Earnings Labs

Core Laboratories N.V. (CLB)

Q4 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 2, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Core Laboratories Fourth Quarter 2022 Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions]. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions]. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Larry Bruno, Chairman and CEO. Please go ahead.

Larry Bruno

Analyst

Thanks Drew. Good morning in the Americas, good afternoon in Europe, Africa and the Middle East, and good evening in Asia-Pacific. We'd like to welcome all of our shareholders, analysts, and most importantly, our employees to Core Laboratories fourth quarter 2022 earnings call. This morning, I'm joined by Chris Hill, Core's Chief Financial Officer; and Gwen Gresham, Core's Senior Vice President and Head of Investor Relations. The call will be divided into six segments. Gwen will start by making remarks regarding forward-looking statements. We'll then have some opening comments, including a high-level review of important factors in Core's Q4 and full-year 2022 performance. In addition, we'll review Core's strategies and the three financial tenets that the Company employs to build long-term shareholder value. Chris will then give a detailed financial overview and have additional comments regarding shareholder value. Following Chris, Gwen will provide some comments on the Company's outlook and guidance. I'll then review Core's two operating segments, detailing our progress and discussing the continued successful introduction and deployment of Core Labs' technologies, as well as highlighting some of Core's operations and major projects worldwide. Then we'll open the phones for a Q&A session. I'll now turn the call over to Gwen for remarks on forward-looking statements.

Gwen Gresham

Analyst

Before we start the conference this morning, I'll mention that some of the statements we make during this call may include projections, estimates and other forward-looking information. This would include any discussion of the Company's business outlook. These types of forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that cause actual results to materially differ from our forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties are discussed in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, as well as other reports and registration statements filed by us with the SEC and the AFM. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Our comments also include non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures is included in the press release announcing our fourth quarter results. Those non-GAAP measures can also be found on our website. With that said, I'll pass the discussion back to Larry.

Larry Bruno

Analyst

Thanks, Gwen. For the fourth quarter of 2022 Core Lab achieved sequential improvement in revenue, operating income, operating margins, and EPS with strong incremental margins. These improvements translated into higher free cash flow, which enabled the company to reduce net debt by $11.7 million or 7%. We remained focused on executing our key financial strategies including reducing debt and strengthening our balance sheet. For the full-year 2022, revenue was $490 million, increasing by more than 4% compared to 2021. However, for 2022, revenue for the full-year was adversely impacted by currency devaluation of the Euro and British pound. Using a constant dollar exchange rate, 2022 revenue would've been nearly $13 million higher. For the full company operating margins for the fourth quarter grew to 12%, up from 11% in Q3. Full company sequential incremental margins ex-items exceeded 80%, driven by a strong quarter in production enhancement. Reservoir Description margins lagged after two successive quarters with very high incrementals, reflecting adverse impacts from the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The Russia-Ukraine conflict posed a headwind to revenue in the fourth quarter and throughout most of 2022, as trading patterns for crude oil and derived products were disrupted in Europe, Russia, and Ukraine. For 2022, demand for laboratory services tied to the assay of crude oil and derived products in these regions declined in excess of $9 million year-over-year offsetting growth in other international regions. Lastly, for the full company, quarter-over-quarter, EPS grew sequentially by 11% to $0.20 per share ex-items. As we look ahead, Core will continue to execute on its key strategic objectives by one, introducing new product and service offerings in key geographic markets; two, maintaining a lean and focused organization; and three, maintaining our commitment to de-levering the company. Now to review Core Lab's strategies and the financial tenants that Core has used to build shareholder value over our 27 plus year history as a publicly traded company. The interests of our shareholders, clients, and employees will always be well served by Core Lab's resilient culture, which relies on innovation, leveraging technology to solve problems and dedicated customer service. I'll talk more about some of our latest innovations in the operational review section of this call. While we navigate through the current challenges and pursue growth opportunities, the company will remained focused on its three longstanding, long-term financial tenants. Those being to maximize free cash flow, maximize return on invested capital, and returning excess free cash to our shareholders. Before moving on, I want to thank our employees for the dedication, loyalty, and adaptability in meeting all of our clients' needs and for the commitment that many have shown as we navigate the moment and prepare for more active market. I'll now turn it over to Chris for the detailed financial review.

