William Atkins
Analyst · Cowen and Company. Please proceed with your question
Thank you Carl. We last provided you with guidance regarding Q4 on November 1st. And in that guidance we called for estimated revenue of between $127 million and $131 million. A non-GAAP gross margin of between 44.5% and 45.5%, non-GAAP operating expenses in the range of $58.5 million to $59.5 million and non-GAAP net income of between a loss of $0.04 and breakeven or $0.00 on a per share basis. Relative to that guidance our actual revenues for the quarter were $131.8 million, above the upper end of our guidance range. Non-GAAP gross margin was 40.4%, below the low end of our guidance range. Non-GAAP operating expenses came in at $60.7 million, above the upper end of our guidance range. Non-GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.14 per share, below the low end of our guidance range. At the gross margin level, the largest drivers in the shortfall relative to guidance, were higher than anticipated costs associated with the year-end acceleration in activity for turnkey network improvement projects, including CAF II related projects to meet deadlines; and the increase of services revenues in proportion to total revenues, as we continued to ramp our services business which carries lower margins than our systems product revenues. To a lesser degree, gross margins were also negatively impacted by product and regional sales mix in the fourth quarter. Operating expenses were higher than our guidance and increased compared to the year ago quarter, as we increased investments in R&D head count, as well as prototype builds to support new opportunities with both existing and prospective customers. Getting into a bit more detail, revenues of $131.8 million for Q4 mark a new quarterly record, representing an increase of 26.8 million or 25.5% year-over-year. This marks the strongest quarterly year-over-year revenue growth since the third quarter of 2013. Domestic revenues were 88.6% of our Q4 revenues, representing an increase of $27.1 million or 30.3% year-over-year. International revenues were 11.4% of our Q4 revenues, representing a decrease of $332,000 year-over-year. As I noted earlier, at 40.4%, Q4 non-GAAP gross margin was below our guidance range and was down from the 46.5% level in Q4 2015. This decrease and the shortfall relative to guidance were primarily driven by higher than anticipated costs associated with the year-end wrap of turnkey network improvement projects to meet deadlines, along with less favorable product and customer mix. In the fourth quarter, the amount of services work accelerated significantly, driven primarily by project site schedules requiring us to deploy added resources to complete work and increasing overall project costs. Q4 non-GAAP operating expenses at $60.7 million were up $10.1 million from $50.6 million in the same quarter a year ago which included approximately $850,000 of Occam litigation-related expenses. The year-over-year increase primarily reflects higher headcount and outside contractor costs, particularly in Research and Development; and higher costs for more prototype builds, in association with our focus on leveraging and promoting newer technologies to secure new, larger customer opportunities. We continue to make strategic investments in our platform, systems and software, as well as in our information technology systems. With these investments focused on a number of opportunities with large operators here in North America, as well as on growing our market share amongst small and medium-sized operators. The closeout of Q4 gives us the opportunity to review 2016 in full. 2016 revenues increased by $51.3 million to $458.8 million or up 12.6% from last year's $407.5 million level. This marks our strongest full year revenue growth since 2013. We had two customers each represent 10% or greater of an annual revenues in 2016, primarily the result of our focus on increasing our market share of larger accounts. CenturyLink accounted for $97.7 million in total for 2016, while approximately 21% of our 2016 annual revenues, while Windstream accounted for $69 million in total for 2016 or approximately 15% of our 2016 annual revenues. In 2016, domestic revenues were approximately 90.6% of our total revenues, while international revenues were approximately 9.4% of our total revenues. GAAP gross margins came in at 43.9% for 2016 versus last year's 46.7%. Non-GAAP gross margins came in at 44.9% for 2016, versus last year's 49%. With this decrease primarily due to the increased mix of services as a percentage of our revenues and the higher costs in services. GAAP operating expenses increased by $12.4 million to $229.3 million or 50% of revenues, versus last year's $216.9 million or 53.2% of revenues. Non-GAAP operating expenses increased by $20.4 million to $213.7 million or 46.6% of revenues versus last year's level of $193.3 million or 47.4% of revenues. This is inclusive of $1.7 million in 2016 and $3.3 million in 2015, in net expense related to the Occam litigation which concluded in 2016. Excluding the net Occam litigation expense, non-GAAP operating expenses would have increased by $22.2 million to $212.2 million or 46.2% of revenues from last year's $190 million level or 46.6% of revenues. With this increase primarily due to increased headcount, predominantly in R&D, to support growth initiatives, increased use of outside R&D contractors and costs for prototypes. 2016 GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.56 per share, versus last year's full year GAAP EPS of a loss of $0.51 per share. 2016 non-GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.14 per share, versus last year's full year non-GAAP EPS of a positive $0.12 per share. This is inclusive of $0.03 per share in 2016 and $0.07 per share in 2015 in net Occam litigation expense. Excluding the net Occam litigation expense, 2016 non-GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.11 per share, versus last year's full year non-GAAP EPS of positive $0.19 per share. Turning now to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with total cash and marketable securities of $78.1 million or $1.59 on a per-share basis, up from $61.3 million or $1.24 on a per-share basis in Q3 and an increase of $4.5 million from the year ago quarter. The primary drivers in the year-over-year increase in cash were positive operating cash flow in the fourth quarter of $19.2 million, due to improved working capital velocity and customer prepayments. Offset by higher capital expenditures to support ongoing activity. Receivables DSOs were a healthy 33 days, down 4 days compared to the previous quarter and down 2 days compared to the year ago quarter. Inventory levels were $44.5 million in Q4, up from Q3's $40.2 million level and down from $47.7 million in the year ago quarter. With revenues rising at a strong pace both year-on-year and sequentially, we're pleased with our team's performance in managing working capital. Inventory turns were 6.5 times in Q4, up from 5.7 times in Q3 and up from 4.1 times in the year ago quarter. Now let me discuss guidance for the first quarter of 2017, as well as some initial thoughts on our operating performance for the remainder of 2017. As I noted on last quarter's earning call, we continue to see a strong pace of activity amidst an elevated level of investments by our customers in their access networks. As our customers increase these investments with limited internal resources, we continue to see increased demand by our customers for turnkey services which are project-based engagements, including both systems as well as services such as network planning, all the way through to system installation and network turn-up. As we're driving towards completion of the bulk of our activity on at least one major project this quarter and as other projects reach higher levels of activity, this shifts the mix of services relative to systems and software in our revenue mix in the first part of our in 2017 more towards services than has been the case previously. For the first quarter of 2017, we expect revenues to be in a range of between $110 million and $114 million, representing growth of 12% to 16% from the $98.4 million for Q1 2016. In addition to another quarter of solid year-over-year growth in systems and software, our guidance for revenues in the first quarter reflects our anticipation of a further accelerated pace of activity for turnkey network improvement projects to meet deadlines, with services activity forecast to more than double sequentially from Q4 to Q1. We're guiding non-GAAP gross margin to a range of between 30% and 34% for Q1, down from last year's Q1 level of 48.1%. The decline relative to the year ago quarter is largely driven by the anticipated higher pace of activity in our turnkey network improvement projects. And the commensurate increase of related professional services revenues as a percentage of total revenues. As we've noted over the course of 2016, services generally carry lower gross margins relative to systems and as services have increased as a percentage of our total revenues, we will see incremental pressure on gross margins in Q1 due to the shift in mix. In addition, we expect to continue at a higher cost run-rate for our services business through the first quarter as we complete project requirements. Finally, while we expect to continue to incur costs associated with the ramp-up of our professional services business, we're also focusing on opportunities to streamline and to optimize the cost structure as we grow that business. In terms of operating expenses, we expect non-GAAP operating expenses to be in a range of $61 million to $63 million, up from $51.7 million in the year ago quarter or $48.3 million on approximately $3.4 million of Occam-related expenses are excluded. The increase in operating expenses compared to the year-ago quarter predominantly reflects incremental hiring and R&D costs to support our growth initiatives and our strategic investments to pursue broader opportunities in service providers. Based on 49.5 million basic shares, the expectations that I have just finished taking you through, results in a guidance range for Q1 of a non-GAAP net loss of between $0.57 and $0.49 on a per-share basis. We also anticipate negative operating cash flow in Q1, given the lower net earnings and working capital absorption related to the continued higher costs associated with our current turnkey network improvement projects. Before I turn it over to Carl, I want to give our investors some insight into the full 2017 year. We continue to see a strong pace of activity across our customers as they accelerate investments in their access networks. We believe this trend will continue in 2017 and we're projecting full year revenues to increase by 10% or more in 2017. In addition, we expect our normal seasonal pattern, with lower customer spending in the first quarter of the year contributing to second half revenue levels being higher than first half revenue levels. We also expect our net loss on a non-GAAP basis to be lower in 2017 than in 2016 for the following reasons. Our revenues are expected to increase by more than 10% year-over-year. A top line expansion that is higher than the 5.9% compound annual growth rate that we have seen for the last five years. As activity accelerates in several key projects to complete project requirements and meet project schedules, network turnkey improvement projects will be a larger portion of our revenue mix in the first half of 2017, than was the case in prior years. With our expectation being that as these projects are completed, our revenue mix will see an increase in systems and software, while services-related revenues which are expected to have negative impact on our Q1 margins, will diminish as a percentage of our revenues as the year progresses. Beginning in Q2, we will see the substantial portion of activity related to these projects diminish, as project requirements are completed and closed out. At this time, we expect turnkey network improvement projects to remain an ongoing component of the services that we offer to our customers. As I noted earlier, while we continue to leverage our professional services business to meet customer demand for such projects, we also believe that we have opportunities to streamline our processes and to optimize the cost structure for that business. We also see scope for realigning our operating expenses to allow for cost optimization in our traditional systems business, while increasing our focus on software-defined access and on expanding our customer base. At this point, let me hand the call back over to Carl. Carl.