Earnings Labs

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL)

Q4 2015 Earnings Call· Wed, Sep 16, 2015

$30.69

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Cracker Barrel's Fiscal 2015 Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded and will be available for replay today from 2 PM Eastern through September 30 at 2 PM Eastern by dialing 719-457-0820 and entering passcode 7357830. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Jessica Hazel. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Jessica Hazel

Management

Thank you, Lauren. Good morning and welcome to Cracker Barrel's fourth quarter fiscal 2015 conference call and webcast. This morning, we issued a press release announcing our fourth quarter and fiscal year results and our outlook for the 2016 fiscal year. In this press release and on this call, we will refer to non-GAAP measures for the current year and quarter, adjusted to exclude the impact of the retroactive reinstatement of the work opportunity tax credit and the accrued liability and tax effects related to the settlement of the Fair Labor Standards Act Litigation. We will also refer to non-GAAP financial measures for the prior fiscal year adjusted to exclude proxy contest charges and tax effects. The company believes that excluding these from its financial results provides information that may be more indicative of the company's ongoing operating performance, while improving comparability to prior periods. This information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP. The last page of the press release includes a reconciliation from the non-GAAP information to the GAAP financials. The press release can be found in the Investors section of our website, crackerbarrel.com. In that press release and during this call, statements may be made by Management of their beliefs and expectations of the company's future operating results or expected future events. These are what are known as forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties, and in many cases are beyond management's control and may cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. We urge caution to our listeners and readers in considering forward-looking statements and information. Many of the factors that could affect results are summarized in the cautionary description of risks and uncertainties found at the end of this morning's press release and are described in detail in our reports that we file with or furnish to the SEC. We urge you to read this information carefully. We also remind you that we do not comment on earnings estimates made by other parties. In addition, any guidance or outlook we provide or statements we make regarding trends speak only as of the date they are given, and we do not update or express continuing comfort with our guidance, outlook, or trends except in broadly disseminated disclosures, such as this morning's press release, filings with SEC or as otherwise required by law. On the call with me this morning are Cracker Barrel's President and CEO, Sandy Cochran; Senior Vice President and CFO, Larry Hyatt; and Senior Vice President of Marketing, Chris Ciavarra. Sandy will begin with a review of the business, and Larry will review the financials and outlook. We will then open up the call for questions for Sandy, Larry, and Chris. We ask that you please limit your questions to matters relating to the company's performance, outlook and plans. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Cracker Barrel's President and CEO, Sandy Cochran. Sandy?

Sandra Cochran

Management

Thanks, Jessica. Good morning, everyone. As you can see from today's press release our fourth quarter and fiscal year was successful on many fronts. We exceeded our previously stated earnings expectations for the fourth quarter, which concluded a strong year for Cracker Barrel and our shareholders. I'm very pleased with our strong fiscal 2015 performance, which reflects the strength of the differentiated Cracker Barrel brand and our ability to execute against our strategic initiatives to drive a 4.8% increase in comparable store sales and a 120 basis point improvement in operating income. There are many accomplishments during the fourth quarter and fiscal 2015, I'd like to share few highlights. We grew our fiscal 2015 adjusted operating income to 9.1%, compared with 7.9% in the prior year. Adjusted earnings per share increased 21% over the prior fiscal year. We generated $334 million in cash from operations, which allowed us to increase our quarterly dividend and declare a special dividend. And finally our total shareholder return is measured by the increase in our stock price and dividends paid in fiscal 2015 was 56%. Over the course of the last year, we remained focused and executed remarkably well in the four business priorities laid out at this time last year. On this call I'll define our fiscal 2016 priorities, but first I’d like to briefly review the continued progress on our 2015 priorities during the fourth quarter. Our first 2015 priority was centered on driving traffic and sales in our restaurant and retail business. We ended the year with a 4.8% comparable store total sales growth and during the fourth quarter we increased our comparable store restaurant sales at 3.8% and our comparable store retail sales by 0.6%. Our summer menu promotion exceeded our expectation supporting our fourth quarter restaurant sales growth. This…