Chris Hill

Analyst

Thanks, Larry. I would like to begin by highlighting a couple of announcements we made since our last call. As you may be aware, the company shares were previously dual listed on the New York Stock Exchange and the Euronext Amsterdam Exchange. However, as we rationalize benefits versus the cost of maintaining the dual listing, we decided to de-list the shares from the Amsterdam Exchange, which became effective in early December of last year. In following the de-listing of the shares on January 17 of this year, we announced our plan to reorganize the company's corporate structure which includes redomesticating the parent company from the Netherlands to the United States. The company and its Board believes the redomestication will enhance long-term shareholder value by reducing administrative costs, simplifying the corporate structure, as well as gaining some operational efficiencies. The company filed a preliminary prospectus and proxy statement associated with the redomestication, which will require shareholder approval. We anticipate the redomestication transaction will be completed sometime in the first half of this year. Before we review the financial performance for the quarter, the guidance we gave on our last call and past calls specifically excluded the impact of any FX gains or losses and assumed an effective tax rate of 20%. So accordingly, our discussion today excludes any foreign exchange gain or loss for current and prior periods. Additionally, the GAAP financial results for the fourth quarter include a non-cash adjustment of $1.9 million, which decreased stock compensation expense associated with performance share awards, which vested during the quarter. This adjustment has also been excluded from the discussion of our fourth quarter and full-year results. Now looking at the income statement, revenue from continuing operations was $127.6 million in the fourth quarter, up slightly from $126 million in the prior quarter.…

Gwen Gresham

Analyst

Thank you, Chris. Looking forward into 2023, we see crude oil macro fundamentals continuing to support a multi-year recovery cycle for the oil and gas industry. Crude oil demand for 2023 as forecasted by the International Energy Agency in January of this year is projected to increase by 1.9 million barrels per day to a record 101.7 million barrels per day as consumption in China grows along with the reopening of its economy. As crude oil demand is projected to exceed pre-COVID levels, crude-oil supply is projected to tighten. Production growth continues to face constraints due to prolonged underinvestment in many regions around the globe as well as natural decline of production from existing fields. As a result, we expect operators to expand their upstream spending plans for 2023 by mid-teens compared to 2022. This supports our continued improvement in international onshore and offshore activity, with projects emerging and underway, most notably across the Middle East, Latin America and West Africa regions. Moving on to the U.S., we see similar challenges with crude oil supply which should require increased spending by operators to grow and replace production. While operators remain focused on capital discipline, 2023 forecasts indicate their U.S. upstream spending will increase by approximately 15% year- over-year. Turning to the first quarter of 2023, we anticipate Reservoir Description to be down low to mid-single-digits sequentially. There are two factors causing the sequential decline in revenue. First, the typical seasonal industry pattern, which will cause activity in the first quarter to decline in some regions; and second, continued volatility with crude oil trading patterns which may impact Reservoir Description's international growth within its Russian, Ukrainian, and European operations. Helping to offset these revenue headwinds, we will see an increase in international upstream project activity, which is currently underway. For Production Enhancement, revenue is estimated to be up mid-single-digit as U.S. land activity is projected to recover from normal seasonal declines experienced at year-end. We project first quarter 2023 revenue to range from $125 million to $129 million and operating income of $11.5 million to $14.5 million, yielding operating margins of approximately 10%. EPS for the first quarter is expected to range from $0.14 to $0.19. The company's first quarter guidance is based on projections for underlying operations and excludes gains and losses in foreign exchange. First quarter guidance also assumes an effective tax rate of 20%. Now, I'll pass the discussion back to Larry.

Larry Bruno

Analyst

Thanks, Gwen. First, I'd like to thank our global team of employees for providing innovative solutions, integrity, and superior service to our clients. The team's collective dedication to servicing our clients is the foundation of Core Lab's success. Turning first to Reservoir Description, for the fourth quarter of 2022, revenue came in at just over $78 million down slightly compared to Q3. When looking at revenue growth for Reservoir Description, it is important to consider the sharp devaluation of the Euro and the British pound. These currency devaluations lowered Reservoir Description revenue for the full-year, by more than $12 million using 2021 exchange rates. Operating income for Reservoir Description ex-items was $6 million, and operating margins were 8%. Growth across most regions was offset by impacts from the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Demand for crude oil and derived product assay work across Europe, Russia, and Ukraine, which rebounded somewhat during Q3, subsequently slowed in Q4 as sanctions became formalized. As previously discussed, we expect continued volatility and demand for these laboratory services as global trading patterns realign. However, as Gwen mentioned, the International Energy Agency recently forecast crude oil demand for 2023 to average a record high 101.7 million barrels per day, up by 1.9 million barrels per day from 2022, even after assessing global financial forecasts. This bodes well for growing demand for Reservoir Description's assay work. As we look ahead, while still well below pre-COVID levels, we see the growing international rig count as a harbinger of an improving landscape for Reservoir Description a trend that we project will play out for the next several years particularly in the Middle East, North and South America and most other regions. Early movers in the oilfield service sector that are more exposed to well construction have already felt the impact of this…

Operator

Operator

We'll now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. The first question comes from Samantha Hoh with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

Gwen Gresham

Analyst

Good morning, Samantha.

