can see a return and a requirement. And importantly, we stay very focused on making sure that our teams stay safe because not only has there been a slight uptick in loss from our perspective, the threatening situations that our team members have to face, which are completely unacceptable, they've also increased. And so making sure that our team are protected and safe and fully supported is super important. The uptick that we're seeing at this stage isn't material in terms of our commercial performance. But I wouldn't want you to think that, that means that we are deprioritizing the issue, though it is one of the top things we're certainly focused upon. And we will continue to not just work with our own team members and the retail industry, but also police and government and pleasingly, state governments are starting to really progress with some of the policy changes that we need to tackle these repeat offenders. And so the sooner we can all work together to solve problem, the better. But it's one we're definitely very, very focused on.
Leah Weckert
Analyst · CLSA
And I'd probably just round that out, Richard, by saying that for FY '26, our total loss overall was essentially flat. So it didn't have the big shifts or the big benefits coming through that we saw in '23 and '24 and '25. And really, we put that down to we now have a very stable technology solution that we're applying to the problem. As Matt said, there has been a bit of an uptick industry-wide as we've gone into the end of the financial year. But our aspiration for FY '27 would be to hold the total loss rate flat again. And we think in this market, that would be a great result.
Richard Barwick
Analyst · CLSA
Yes. Okay. That's useful. And then the last one, just you obviously called out customer satisfaction scores improved across the 5 key metrics as you sort of call them out. It's interesting that price is clearly the weakest uptick that you've seen. So -- yes, it's improved, but nowhere near to the extent of the others. How much of that is a reflection, you think of the negative publicity around the ACCC case, et cetera? And any comment you could add in terms of the way that you were seeing your relative price competitiveness? Just trying to put that into context, really, the 110 bps on price, but obviously well over 200 on the other measures.
Leah Weckert
Analyst · CLSA
Yes. I mean it's an interesting observation, and I think it's probably very fair to say that just the amount of commentary that is out there does impact perception on that front. And I also think that it's a very pertinent issue that households are struggling with every day in terms of cost of living. So it's very, very front of mind and people have a high expectation around what you're going to deliver on the value front, which given the environment, I think, is there. I think I would definitely say that we would say perception is half of the equation when you talk about are you delivering appropriate value. The other half of it is how are customers actually shopping and what are you seeing from a sales perspective. And if you go back to the volume growth that we've seen, and I sort of refer you to a 5.1% supermarket sales growth for the year versus a 1.2% inflation rate, the remainder of that differential is largely volume. That would say that we seem to be hitting the mark more times than not.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Nicole Penny with Rimor Equity Research.
Nicole Penny
Analyst · Rimor Equity Research
AI was elevated as part of the strategy today with opportunities outlined across customers, smart operations and team productivity. Would you elaborate further on those opportunities and point to which one you see the largest source of economic value over the next 2 to 3 years? And perhaps secondly, where you are already starting to see material benefits come through?
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Rimor Equity Research
Thanks for the question, Nicole. I mean we have had AI use cases in the business for around a decade now. The vast majority of those are either machine learning for predictive AI use cases or generative AI use cases. And they have delivered substantial value to us. So a few examples that I'd probably call out would be the smarter forecasting system, which drives availability as well as sort of sales matching for us to store. Our [indiscernible] system is the other one. So our store-specific ranging tool, for example, is a machine learning tool. And that has delivered substantial increases in sales, but also gross margin outcomes for us as we've rolled that out and tailored stores in terms of their range store by store. And then another example would actually be what we were just talking about with Richard on theft front. A lot of the tools that we have used in terms of skip scan and bottom of the trolley recognition, they are generative AI use cases, for example. So we have at-scale AI use cases that have delivered substantial value in the business. Now that being said, we're pretty excited about what comes next. And the big difference that we're seeing now with the advent of Gen AI is just the pace of capability that you can access and where you can apply it. I might get Michael maybe to just touch really briefly on how we're thinking about it from a customer-facing perspective. But certainly, in our sort of core operations, we think there's a lot of opportunity in terms of doing system optimization end-to-end, particularly across the supply chain, where there is -- there are huge parts of our cost base that if we're able to even get small benefits there can actually result in quite substantial savings for us. But Michael, do you want to talk a little bit about the customer?
