Niko Lahanas
Analyst · KeyBanc. Please with your question
Thank you, Tim, and good afternoon, everyone. Our press release for our fourth quarter fiscal year financial results was issued earlier today. For fiscal year 2019, sales increased 7.6% due in large part to acquisitions.Bell Nursery and general pet were part of our first and second quarter results, and while their inclusion added sales, they did reduce margins and overall profitability. In fiscal 2019, we purchased Arden in our second fiscal quarter and it aided both sales and profits. Finally, we close on C&S in our third fiscal quarter and that was a small sales and profit contributor for the year.Our overall organic growth of 1.5% was attributable to our Garden segment which grew 4% organically, despite unfavorable weather for the controlled category.Organic growth for the Pet segment was relatively flat, held back meaningfully by our animal health businesses, which were impacted by very unfavorable weather for our fly control, canopy additive and grain protection products. In addition, continuing weakness in our consumer behavior management products due to performance issues and increased competition was also a drag on Pet’s results.Our total company growth margin, 29.5% for the year declined 100 basis points. Half of that decline was attributable to acquisitions that were in this year’s results but not last year’s results. The largest impact was from the inclusion of two quarters of Bell Nursery this year that were not in last year’s results. Those quarters for Bell had sizable losses as the business earns all of its profit in one quarter, our third fiscal quarter.The lower results in our Animal Health businesses in an unfavorable mix of products sales also contributed to the gross margin decline. Our Animal Health businesses tend to have higher margins and so when they underperform, they have a disproportionately large impact on the bottom line.Operating income for the year declined 9.1% or $15.2 million and our operating margin declined 120 basis points, meaningfully impacted by the lower gross margin and higher logistics costs. Lower marketing expenses as a percent of sales offset some of the decline as we chose to scale back spending in unfavorable weather environment.EBITDA for the year excluding the two lost quarters for Bell in fiscal 2019 results that were not in the prior year’s results declined 2% to $210.2 million. This year also contains certain non-operating factors that weighed on EPS, which came in at $1.61 for the year.A higher number of shares outstanding negatively impacted EPS by $0.13 and a higher tax rate reduced EPS by an additional $0.06 compared to last year. If we combine these factors, with the dilutive effect of Bell in the first two quarters, the three factors together eroded EPS by the entire $0.30 shortfall compared to last year.In summary, while certainly not the type of year we were hoping for, when we began 2019, I continue to feel confident about the fundamentals of the underlying business. Our tax rate for the year of 22.3% was higher than the 19.5% rate a year ago, even adjust -- even after adjusting out the benefit received last year due to reevaluation of our net deferred tax liabilities.Changes in the accounting standards for our non-cash equity compensation, which benefited last year’s tax rate had less of a positive effect on this year’s tax rate. I’d also want to point out that our operating cash flow for the year of $205 million was an increase of $91 million from $114 million in the prior year.Turning now to the quarter. Fourth quarter consolidated sales increased 8% to $541 million, with organic sales rising 5%, both Garden and Pet contributed to the organic increase.Consolidated gross profit for the quarter rose 1% and our gross margin decreased 180 basis points to 27.5%. Higher expenses relating to off -- to writing off inventory in our Pet segment and a makeshift in Garden were the primary drivers of the decline.SG&A expense for the quarter increased 7% or $9 million versus a year ago and as a percent of sales decreased by 10 basis points to 25.5%.Operating income for the quarter declined to $11 million, compared to $18 million a year ago. Our operating margin decreased 160 basis points to 2% due to the receivables and inventory write-offs, as well as the CEO transition costs. Absent those expenses, operating income and margin were up versus the year ago.Net interest expense decreased to $8.1 million from $8.9 million in the fourth quarter of last year. Other expense for the fourth quarter decreased $4.2 million compared to the prior year due to our purchase of the remaining part of Arden, which is now reflected in the Garden operating results.Our tax rate for the quarter of 22.8% was up over the prior year quarter, which benefited from a gain from the revaluation of our deferred tax accounts and changes in the accounting standards around non-cash equity compensation expense. The latter had a smaller positive effect on this year’s tax rate.Our net income for the quarter was $2.4 million and our diluted earnings per share was $0.04 compared to $0.10 in the fourth quarter of 2018 after adjusting for the benefit of the revaluation of the deferred tax accounts. Shares outstanding increased to $56.6 million