Samantha Hoh

Analyst

Hey guys, how is it going?

Larry Bruno

Analyst

Good morning.

Samantha Hoh

Analyst

Thanks for taking my call.

Larry Bruno

Analyst

Good. Good morning. Welcome.

Samantha Hoh

Analyst

I wanted to maybe dig in a little bit in just the contrast of the two projects that you highlighted in RD. It's kind of interesting that in Latin America, you guys are doing all this work on EOR and coal assurance, but then in the U.S., you're kind of evaluating resource potential of the Barnett Shale, which I haven't really thought of in a while. I was just wondering if you could maybe talk a little bit more about that. Just -- could we be seeing just like a switch at some point where the U.S. shale players think a little bit more about just EOR? I mean, you guys spent so much time talking about permissible floods in the past. So I'm just kind of curious if there's any sort of pickup in interest in trying to get a little bit more production out of existing wells in the U.S.

Larry Bruno

Analyst

Yes. So let's unravel a little bit. The project I talked about on the Barnett. I think most people; perhaps mistakenly assume that everything is known about the variability and reservoir quality across the U.S. unconventional plays. That's not the case. We have a good perspective on that because we've done work for -- in all the basins, multi-company studies where we've gotten to see everybody's results. And so there are areas of higher quality and lower quality reservoir rock. Over time, technology has helped to bring forward the productive potential of lower quality rock. But people are always aware that, hey, they've done -- they've cherry-picked in many cases, some of the better quality areas that they had. They did exactly what you and I would have done during tough times. They focused their efforts on their best opportunities. And now as people move into, call it, peripheral or second-tier opportunities, they've got to assess what's the quality of the rock and how much movable oil there is. On the -- particularly on the question of EOR and unconventionals, we've been on the forefront of that for quite some time. We have a joint industry project that has assessed the viability of doing gas injection to strip additional hydrocarbons out of the rock. We won't give you the results of that because quite frankly, we sell the results of that to our clients. But we have demonstrated in the lab that with the right combination of injection gases and the right existing oil in place in the ground that recovery can be substantially improved, and there are a number of companies that are doing that right now. The EOR project in South America that I talked about today, I think we wanted to highlight that one a bit because there is a growing worldwide, I'll call it reaction to, hey, there's going to be a lot of CO2 that's going to be captured and available for EOR projects. I think if you look back historically, there would have been more CO2 injection for enhanced oil recovery if large, long-term reliable sources of CO2 were available. Well, regulations are now creating that environment where CO2 is going to be captured in large quantities and available for long periods of time. And so we're seeing it across the globe, there's an increased attention to, hey, I can take some of that CO2 that's coming from an emission point. And if I put that into my reservoir, what can I get in terms of additional oil recovery. And that's going on in North America. It's going on all over the globe.

Samantha Hoh

Analyst

Just a real quick follow-up on that. Can you take associated gas and treat it and do whatever and then use it for injection for -- to boost production?

Larry Bruno

Analyst

Yes, absolutely. And in fact, that was the focus of our -- or one of the primary focuses of our EOR study on unconventional reservoirs was to take available gases associated either with nearby production or simultaneous from the well. And then look at what chemical changes, what composition you would need to achieve maybe adding some propane or dialing in some ethane, getting the right chemistry of the associated gases or available gases and going back into the same wellbores that you've been producing. And that goes through a soaking process, the physics involved in that, are different than a traditional gas flood where the main driver was to push drive oil from injections to producers. Rather, in this case, the injected gas vaporizes some of that oil. And then as its withdrawn and the pressures dropped, that oil drops out of the injection gases. And so this is a multi-cycle process that goes on where we keep adjusting the chemistry of the gas for injection to get the most oil out. And there are companies that are doing that today.

Samantha Hoh

Analyst

Okay. Great. And maybe for my next question, just a little bit on the PE side. What are you anticipating in terms of the energetic sales, obviously, a rebound here in the frac activity? I'm just kind of curious what you're expecting throughout the year in terms of demand for your energetic products. The type of seasonal trends, I guess, we should be thinking about for PE beyond the current quarter?

