Michael Lou
Analyst · Cowen. Please go ahead
Thanks, Taylor. As you’ve seen in the years past, our low-cost assets and top-notch operational team delivered strong performance. This past year, we high graded our asset base further through a series of divestitures and new bolt-ons in the Delaware. We are in a great position to enhance returns, drive capital efficiency across our deep portfolio, and generate significant free cash flow. Since 2015, Oasis has been dedicated to living within E&P cash flow. We created OMP in 2017 to help finance Midstream spending, and in 2018, used a portion of divestiture proceeds to expand the D&C program. During the fourth quarter, we sold down Oasis’ interests in Bobcat and Beartooth DevCos for $250 million, which resulted in Oasis receiving approximately $170 million in cash and $3.95 million in OMP common units. The cash portion of the sale covered Oasis Midstream spending in 2018. As we turn to 2019, the current plan calls for Oasis to generate approximately $150 million of free cash flow at $50 WTI oil price, which increases to approximately $230 million at $60 per barrel. Slide 9 of our investor presentation highlights our free cash flow position and bridges the components of our free cash flow. We define free cash flow as standalone E&P EBITDA, plus Oasis ownership of Midstream and distributions from OMP, minus cash interest, minus total CapEx attributable to Oasis including Midstream. The Midstream portion of Oasis CapEx is minimized due to a recently approved arrangement between Oasis and OMP, where OMP will fund Oasis portion of growth capital in our Bobcat DevCo. We believe this arrangement is mutually beneficial for both Oasis and OMP as OMP can increase its ownership position at a fair value and Oasis is able to focus its spending on its E&P business. As a result of this strategy, Oasis ownership in Bobcat is expected to decline from 75% to approximately 65% by year-end. In 2019, Oasis continues to expect to fund some Midstream capital at the Oasis level, primarily consisting of select Delaware Midstream projects. As Tommy and Taylor mentioned, OMP is performing well and was able to sign additional third-party contracts in the fourth quarter of 2018. These incremental deals help protect and diversify OMP’s revenue stream, and OMP was able to increase its 2019 EBITDA projections, despite a reduction in Oasis completion activity. With our second Wild Basin gas plant ramping up over the past several months, we’ve met our expectation for 60% utilization in early 2019. With additional third-party deals signed, we now expect utilization to ramp up to north of 90% by year-end versus 80% at the last update. Going forward, Oasis stands to benefit from operational efficiency and flexibility provided by OMP’s total processing capacity of 320 million cubic feet a day. We’ll talk in more detail on the OMP call shortly. And I would also direct you to our OMP press release for more color on our continued success on the Midstream front. On the operational cost front, LOE per Boe ended up averaging $6.44 in 2018. And our exceptional performance allowed us to lower guidance through the year. We’re expecting LOE to be in the $7 per Boe to $8 per Boe range in 2019 and the increase reflects increased use of ESPs in the Williston and a relatively low production base in the Delaware over which fixed-cost can be spread. Williston crude differentials widened somewhat in the fourth quarter, particularly in November and December. But our marketing team did a fantastic job delivering pure leading differentials against the backdrop of historically high refinery maintenance that occurred in Pad 2. As we head into 2019, Williston oil differentials have returned to levels seen throughout the first year of last – first half of last year. In the Delaware crude differentials have been volatile, but several new haul – long-haul pipelines coming online over the course of 2019, should debottleneck the area for years to come. We currently expect differentials to be in the $1.50 to $3.50 range over the course of the year. Additionally, marketing and transportation and gathering expenses per Boe should be in the $2.50 per Boe to $3 per Boe range. I want to briefly address the revisions to our financials that you will see in our press release and detailed in our 10-K. As I mentioned, our marketing team does an outstanding work optimizing our price realizations, benefiting our shareholders, working interest partners and royalty owners. For example, given our size and scale in the Williston, our team engages in low-risk paired buy-sell transactions within the basin to reduce gathering and transportation expenses. We have historically shown all of these transactions on a net basis. We will now be showing certain transactions on a gross basis given their characteristics. Most importantly, no restatement of our prior period financial results is required in the revisions we are making to our financial statements, although they do increase both revenues and expenses, result in no change to our prior period financial results, such as EBITDA, net income and earnings per share. Liquidity remains strong. Our total borrowing base is $1.6 billion with $1.35 billion committed with only $468 million drawn as of December 31. Oasis had a net debt attributable to Oasis to full year 2018 EBITDA multiple of under 2.7 times with adjusted EBITDA attributable to Oasis of $936 million for the year. Fourth quarter EBITDA was adversely impacted by lower oil prices, wider differentials and the carryover of approximately $24 million of realized hedge losses from September. Just to update you on our hedging program, we’re fairly well hedged for 2019 at around 55% to 60% of our forecasted oil volumes with one-third of those volumes swaps and two-thirds in collars. Our 2019 WTI collars have an average ceiling of about $72 and floor of approximately $54. This strategy protects our capital program in lower price environments, while also allowing us to capture more upside should prices continue to recover. We have already begun our 2020 program. To sum things up, 2018 was a great year for Oasis as our team executed incredibly well across multiple fronts. Each of these steps, continue to improve our size and scale, diversify our asset base, increase our top-tier inventory while building upon our financial strength. As we look to 2019, the solid foundation our team has built, through focus on returns and capital efficiency, allows us to generate significant free cash flow, while maintaining our strong asset base. With that, I’ll hand the call back over to Drew for questions.