Bill Walljasper
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is open. Your question please
Good morning and thank you for joining us to discuss Casey's results for the quarter ended October 31st. I'm Bill Walljasper, Chief Financial Officer. Bob Myers, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, is also here. Before we begin, I'll remind you that certain statements may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. As discussed in the press release in the 2015 Annual Report, such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from future results expressed or implied by those statements. Casey's disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. We'll take a few minutes to summarize the results of the second quarter, and then afterwards open for questions about our results. As all of you’ve seen, diluted earning per share in the second quarter were up 56% to $2 compared to $1.28 a year-ago. Year-to-date diluted earnings per share were $3.57 compared to $2.56 in the same period last year. EBITDA was up over 38% in the quarter compared to a year-ago. The result reflects a strong fuel margin environment as well as strong sales performance across all categories. Before we go over each category to get more detail on what is driving the results, I'll remind everyone that we’ll release the detail of November same-store sales on Tuesday, December 15. During the second quarter, we experienced a strong fuel margin environment, resulting in an average margin of $0.247 per gallon compared to $0.195 per gallon in the same period a year-ago. Year-to-date the fuel margin is $0.211 per gallon, well ahead of our annual goal. Casey’s trailing four year fuel margin is $0.17 per gallon. The second quarter margin benefited from increased volatility of wholesale costs during the period, as well as an overall decline in wholesale fuel costs. We also benefit from the sale of renewable fuel credits, commonly known as RINs during the period. During the quarter, we sold 13.6 million RINs for $4.7 million. This represented about $0.01 per gallon improvement to the fuel margin. Subsequent to the recent announcement from the EPA, RINs are currently trading around $0.75. Last year in the third quarter, the average RINs sold were approximately $0.60. Lower retail fuel prices from a year-ago benefited same-store gallons resulting in an increase of 3.3% in the second quarter, while total gallon sold increased 7.7% to $496.2 million. Same-store gallon sold year-to-date were up 3.3%, with total gallon sold for the year up 7.8% to $997.4 million. The average retail price of fuel for the quarter was $2.35 a gallon compared to $3.19 last year. Fuel gross profit for the quarter was up nearly 37% to $122.7 million. Total sales in the grocery and merchandise category were up 10.6% to $516.6 million in the second quarter. Same-store sales were above goal, up 7.5%. We experienced double-digit sales increases in nearly all areas of the category during the quarter compared to a year-ago with an average margin of 31.5%. As a result, gross profit dollars was up nearly 8% to $162.9 million. The margin in the quarter was affected by a $5.2 million out-of-period adjustment relating to the correction of warehouse costs from the first quarter that were not properly captured. The adjustment had no impact on year-to-date results. For the year, same-store sales were up 7.2% with total sales up 10.3% to $1 billion. The average margin year-to-date is on goal at 32.1%. We are pleased with the gains in the category and anticipate continued growth throughout the fiscal year, as we benefit from the continued roll out of operational initiatives and new store openings. The prepared food and fountain category continued its strong performance with total sales up 14% to $229.4 million for the quarter. Same-store sales in the quarter were up 9.4%, with an average margin of 63.4%, up 410 basis points from a year-ago. This was primarily due to lower commodity costs and prior retail price increases. We are currently locked in on our average cost of cheese for the quarter at $1.89 per pound compared to $2.43 a pound year-ago. The forward buy contract for cheese extends through December of 2015. For comparison, the average cheese cost in the third and fourth quarter of last fiscal year was $2.05 per pound and $1.89 per pound respectively. Year-to-date, same-store sales were up 9.8%. Due to the sales increases and margin enhancement, we were able to lift gross profit dollars in the quarter nearly 22% to $145.5 million. We are pleased with the gains in that category and anticipate continued growth throughout the fiscal year as we benefit from the continued roll out of operational initiatives, including online ordering as well as new store openings. At the six-month mark, operating expenses were up 8.7%. Over the quarter, operating expenses increased 9.5% to $268 million. Approximately 80% of this increase was due to a rise in wages and payroll taxes. This was primarily related to an increase in the operational initiatives, operating 48 more stores from a year-ago in the same period and an increase in bonuses as a result of the Company’s strong performance this quarter compared to the same time period a year-ago. On the income statement, total revenue in the quarter was down 10.5% to $1.9 billion, due to a 26% decrease in the retail price of fuel from the second quarter last year. The revenue decline was offset by strong sales gains due to an increase in the number of stores in operation this quarter compared to the same period a year-ago and the additional roll out of operational initiatives to more stores. Year-to-date total revenue was down 10.5% due to lower fuel prices. The effective tax rate in the quarter was 35.8%, down primarily related to an increase in favorable permanent tax differences and a decrease in State tax expense. We now expect our effective tax rate to be around 35.5% to 36.5% for the fiscal year. Our balance sheet continues to be strong. At October 31st, cash and cash equivalents were $65.6 million, up from $48.5 million at the end of the fiscal year, primarily due to the strong year to date results of the Company. Long-term debt net of current maturities was $830.6 million, while shareholder equity rose to $1 billion, up $134 million from fiscal year-end. At the six-month mark, we generated $245 million in cash flow from operations and capital expenditures were $210 million compared to $230 million a year-ago in the same period. This was down due to a decrease in acquisition activity year-to-date compared to the same period last year. We expect capital expenditures to increase as new store construction accelerates and we complete more major remodels during the second half of our fiscal year. This quarter, we opened 17 new store constructions, and completed 4 replacement stores. Acquisition activity has been slower thus far in the year, as we’ve seen transaction multiples and seller expectations increase. We believe this is due in part to the higher fuel margin environment that exists generally throughout the industry. We will continue to remain patient. Additionally, we’ve completed 24 major remodels and have 26 new stores under construction as well 39 major remodels under construction. We anticipate opening a total of approximately 50 new store constructions and completing 100 major remodels by the end of the fiscal year. Our store account at the end of the quarter was 1,904. In addition to the unit growth, year-to-date we’ve converted 100 more locations to a 24-hour format and added 20 more stores to the pizza delivery program. We are also nearly complete will rolling out online ordering to all of our stores. With the completion of this at the end of this month, we will begin a comprehensive marketing campaign starting in January, which will include the introduction of our mobile app for this new service. Preliminary results for the soft roll out thus far have been very positive and we’re excited and optimistic about this new initiative. That completes our review of the quarter. As I mentioned previously we’ll release November same-store sales on Tuesday, December 15. We will now take your questions.