David Evans
Analyst · SunTrust. Your line is open
Thanks, Lynne. First, I want to say congratulations to Lynne Scott, Andy on their new roles. I've worked directly with Andy for a number of years. He's the right CFO for this next phase of growth for Cardlytics. Personally I'm excited to begin my new role and I look forward to helping Cardlytics realize its growth potential in this new capacity alongside our other leaders. Now on to the results. As Scott mentioned, we delivered excellent fourth quarter and annual results that exceeded our prior guidance. I want to highlight that in the fourth quarter, we saw true incremental budget increase, outpacing the pull forward of budget we saw in Q3. This acceleration in the back half of the year aligns with our comments on guidance at the beginning of 2019. In addition to our results, we are confident that we will reach our long-term operational and financial goals. I'll begin by commenting on our fourth quarter and annual results and then discuss Q1, 2020 guidance and our approach to the full year 2020 financial outlook. Total billings, which is the gross amount billed to marketers inclusive of the consumer incentives for the fourth quarter increased 44% year-over-year to $100.9 million. Total billings for the year were $316.1 million, up 44% year-over-year. Total revenue for the fourth quarter was $69.3 million, representing 45% year-over-year growth over the fourth quarter of 2018. Our U.S. revenue was up 50% year-over-year in Q4 and our U.K. revenue grew 15%. For the full year, total revenue was $210.4 million, an increase of 40% over 2018. Our fourth quarter 2019 ARPU was $0.52, down 9% from $0.57 in the fourth quarter of 2018 primarily reflecting the impact of the Chase and Wells Fargo launches. We'd like to note that ARPU has increased sequentially for three straight quarters post the Chase launch, but we'll likely experience some pressure in 2020 due to the Wells Fargo launch and resulting MAU growth, which proceeds associated top line growth. Full year 2019 ARPU was $1.72 compared to $2.30 in 2018. Total adjusted contribution was $31 million in the fourth quarter of 2019, up from $22.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2018. For the full year 2019, adjusted contribution was $95.2 million up from $69.5 million in 2018. Adjusted EBITDA was a positive $6.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2019 compared to a positive $308,000 in the fourth quarter of 2018. Full year 2019 our positive adjusted EBITDA was $6.1 million, an improvement from a negative $6.6 million adjusted EBITDA in 2018. Our strong adjusted EBITDA improvement in the second half of 2019 is reflective of the operating leverage in our business model. As noted in prior quarters, we expect to see the benefits of operating leverage on our profitability moving forward. But we will also continue to make strategic investments in the business to take advantage of future growth opportunities that present themselves. As a result, there may be fluctuations in our results from quarter to quarter in 2020. Average FI MAUs were 60% from $83.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2018 to $133.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2019, primarily reflecting the launch of Chase and phased launch of Wells Fargo. Consistent with our recent commentary, we expect FI MAUs to grow 150 million in the first half of 2020 once we have fully launched Wells Fargo. We expect additional FI MAU growth through 2020 from the phased Wells launch the natural maturation on our platform our ongoing efforts with FI partners in digital adoption. We ended the quarter with $104.5 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents on the balance sheet compared to $95.2 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q3, 2019. Our total cash and cash equivalents plus available dollars in our facility as of December 31, 2019 is approximately $144.5 million. We ended the quarter with 26.5 million shares outstanding and quarter-to-date weighted shares outstanding of 26.1 million compared to weighted shares outstanding of 23.6 million in the third quarter. The change in weighted shares outstanding relative to the third quarter reflects exercised options vesting and delivery of restricted stock and ESPP purchases. Before we turn to Q1 2020 guidance, I want to provide an update on full year 2020 guidance. Much like the first quarter of 2019 with Chase, we are still in the early stages of measuring our performance and analyzing what steady state looks like with Wells Fargo. The Wells launch as well as new sales talent continued acceleration of platform investments creates a range of possible scenarios for our 2020 results. Like many companies we are also trying to understand the current and future impact of the coronavirus. We have studied our consumer purchase history closely and can see clear indicators of changes in behavior. We think it's possible that the virus has impacted first quarter results and it's likely that the virus will continue to impact the overall economy into the first half of 2020. As a result of where we are on the Wells Fargo launch and economic uncertainty related to the coronavirus, we are deferring our full year 2020 guidance until we can better gauge impact on our business. We will continue to provide quarterly guidance throughout 2020. Now Q1, 2020 guidance. I want to remind everyone that Q1 is always our seasonal low point, but we have high expectations for this year and are focused on continuing our growth. For the first quarter, we expect billings to grow 9% to 18% year-over-year to between $64 million and $69 million. We expect GAAP revenue to be between $43.5 million and $46.5 million, and we expect adjusted contribution for the first quarter to be between $19 million and $20.5 million, representing 21% to 29% revenue growth and 8% to 16% adjusted contribution growth year-over-year. Finally, we expect adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter to be between negative $4.5 million and negative $3 million. Echoing Scott and Lynne, we are very pleased with our strong fourth quarter and full year 2019 results. We are encouraged by the progress in our business, driven by expansion in the budget with existing advertisers and the growth of new advertisers in our new verticals and continue to expect strong execution against our key growth strategies. While our expectations for Q1 may seem moderated, I feel confident the work that has taken place positions us well to execute against our long-term strategy plans. We are all looking forward to a solid 2020 and beyond. With that I'll hand it back to Scott for his closing remarks, before we open the call to your questions. Scott?