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Civista Bancshares, Inc. (CIVB)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Fri, Feb 4, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to Civista Bancshares Incorporated 2021 Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note that this event is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the call over to Dennis Shaffer, CEO and President. Please go ahead.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Good afternoon. This is Dennis Shaffer, CEO and President of Civista Bancshares, and I would like to thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter and full year 2021 earnings call. I’m joined today remotely by Rich Dutton, Senior Vice President of the company and Chief Operating Officer of the bank; Chuck Parcher, Senior Vice President of the company and Chief Lending Officer of the bank; and other members of our executive team. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that this conference call contains forward-looking statements with respect to the future performance and financial condition of Civista Bancshares, Inc. that involves risks and uncertainties. Various factors could cause actual results to be materially different from any future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors are discussed in the company’s SEC filings, which are available on the company’s website. The company disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during the call. Additionally, management may refer to non-GAAP measures, which are intended to supplement, but not substitute the most directly comparable GAAP measures. The press release available on the website contains the financial and other quantitative information to be discussed today, as well as the reconciliation of the GAAP and non-GAAP measures. We will record this call and make it available on Civista Bancshares’ website at www.civb.com. Again, welcome to Civista Bancshares fourth quarter and full year 2021 earnings call. I would like to begin by discussing our results, which were issued this morning. At the conclusion of my remarks, we will take any questions you may have. Let me start by noting several significant accomplishments and transactions that occurred during the fourth quarter. This morning, we reported earnings for the fourth quarter 2021 of nearly $11 million or $0.73 per diluted share,…

Operator

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Terry McEvoy from Stephens. Please go ahead.

Terry McEvoy

Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon guys.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Hi, Terry.

Terry McEvoy

Analyst

There was the step down in operating expenses in the fourth quarter, which I think you addressed in the press release. Anything beyond what was said there. And then maybe looking ahead, could you help us maybe understand what your thoughts are about expense growth, given inflation and all the things we're hearing on that topic? Thank you.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

I'll ask Rich Dutton to elaborate. Rich, do you want to elaborate on that?

Richard Dutton

Analyst

Yeah. And Terry, I think like we talked about in the earnings release, primary reduction in non-interest expense was a compensation expense related to commissions on mortgage banking. I think there was also an accrual adjustment related to health insurance that reduced our health insurance expense in the fourth quarter. So, now we're starting a new year in the first quarter. So we're going to ramp up the accrual again for health insurance. You'll recall, we don't give merit increases for what I want to say on Saturday until April 1st. So when we look at Q1 non-interest expense, probably a $19.6 million number is a good number. And then post that, it’s probably a $20.7 million or $20.8 million non-interest expense number is what we've modeled for the rest of the year. I don't know in terms of inflation. Again, I think we kind of modeled in what we think going to happen for merit increases and whatnot. But I suppose the farther we get into the year, the less confident I am in those numbers of that.

Terry McEvoy

Analyst

Great. Thank you, Rich. And then as a follow-up, there's a lot of buzz on the new Intel factory outside of Columbus. Maybe just remind me what's your kind of current footprint in and around Columbus. And do you think you can capitalize on what that factory could do to the economy down there?

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Sure. I think, our footprint -- in fact, we had right before that announcement actually bought a branch from a credit union. That's about a mile and a half from the site that they'll be developing. It's 3,200 acres that they're developing, and bringing 3000 initial jobs, pretty well paying jobs, the average -- salary is going to be somewhere around $138,000. But there's 7,000 construction jobs. There's talk that they may build additional plant and it could be close to 10,000 employees that they'll be bringing. I think the opportunity's going to be great. Our boutique banking model fits in very well. We have a presence in Dublin, Ohio. We also have a presence right outside of Dublin, Ohio, in Plain City, and will have this branch there. But I think it'll also benefit the entire state, Terry. I think, there are 150 Intel suppliers in the state of Ohio. And there's talk that some of those suppliers are already seeing increased sales and that's really throughout our footprint, because our footprint covers most of Ohio. So, we think that there's going to be tremendous opportunity to capitalize on that investment into central Ohio for the -- and that I think we'll capitalize for the whole state.