from $55.4 million in last year’s fourth quarter.Now, I will give some insights in these segments starting with Pet. Pet sales for the fourth quarter increased 5% or $17 million to $356 million, aided by our C&S acquisition. On an organic basis, sales increased 2% on strength in the Dog and Cat, and Wild Bird businesses. Our Live Fish business was down due to a large customer exiting the category and our Aquatics business also declined due to temporary supply constraints, which had been largely resolved.The Pet segment operating income decreased $1 million or 4% compared to the prior year quarter, with results in the Animal Health and Pet Bedding business, with lower, excuse me, lower results in the Animal Health and Pet Bedding businesses, in large part due to receivables and inventory write-offs.Pet operating margin declined 80 basis points to 8.7% due primarily to that lower profitability in our Animal Health and Pet Bedding businesses.I do want to point out that while we are projecting improvement in our Animal Health businesses in 2020, we are taking a more pragmatic approach to the rated improvement that we expect due to the normal weather. Also, this is one area where we will be likely to increase demand creation spend as we seek to reignite growth after a disappointing year.Moving on to Garden, for the quarter, Garden segment sales increased 13% or $22 million to $185 million, partly due to the inclusion of our Arden acquisition, but more so due to organic growth.Organic Garden sales increased 10% on higher sales of other manufacturer’s products, as well as strengthen our Wild Bird, Live Plant and Grass Seed businesses. Unfavorable weather held back sales of control products offsetting a portion of the game.Garden’s operating income for the quarter decreased $1.2 million to $300,000 and operating margin decreased 80 basis points to 0.2%. Our Arden acquisition had a negative impact on operating income and margins as the fourth quarter is its least profitable quarter of the year and an unfavorable mix of sales in our organic businesses also was responsible for the margin decline.Now to the balance sheet and cash flows. For the quarter, cash flow provided by operations was approximately $112 million, compared to $96 million in the fourth quarter a year ago. The difference was primarily due to improvements in working capital accounts.CapEx for the quarter of $11 million was approximately flat versus the prior year. For the year, CapEx totaled $32 million, compared to $38 million in fiscal 2018. We anticipate higher CapEx spend in fiscal 2020.Depreciation and amortization for the quarter increased to $14 million, up from $12 million in last year’s fourth quarter due to the acquisitions in the past year.Cash and equivalents including short-term investments increased to $498 million from $482 million a year ago. We ended the quarter with a leverage ratio of 3.1 times up from 3 times a year ago. We are comfortable with our current gross leverage level, which is right around our target level of 3 times to 3.5 times.During the fourth quarter, we repurchased 1.8 million shares. As of the end of the fiscal year, we still have $100 million remaining on our 2019 $100 million repurchase authorization, as well as an additional 1.2 million shares remaining under the Board’s equity dilution authorization.In terms of EPS guidance for next year, we currently expect diluted EPS to be at or modestly above the $1.61 of diluted EPS we earned in fiscal 2019. This excludes any impact from potential M&A activity undertaken during the year. The reason for the lack of significant growth expected in fiscal 2020, EPS rests primarily with the sizable additional demand creation investment we expect to spend in fiscal 2020.We also are being pragmatic about our expectations for the recovery in our Animal Health businesses and on the uncertainties regarding the impact of tariffs. As Tim mentioned earlier, he is still assessing the organization and he will share his thoughts on the strategic direction of the company in more detail in the spring.I will also mention that we currently expect our first quarter results to be lower than the prior year. With us currently projecting a loss of $0.10 or higher due to several factors, the timing of customer orders in the Garden segment, continuing challenges in our Animal Health businesses and higher corporate expenses.Our EPS estimates for the quarter and the year excluded the impact of a recent fire in a Pet Bedding facility. We believe our insurance coverage is sufficient to cover asset losses, as well as the business interruption associated with this event.So, while we believe the fire will not have a materially impact on the fiscal year results, the timing aspect of when we recognize the losses versus when we receive insurance proceeds may impact our quarterly results, especially our first quarter.In conclusion, despite fiscal year ‘19 being a difficult year for Animal Health and Pet Bedding businesses and with next year’s expected to have its earnings impacted by investments and future growth our company remained strong, well-capitalized and well-positioned to grow in the years ahead. We look forward to giving you an update on our first quarter call in early February.Now, let’s open it for questions.