Michael Courtney
Analyst · Rimor Equity Research
Yes, very happy to, Leah. I think it's -- on a forward-looking basis, I think it's certainly one of our biggest opportunities from a product perspective. Now that being said, whilst we want to move towards that quickly, we do have to balance that with the opportunities that sit across the rest of our product set to be able to improve the customer experience. And I'll tell you why that's important. When we have our product teams working on enhancing the customer experience, which then drives more traffic, greater scale, better profitability within the e-commerce business, we've currently got teams across about 20 different digital products where we have them working in squads. And that's across everything from digital media to last mile fulfillment to in-store digital experiences. So it's really across many different aspects of what our customer experience is. We continue to make really good progress in terms of enhancing that customer experience. So AI commerce is something that we see as a big opportunity. What we're focused on is making sure that we're able to get there before it becomes a really at-scale opportunity for customers. We've got many different experiences that are currently in testing internally with product teams. And we're going to be focused on releasing some of those across FY '27 because we think it's a really important part of the offer going forward. But it's only one part of what the opportunity is for us to keep improving our customer experience.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Michael Toner with RBC.
Michael Toner
Analyst · RBC
Just following up on Ben's question on SSI and the earlier question on AI. It looks like you're very comfortably exceeding $1 billion for SSI and the 2 half run rate is very strong. And I know you said not to annualize that. But has the evolution of AI capabilities throughout the term of that SSI program perhaps broaden the scope of potential efficiencies you can deliver? And has that had an impact on the stronger performance for SSI?
Sharbel Elias
Analyst · RBC
Look, we're obviously very excited about what AI can do with -- in various areas of the business, whether it's productivity, efficiency and what it can deliver. I do want to reiterate, Michael, I would not annualize what we are seeing in the second half. It's not to sort of say that we have a cap on our SSI savings. It's certainly not the discussion we have internally. Our target is $250 million a year, and that's an important sort of part of where we go, and it's been a successful formula. There will be programs and projects that go either side of a fiscal year or a financial year through that. And we're certainly always focused on delivering more as well. So -- in that regard. But we are excited about what AI could help and unlock more product efficiency. And as Leah pointed out, it's not a new phenomenon for us. We've been using all forms of AI now in the business for at least a decade, which have continued to generate better results for our customers, improved efficiency in our business, and we'll continue to deploy those sort of tools going forward.
Michael Toner
Analyst · RBC
Okay. And then following up on Richard's question on price perception. You've obviously built some very strong capabilities in distribution and online, for which you deserve credit. But in that context, do you think there's an opportunity to use that cost leadership position to go harder on competitive positioning as opposed to sort of reacting to competitor activity, just knowing that your relative margin position looks like it is quite strong relative to where it was a few years ago?
Leah Weckert
Analyst · RBC
Yes. Thanks for the question, Michael. I mean we are proactively investing. We come into each year and each quarter with a plan around where we will put value investment, and we base that on where we think we can have maximum impact from a customer perspective. So we do have a very active and have done for many years investment program into price. And I called out most recently, we've made some strong investments into our entry tier of our private label with Coles Simply, for example. And so that's an important part of what we do. But the other side of it is we want to always ensure that we're competitive in the market every week. And we're certainly seeing that with AI, a topic of conversation today, the advent of AI tools has meant that customers are using those to compare prices more than they've ever done before, particularly in young families and prefamilies. So the younger part of our population. And so ensuring that we are competitive week in, week out for every set of offers that we have, that's really key for us. Some of that is proactive and some of that is reactive.
Operator
Operator
There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Leah Weckert for closing remarks.
Leah Weckert
Analyst · Macquarie
Well, great. Thank you, everyone. In summary, we're very pleased with what we've delivered in FY '26. We've strengthened our competitive position with supermarket gaining market share, strong earnings growth and further improvements in customer satisfaction. Our e-commerce business continued to scale profitably with e-com sales growing by more than 26% and our CFCs achieving positive EBITDA. And at the same time, we've continued to focus on productivity, delivering $311 million of SSI benefits, which is helping us to invest in value for customers while growing earnings ahead of sales. Importantly, we're entering FY '27 with a strong platform. The investments we've made over the past 3 years have materially strengthened our business and our strong cash generation and balance sheet gives us the capacity to invest in this next phase of growth. We have a clear focus on expanding and renewing our store network, continuing to build our digital and technology capabilities, continuing the development of our Victorian ADCs and improving the performance of liquor. Thank you, and I look forward to speaking to you again in only just a few short weeks for our first quarter results in October. Thank you.
Operator
Operator
That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.