Sean Keohane
Analyst · Luke Capital Markets. Your line is open.
Yes. So in terms of the restocking question, Chris, I think there was likely some level of inventory replenishment in Q1, although I think visibility here is challenging, as there is very little published data. And we have very good visibility, of course, into the point you just raised, which is when we are selling to our customers and filling up silos, we have got good visibility there. Often in restocking, the question is more of what happens downstream of our customers and that is where, unfortunately, very little sort of consistent published data. But what I can say is that customers really pulled down their inventories in 2020 to manage the pandemic, and they seem to be working hard to catch up on orders, which tells me that they are chasing real demand signals here. I think companies are still pretty cautious about rebuilding stocks until trends in the pandemic improve and the economic recovery stabilizes here. If I look at this question across our segments, I would say there was likely only a modest amount in Reinforcement Materials, given that the value chain here is a bit shallower. I mean, us to the tire maker and then the tire maker, either to the auto OE or into their retail channel. So it is a little bit easier to see through, and we don’t see - but a modest amount likely in reinforcement. In Performance Chemicals, we likely saw a bit more in the quarter as the value chains are deeper here. And visibility gets tougher given the layers in the value chain. So probably a little more in the Performance Chemicals applications because of that. All that being said, if we just sort of piece together, what we see, as we talk to customers, what data we can gather all of the different inputs here, I don’t believe restocking was a material part of the story in Q1. It was definitely some, but I don’t think it was a material part of the story.