William J. Walljasper
Analyst · Irene Nattel from RBC Capital
Good morning and thank you for joining us to discuss Casey's results for fiscal year ended April 30. I'm Bill Walljasper, Chief Financial Officer. Bob Myers, President and Chief Executive Officer, is also here. Before we begin, I will remind you that certain statements may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. As discussed in the press release and the 2012 annual report, such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from future results, expressed or implied by those statements. Casey's disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. We'll take a few minutes to summarize the results of the fourth quarter, the year and our outlook for fiscal 2014. Afterwards, we'll open it up for questions about our results and outlook. As most of you have seen, diluted earnings per share for the fourth quarter were $0.60 compared to $0.60 for the same quarter a year ago. For the year, diluted earnings per share were $2.86 compared to $3.04. As mentioned in the press release, the results in the quarter included about $3.5 million in non-cash charges related to the write-down of an unrecoverable accounts receivable balance, accelerated depreciation impairment or replacement, closed and several underperforming stores. Without these items, diluted earnings per share would've been approximately $0.66. We will go over each category to give more detail on what's driving these results. During the quarter, we experienced a strong fuel margin environment, resulting in an average margin of $0.17 per gallon. The margin benefited from the rise in the value of renewable energy credits, commonly known as RINs throughout the quarter. During this time, we sold approximately 10.3 million RINs at an average price of $0.46. This represented about $0.013 per gallon improvement to the fuel margin in the quarter. Casey's has been processing RINs since 2007. Over the past 3 years we have sold on average, about 43 million RINs each year, at an average price of $0.065. Over the past 3 fiscal years, our average fuel margins had been $0.152 per gallon and the average -- 5-year average is $0.145 per gallon. Same-store gallons sold improved each month in the quarter, resulting in an increase of 1% during the period. The increase was due to continued improvement in the fuel saver program that was implemented in December in partnership with Hy-Vee, a regional grocery store chain. We currently have over half of our stores involved in this program. Same-store gallons sold for the year were comparatively flat from a year ago. For the quarter, total gallons increased 5.2% to 378.1 million. Total gallons sold for the year were up 4% to over 1.5 billion. The average retail price of fuel for fiscal 2013 was down slightly from last year to $3.41. Over the quarter, the average retail price was $3.49 per gallon compared to $3.57 in the same time period a year ago. The Gasoline category's off to a good start in fiscal 2014, with an average fuel margin in May above our annual goal of $0.15 per gallon. Same-store gallons in May were up 2.2%, with an average retail fuel price of $3.64 per gallon compared to $3.46 in May a year ago. Favorable weather a year ago in the fourth quarter allowed the company to achieve the highest quarterly same-store sales in the past 5 years. Unfortunately this year in the same period, we experienced unfavorable weather, resulting in a slight decrease in same-store sales within the grocery and general merchandise category. Total sales in the Grocery & Other Merchandise category were up 2.9% to $340.3 million. However, we have been experiencing incremental gains throughout the quarter in most areas of this category and expect continued growth especially in the cigarettes and packaged beverage areas. The average margin in the quarter was 31.7%, down primarily due to the competitive pricing adjustments we made throughout the year. Same-store sales for the year were up nearly 1%, while growth profit rose 4.4% to $462.7 million. Total sales for the fiscal year were $1.4 billion, up 3.9%. Same-store sales in May increased 3.2%, driven by increased cigarette sales. The Prepared Food & Fountain category continued to perform well. Total sales were up 8.1% to $138.6 million for the quarter, while same-store sales rose 4.4%. The average margin was down 25 basis points to 60.5% from the same quarter a year ago, primarily due to higher cost of cheese partially offset by lower coffee cost. The average cost of cheese this quarter was $1.89 per pound compared to $1.73 a year ago. Currently the cost of cheese is approximately $2 per pound. We recently completed a forward buy of coffee, locking in the cost through July of 2014. The average cost of this agreement is about $0.32 per pound below the cost we experienced during the same time period last year. For the year, same-store sales were up 8.6% with an average margin of 61.8%. Same-store sales continue to be strong in May, up 10.3% on top of an 11.9% increase in May of last year. Approximately 2% of this increase was due to retail price adjustments implemented May 1 on several items within the category. For the year, operating expenses increased 10.4% to $760.4 million. For the quarter, operating expenses were up 8.6%, driven primarily by the increase in operational initiatives mentioned previously. Over 1/2 of the same-store expenses in the quarter were the result of stores converted to 