Lawrence Hyatt

Management

Good morning everyone, and thank you Sandy. I would like to begin by discussing our financial performance for the fourth quarter and fiscal 2015 and the full fiscal year and then our outlook for the 2016 fiscal year. As I discuss our full year financial results, I will refer to adjusted financial information for both the 2015 and 2014 fiscal years. For the 2014 fiscal year, we made adjustments to GAAP operating and net income to exclude the impact of proxy contest expenses and their related tax effects. For the 2015 fiscal year, we made two adjustments to GAAP net income. First the accrued liability and tax effects associated with the settlement of the previously disclosed Fair Labor Standards Act Litigation. Second, in December the Federal Government retroactively reinstated the Work Opportunity Tax Credit or WOTC for the period of January 1 to December 31 of 2014. It expired again at the end of 2014 calendar year. While the full benefit of the WOTC reinstatement on our second quarter GAAP earnings was $0.13 per diluted share, the $0.10 per diluted share relating to the prior fiscal year is excluded from our adjusted EPS for fiscal 2015. The last page of this morning's press release contains a reconciliation from our GAAP financial results to the non-GAAP adjusted information. In this morning's release we reported fourth quarter net income of $47.4 million or $1.98 per diluted share representing a 20.9% increase over prior year earnings per diluted share of $1.63. For the full fiscal year, we reported adjusted net income of $164 million or $6.82 per diluted share representing a 21.1% increase over the prior year's adjusted EPS of $5.63. Our revenue in the quarter was $719.2 million, an increase of 3.8% compared to revenue of $692.7 million in the prior year…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Joseph Buckley with Bank of America.

Gregory Francfort

Analyst

This is Greg Francfort on for Joe. One Larry, we're excited for you after retirement, but we're definitely going to miss you and happy we're going to have you for the next couple of calls, so - but thank you. And also just on the questions, I think one thing people are focused on is the cadence of the comps through the quarter. Can you guys talk about was there any promotions or any reason to maybe the check fell off against lapse or something that would cause July to have been a little bit light?

Sandra Cochran

Management

Well, Greg, this is Sandy. I'll kick that off. So let me start by commenting that we outperformed the Knapp-Track traffic in sales numbers in July as we did in May and June. But based on the Knapp-Track numbers, it would suggest that July was tougher for the industry in total for those – for that month. The Knapp-Track numbers do suggest though that we had some modest deceleration in our out-performance in July versus May and June and we think there could be a couple of factors that contributed to it. One as I noted in my remarks, our advertising this summer focused on breakfast and our breakfast all day offer and that did - although it drove breakfast it did not drive lunch and dinner. And secondly, our rib offering which was very popular with our guests and performed as expected, but it was not quite as compelling as last year's campfire offering.

Gregory Francfort

Analyst

Okay. That’s helpful. And then just another question on, as you guys think about eggs, are you guys locking in egg costs, I knew you've been contracted for the back part of fiscal 2015. And I’m just wondering how you’re approaching it going forward. And then also given the commodity environment, how you think about pricing for next year in any of the regional pricing rolling out but should we expect maybe a little bit of - you have taken that 2.5% check historically commodity and inflation are coming a little bit higher than that, but how are you thinking about the pricing line?

Christopher Ciavarra

Analyst

Yes, first as far as the question about commodity cost and about eggs in particular, we have long-term contracts both for liquid, eggs, and for shell or eggs and the way that prices on those contracts are set is based upon the reference pricing for liquid and shell eggs for the prior three months meaning that basically in the fourth quarter of the 2015 fiscal year, which was the May, June, and the July quarter. We were paying what was the market price for the February, March, April quarters. So there’s a three months lag. So what basically is going to happen to us in the first quarter of the 2016 fiscal year is that we are going to experience what was last quarter's pricing spike.

Gregory Francfort

Analyst

Okay, that's really helpful. And just my last question, can you give a little color on what you guys have may be seen with the rollout of the geographic pricing tiers, I guess how customers have responded if they shifted their patterns on what they might be purchasing on the menu or any takeaways would be helpful?

