Dave Howson
Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please go ahead
Thanks, Fred. The third quarter was a strong one for our Derivatives franchise, with Cboe producing a 13% increase in net revenue on a year-over-year basis. The increase was led by strength in our proprietary products, with year-over-year volume growth of 7% in SPX options, 18% in XSP options, 20% in VIX futures, and 33% in VIX options. The Q3 results build on our strong first half trends, translating to an 11% increase in year-to-date Derivatives net revenue as compared to 2023 levels. During the quarter, investors relied on the full range of the Cboe volatility toolkit as they navigated a rising geopolitical uncertainty, varying economic data points, and election uncertainty. Perhaps the most notable event last quarter was the August the 5th yen carry trade unwind that produced one of the largest short-term volatility events since COVID and the global financial crisis. Investors rushed for downside protection in the form of VIX options. VIX options ADV of 1.2 million contracts in August was the second highest on record, trailing only February 2018. The higher volatile regime continued into September, extending demand for VIX options as VIX ADV totaled 945,000 contracts for the month, the second highest level of demand for VIX options in over two years. Similar to past election cycles, the VIX term structure is pricing in increased uncertainty as we move through next week's elections, as evidenced by the term structures backwardation. And while investors have gravitated towards the higher convexity profile that VIX options offered during bouts of volatility, SPX volumes have remained healthy. Interestingly, we have seen a variety of trading styles used based on duration, with a more balanced put to call ratio for short duration trades versus longer duration trades that favor more put protection. Zero DTE volumes registered a six-month high in October, and as the trading environment continues to evolve, we have seen our user base continue to expand, the use cases grow, and our customer base season, all pointing to an increasingly durable use case for the product. Building on our strong index product trends, we were pleased to launch Cboe S&P 500 variance futures in September, the latest tool in the volatility toolkit provides an exchange-listed alternative to over the counter variant swaps, and has an additive impact to activity across the SBX ecosystem. On October the 14th, we launched VIX Options on Futures. These options physically settle into the underlying front month VIX future and provide a few key benefits. First, it allows us to provide access to our VIX Options product for a wider set of market participants in the US and abroad that may not have access to our securities options exchange. Second, it allows us to offer more tenants, in particular those with a shorter duration, to meet customer demand. As we look to avenues of future growth, we are incredibly excited by the opportunity, both in the US and abroad, for our volatility toolkit. Looking at the options asset class more holistically, we believe that potential to bring options to a greater portion of the US customer base remains a meaningful opportunity for Cboe. The use of options in exchange-traded products provides an innovative way for broker-dealer clients to access a variety of options strategies in a traditional ETF wrapper, US listed options-based ETFs have grown to an estimated $120 billion in AUM, with assets increasing over 600% over the past three years. As for more direct access to options trading, we estimate that less than 10% of customers at major retail broker dealers are enabled to trade options today, with some of our largest key customer platforms at a fraction of that amount. The ability to introduce and educate broker dealer customers as to the benefits of this fast-growing asset class is a secular tailwind we believe we can leverage for years to come. Later this quarter, Robinhood will begin providing customers access to index options, enhancing their trading capabilities. Cboe’s proprietary suite of index options provides broad US market exposure, hedging capabilities against US large cap and US small cap equity market volatility, and can allow customers to generate income and capitalize on market movement. We anticipate that the simplicity of cash settlement, the certainty of European style exercise, and the potential 60/40 tax treatment, may resonate with Robinhood’s active trade community. Fred and I had the opportunity to take part in the Hood summit 2024, two weeks ago, and I was inspired by the customer excitement around the new features and capabilities being rolled out, as well as the hunger for greater education around how to most effectively use these tools in their portfolio. Turning to Cash and Spot Markets, third quarter results continued the strong trends we saw in the second quarter, with third quarter net revenues increasing 12% year-over-year, pushing growth in our Cash and Spot Markets and 9% on a year-to-date basis. In the third quarter, we saw year-over-year growth in every region as Cboe continue to leverage its scaled infrastructure to monetize our supportive market backdrop. In North America, US on-exchange net capture trends were again solid, and industry volumes were up 10% year-over-year. Our off-exchange business saw an improvement in volumes and capture on a year-over-year basis in the third quarter. And rounding out our North American equity segment, stronger industry volumes and net capture helped drive another quarter of year-over-year growth for our Canadian equities business. We remain particularly excited about the outlook for our Canadian business, and we remain on track with the migration of our Canadian market to Cboe technology in early 2025, subject to regulatory approval. Our Europe and Asia Pacific segment delivered robust 22% year-over-year growth, led by a 32% increase in net transaction and clearing fees. For Europe specifically, Cboe was the largest European stock exchange throughout the third quarter, with our share of continuous trading volume hitting 32.4%, up more than a four percentage point versus last quarter. Two products in particular speak to the success Cboe has had bringing alternative market mechanisms to investors. Periodic auctions achieved another market share record, accounting for 8.7% of continuous trading during the third quarter. In addition, Cboe BIDS Europe retained its position as the largest large in-scale venue, adding eight new buy-side clients during the quarter. Turning to Asia Pacific, we continued solid contributions from both Australia and Japan. In Australia, Cboe grew market share to 20.8%, up 2.9 percentage points from the third quarter of 2023. In addition, net capture improved and our results benefited from a 28% increase in average daily notional value traded during the quarter. In Japan, market share hit 5.4% in the third quarter, a 2.1 percentage point improvement versus the third quarter of 2023. Volume trends remained robust, with ADNV increasing 117% on a year-over-year basis. The APAC region remains a key focus for Cboe as we move forward, providing a number of opportunities across our ecosystem to fuel growth. The solid cash market trends have helped us better monetize opportunities in our D&A business as evidenced by the 8% year-over-year third quarter growth in the market data and access services in the region. And lastly, we anticipate continued strategic investment in the region to translate into increased brand awareness and improved sales effort for the import of Derivatives activity into the US. Turning to Data and Access Solutions, net revenues grew 6% as compared to the third quarter of 2023. The first two months saw a continuation of the slower trends that hindered the first half growth, but activity changed notably for us in September, as net revenues grew a strong 9.7% as compared to September 2023. We anticipate that these stronger activity levels will carry through the fourth quarter, help us hit the lower end of our 7% to 10% D&A guidance range for 2024. The September strength on a year-over-year basis has been broad-based, with the index analytics and international businesses all producing solid year-over-year increases. As we look forward, we expect growth will be driven by a continuation of the solid international trends, with over 40% of new sales coming from outside of the US in the third quarter. In addition, the uptake from dedicated cores continues to exceed our expectations as we roll the functionality out across additional markets. And finally, the redeployment of technology resources to revenue-generating activities is already translating to new data sets and sales in our D&A business. Cboe’s third quarter results highlight the power of the entire ecosystem, with Derivatives, Cash and Spot Markets, and Data and Access Solutions, all delivering durable results. The fourth quarter is off to a solid start as we look to cap a robust year at Cboe. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jill.