Craig Pommells
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Thank you, Dave, and good morning, everyone. Before reviewing our results, I want to build on Dave's remarks and thank our teams. The business continues to gain traction as reflected in the improvement in our underlying traffic trend, key guest metrics and overall financial results. I'm proud of our team's work and excited about the opportunity ahead. Now, turning to the fourth quarter results. Total revenue was $849.3 million. Restaurant revenue was $698.5 million. Comparable store restaurant sales decreased 2.1%, which included a traffic decline of 6.1%. As a reminder, in Q4, we were lapping a stronger quarter in the prior year, and there was significant variability in the prior year comparisons for Q3 and Q4. Controlling for this variability, we were pleased with the continued gradual improvement in the traffic trend and these top line results exceeded our expectations. The restaurant average check increased 4.2%, including pricing of 4.4%. Menu mix was slightly negative, but we continue to benefit from menu initiatives, such as the option to upgrade to 3 sides. Off-premise sales were 19% of restaurant sales, an increase of approximately 100 basis points compared to the prior year, driven by growth in third-party delivery. Retail revenue was $150.8 million. Comparable store retail sales increased 0.7%, driven by increases in the average unit selling price and units per transaction. This was partially offset by lower traffic. We were pleased with the performance of our retail business with this quarter representing the strongest retail comp sales growth since the second quarter of fiscal '23. We saw strength in the toys and housewares categories, and we also benefited from pulling forward our Halloween assortment. Moving to profitability. We reported adjusted EBITDA of $62.1 million, which was up 11.4% versus the prior year. The current year adjusted EBITDA results include a $15 million tariff refund benefit, $5.9 million of which was reinvested in the business for a net tariff refund benefit of $9.1 million. Additionally, the adjusted EBITDA results include 2 offsetting $10 million legal settlements, one of which favorably impacts other operating expenses and another that unfavorably impacts G&A. As noted in the press release, our adjusted EBITDA results exclude CEO transition costs, expenses related to the Maple Street divestiture and a gain from the sale-leaseback transaction. Please review the non-GAAP reconciliation tables in the press release for additional details. Now, moving on to our fourth quarter expenses. Total cost of goods sold was 28.8% of total revenue versus 30.5% in the prior year. Restaurant cost of goods sold was 26% of restaurant sales versus 26.3% in the prior year. This 30 basis point decrease was primarily driven by menu pricing, partially offset by commodity inflation. Commodity inflation was 3.1%, driven principally by higher beef, produce and seafood prices, partially offset by lower egg and poultry prices. Retail cost of goods sold was 41.6% of retail sales and includes a benefit of approximately $15 million from tariff refunds. Excluding the tariff refund impact, retail COGS were 51.6% of retail sales and increased 60 basis points compared to the prior year, primarily due to higher markdowns. Quarter-end inventories were $163.9 million compared to $180.6 million in the prior year. This decrease was primarily driven by timing and retail clearance events to reduce aged inventory. Labor and related expenses were 37.5% of revenue compared to 36.5% in the prior year. This 100 basis point increase was primarily driven by the following: first, sales deleverage; second, the reversal of the prior year's kitchen labor initiative; and third, higher store bonuses. Wage inflation was approximately 2%. Other operating expenses were 23.7% of revenue and include a $10 million benefit from a legal settlement related to antitrust litigation. Excluding this benefit, other operating expenses were 24.9% of revenue and approximately flat to the prior year as lower advertising expenses offset higher maintenance expenses. Adjusted general and administrative expenses were 6.9% of revenue. This excludes approximately $6.7 million in CEO transition expenses, but includes an unfavorable $10 million legal expense. Backing out the legal expense, G&A was 5.7% of revenue and approximately flat to the prior year. Additionally, our GAAP financial results include the following items, which are excluded from adjusted EBITDA. First, a $47.4 million net gain on sale of assets related to the sale-leaseback transaction; second, a $27 million noncash loss on sale related to the Maple Street divestiture; and third, a noncash impairment charge of $8.5 million related to the Maple Street divestiture and a noncash impairment charge of $13 million related to low-performing Cracker Barrel stores, three of which closed during the quarter. Taking all of the above into account, adjusted EBITDA was $62.1 million or 7.3% of total revenue and increased 11.4% compared to the prior year's $55.7 million. These results exceeded our expectations and demonstrate our continued momentum. Net interest expense was $3 million compared to $4.7 million in the prior year. This decrease was primarily the result of a lower debt balance. GAAP income taxes were a $2 million credit and adjusted income taxes were $1.1 million. GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.54 and adjusted earnings per diluted share were $0.99. Now, turning to capital allocation and the balance sheet. We continue to diligently manage the company's capital resources and are pleased with the progress we have made to further strengthen the balance sheet. The sale-leaseback transaction generated $77 million in net proceeds, which were used to pay down debt and partially offset the $150 million debt related to the 0.625% convertible senior notes that matured and was repaid in June. The quarter ended with total debt of $337.2 million, which was $147.4 million below the prior year. The current debt is comprised entirely of the 1.75% convertible senior notes due in 2030, with the revolver balance undrawn at quarter end. We continue to have ample access to liquidity, ending the quarter with $541.3 million in available capacity. Capital expenditures in the fourth quarter were $27.4 million. Turning to the outlook. We expect the following for fiscal '27. Total revenue of $3.325 billion to $3.4 billion. This assumes comparable store restaurant sales growth of approximately 3% to 5% with no new stores. Total pricing of approximately 3% with pricing highest in Q1 and dropping sequentially each quarter, commodity inflation of approximately 3% and hourly wage inflation of approximately 2.5% to 3%. Taking all of the above into account, we anticipate full year adjusted EBITDA between $180 million and $200 million. When thinking about the quarterly cadence in fiscal '27, please keep in mind that the quarterly EBITDA distribution for fiscal '26 was unusual. The first half of fiscal '26 was meaningfully below the prior year, while the second half significantly improved and was largely in line with prior year. Regarding taxes, on an adjusted basis, we anticipate a full year tax credit of $4 million to $8 million, which reflects routine employer tax credits such as the FICA tip credit. Finally, we expect capital expenditures to be between $110 million and $125 million, comprised of approximately 65% maintenance and 35% technology and other strategic initiatives. We are not opening any new units this year. With that, I'll now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.