Gwen Gresham

Analyst

Yes, Samantha, we think that for PE and our energetic product sales will continue to have market penetration with that as well as benefit from activity that will go on throughout 2023. We have seen, as we've started the year that we're on a bit of a climb out, let's say, from Q4 from the holidays. So we're not quite back to pre-holiday let's say, frac spread levels, but we can see that we're starting to move in that direction. So we think it's going to be another nice year of healthy activity.

Samantha Hoh

Analyst

Are you guys anticipating like much of an increase in frac activity this year? I think it's a bit of debate in terms of what the demand is and the movement across the basins.

Chris Hill

Analyst

Yes. So this is Chris. I think what we're seeing is at least we exited. If you look at where we were in Q4, it was at a pretty high-level, I think the frac spread either approached or reached 300. And like, Gwen was saying, we're -- it kind of dipped off as the holidays were in, which is very typical. And then it sort of rebounds as we begin the New Year, and we're seeing that as well. So we think it's going to come back to that 300 level. But we think there are some headwinds to growth there. The rigs are kind of full up and the frac spreads are also kind of full up. But as companies start to bring new equipment online, we do think that that will be put to work and maybe there's more opportunity for some growth from where we kind of exited the year as we get a little deeper into 2023.

Larry Bruno

Analyst

I think I'd sum it up by saying we think in total, 2023 will be a better year for energetic sales than 2022.

Chris Hill

Analyst

Yes, year-over-year.

Larry Bruno

Analyst

Yes, in the U.S. and globally, year-over-year.

Gwen Gresham

Analyst

Thank you, Samantha.

Samantha Hoh

Analyst

Thanks, guys.

Larry Bruno

Analyst

Welcome.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Simon Galligani with Awilco AS. Please go ahead.

Gwen Gresham

Analyst · Awilco AS. Please go ahead.

Hi Simon.

Simon Galligani

Analyst · Awilco AS. Please go ahead.

Hi, good morning, guys.

Larry Bruno

Analyst · Awilco AS. Please go ahead.

Good morning.

Chris Hill

Analyst · Awilco AS. Please go ahead.

Good morning.

Simon Galligani

Analyst · Awilco AS. Please go ahead.

Thank you for taking my question. I saw that you acquired own shares for about $1.6 million in the fourth quarter, which I guess is the first buyback since the invasion. I know that you guys are focused on bringing the leverage ratio down to 1.5. But should we read into this that you'll gradually resume the buybacks simultaneously as you continue to reduce the leverage ratio?

Chris Hill

Analyst · Awilco AS. Please go ahead.

Yes. Hey Simon, this is Chris. So when you think about the share buybacks, think about that in maybe two buckets, one is where we go into the open market and buyback shares. The other bucket is when employees have share awards that vest, they have the opportunity or they generally will sell those shares that are for tax -- their tax burden associated with that to the company. So we will buy those shares from the employee to settle their tax burden associated with the vesting awards. And that's what you saw in the fourth quarter. We did not go out to the open market and buy any shares. Having said that, once we get our leverage ratio down to where at least we're getting towards the target, we've got more clear sight on what the forecast looks like. Absolutely, we could see ourselves getting more active in the share buyback program off the open market.

Simon Galligani

Analyst · Awilco AS. Please go ahead.

Okay. Thank you for the clarity and yes, the comment there. Thanks.

Gwen Gresham

Analyst · Awilco AS. Please go ahead.

Thank you, Simon.

Larry Bruno

Analyst · Awilco AS. Please go ahead.

I think we've got a little bit of a crowded earnings release date. So since we're not seeing any other questions, we'll end right there. In summary, Core's operational leadership continues to position the company for improving client activity levels in both the U.S. and international markets for 2023 and beyond. We have never been better operationally or technologically positioned to help our global client base, optimize their reservoirs and to address their evolving needs. We remain uniquely focused and are the most technologically advanced client-focused reservoir optimization company in the oilfield service sector. The company will remain focused on maximizing free cash and returns on invested capital. In addition to our quarterly dividends, we'll bring value to our shareholders via growth opportunities, driven by both the introduction of problem-solving technologies and new market penetration. In the near-term, Core will continue to use free cash to strengthen its balance sheet and while always investing in growth opportunities. So in closing, we thank and appreciate all of our shareholders and the analysts that cover Core Lab. The executive management team and the Board of Core Laboratories give a special thanks to our worldwide employees that have made these results possible. We're proud to be associated with their continuing achievements. So thanks for spending time with us, and we look forward to our next update. Goodbye for now.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.