Operator
Operator
Good morning and welcome to the Core Laboratories Fourth Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. . After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. . Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to David Demshur, Chairman, President and CEO. Please go ahead. David M. Demshur - Chairman-Supervisory Board, President & CEO: Thank you, Andrew. Good morning in North America, good afternoon in Europe, and good evening in Asia-Pacific. We would like to welcome all of our shareholders, analysts and, most importantly, our employees to Core Laboratories fourth quarter 2015 earnings conference call. This morning, I am joined by Dick Bergmark, Core's Executive Vice President and CFO; Core's COO, Monty Davis, who'll present the detailed operational review; and Chris Hill, Core's Chief Accounting Officer. The call will be divided into five segments. Chris will start by making remarks regarding forward-looking statements; then we'll come back and give a review of the current macro environment, updating worldwide crude oil supply thoughts, and then quickly touch on Core's three financial tenets by which the company employs to build long-term shareholder value. Chris will follow with a detailed financial overview and additional comments regarding building shareholder value, followed by Dick Bergmark commenting on Core's first quarter 2016 outlook and a general industry outlook as it pertains to Core's prospects into 2016. Then Monty will go over Core's three operating segments, detailing our progress and then discussing our continued successful introduction of new Core Lab technologies, as they relate to completing, stimulating and producing wells, and then highlighting some of Core's operations in major projects worldwide. Then we'll open the phones for a Q&A session. I'll now turn it over to Chris for remarks regarding forward-looking statements. Chris? Chris Hill - Chief Accounting Officer & Head-Investor Relations: Thanks, David. Before we start the conference this morning, I'll mention that some of the statements that we make during this call may include projections, estimates and other forward-looking information. This would include any discussion of the company's business outlook. These types of forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties relating to the oil and gas industry, business conditions, international markets, international political climate and other factors including those discussed in our 34 Act [1934 Securities Exchange Act] filings that may affect our outcome. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize or should any of our assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in our forward-looking statement. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. For a more detailed discussion of some of our foregoing risks and uncertainties, see Item 1A, Risk Factors, in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2014, as well as other reports and registration statements filed by us with the SEC. Our comments include non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures is included in the press release announcing our fourth quarter results. Those non-GAAP measures can also be found on our website. With that said, I'll pass the discussion back to Dave. David M. Demshur - Chairman-Supervisory Board, President & CEO: Okay. Thanks, Chris. I'd like to talk about some of our current macro views, and then touch on the three financial tenets. Our Core believes that the worldwide crude oil supply and demand markets will balance in the second half of 2016. On the crude oil supply side, U.S. unconventional production peaked at approximately 5.5 million barrels of oil per day in March of 2015, has since fallen by over 600,000 barrels a day owing to high decline curve rates associated with tight oil reservoirs. Offsetting these sharp production declines have been surprising and unsustainable additions of over 250,000 barrels a day from deepwater Gulf of Mexico projects that were commissioned several year ago and that beared fruit in late 2015. The sharp declines from U.S. land production will continue into 2016 and Core believes these decreases could reach 900,000 barrels a day by the year-end 2016. Lower levels of new wells and delayed production maintenance will exacerbate this 2016 fall in U.S. land production. Moreover, the short gains from legacy deepwater Gulf of Mexico projects will not materialize in 2016 to offset the significant decreases in U.S. land production as they did in late 2015. Core estimates that the current production decline curve rate for U.S. production is approximately 7.8% net which will expand as 2016 progresses and could reach 10% net by the end of the year 2016. Globally, Core estimates that crude oil production decline curve has expanded to 3.1% net, up some 60 basis points from year earlier estimates. Applying the 3.1% net decline curve rate to the worldwide crude oil production base of approximately 85 million barrels a day means that the planet will need to produce approximately 2.6 million new barrels by this date next year to maintain current worldwide production totals. With the long-term worldwide spare capacity nearing zero, Core believes that worldwide producers will not be able to offset the estimated 3.1% net production decline curve rate in 2016, leading to falling global crude oil production by the second half of 2016. Therefore, Core believes crude oil markets rationalize in the second half of 2016 and price stability followed by price increases return to the energy complex. Remember, the immutable laws of physics and thermodynamics mean that the crude oil production decline curve always wins and that it never sleeps. On the demand side, on the crude oil market, the IEA is still calling for increased demand in 2016 of