Kevin McNamara
Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open
Thank you, Sherri, and thank you, Sherri, for your services over the years. Sherri's retiring at the end of the year, and this is her last introduction to our quarterly conference call, but we do want to thank her for all her efforts. Good morning. Welcome to Chemed Corporation's third quarter 2021 conference call. I will begin with highlights for the quarter and Dave and Nick will follow up with additional operating detail. I will then open the call up for questions. Our third quarter 2021 operating results released last night reflect very solid performance for both VITAS and well Roto-Rooter. On a go-forward basis, I would like to share with you some of the macro issues we are dealing with as we approach the end of the second year of the pandemic. For VITAS, the most important issue we are managing is labor. Staffing of licensed professionals has been exceptionally challenging to ensure an adequate mix of licensed healthcare workers on a market-by-market basis. This is particularly challenging during the pandemic as we deal with dynamic fluctuations in patient census in every market. Turnover within our licensed staff remains above our pre-pandemic rates, but we are seeing indications of normalization, as we continue to expand our hiring and retention initiatives in many markets. Beyond managing our staffing levels, we are observing increasing pressure on salaries and wages. To date we've managed these pressures with increased paid time off, or PTO. We view it as inevitable that healthcare wages will increase if we continue to have a nationwide and systemic imbalance in supply and demand for licensed healthcare professionals. Fortunately, for VITAS, and the hospice industry, there is a natural hedge against the inflationary pressures on costs, specifically labor. The annual increase in the Medicare and Medicaid hospice reimbursement rates is based primarily on inflation in the hospital wage index basket as measured by the Federal Government's Bureau of Labor Statistics. Typically, the annual inflation measured as of March 31, is used to determine the following October 1 reimbursement increase. This should give the hospice industry a reasonable stability in operating margins in an inflationary environment, albeit with a six-month lag from the inflation measurement to the actual reimbursement increase. The second critical challenge for VITAS is the continued disruption to senior housing occupancy and the latent hospice referrals. Our recent admission data suggests senior housing is in the process of recovery. Pre-pandemic, nursing home-based patients represented 18% of our total average daily census, or ADC. The nursing home ADC ratio hit a low of 14.3% in the first quarter of 2021. In the second quarter of 2021, nursing home-based patients increased 16 basis points to 14.9%, and in the third quarter of 2021, our nursing home patients represented 15.6% of our total ASC. Our updated 2021 guidance anticipates sequential improvement in senior housing-based patients in the fourth quarter of 2021, with acceleration in senior housing admissions anticipated in 2022. For Roto-Rooter, our most significant challenge has been to increase manpower. We've expanded technician manpower by 8% in 2021. However, based on our current demand levels, we continue to remain understaffed in many of our markets. Technician compensation plays a role in recruiting new employees, as well as retention of our existing employee base. Our average 2021 technician and field sales force compensation is over $81,000 per year. Most of our technicians are paid on a commission basis on revenue generated, as a result pricing for our services is a critical component in increasing technician wages. We are anticipating passing to inflationary price increases in all our markets in the fourth quarter of this year. Demand for plumbing, drain cleaning, excavation, and water restoration services remain at record levels. I want to give additional color on the depth and breadth of this increase in demand. Let's compare Q3 2021 revenue to Q3 2019, excluding the HSW acquisition, which was completed in September 2019. Under this unit-for-unit comparison, residential services have experienced incredible growth. In aggregate residential branch revenue increased 46.2% over this two-year period. On a service segment basis, residential plumbing revenue increased 37.1%, drain cleaning expanded 36%, excavation increased 65.6%, and water restoration increased 48.1%. Commercial demand has been more challenging, however. Commercial revenue has experienced a significant recovery since the 40% decline in commercial demand noted in April 2020. Overall commercial revenue declined 3.1% over this two-year period. On an individual service segment basis, commercial plumbing service declined 4.9%, drain cleaning expanded 1.8%, excavation declined 10.2%, and water restoration increased 7%. We anticipate continued strengthening in commercial demand in the fourth quarter of 2021 as well as throughout 2022. Over the past 20 years, the country has faced 9/11, the Great Recession, and now a global pandemic. In each of these crises, Roto-Rooter remained operating and materially increased market share, revenue, and operating margin. Just as important, post-crisis Roto-Rooter held on to these increases in revenue, market share, and margins. Roto-Rooter is well-positioned post-pandemic and we anticipate continued expansion of market share by pressing our core competitive advantages in terms of brand awareness, customer response time, 24/7 call centers, and Internet presence. With that, I would like to turn the teleconference over to David.