Terry McEvoy

Analyst

Good stuff. Thanks. Thanks Dennis.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Okay. Thanks, Terry.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Bryce Rowe from Hovde Group. Please go ahead.

Bryce Rowe

Analyst

Thanks. Maybe just a quick cleanup question there from Terry's questioning. Rich, the $20.7 million, $20.8 million kind of guide, so to speak for the second quarter. Does that include the -- is that a standalone basis or does that also include what you're kind of expecting with Henry County?

Richard Dutton

Analyst

That's standalone. Yeah. We've not modeled any Henry County stuff I guess in that number yet. That's a good cleanup question.

Bryce Rowe

Analyst

All right. Good. All right. That's helpful. And then, maybe you guys could speak to, how you're thinking about the rate picture. Maybe just some background around your asset sensitivity at this point. And then what kind of deposit betas you're baking into the asset sensitivity analysis that you project in your Qs in case.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Rich, I'll have you go ahead. And if you want to answer that.

Richard Dutton

Analyst

I'll answer it in reverse order. And that probably means I'll forget the first question you asked. But I guess we've modeled two rate increases, again, back in loaded in 2022, 25 basis points each, which I think is party standard with what I've heard everybody else doing. Again, we're very asset sensitive, like you pointed out. So, rate increases help us. The deposit that we're using it blended. So all non-maturing accounts. The beta is 12 basis points, and that's held pretty steady, gosh, for the last two cycles. Anyway. I mean, it's not changed much. You call we're already 3% of our deposits, our deposits are non-bearing at all. So that's not even in that number. And I'm not sure what other questions you asked? I answered two or three. What I miss?

Bryce Rowe

Analyst

No. You nailed them. I appreciate it. I think I just stepped back.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Hey, Bryce, I would add. A third of our deposits repriced every 30 days. So -- and then another 6% reprises within one year. So 39% of our portfolio will reprise within a year, but a third of it basically reprises every 30 days.

Richard Dutton

Analyst

And Dennis, you meant to say loans, right?

Bryce Rowe

Analyst

Deposits. I think you meant.

Richard Dutton

Analyst

Yeah. He meant to say loans.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Loans. Yes. Loans.

Bryce Rowe

Analyst

Right. Okay. All right. I'll step back out and let somebody else take it away.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Tim Switzer from KBW. Please go ahead.

Tim Switzer

Analyst

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. I'm on Mike Perito. You guys mentioned in your press. Hey, good morning, or good afternoon. You guys mentioned in the press release, you had about $100 million of excess liquidity. You wanted to redeploy into the investment portfolio. I was curious how much of that you already did in Q4, and that was kind of in run rate and then what you expect for Q1 and then I guess how much excess liquidity you'll still have after that, if any once factoring in the bank deal.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Rich, you want answer that?

Richard Dutton

Analyst

Yeah. And forgive me, was it Tim? Is that right?

Tim Switzer

Analyst

Yeah, Tim.

Richard Dutton

Analyst

Yeah, Tim. So, I think what we had done at the end of the year was about -- I think we had another $20 million of that $100 million to redeploy yet. And I'm not sure we're at in that process even as of today. At the end of the year, we still had a fair number of -- the munies that are looking for, we hadn't purchased those yet. What was the rest of your question? Forgive me.

Tim Switzer

Analyst

Okay. Well, if you've already purchased, I guess $80 million of that, you only have $20 million left. Looking at your end to period balance sheet, you still have quite a bit of excess cash. So, I'm curious on what your strategy will be with that -- with the rate purchase or the rate increases coming, what is the pace of purchases you want to maintain on the securities portfolio?

Richard Dutton

Analyst

I think, we'll catch our breath. As you pointed out, we redeploy all that liquidity and we ended up, I think, with more cash at the end of the year than we did at the beginning of the fourth quarter. And also, I guess, I'd point out that we're coming into our tax season. And so sometime, probably mid to late February, we'll again start to process income tax refunds and we'll generate on average, I think about $300 million in extra cash that'll be on balance sheet for the first half of the year. So that's another kind of pressure on the margin. It doesn't impact our net interest income, but it does kind of play a little havoc with our margin. To answer your question, if we'll get more aggressive and redeployment of liquid assets, I think we'll probably kind of sit and wait, we were pretty aggressive early last year. I think we benefited from moving maybe sooner than some of our other bank brothers did. But again, you kind of like where we're at. We'd love to make more loans and it looks like maybe we're going to start making some loans, more loans this year than we did last year. I'll let Chuck talk to that, but that's where we would rather deploy it as opposed to the securities.

Tim Switzer

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. And along with the excess capital that you guys have right now, even with the Comunibanc deal once that closes, you still have pretty solid capital ratio. Do you have a target TCE ratio or anything like that? That would kind of help us give a -- put some parameters around what kind of share buyback we could see for 2022.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Yeah. We always kind of target somewhere that 9% to 9.25% range we think -- we're creating excess capital. So we think that we'll continue -- the repurchase program is a great way to deploy some of that excess capital, but I would say that's where we -- that nine and a quarter TCE ratio is probably a good target.

Tim Switzer

Analyst

All right. Awesome. Thank you guys.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Russell Gunther from D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Russell Gunther

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon guys.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Hey, Russell.

Richard Dutton

Analyst

Hello, Russell.

Russell Gunther

Analyst

Hey, guys. I want to follow-up on the margin discussion if I could. Maybe get a sense for where you expect the margin to trend near term, given some of the balance sheet dynamics just discussed. And then if you could help sign up for us, how you're thinking about what each 25 basis point move can fed funds means to you guys.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Rich, you want tackle that one as well?

Richard Dutton

Analyst

I got to get drink water. I'm answering too many questions. So, Russell, the way we modeled it was, I think for each 25 basis point increase in fed funds, we think that's probably seven basis points of expansion in our margin. And help me remember, what was the first part of your question.

Russell Gunther

Analyst

No, that's really good. I was just -- prior to the fed beginning to raise whatever that maybe, how you would expect your margin to trend given the step down this quarter, but also some of the dynamics we discussed around access liquidity deployment, the seasonality around the tax business.

Richard Dutton

Analyst

And the tax business certainly put some downward pressure on it. And I guess the counter to that is, we've only got about $1.5 million PPP fees left to accrete that will have at least for this year kind bolstered the margin. So, I suppose maybe it floats along a few basis points up or down from there, but I think again, like everybody else, we're waiting very asset sensitive, waiting for the fed to make whatever moves they're going to make. And again, those will be helpful to us.

Russell Gunther

Analyst

Understood. No, that's very helpful guys. And then just my last question would go back to the loan growth discussion, you guys put out order of magnitude similar to what you were able to do this year on a core basis and would just be helpful to get a sense in terms of what you think the drivers of that'll be from a mix, asset class perspective, as well as the growth this year, you called out as being very broad based geographically. Just wonder if that would sustain well or any pockets of strength there.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

I'll ask Chuck Parcher to answer that question, Russell.

Charles Parcher

Analyst

Yeah. Russell, we feel like that projection of the mid to high single digits looking forward to is pretty good, kind of one of the secrets behind the sauce of this year, I guess, was, we grew $117 million, but at the bank, we track payoff -- loan payoffs over $75,000 for the year. And in 2021, we had $236 million of payoffs in that category. The give you an idea where that stands as compared to the three previous years averaged $119 million payoffs. So, felt like we had a really successful year against those headwinds of all those payoffs. Now we are doing -- as we get bigger, we are doing bigger deals and doing a lot of development deals, but we feel like that one of the things that's going to help is some of that payoff number will fall back we believe here in 2022. And for -- I guess, a little bit more clarification, those payoffs are not bad payoffs. They're just the -- they're the result of very successful projects being completed and moving on to the perm market. You had a secondary question. I can't remember what it was though, Russell.

Russell Gunther

Analyst

No. That's a great guidepost. I guess the other follow-up would be, the mix of the -- the kind of mid to high single digits. And if you think that's going to be a similar composition to what you got done this year? And whether there are any …

Charles Parcher

Analyst

I would tell you it is probably going to be somewhat similar, but obviously we're heavily a commercial real estate bank, but I do believe we've hired some more C&I people with some C&I focus. And I do think that we've got to focus on trying to move that C&I portion of the book larger obviously. And with the investment that Dennis has alluded to in his speech, the Q2 investment, it was really ramped up our treasury capabilities for commercial customers. And once now that we've got that ramped up, we really feel like we've got all the products and services necessary to bring those middle market companies on board.

Russell Gunther

Analyst

That's great. Well, that's it for me guys. Thanks for taking my questions.

Richard Dutton

Analyst

I would just add, as we grow the bank, we constantly look at our lending limits and things and growth does help us make larger loans and stuff. So that'll help us deploy some of the excess liquidity on the balance sheet as well.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Daniel Cardenas from Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Daniel Cardenas

Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon guys.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Good afternoon.

Richard Dutton

Analyst

Good afternoon.

Daniel Cardenas

Analyst

Just a couple of housekeeping questions here. How should we be thinking about your tax rate on a go-forward basis? A little bit lower than what I was looking for the quarter, but can give us maybe a little bit of directional guidance as to how we should be looking at it?

Richard Dutton

Analyst

I am sorry. I jumped again, yeah. We've been bouncing around at about 15%, I think, an effective rate and that -- I don't see anything that's changed in the tax preference items that we have or the make the balance sheet that's going to change that at least over the next number of quarters, Daniel. So, I think that's a good -- would be a good number, kind of what we've done is what I would use going forward.

Daniel Cardenas

Analyst

Okay. Great. And then on the fee income side, absent contributions from the tax business, what's kind of $6.8 million that we saw this quarter, is that kind of a good run rate to build off of?

Richard Dutton

Analyst

Am I answering that one, Dennis, or you?

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Yeah. Go ahead, Rich.

Richard Dutton

Analyst

I would say yes. And again, I think we've kind of modeling all before Chuck, maybe a little slow down in mortgage fee income, but I think we also like Dennis said, I think during his comments, or maybe Chuck said it earlier, we anticipate a little pickup in the loan swap fee income to kind of offset that. And certainly that the momentum that our treasury management folks have gained over the past year, I won't see that slowing down. So, that ought to be, again, another kind of bright spot for, and as long as the markets hold, wealth management was a strong, generator of fee income force. Again like, I like Dennis said during his comments, I we're kind of hitting on all cylinders. And I would guess again, ex the tax business, that'll be very similar to what we saw last year, we feel pretty good. I would think that the fourth quarter would be a decent proxy for the first quarter in terms of non-interest income with the addition of the tax money too.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

And the tax money comes in what months, Rich? Would comes some in the first quarter, some in the second?

Richard Dutton

Analyst

Exactly. I would model the exact same cash flows that we had last year -- this year, and I'll bet you'll be pretty accurate.

Daniel Cardenas

Analyst

Good. Thank you. And then, just quickly, what was your CRE to total risk based capital ratio at the end of the year?

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

It was 291.5%. We pushed down about $50 million of that $75 million we raised to the bank and then we had a little bit of growth and ended up at the 291% and 291.5%.

Daniel Cardenas

Analyst

Any acquisition is supposed to hopefully bring that number down a little bit.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

The Comunibanc acquisition will just slightly move that. We'll bring it down a whole lot, but it will go down maybe -- without any growth would go down some. Just looking at the number today and if we added them, might go down just slightly, but not significantly.

Daniel Cardenas

Analyst

All right. I'll step back for right now. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Right. This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Dennis Shaffer for any closing remarks.

Dennis Shaffer

Analyst

Well, in closing, I just want to thank everyone for listening and thank those that participated on the call. Again, while we are pleased with the results of our fourth quarter and the year, we think that 2022 will be full of new challenges for us. So, we look forward to meeting those challenges and look forward to talking to you all again in a few months to share our first quarter results. So, thank you for your time today.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.