approximately 1.2 million barrels per day, notwithstanding daily news out of China regarding their economic activity. Supply and demand will balance as they all have in all past market disruptions. Now, to review the three financial tenets by which Core used to build shareholder value over our 20-year history of being a publicly traded company. Incidentally, Core's also celebrating its 80th year in history in 2016. Applying these tenets led Core to be the top performing company in the Philadelphia Oilfield Services Index in 2015. During the fourth quarter of 2015, Core generated free cash flow that exceeded net income for the fifth consecutive quarter. Free cash flow for all of 2015 equaled 140% of net income in 2015 ex-items, clearly the best in all oilfield services. Moreover, Core converted over $0.24 of every 2015 revenue dollar into free cash flow, again leading all oilfield service companies. Also in the fourth quarter of 2015, Core once again produced oil industry leading return on invested capital for the 26th consecutive quarter, topping an ROIC of 40%. And finally, during the fourth quarter of 2015, Core returned over $38 million back to our shareholders and over $4.50 per common share in 2015 via dividends and share count reduction. At year's end 2015, Core had reduced its share count to an 18-year low, having returned over $53 per diluted share over the last 13-year period. Core will continue its share repurchase program in the first quarter of 2016. I will now turn it back over to Chris for a detailed financial review. Chris? Chris Hill - Chief Accounting Officer & Head-Investor Relations: Thanks, David. Looking at the income statement, revenues were $182.7 million in the fourth quarter, slightly higher than our guidance and down only 7% sequentially, so comparing favorably to the global rig count which was down more than 9%. For the full year, revenues were $798 million, so down 27% but on a constant currency basis down only 23%, and a nice outcome considering the global rig count was down almost 35% over the same period. Of these revenues, services for the quarter $142 million, which are more international and are down only 5% sequentially. This is a very favorable outcome when you consider the average crude oil price fell 20% during the quarter and global rig count decreased 9%. For the full year, service revenues were $612 million, down about 22% from last year. However, a better performance compared to industry given average crude oil prices decreased almost 50% and again, the average global rig count was down almost 35% during 2015. Product sales which are tied more to North America activity were $40.7 million for the quarter, down 14% sequentially but comparing favorably to the U.S. land rig count, which is down 16%. For the full year, product sales were $85.6 million, compared to $304.4 million in the prior year, a decrease of 39%, but in an environment where average rig count in North America was down 48% compared to last year. Moving on to cost of services, for the quarter are 65.1% of revenue, up sequentially from 62.7% in the prior quarter. For the full year, cost of services were 63.4%, and up from 57.6% in 2014. Although this was up slightly for the quarter and the year, our service operating margins continued to be strong, which confirms pricing did not play a big part in our lower margins; rather it was the absorption of our fixed cost structure on lower revenue. Cost of sales in the fourth quarter was 79.4% of revenue, which was up from the 74.1% in the third quarter. For the full year, cost of sales was also up at 78.1% compared to 70.9% last year, and again, this is due to absorption of our fixed costs over lower revenues. G&A for the quarter was $12.3 million, comparable with prior quarters. For the year 2015, G&A was $49.7 million, and up from $45.7 million in the prior year. Depreciation and amortization for the quarter was $7 million, comparable sequentially and with that incurred for the last several quarters. For the full year 2015, depreciation and amortization was $27.5 million, so just up slightly from $26.7 million in the prior year. Considering capital expenditures in 2015 and with our anticipated capital programs for next year, we would expect depreciation to continue on these approximate run rates into next year. Severance and other charges. As mentioned in our earnings release, we have taken additional actions during the quarter to appropriately align our cost structure and, as a result, we have recorded $15.8 million in charges for severance compensation, asset impairment and other charges, all of which were recorded during the fourth quarter. Other expense this year primarily includes foreign exchange losses of $4.5 million for the year. However, for the fourth quarter, it was negligible. The guidance we gave on our last call and past calls specifically excluded the impact of any FX gains or losses, so accordingly, our discussion today excludes any foreign exchange gain or loss for current and prior periods. So to conform with our guidance, EBIT ex-items for the quarter was $39.5 million and represent best-in-class EBIT margin of 21.6%. For the full year 2015, EBIT ex-items was $188.5 million and also generated industry-leading margin of 23.6% for the full year. Income tax expense ex-items in the quarter was $8.3 million at an effective tax rate of 23%. Our full year annual effective tax rate was a little under 23%. We expect our effective tax rate in Q1 2016 to be approximately 22.5%. Net income ex-items for the quarter was $27.7 million, down from $35.4 million last quarter. For the full year 2015, ex-items it was $136.1 million. And GAAP net income was $15.4 million for the quarter and $114.8 million for the year. Earnings per diluted share ex-items was $0.65 for the quarter, compared to our prior guidance of $0.63 to $0.67 per share. EPS for the full year ex-items was $3.17 and GAAP EPS for 2015 was $2.68. As we move on to the balance sheet and in the interest of time, I'm only going to highlight the items we feel are of interest to the audience or have materially changed from previously reported balances. Cash, $22.5 million compared to the prior year-end balance of $23.4 million. Receivables stood at $145.7 million, down about $7 million this quarter and down from $197.2 million at prior year end. DSOs for the quarter were 68 days and 66 days for the full year of 2015, so up slightly from 65 days in 2014. Inventory stood at $40.9 million at year-end, down 8% or about $3.6 million sequentially and down over 17% from its peak earlier in the year, as we've worked to reduce inventory levels to align our inventory to current product demand. We expect inventory to continue trending down as we move into 2016. For PP&E, intangibles, goodwill and other long-term assets, the only material change during the quarter is the asset impairment charges of $4.9 million mentioned earlier. And now on to the liability side of the balance sheet, our long-term debt at year-end was $433 million, so up slightly from $428 million last quarter-end. Our debt is comprised of our senior notes at $150 million as well as $283 million under our bank revolving credit facility. The increase in borrowings during the year came as a result of our increased share buyback program. Since the end of the year, we have not made any share repurchases and with that excess cash we expect to reduce the balance on our revolver to $275 million this Friday. Shareholders' equity, the end of the year is a deficit of $23.7 million, down from the prior year-end balance of $94 million, primarily due to share repurchases and dividends in excess of net income since the end of last year. As we have previously discussed, clearly, book equity does not represent the solvency of a company and we note that several S&P 500 companies who generate significant levels of free cash also have negative book equity, because they return that free cash to their owners just as have done. We do not have any debt or contract compliance requirements to report positive net worth. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $4.5 million, so consistent with prior quarters this past year but down from 2014 levels. For the full year, they were $22.8 million, down about 38% from $36.6 million in 2014. The company anticipate that its 2016 capital expenditure program will be less than 2015. However, if oilfield activities do pick up, Core has the ability to increase its investments in support of the strengthening activity. Looking at cash flow, in the fourth quarter, cash flow from operating activities was $49.3 million, and after paying for our $4.5 million in CapEx, our free cash flow in Q4 was $44.8 million and an industry leading $0.245 for every dollar $1 revenue earned. In the quarter, we used our cash to pay $23.3 million in dividend and to repurchase approximately 133,000 shares. For the full year 2015, cash flow from operating activities was $219.1 million, while free cash flow after paying for our CapEx program was $196.3 million, so almost $0.25 for every revenue dollar. For the full year, we used our free cash flow and borrowings under our credit facility to pay $94.2 million in dividends and $159.7 million in share repurchases. Our free cash flow conversion ratio, which is free cash flow divided by net income ex-items continues to be one of the highest in the industry at 144% for 2015. We believe this is an important metric for shareholders when comparing companies' financial results, particularly for those shareholders who utilize discounted cash flow models to assess valuations. In 2015, our free cash flow was higher than our net income as it has been for 10 years out of the last 14 years. I will now turn it over to Dick for an update on our guidance and outlook. Richard L. Bergmark - CFO, Member-Supervisory Board & EVP: Thanks, Chris. In 2016 at current activity levels in North America, year-over-year production declines of over 900,000 barrels of oil per day are expected in Canada and the U.S. while international production levels are expected to continue to decline modestly. We believe that recent downward production revisions in Mexico and offshore Eastern South America confirm these views and that should precipitate higher commodity prices and the beginning of a recovery in our business in the second half of 2016. In spite of that view of the recovery in the second half of 2016, for the first quarter of 2016, we project further industry activity declines in North America tight oil plays as U.S. rig count is already down from year-end 2015 levels by approximately 10%. Oil company 2016 operating budgets are still uncertain which will force North America rig count to further contract. Additionally, international activity is projected to be down in the first half 2016. In response to these lower industry activity levels, we continued to reduce our internal operating cost through further automation of service and product offerings, various multi-skilling programs, asset rationalization and employee reductions. We will continue to right-size operations until energy markets balance and will then respond to lower supplies and higher demand. To give you a broad directional perspective by segment, we believe the sequential impact to our Reservoir Description segment's revenue will be reflective of that lower international activity expected in 2016, perhaps causing that revenue to decline approximately 7% in the first quarter of 2016 compared to the fourth quarter of 2015. Our Production Enhancement segment will also be impacted as a result of the continuing slowdown in North America, causing that revenue to fall sequentially by approximately 9%. Our Revenue Management segment's revenue is expected to decline 25% sequentially given the discretionary nature of our joint industry projects. Therefore, on a consolidated basis, we project first quarter 2016 revenues to fall sequentially approximately 10% to $164 million with operating income falling in the range of approximately $26 million to $28 million. Sequential quarterly decremental margins are expected to be approximately 65% as a result of continuing steps being taken to optimize our operational structure to match the global needs of our clients. First quarter 2016 EPS is projected to be approximately $0.41 to $0.43. For the remainder of 2016, we envision a return to more typical seasonal business patterns with activity increasing after spring breakup in Canada in the second quarter, with sequential quarterly improvements through the end of the year. Because of our working capital management programs, our free cash flow is projected to exceed net income as well as the amount of our dividend, providing liquidity for our future quarterly dividend payments and the opportunistic continuation of our stock repurchase program. Moreover, our $400 million bank credit facility remains available as we continue to be and expect to be going forward in full compliance with the terms and conditions of the facility. Our operational guidance excludes any foreign currency translations, shares repurchased other than those already disclosed, any further severance and other charges, and assumes an effective tax rate of 22.5%. Let's talk a moment about decrementals, both in this cycle and in comparison to other companies. We find ourselves in a bit of repeat of what happened at the beginning of last year. We're facing another leg down in activity, which is causing us and others in the oil service space to make further rounds of cost reductions. And for us, being people service and very asset light, that means we reduce our cost by reducing head count. And that can only be done when projects are completed and results delivered to our clients. It cannot be done on the first day of a quarter. Asset heavy companies, however, like those large ones who have already reported, can impact their decrementals by writing off assets that no longer have commercial value. And we've already heard about billions written off on calls the past week or so. By writing off assets, depreciation is immediately reduced. So, if those assets are written off with the effect from the first day of the quarter, then depreciation is immediately removed, which gives the appearance of improved decrementals. What's being missed is that optical benefit of lower decrementals came at the expensive prior investment dollars being written off as commercially unviable. Our decrementals for the most part are not created with that baggage of writing off prior investment. So, just be mindful that headline decremental margins are not necessarily comparable across companies. Okay. Let's turn the call now over to Monty for an operational review. Monty L. Davis - Chief Operating Officer & Senior Vice President: Thank you, Dick. Fourth quarter revenues were down 7.4% sequentially from the third quarter to $182.7 million. Operating earnings ex-items were $39.5 million, yielding an operating margin of 21.6%. EnergyPoint Research has completed their annual 2015 customer satisfaction survey of a broad spectrum of oil and gas companies. And Core Laboratories ranked first overall in oilfield services as well as first in several categories. Core Lab ranked first in core and fluid analysis, as we have every year that this category been surveyed, starting in 2008. 2015 was also our safest operating year ever due to the efforts of all our employees. We congratulate our 4,400 employees worldwide on these achievements. We also thank all of our employees for working to deliver value to our clients every day. Reservoir Description revenues for the fourth quarter of $114.8 million, were down 2.7% sequentially. Operating earnings of $28.6 million yielded operating margins of 24.9%. An international oil company has commenced an extensive coring program to evaluate reservoir properties on a potential giant oilfield discovery offshore South America. Core Lab has been working with this client since the inception of the analytical program. Core Lab's measurements will be used to define rock properties, determine reservoir fluid saturations and measure flow properties of these reservoirs. These will form the foundation for calculating hydrocarbon volume in place and the production potential of the various reservoir zones. Our geological staff is helping the operator to understand detailed rock properties and reservoir heterogeneity. As wells are planned and core and fluids are acquired, this program will expand over the next several years. As the Lab analytical program proceeds, we will conduct reservoir testing, we will conduct testing at reservoir conditions that will provide the physical basis for modeling reservoir performance, and be used to calibrate downhole logs. In the Middle East, Core Labs continues to support our clients who newly renewed multi-year projects in Qatar, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates, which complement the existing long-term projects in other countries in the region. During the fourth quarter, laboratory capabilities in Abu Dhabi were expanded through capital investment and flow testing under reservoir temperature and pressure. This proprietary equipment designed and manufactured by Core Lab will determine relative permeability relationships and be used to optimize the design of enhanced oil recovery programs. Core Lab has demonstrated that safety mapping in the oil industry is an appropriate methodology to enhance safety awareness throughout the industry with the aim to evaluate areas of specific risk. Core Lab has introduced an internally developed safety monitoring tool called Safe Site. This newly developed safety mapping technology is currently used at an increasing number of field locations where we operate. These unique data sets are being shared with operators to support and initiate ongoing improvement measures for safer oilfield operations. Our customers have recognized the added value of such systems as they significantly contribute to minimizing the risk of expensive incidents and potential reputation damage. Production Enhancement fourth quarter revenue of $56.6 million yielded $7.3 million in operating earnings and a 13% operating margin. Core Lab is playing a major role in addressing the technological challenges of the deepwater Gulf of Mexico with completion diagnostic services. Core Lab provided completion diagnostic services in several major Gulf of Mexico deepwater fields including the Lower Tertiary play in the Walker Ridge area, the deepwater Keathley Canyon area, and three Mississippi Canyon fields. Core's completion diagnostics helped prove the value of a single-trip, multi-zone stimulation technology that enabled the operator to cut the completion time to 18 to 20 hours per zone, resulting in a major savings in rig time. During the quarter, production enhancement operations performed services in the ongoing Wolfcamp Hydraulic Fracturing Test Site Program joint-industry project. This project is managed by the Gas Technology Institute with significant funding from the Department Of Energy. Core is providing all of the completion diagnostic services, permanent downhole sensors, and core analysis for this project. Ultimately, the data from this project will help answer many technical questions about stimulation and development optimization which can be applied to various shale plays. During the current reduction in North American completions, our customers are evaluating technology for well site efficiency and production enhancement. Currently, Core's Production Enhancement division is gaining traction on numerous patented and proprietary products supported by science and testing. During the fourth quarter, an Eagle Ford operator completed a multi-stage well utilizing Core's PerFRAC-HERO charges on numerous stages versus an alternative charge on other stages. The operator noted that during frac operations, the intervals perforated with PerFRAC-HERO charges broke down at significantly lower pumping pressures. In understanding the Bernoulli equation and its impact on the drawdown pressure across an individual perforation, our engineers have been able to optimize the uniformity of the hole diameter around the production casing, reducing the friction pressure, resulting in lower hydraulic horsepower required for formation breakdown – over 30% in some cases. Lower horsepower reduces the pumping cost, while more uniform hole size facilitates proppant placement evenly throughout each perf cluster, positively contributing to the fracture treatment. More than 300,000 PerFRAC-HERO technology charges were used in the fourth quarter by various customers throughout North America, demonstrating the high acceptance of this 2015 technology. Outside North America, Core Lab's global footprint and operational support provided perforating charges and gun systems to numerous international and national oil companies in over 60 countries. These customers often require deeper penetrating perforations or natural unfractured completions. Core Lab's HERO-HR hard rock line of charges and gun systems provide industry-leading penetration in addition to our patented low-debris high wolfram-molybdenum technology. This combination of penetration and low-debris performance resulting in a 33% year-over-year increase in customer usage, with our industry-leading, deepest-penetrating 39-gram, 69.3-inch penetration HERO-HR having the greatest usage ever. Fourth quarter Reservoir Management revenue was $11.4 million, and operating earnings of $3.7 million yielded operating margins of 32.2%. Core Lab had numerous sales for our geological studies during the quarter. Much of this activity is driven by private equity backed companies that are using the studies to expedite the evaluation process and minimize the risks associated with acquiring new assets. Our customers recognize that it is considerable value in having access to good reservoir and engineering data before they make multimillion or billion dollar decisions. Core Lab has developed new products that add value for its clients by re-examining and analyzing existing cores. The focus of this new work is on optimizing completion practices. We are helping them implement more efficient and more effective hydraulic fracture stimulations by integrating new geological and engineering data. Creating a geological and rock mechanical model from existing core is a low-cost process that can eliminate stage failures and save operating companies hundreds of thousands of dollars for each completion. It can also provide answers on the best methods to re-frac existing wells to maximize production and increase reserves. Outside of North America, West Africa and the east coast of South America continue to be the focus of potential development activity. Recent offshore discoveries in Senegal, Guyana, the Ivory Coast and the Ceara Basin of Brazil have renewed interest in these play areas. Core Labs is either actively working on new geological studies in these areas or has recently completed studies that are available to clients. These studies provides basin-wide geological models for operating companies. They use these models to better understand the geology of their leases, which significantly reduces the risk of drilling very expensive deepwater dry holes. Andrew, we'll now open the call for questions.