24 hours, the major remodels and the pizza delivery initiatives. We are optimistic about the long-term earnings growth of these initiatives. Store-level operating expenses for stores without any operational initiatives were up only 2.6%. In addition to this, the results also reflect about $2.2 million in non-cash expenses related to the write-off of an unrecoverable accounts receivables balance and the impairment of several underperforming stores. These 2 non-operational expenses impacted earnings per share in the quarter approximately $0.04. Without these items, operating expenses in the fourth quarter would've been up only about 7.3%. We also incurred about $1.3 million in accelerated depreciation related to replacement store activity. This have had an additional impact of $0.02 in diluted earnings per share in the quarter. Credit card fees during the quarter, were $21.4 million, up 6.8% from a year ago. Based on our growth plans, we expect operating expenses to increase in the low double digits for fiscal 2014. On the income statement, total revenue in the quarter was up over 3.2% to $1.8 billion. Year-to-date, total revenue was up 3.8% to $7.3 billion. The revenue lift in both periods was due to the sales increases in the categories mentioned previously, offset by a lower retail fuel price compared to prior periods. The effective tax rate this quarter was higher than the fourth quarter last year, primarily due to a decrease in federal tax credits. We expect our effective tax rate to be around 37% in fiscal 2014. Our balance sheet continues to be strong. At April 30, cash and cash equivalents were $41.3 million. Long-term debt, net of term maturities was $653.1 million, while shareholder equity rose to $602.3 million. We generated $286.3 million in cash flow from operations. For the fiscal year, capital expenditures were $334.8 million compared to $280.3 million a year ago in the same period. This increase was due to an increase in replacement and remodel activity from the prior year. In fiscal 2014, we expect capital expenditures to be between $313 million and $374 million. This quarter, we opened 13 new stores constructions and completed 5 acquisitions. Over the year, we opened 26 acquired stores and completed 31 new store constructions. We also replaced 6 stores during the fiscal year. Our store count at the end of this quarter was 1,749 corporate stores. As indicated in the press release, we have 15 new stores and 16 replacement stores under construction. We also have 20 stores under written agreement to acquire, as well as 52 locations under contract for new store constructions. We are optimistic about our unit growth in fiscal 2014. Now let me outline our performance goals for the next fiscal year. They are to increasing same-store gallons sold 1.5% with an average margin of $0.15 per gallon. The increase in our goals for the same-store gallons in margin from the previous year is a reflection of the positive impact we anticipate from the fuel saver program implemented in December and the increase in value of renewable fuel credits in the marketplace. We also plan to increase same-store Grocery & Other Merchandise sales 5% with an average margin of 32.3%. Increased same-store Prepared Food and Fountain sales 9% with an average margin of 62%. We will build or acquire between 70 and 105 stores, which is 4% to 6% unit growth. In addition to these goals, we plan to replace 20 stores and complete 25 major remodels. We anticipate nearly all of the 25 major remodels to be completed by the end of our second fiscal quarter. We are encouraged by the continued improvement of these stores. When you exclude the stores adversely impacted by the Cigarette Tax increase in Illinois, the remodeled stores are generating a low double-digit after-tax return in their second year. The conversion of the stores to a 24-hour format continues to go well. Currently, about 550 of our stores are now open 24 hours. In fiscal 2014, we plan to convert another 100 stores to a 24-hour format. 50 of these will be completed during the first fiscal quarter, with the remaining 50 to be converted later in the fiscal year. We typically experience same-store customer account double that of our store base, resulting in a 20% to 30% lift in inside sales from a store converted to this format. The pizza delivery program is the newest of our operational initiatives. Although the results are preliminary, we have been experiencing 25% to 30% increases in Prepared Foods sales upon the rollout of pizza delivery to a store. We converted an additional 50 stores to the program back in April, bringing our total to 274 stores delivering pizza. It is our intent to add another 57 stores to this program in July and another 50 stores later this fiscal year. As you know, we have a strong track record of growing the business while also returning value to shareholders through a dividend. As June board meeting, the board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share, which was a 9% increase from the year-end dividend amount in fiscal 2013. The dividend has doubled in the past 5 years and has a compound annual growth rate of more than 20% during this time. In closing, despite the challenges this past year, we are very pleased with the performance of the company in fiscal 2013. We're excited about our growth opportunities in fiscal 2014. That completes our review for the quarter and year-end results, we'll now take your questions.