Christopher Ciavarra

Analyst

Yes, we have tested this and have measured those tests extensively and exhaustively and while we've seen some very minor shifting, our conclusion is that by and large our customers have allowed us to shift. And it’s important to point out here to shift in a gradual way to a geographically based tier pricing structure. At the Analyst and Investor Day their meeting back in April of 2004, I guess May 1 of 2014, we said that we anticipated that the combination of our normal price increases and the additional price increases that we anticipated from our new tier pricing structure would allows us to increase pricing on a compound annual basis over three years in a 2 to 3 percentage point range. Our guidance for the 2016 fiscal year anticipates our pricing will remain in that range.

Gregory Francfort

Analyst

Okay. Very helpful. Thank you, guys.

Sandra Cochran

Management

Thanks Greg.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Gallow with CL King. Your line is open Mr. Gallow. We'll go next to Matthew DiFrisco with Guggenheim Securities.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hello this is [Matt Kushner] [ph] on for Matt DiFrisco. I just had a question around the new fusion prototype if you could just talk about that little more?

Sandra Cochran

Management

Sure. So the fusion kitchen or the fusion prototype is a new store. It's a kitchen of the future. We rolled out the concept with a video at our Analyst Day in '14, which may still be available online and we opened our first and only store with that in North Carolina about two months ago. The objective of the concept was to reduce our operating expenses required to deliver the current menu and it was - we were achieving that through labor savings through different cooking platforms, as well as energy savings and so there were variety of other initiatives largely in the back of the house. We also made some changes to the front of the house, modest changes just to see if we - what kind of reaction we got to some changes to our design. So we are - I am pleased with the way it came out of the ground. We're working through the issues. We're aggressively tweaking what we're learning there and are looking forward to taking the learnings that we find out at that store and applying them both to our new store prototypes and to retrofit opportunities in the current store base.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Great. That's very insightful. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

We'll go next to Michael Gallow with CL King.

Michael Gallow

Analyst

Two questions, just to follow-up on the retrofit question, the fusion prototype, have you started to test the fusion prototype yet on a limited number of stores yet or is that still later to come in fiscal '16 as a retrofit?

Sandra Cochran

Management

Well there is - so the fusion kitchen is - will be - the elements of it will be in the new stores going forward. So there will be new stores in fiscal 2016 that also have the fusion kitchen. Separately, we've identified a number of projects that we're currently working on that involve retrofitting elements of the kitchen into our existing store base and yes, those are currently in test. We will be presenting several of them at our Manager Conference next week and we'll look forward to telling you about them as we go through the year. Those that we have confidence in, we have factored into the guidance for our year.

Michael Gallow

Analyst

Okay, great. Question on the market, I think you know the advertising expense was going to be up in fiscal '16. How many more weeks on air do you expect in '16 versus '15?

Christopher Ciavarra

Analyst

Hey Michael, it's Chris. We do have - for this coming year, we've planned to add more weeks in. This time I don’t think we disclosed out how many weeks we're going to be adding, but we do look for an increase in the coming year. I think you can expect those weeks to that approach to follow what we've been doing to date in terms of the type of buy, the pulsing, all those types of things.

Michael Gallow

Analyst

Okay. Great.

Sandra Cochran

Management

And that will be coming in the second half of the year.

Michael Gallow

Analyst

Okay. And then final question for Larry, how much you expect the impact year-over-year from the Bi-Annual Managers Conference to be in Q1?

Lawrence Hyatt

Management

We expect that to be on an order of magnitude in the $2.5 million to $3 million range Michael.

Michael Gallow

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Sandra Cochran

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

At this time, I would like to turn the conference back to Sandy Cochran for any closing or additional remarks.

Sandra Cochran

Management

Thank you. Well, thank you for joining us today. We're pleased with our fiscal 2015 financial performance and I remain confident that our strategic focus in fiscal 2016 will move the brand forward and drive shareholder value. We appreciate your interest and support.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation.